Andrew Ng: The Biggest Opportunities in AI Aren't Where You Think
By Silicon Valley Girl
Summary
## Key takeaways - **Fear-mongering is regulatory capture**: Andrew argues a handful of leading AI companies deliberately spread fear to push regulations that create unfair moats protecting the billions they invested in proprietary LLMs, hurting competition from open-source alternatives. [01:42] - **AI makes the remaining 60% more valuable**: Drawing on Stanford economist Erik Brynjolfsson's task analysis, AI may automate 30-40% of many jobs, but the 60-70% humans still do becomes an economic complement and grows more valuable, not obsolete. [03:52] - **Software engineering jobs are rising, not falling**: Contrary to doomer predictions, the number of software engineering job openings is actually up, and good engineers he knows are busier than ever. Those who still code like it's 2022 are the ones in trouble. [04:32] - **AI is terrible for learning**: Despite higher homework scores, studies show students using AI suffer worse long-term retention due to cognitive offloading. Andrew calls current LLMs the worst learning tools he's seen, useful for getting work done but not for building knowledge. [14:20] - **Humans hold a massive context advantage**: Andrew frames the technical reason humans outperform AI in judgment as a context advantage: years of customer conversations, facial expressions, and tacit knowledge the plumbing simply doesn't have and won't for the foreseeable future. [12:24] - **AGI is still decades away, not here**: Using the definition of AI that can do any intellectual task a human can, like driving through a dense rainforest after minutes of practice or writing a PhD thesis, Andrew says AGI remains very far away, and hype-driven low-bar definitions have ulterior motives. [36:18]
Topics Covered
- Fear-mongering builds regulatory moats
- AI users will replace non-AI users
- Context advantage keeps humans ahead of AI
- AI is terrible for learning
- AGI is decades away under the right definition
Full Transcript
There's been a lot of misinformation about AI.
This is Andrew. He co-founded Google Brain and Corsera. His machine learning course has reached millions of learners and he is one of the most influential voices in AI today.
So, a handful of leading AI companies have been very loud voices of fear monongering around AI to try to get regulations passed. This drum beat of
regulations passed. This drum beat of fear-based messaging has skewed [music] societal perception to be really negative on AI. People talk to me about data centers and job loss.
Maybe AI could do 30 40% of many jobs.
And what that means is well that 60% that the human does has become even more valuable.
What about loss of human control over AI?
I think about something else that we can't control.
I think you're one of the voices in AI who comes with a huge background in machine learning and teaching AI and also you're a positive voice because this is something that I've been seeing
especially this summer how poor the society has become especially on social media when I'm posting about AI and people talk to me about data centers and
job loss. Why do you think this wave
job loss. Why do you think this wave started recently? What do you think the
started recently? What do you think the causes are? There's been a lot of
causes are? There's been a lot of misinformation about AI and the root cause of a lot of this is an unfortunate attempt that started two three years ago
of I think PR and regret capture. It
turns out that the most one of the most valuable things in AI right now is the giant AI models, giant large language models that some have trained. But if
you spend billions of dollars training a model is really inconvenient if someone else trains a model and wants to give it to anyone in the world to use for free.
So, a handful of leading AI companies, I think, as you know, have been very loud voices, fear-mongering around AI to try to get regulations passed to create an
unfair playing field that favors incumbents so that we all have to pay a high toll for use of AI while stying the other teams, be it researchers or other
companies that want to just give away open way to open source models that anyone could use much cheaper.
Unfortunately, fear-mongering works. Um,
when you go and say AI is like nuclear weapons, which is an analogy that has no basis in fact, what do they have to even do with each other? Or when you go around and cherrypick cases of AI, you
know, making a misstep and making it much bigger than it is or even spread misinformation about how AI uses data centers, uses a lot more water than the
actual reality. This drum beat of
actual reality. This drum beat of fear-based messaging has skewed societal perception to be really negative on AI, which is unfortunate because this is
slowing down American adoption in AI.
This is making America less competitive.
Um, and unless we get the truth about AI out there, which is that it's fantastic benefit with some problems, but not nearly the TV which they're blown up to be, it will um will hurt individuals.
I'm going to read out some of the problems that people are highlighting.
Job loss and inequality. What do you think?
The job apocalypse or job apocalypse, this idea that AI will take over 50% of jobs, people will be out of work, riding in the streets, that's just not going to happen. With every wave of technology,
happen. With every wave of technology, including AI, [gasps] the skills we need to do great work shifts. And so AI is changing job
shifts. And so AI is changing job professions. But boy, I wish AI were AI
professions. But boy, I wish AI were AI just doesn't work well enough. I know
that handful of businesses want to hype up AI to say we have super intelligence or we have artificial general intelligence or whatever and can do all the stuff that humans do. I wish AI work better. We're just not good enough to
better. We're just not good enough to make AI do everything a human does. And
if you look at the analysis of jobs, economists uh like my friend Eric Brennoffson at Stanford, Andy McAfee at MIT, um economists have analyzed many
people's jobs and by break it down into individual tasks and maybe AI could do you know 30 40% of many jobs and what that means is well that 60% that a human
does has become even more valuable because it's called an economic complement to the 30 40% that's now cheaper and So what will happen is
people that use AI, maybe people that use AI will replace people that don't use AI, but AI is not in a position for the vast majority of jobs to replace people. Of all the different
people. Of all the different professions, the one that's most affected by AI now is software engineering because AI is actually fantastic at writing code. And
[clears throat] what we see is that the number of job openings in software engineering is up contrary to what you know the doom fear-mongerers would say right AI is not actually able to replace
software engineers and all the good software engineers I know are busier than ever now the flip side of it is if someone still write code like is 2022 before chai GPT they're in trouble they
need new skills like don't don't do stuff that that 30 40% AI can automate you got to stop doing that let AI do that but then gain your skills to do the
other 60 70% that AI cannot do.
What would your advice be to new graduates? Cuz I talked to Eric um on
graduates? Cuz I talked to Eric um on this podcast and uh he was talking about that there's not really a lot of impact on the job market except for I think he mentioned people from 18 to 25 who just
graduated. What would be your advice to
graduated. What would be your advice to those people who don't have the expertise maybe to strategize in their job yet? uh they can only do manual work
job yet? uh they can only do manual work that AI can do as well.
So one real challenge um uh for fresh college grads is that the university system is slow to adapt and so um you know I love academia. I think we should
all support academia and universities.
And when AI comes and transforms the way software is written, universities often take like a year or two for the faculty to master skills, then create new courses, get curriculum committee
approval, whatever, get the faculty senate to vote. It just takes years. And
that speed of change in academia is very poorly matched to the speed of change in AI. So sadly, many universities are
AI. So sadly, many universities are still teaching students to be ready for the jobs of 2022 when we shouldn't even be teaching them for the jobs of 2026.
We should be teaching them for the jobs of 2028 and beyond. And what this means is the job openings are there. Uh tons
of employees I know just can't find enough skilled, you know, uh people at any level of seniority. But um it turns out in my office right now, we have a lot of interns. There are current
college students, fresh college grad. We
also had one high school intern and they're amazing and productive. But the
key is they're all very AI native. They
all use AI tools to do the things AI could do, but then also, you know, lean in to doing the things that uh humans can do that AI can't for the for for a long time. So there's plenty of work for
long time. So there's plenty of work for people to do. But so my advice to fresh college grads or the people currently in college is um by all means work hard in classes. you know, get good grades,
classes. you know, get good grades, learn from the instructors, but to the extent that there's still additional skills that the university has not yet adapted to teaching, then find other
ways to learn online, be it from Corsera or Deep Learning.AI or Udemy or other places where you can gain the more cutting edge skills, especially AI skills that um universities have not yet
worked in the curriculara.
Quick pause because what Andrew just said about workflows connects to something that HubSpot just put out for free. The thing is the real opportunity
free. The thing is the real opportunity right now is not just in the models themselves, but in what you build on top of them. How you turn AI from a chat
of them. How you turn AI from a chat window into workflows that actually do work for you. And the good news is you don't have to start by building a full agent. You can start much simpler with
agent. You can start much simpler with better prompts. HubSpot just released
better prompts. HubSpot just released the advanced chat GBT prompt engineering playbook. And the idea is very simple.
playbook. And the idea is very simple.
in 7 days. It helps you move from getting generic AI answers to building prompts that give you much more consistent and useful options because we've all had this moment. You type in
one vague sentence, get something mediocre back, and then spend the next 20 minutes fixing it yourself. This
playbook is basically built for that exact problem, and it walks you through a single progression. First, you learn how to structure prompts with things like role, context, format, and
parameters. Then it gets more advanced.
parameters. Then it gets more advanced.
Few shot examples, chain of thought reasoning, more precise prompt structures, and ways to make outputs more reliable. What I like is that it
more reliable. What I like is that it doesn't stop at individual prompts. It
also shows you how to build reusable AI personas, modular prompt components, and eventually your own signature prompt engineering system. So instead of
engineering system. So instead of starting from scratch every time, you're building a repeatable way to work with AI. Whether you're creating content,
AI. Whether you're creating content, analyzing data, or making business decisions, the playbook is free. Links
in the description. Thanks to Hopspot for sponsoring this video. And now back to our conversation with Andrew.
I want to say one other thing. Um it
turns out one if if look at the skill map changes. One of the most important
map changes. One of the most important changes is um it's so much easier to build with AI than before. When
something becomes much easier, a lot more people should do it. And so now, not only should professional software engineers build software with AI, it's becoming much easier for everyone to
build with AI and people that embrace that and do so will be more productive and will accomplish more and I think have more fun than the ones that don't.
And AI lets you build really fast. So
for people that not just software engineers but you know marketers, recruiters, uh HR professionals, operations specialists, I think if they learn to build with AI, uh they'll
really just do much more whatever their job row is.
How do you by the way measure uh the increase in productivity uh when you deploy AI? Do you have like a KPI in
deploy AI? Do you have like a KPI in your company?
I wish a simple answer. I find that the business outcome of AI is more a function of the business than a function of the AI. For for some it may be um
increase you know uh customer growth and retention or maybe faster to serve customers or increase accuracy in some tasks. So the KPIs tend to be related to
tasks. So the KPIs tend to be related to the business rather than the AI. M so
you can't like directly measure just AI because it's it's an interesting thing to do because we've been deploying AI actively in my company and I think for me as a media company it's probably the amount of views the output [snorts] uh it's just interesting how yeah it's just
interesting how different people measure even revenue like if you're becoming more effective uh with um how you make money actually same how are you using AI in your business oh my god I have the so first of all we
have claude for all of us and we have certain projects for every social media that we're on so for example for this podcast. We [snorts] have a project
podcast. We [snorts] have a project that's called guests and it knows all the analytics from previous guests and it has certain criteria on which we rank every single person who comes to the
podcast whether he's he or she's cited whether they have a certain opinion on AI whether they've been active with AI in their company or if they're a recent founder in AI. So it gives them
different weights and it comes up with a grade based out of 40. 40 meaning tier one, 30 meaning tier three, etc. And then we have another one that analyzes
every single podcast and gives me tips on how to ask questions.
Oh wow.
Same for Instagram, same for LinkedIn.
It has my tone of voice, personal dossier, my business strategy. So it
whenever it writes something, it knows all the facts about me, how I sound.
Every social media is run by a person.
So a person makes a strategic call and by the way if you can give me feedback on this if I can improve. So what I'm working on right now is closing the loop because sometimes they send me a text.
I'm like oh we need to change this this and that. But that happens in a chat in
and that. But that happens in a chat in Telegram and we have this feedback. We
we have a bot that scans all of our chats. But I really want AI to be able
chats. But I really want AI to be able to learn continuously from this feedback to just know my taste better. There's
one thing I see a lot in AI which is um it turns out for AI as data scientists or AI brainstorming partner it often comes up with you know one or two good ideas two or three mediocre ones and
like you know four atrocious ones and sometimes you wonder how could my AI have thought you know like that could even be a plausible idea and to me this relates to the job apocalypse point of
view which is that for a long time humans you me everyone watching this will have a significant context advantage over AI, which is that you know something that's incredibly obvious
to you that you know that was an awful idea but the AI did not and it turns out that one of the reasons why AI will not replace our jobs or whatever of large
business anytime soon is because humans have a massive context advantage compared to AI. We know so much that you know from our years of experience that we talked to customer we saw the funny
facial expression that told us ah they don't like this or we talked to business or you know our manager said hey blah blah blah I really care about this and so it turns out that almost all humans
well maybe all humans just know a lot of stuff that the plumbing does not exist and I don't think exists for the foreseeable future for AI to get I know sometimes people talk about the
importance of human judgment or human taste and Some people wonder all right what is taste is this fuzzy thing but to me the technical thing that underlies why humans have better judgment and
better taste than AI is this context advantage and because this is a long-term advantage like no one's going to solve this you know in a few years this is why we just need a lot more
humans with that judgment and taste to keep on complimenting AI and doesn't this make education even more important because education gives us context because it's another another thing I'm hearing about AI like you won't need education because all the
information is at your fingertips. You
just ask Chad GPT. But when you say context and taste, for me, that's years of acquiring knowledge and learning from the best and seeing how they perform versus just asking a chat.
I'm going to say something that may be controversial. I don't know I've said
controversial. I don't know I've said this publicly, but I think it's true, which is frankly AI models are terrible for learning. Um, I know people think
for learning. Um, I know people think AI is AI is wonderful at getting things done. use it all the time, love it. But
done. use it all the time, love it. But
all the data that's coming out is that when say college students use AI, we know this. It's just a study now back up
know this. It's just a study now back up as well. So we also have numbers. But
as well. So we also have numbers. But
the data is very clear. Students score
higher on homeworks when they use AI.
Yay, higher homework scores. But
retention, their long-term performance is much worse because their AI do the work for them. more and more studies are coming out to back this up now that I think people think oh it turns out you
know I think Wikipedia is a wonderful tool has tons of facts web search is a wonderful tool has tons of facts but it turns out that when you ask AI to do
work for you you're cognitive offloading to AI which is great because that's how society moves forward and gets work done but human retention is much worse it's
just so clear that LMS MS as they are most commonly used are terrible for learning. I'm not saying there's no way
learning. I'm not saying there's no way to use it in a way that is good for learning. I think there are ways to use
learning. I think there are ways to use that good for learning but even for myself there's so many things on the AI model over the last you know 6 months or whatever like I don't know [gasps] building some project how does this front end backend component work
whatever give me the answer get the job done it was fantastic but 6 months later I don't remember the answer when I need to redo that front end backend component
I ask AI again so data is really clear we should stop thinking of AI as helpful for learning at least the vast majority of ways that the vast majority majority of your people are using AI models today. It's absolutely terrible for
today. It's absolutely terrible for learning.
But you're building a company helping solve that, right? Because the one onetoone tutoring with AI is that where you just announced with a 100 million investment from Corsera.
Yes. So I'm excited about leading a new organization called Learn Vector that is focused on um building new learning experiences that is much more onetoone
than one to many. So you know 15 years ago I I was privileged to participate in the online courses movement that I think changed the way a lot of people learn
but that was and still remains largely a one to many experience where everyone you know kind of watches the same video which is actually okay it actually works well but the technology now exists to
create much more personalized customized onetoone experiences and so our team is working hard on that I think we'll have a lot more to show by early next year when think about human skill
development. I I feel like because AI
development. I I feel like because AI has so heavily impacted software engineering, um what we see happening in the job market for software engineering is a harbinger as a forerunner of what
we'll see in other disciplines as well.
And in software engineering, um people need to learn new skills, but when they do, they are thriving and creating more value and frankly getting raises and doing even more exciting projects. And
what I've seen the early signs of in other disciplines as well for example in software engineering you know most developers like front end backend developers have now become full stack developers because of AI hub you could
take on broader scope I'm seeing early signs of this in other disciplines as well where for example someone that in marketing that did marketing coordination uh coordinating marketing campaigns with AI help they can now
become more of a full cycle marketing take on a broader scope and I'm seeing you know frankly sources in recruiting become more full cycle do endto-end recruiting. So now the good news and bad
recruiting. So now the good news and bad news is for people to step up to these broader roles. You do need to learn AI
broader roles. You do need to learn AI skills but also it's not just learning AI you also need to learn these other skills uh like how do you do the other parts of marketing of recruiting or software engineering or AI engineering.
So I think this actually creates a heavy need, a big need for people to gain new skills. But when they do, which is both
skills. But when they do, which is both AI skills, but also disciplinary skills, then they can do much more, hopefully have more fun, work on more exciting projects, hopefully get paid more as
well. And one reason I kind of worry
well. And one reason I kind of worry about the fear mongering is um I got an email from someone that was about to enter college and you know he emailed me saying hey Andrew taking online courses
but I'm really struggling with what I should major in college because in four years won't AI do all this and everything I learn will be obsolete and the answer is no of course it won't all
be obsolete but when we keep on pushing these fear messages uh we make people wonder if they will even be relevant and it makes people not lean in to gain
these skills, they'll put them in much better position. So, I see very clearly
better position. So, I see very clearly that these fear-mongering messages are distorting how many people, including, you know, high school students, college students, fresh grads, think about the
economy. And frankly, making people give
economy. And frankly, making people give up is one of the worst things we'll be doing in this era when people that lean in will thrive.
Andrew has taught over 8 million people AI. He started teaching machine learning
AI. He started teaching machine learning online back in 2011, years before the current AI boom. Now, one of the companies he's building is focused on AI agents. From the way that it sounds, it
agents. From the way that it sounds, it can still feel way too technical. So, I
put together a step-by-step guide to building your first AI agent with no coding required. It walks you through
coding required. It walks you through what to automate, how to set it up, and how to make it actually useful. It is in my newsletter this week. The newsletter
is called Future Proof. It's free. Link
is in the description. What would you reply back to that email that somebody sent you? What would you say is the best
sent you? What would you say is the best major to study now to thrive in AI era?
Do you think it's like going deep into a niche or just broader computer science so that you can acquire AI skills really fast?
You know, I don't know what's the best major. There are awful lot of great
major. There are awful lot of great majors. It's is like um I kind of feel
majors. It's is like um I kind of feel like what's the best job in the world is like what's the best major in the world?
Oh, something that you love, right?
Yeah. My daughter wants to be an astronaut. I don't know if she can major
astronaut. I don't know if she can major in becoming an astronaut. I have to think about that. When she get older though, she may change your mind. I see
so many opportunities um across across so many job roles. It all seems very exciting to me. But do learn AI, do learn to build with AI. The other thing that my team's been working on AI engineing skills map to try to map out,
you know, the most important skills for AI engineering. One thing that I felt
AI engineering. One thing that I felt intuitively, but I was surprised to see it show up in the data was that a lot more job descriptions seem to be saying they want people that demonstrate a very
high sense of agency. Because it turns out with AI there a lot more opportunities for individuals to spot problems and go build something or do something to go solve it. So I think
we're really evolving. Well, we've long been evolving but we're accelerating positive era where people sit around and wait for their boss to tell them what to do.
This is what I've been feeling a lot especially when we started doing remote work. I want people to be entrepreneurs
work. I want people to be entrepreneurs within their niche. Like if you're helping me with LinkedIn, you're an entrepreneur there. You can hire more
entrepreneur there. You can hire more contractors. You can deploy different
contractors. You can deploy different tools. You make the strategic decision
tools. You make the strategic decision whether this topic is good or not. Shall
we proceed with it? I really think and tell me if you agree with me, we're moving into that job market where everyone is kind of independent in their workplace.
I think people will have much more autonomy and creativity. So I agree with that. And I'd even go one step further
that. And I'd even go one step further which is I talked to a lot of people is know engineers and others in large companies that tell me that their manager tells them to stay in their swim lane. They'll say, "Oh, I have this
lane. They'll say, "Oh, I have this creative idea, but the manager says, "No, I need you to focus on this one thing, frankly, often because their manager's career depends on it." But I feel like the number of opportunities
for people to spot things outside the swim lane. Um, and then in a responsible
swim lane. Um, and then in a responsible way explore how to get it done, that feels very exciting to me. And I think that in the future the businesses that
set up a culture that encourage people to learn AI build fast responsibly um talk to customers would drive a lot more value than the more hierarchical silo
organizations.
Yeah, it it starts with hiring the right people and then nurturing this in your organization. When you say learn how to
organization. When you say learn how to use AI and become proficient with AI, can you give me some benchmarks like of a person who's like say a marketer, knowledge worker, advanced with AI, what are you looking for when you're
interviewing this person?
I'm pretty sure my team's ahead of the curve. All of my marketers know how to
curve. All of my marketers know how to code. So, as part of how I interview
code. So, as part of how I interview marketers, we ask them what they've built and uh if they have not built any software.
If it's a dashboard, is it good or bad?
Like, is it too basic or a dashboard? Again, my team's probably,
a dashboard? Again, my team's probably, you know, somewhat ahead of the curve, but uh was good to hear like that.
All of my marketers have built much specific things in Oh, I I feel like um I don't know the other day uh one of our someone on the marketing team was talking about the tools that he had built to uh when he's
considering writing an article on something, it will um crawl the web, find related work, has a custom desktop app, actually built a desktop app that runs on his Mac to um highlight related
articles for him. then you can chat to the whole system navigate you know the thing he's writing as well as the related work and he had a large dashboard for trolling the internet to
highlight to him exciting things that are popping up um now even on my team I think that marketers is ahead of the curve but that's that's great to hear any other interesting use cases uh that will
inspire people to build something similar let's see maybe u uh my finance team uses AI extensively
So I think uh uh my um one of my CFOs uh realized that you know her team was spending hours every week clicking through documents open this copy paste this number here and so um she started
building uh automation scripts that runs on a routine that um automatically opens files checks what's in there checks for consistency highlights to her team if there's something uh if there's something they need to be paying
attention to if a new document has showed up. So I find that rather than
showed up. So I find that rather than waiting around for an engineer to do the work for them, the team's ability to to kind of a not just build dashboards but build kind of a data management
infrastructures. They can ingest data,
infrastructures. They can ingest data, alert them if something's happening.
I think uh my finance and marketing teams are doing that. Oh my recruiting team um well we actually have recruiting engineers which are really professional engineers that sit in a recruiting team
that are building very sophisticated tools for recruiting. And this is actually the other trend. I think
marketers, recruiters, HR professional, ops people should all learn AI. But the
other thing is when you take an engineer and embed them in these teams, then that further accelerates what you can do.
We do the same. We we start with something basic, build it ourselves, then we hit the wall, an engineer comes in, we build it further.
Frankly, when you look at not just software engineers, but recruiting engineers, marketing engineers, HR engineers, I think there's so much valuable engineering work that can now be done. I'm just, you know, not worried
be done. I'm just, you know, not worried about running out of, [laughter] frankly, all my friends were so busy. We
think, boy, how could we run out of engineering jobs?
Yeah. Yeah. There are so many cool ideas you can experiment on. But you touched up on something that is actually one of the fears when when we talk about like financial information, how much you're giving to AI. So, I gave my perplexity
permission to scan my Fidelity account so it can track my portfolio, tell me when to rebalance. It doesn't do anything on my behalf, but it has access. Do you think there is any
access. Do you think there is any problem with that?
This is complicated. I think AI and privacy is a complex area. Um, and it depends a lot on the company that you are sharing your data with. So, for
example, I trust all the hyperscalers to really 100%, you know, follow their terms of service and to do what they say. my personal opinion not not giving
say. my personal opinion not not giving legal business advice but I'd be shocked if you know the largest hyperscalers publish the terms of service with some privacy notice and if they breach that because that would be not the culture be
so damaging of the long-term business model now that's on the largest hyperscaler side if you look at AI company's side there's been you know at least one company that I won't name that
seems to occasionally change the terms of service and if you're using it you go to the website so you pop up hey we changed the terms of service to retain your data or train your data and if you're aren't paying attention and click
the wrong button then they suddenly gave themselves permission to access your data in a way that I'm not that comfortable with. I feel like I handle
comfortable with. I feel like I handle you know some sensitive information. So
then I tend to be very careful with the businesses that I just don't feel that culture and the DNA and frankly the long-term business model is as tied to
protecting individual user privacy than the hyperscalers. And um I see
the hyperscalers. And um I see businesses, you know, get this as well.
For example, one of my teams, AI Aspire, we work with very large corporations, including banks, with incredibly sensitive financial data. And as you can
imagine, AI Aspire and our and our clients do not willy-nilly share, you know, really sensitive I often material nonpublic information, right? NPI uh
with Frontier with with Frontier Labs without really careful thinking about the guardrails and privacy. So I think it's complicated.
So trusting hypers scale, but also u another thing that you can do, you can download an open source model and just run it on your computer and then it just stays on your computer, right?
Yes. I think yes I it turns out a lot of banks will actually run um the things in uh you know a virtual private car or on prem so they so it never even leaves their control but I think for
individuals it's true for for the really sensitive things um uh I sometimes run a local model and it's been interesting with the open way models some of the latest open way models are approaching
frontier capability and that are you know actually small enough they're actually really good models now they can run on it yeah the one from Meta right the recent one oh yes Metamuse is a good model and I'm thinking Also the latest version of Quen
is also very good but I think frankly these models change every other week. So
I think the best practice is to not get stuck on one but keep on trying new models.
So basically when there is a situation that you don't trust anyone you run a local model and this is how you keep your data safe.
I do trust the hyperscalers but sometimes for you know literally NMPI material nonpublic information that I won't even send to that I just can't even send that to the cloud. So that uh
I'll either do it manually without AI help or if I really need to use AI then you know really carefully only use a local model.
Interesting. Okay. This is this is this is an interesting one. Okay. What about
loss of human control over AI? Because
I've talked to I talked to Yoshua Benja who is very um negative when it comes to open free AI without any regulation and
he painted me some very scary pictures of AI taking over control because we basically the the whole scenario is we can't control something that's smarter than us and if AI gets smarter and
smarter where where do we end up? What
do you think about that? I think about something else that we can't control which is um airplanes. No one can build an airplane that you can fly perfectly.
Winds will buffet it around. And then
candly in the early days of developing airplanes, some airplanes crash and people died and it was tragic and awful.
But through the early lessons learned, we then learned to control airplanes better and better. So that today, you know, we can mostly get in an airplane and not fear too much for our lives. And
it's really like that too of AI. No one
can perfectly control AI because it generates tokens or outputs that a little bit random. So we don't really know what exactly it'll do. But as we run them and you know there's been a
small number of mishaps which is unfortunate and some number of mishaps have done some real damage but the way we engineer almost any system from an
airplane to electric circus to now AI is carefully grow their capabilities so that we can have a controlled environment in which to measure what's
wrong and then to shape it to make sure we can control it well enough that it behaves responsibly and safely and to this day we can't perfectly control any airplane and we will never perfectly
control AI either but I think um we are certainly controlling them well enough that this loss of control doesn't feel like science science
fiction yeah what about deep fakes deep fakes are a problem well one of the most disgusting things I've ever seen or heard of is non-consensual
intimate deep fake imagery I'm really glad that you know US Congress has been moving Right. Let's
pass laws. Get rid of that. Penalties
for that. I'm just I think there's some really problematic uses of AI that we should outlaw, heavily penalize. Let's
just get rid of that.
What do you think about children and social connection when it comes to AI with kids using more of AI? Because
we've seen social media how, you know, there are people who are dumb scrolling all day and my daughter who is 5 years old now, whenever I don't have an answer, he's like, "Ask Chad GPT." And
like, who's that person? I'm like, "I don't know. Ask Jajiv Viti like she
don't know. Ask Jajiv Viti like she thinks Jaji knows everything. What would
you say about you know kids future with AI?
First I think kids have a bright future.
It's just such an exciting time to be child to grow up in this environment with tools that none of us ever had before. [gasps] At the same time we've
before. [gasps] At the same time we've seen that social media um I think social media has probably been blamed a bit more than it deserves. But it does deserve blame uh has kind of not been
great for kids. I actually worry a lot about it's a wonderful tool, but AI damaging learning is something I worry a lot about. So, it turns out um I have a
lot about. So, it turns out um I have a 5-year-old and a seven-year-old. When I
teach them math, they're so young enough that I can basically, you know, not let them use a calculator, can say, "How do you multiply these numbers?" And I don't give them a calculator and practice that with them. But as they're a little bit
with them. But as they're a little bit older, I worry a lot about students using cognitive offloading to AI in a way that damages the long-term learning retention. Um, but then at the same
retention. Um, but then at the same time, oh, I actually built an app. I did
not like any of the, you know, free online learning to type types of things.
So, I actually built my own to um have my daughter learn to type. And I'm
hoping that she's actually getting pretty decent now for a seven-year-old.
Oh, she's Oh, yeah. She actually typed all the lowercase letters. she's a
little bit fit, you know, not her shift uppercase letter is a little bit not quite there. But I think that this um
quite there. But I think that this um unlocks, you know, responsible adult supervised use of online tools and I think it's really tricky. You know, I
think um adult supervised use of digital tools seems a great thing for kids, but too many adults don't have time to supervise the use of the tools and then the incentives of [gasps] say social
media, right, to do funny things.
Yeah. has to be the right incentive when it comes to AI. Okay. [snorts] You
mentioned we we talked about the fears.
We talked about how you can improve your work with AI. Can you name some of the biggest opportunities in AI in 2026 for people who want to build? for an
individual that wants to build. I don't
think it's one size fits all, but because the cost of building has plummeted, um, [clears throat] I encourage people to learn AI, build
fast, and talk to customers. I find
myself building things, I don't know, every week, every weekend because I or someone on our team, we have some problem and I have some idea for
building some AI thing. to automate it.
Last weekend, I had really I was using a frontier model to analyze a lot of our key business metrics because I didn't have time to do it myself, but it was kind of measuring, you know, deandized key business metrics and I didn't have
time to go find a data scientist to go work me on it. So, I just did variety of frontier models being really careful on their uh data retention policies. I did
not use models with data retention policies I don't like uh in order to analyze data. But and then I find that
analyze data. But and then I find that um what's happen of AI is the cost of building has plummeted and so the challenge is shifting to deciding what to build which I was calling which I've
been calling the product management bottleneck and so people you know founders engineers product managers that can talk to customers get a sense for the taste of judgment on what to build
and then build with AI and iterate quickly. I think that's just a ton of
quickly. I think that's just a ton of exciting things to do and you've been starting so many companies. You're like when I looked at
companies. You're like when I looked at your portfolio, do you think for beginners when you said you built something during the weekend, how do you decide what to focus on or you can pursue multiple ideas because of AI now
and you can just be, you know, playing in different companies at the same time.
It turns out building a company is still really, really hard and so there's a lot to be said for a single threaded leadership or someone that's fully focused on just one thing. I find it, you know, over a weekend I can often
build an Elm wrap, build a simple application, but I wish it was that easy to build a large company. Um, I find that building something meaningful often
takes either real technical depth uh and or deep customer insight and integration with customers. And yes, we can now, you
with customers. And yes, we can now, you know, use AI to code something in a few hours, but that's a small piece of the puzzle. So spending time understanding
puzzle. So spending time understanding the technical complexity and building the really complex software that takes us like months you know maybe years or having that deep custom insight to decide what to build that also just
takes a lot talking to people reading facial expressions surveys doing that over and over until we figure out what to build. Um and so I think sometimes
to build. Um and so I think sometimes there's a lot of value to sampling widely but then having that focus for an individual to go really deep in a couple sectors that that still seems important
for building a business. My last
question, I know it's we don't have much time, but I wanted to ask you about AGI just because people use this word so much and some people say I think Jensen Hang said we already reached AGI. You
said it's decades away. What's the one criteria when you're going to say we reach AGI?
So different people say we reach AGI at different times because of different definitions of AGI. The definition I'm most familiar with is AI that could do any intellectual task that a human can.
But so the human brain can take say five years to study and do a PhD thesis or or and so can AI write a PhD thesis or a human can learn to drive a truck through
a dense rainforest with you know tens of minutes of practice. So when can AI do that to drive new environment with tens of minutes of practice. It feels like there's a long list of these things that
AI cannot do uh for what feels to me decades. I hope it's only decades. maybe
decades. I hope it's only decades. maybe
you turn out to be longer. So that's why I think for that definition of AI or AGI, AGI is still very far away.
But um it turns out because of you know economic incentives, I think open Microsoft had an agreement that's actually been renegotiated now. So
that's gone away. But open AI had an economic incentive to try to declare reaching AGI earlier. Uh and so it turns out that if you come up with other definitions of AI depending on how far
you lower the bar then you could totally have reached AGI you know already or even 30 years ago depending on how you want to define it.
Yeah true Andrew thank you so much for this positive conversation very applicable. I like when u you watch
applicable. I like when u you watch something and then you go and you measure yourself against what people are doing with AI look at your process and uh maybe expand it. So thank you so much
for showing what your team is doing and thank you for your insights. Yeah, I
think given the huge benefits of AI to come, I hope whoever was watching this is motivated to really go learn AI, apply it, um, and and even to go build some
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