Become a PRICE ACTION 'Beast'🔥 | 3+ Hours of 'Uninterrupted' Price action course for beginners💯😎
By Fortune Talks
Summary
Topics Covered
- The 90% Market Majority Rule
Full Transcript
hey guys welcome back to the channel this video marks a beginning of a new course completely free of cost exclusively on the concept and application of price action trading the
course is designed in an orderly manner from the very basic to the advanced level as we move up the ladder so I heartly welcome every aspiring Trader to
take a ride with me throughout this course so let's get started
[Music] at the heart and soul of it the stock market is all about buying and selling demand and Supply sometimes we buy a
stock and sometimes we sell one but just by buying and selling based on our instincts will not do any good for our trading account chances are we end up in
losses and a worst case scenario we blow up our trading account that is why almost all the Traders try to find an edge in the market to remain profitable
depending on the type of Trader you are you can choose between technical analysis fundamental analysis quantitative analysis and finally price
action analysis the technical analysis primarily involves using different categories of indicators to predict the future price movements fun fundamental
analysis on the other hand relies on the fundamentals of the stock or the company primarily focusing on the financials earnings Etc to make a trade decision
similarly quantitative analysis utilizes the use of statistical tools to analyze the market data but if you talk about technical analysis in particular which
is followed by majority of Traders the interesting thing that can be identified is that the indicators used for the analysis are derived from some of the
fundamental inputs of the market namely the price and the volume think about it for a while which is better a fruit from our own home Farm or one with a heavy
pesticide usage the former may not be very good-look and won't stay fresh for many days but it's healthy while the latter may look appealing to the eyes
and stays fresh longer but it's not even remotely good for our health likewise too many indicators for our trading is not very good for our trading account
this is because the indicators are a result of so many intermediate processing of the basic price and volume so that the pure behavior of price and
volume are lost and at the end of the day you make your own conclusion without listening to what the market has to say I'm not in any way concluding that
technical analysis is not good or or that the indicators are instead what we have to understand is that we
have with us a goal Mine by the name of price which if studied properly can help us identify what the market is doing
this study of price and Its Behavior is known as price action so unlike indicators fundamentals or algorithm price action tells you what the market
is doing and not what you think the market should do the price action focuses mainly on the recent and current
prices it is also dependent on the overall Market Trend and finally on the price structure of the market we will
talk about each one of them in our upcoming episodes now price action is not the Holy Grail or the mandra for ultimate success in stock markets
because trading is mostly about your psychology and imp implementation and not about a single special strategy the goal for most Traders is to maximize the
trading profits through a style that is compatible with their personalities without that compatibility I believe that it's virtually impossible to trade profitably
for a long term but if you devote a good amount of time to learning price action trading you'll trade with cleaner charts without hell lot of indicators you'll
also be able to pinpoint your trade entries and exits with better Precision now that's episode one for you it was just an introduction to price
action this video will focus on how the market price moves or how the prices are made to move in a particular Way by some big players you might have heard people
saying things like history repeats itself price memory and stuff like that what they really mean is how the market price moves in a specific pattern time
and time again now the question is why does the price of a stock go up or down there can be different answers to this particular question like it could be the
news or government passing some Bill a new monetary policy by the RBI some legal issues ETC but at the center of it all the one thing that makes the market
movements are the earnings of a company even if a piece of very bad news related to a particular stock has come out but it has no direct impact on the earnings of the company then there might be a
temporary noise in the stock for a short period but eventually the stock will recover but on the other hand stocks like vone idea yes Bank Etc are victims
of the news that directly affects the earnings of the stock and thus resulting in their crash in the stock market there are mainly two players in general number
one are the retailers and number two are the institutions 90% or more of all the trading in the markets is done by
institutions which means that the market is simply a collection of Institutions the institutions includes mutual fund houses Banks brokerage houses insurance
companies Pension funds hedge funds Etc these companies account for most of the trade volume and they mostly trade on the fundamentals of the stock but now they are eventually shifting to the
algorithmic side of trading what I mean to say is that the trading done by these institutions controls the direction of the market on daily and weekly charts
and a lot of the big intraday moves or swings are also controlled by the big institutions it is not very surprising to know that almost all these
institutions are profitable over time so the institutions are generally considered to be the smart money meaning they are smart enough to make a living
by trading and they trade a very large volume every day no trade can take place without one institution willing to take one side of the trade and the other
willing to take the other side the small volume trades made by by the retailers can only take place if an institution is willing to take the same trade let me
explain this if you want to buy at a certain price the market will not get to that price unless one or more institutions also want to buy at that
price similarly you cannot sell at any price unless one or more institutions are willing to sell there because the market will only go to a price where the
institutions are willing to buy and others are willing to sell I hope the point is clear most individual Traders or retailers have no ability to move the
market the market will only test a particular price if one or more institution believes that it is financially sound to sell at that price on the other hand there are other
institutions which believes that it is profitable to buy there so to be very precise at every tick in the stock market institutions are buying and other
institutions are selling and all of them have proven systems that will make money by placing those trades so the main
point to be noted or the main point that I want to convey is this you should always be trading in the direction of
majority of the institution or like the professional say follow the footprints of these institutions because they control where the market is heading or
simply they move the market now let us look at a new scenario you have found out a new trading strategy that makes
money and it works perfectly but at some point it stops working after a while many of us might have gone through this situation the reason for this is simple
the markets are changing it is never fixed but it is always in transition from one stage or one phase to the other this simply means that if you are using
a trend trading strategy today and you continue to do that then at some point you will lose money in range markets and similarly if you are using a range
trading strategy and continue using it for a while at some point you will end up losing the money in the trending markets the thing to understand is that the profitability of trading system
moves in Cycles there are periods during which the trend following systems are highly successful and profitable then the market shifts from the trending to
range price action that is when all the trend trading systems becomes unprofitable and the inexperienced Traders start making losses this is the
reason why you see a lot of newb Traders boasting up their p&l during the trending markets while all of a sudden they disappear when the range Market
arrives to sum it all up Market moves in three phases or three stages number one is the uptrend or the advancing stage number two is the downtrend or the
declining stage and number three is consolidation stage so the consolidation stage can be further subdivided into
accumulation phase and distribution phase so let us look at how the market transition from one phase to the other
let us start with the accumulation phase the accumulation phase is when the big institutions start buying a particular store this institution deals in huge
bulks of money therefore their order sizes are expected to be huge so think what happens if they buy such huge quantities in a single order the prices
would react suddenly and the prices would just shoot up they will be able to purchase the stock at a specific price only if there
is enough liquidity in the stock else the orders will be matched at higher prices which will in turn reduce the profitability of the institution but
they will not allow this to happen so instead of placing a bulk order the institution places small orders secretly and this is called as position building
in short we can conclude that during the accumulation phase the institutions are building up the position slowly and silently and during the accumulation
phase the market tends to be in a range or it is range bound and the trend Traders would face losses if they don't adapt suddenly so how will you identify
the accumulation phase generally the accumulation phase occurs after the price has fallen down or simply it happens after a downtrend the
accumulation phase can also be viewed as an area of low volatility or an area where there is a lack of interest between the Bulls and the Bears moving
on to uptrend or the advancing phase this stage occurs usually after the price breaks out of the accumulation phase here's what happens in the uptrend
or the advancing phase after building up the positions the institutions take the market higher so there is a bullish sentiment in the market all along the
institutions will not book profits anytime soon so the uptrend can last anywhere from months to even years it is during this phase that the trend Traders
make a lot of profit we will discuss on how to identify an uptrend and how to approach your trades during an uptrend in our upcoming videos but now let's
move on to the third phase which is the distribution phase the distribution usually occurs after the prices have rised to a good extent
and the distribution phase looks similar to an accumulation phase where the market remains in a Range here's what happens in the distribution phase the
institutions begins to distribute or sell or Square off their positions after they have made a good chunk of profit on their initial Investments similar to the
accumulation phase the institutions sells the shares secretly and slowly so that the market doesn't fall immediately creating a panic situation so they will
sell at a range of Target prices and that is why the distribution phase is also range bound and the trend Traders don't stand a chance if they don't adapt
suddenly in the distribution phase the volatility tends to be high due to the Panic of an imminent crash or fall in the prices the last and the Final Phase
is the downtrend or the declining phase the declining phase happens when the price breaks down of the distribution phase during this phase the selling
pressure is high and the Market Outlook is bearish most Traders try to cut their losses and those who don't well they
remain as long-term investors in the hope that the price will come back up the volatility tends to be very high due to panic and fear in the market so this
is a good time for Trend traders who can short the market and get hold of good profits this is how the faces look like in a chart and it is interesting to note
that these stages continue to appear time and time again as cycles and if you could spot them early then you have an
edge over the market and eventually you can use a suitable strategy that works in the situation we will talk about different trend trading and range
trading strategies in detail in the upcoming videos and we will also understand how to design your trading strategy according to changing market conditions
[Music] I in this age of social media we come across innumerable apps like Tik Tok Instagram Etc where the creators
introduce a new idea every day and some becomes so hyped and popular that others begin to perform the act it becomes a trend or the ACT is said to be trending
even YouTube has a trending section that features the most popular videos at a specific time this trend stays for a short duration that is for a few days to
a few weeks so this is a short-term Trend similarly the stock markets also have trends that may range from shortterm Trends to medium-term Trends
to even long-term trends depending on the duration is the trend persist in the market so in the stock market scenario a
trend is the overall direction of the market during a specified period of time in the stock market there are mainly
three types of Trends number one the uptrend number two downtrend and number three side way Trend there are different methods to identify the general trend of
the market but the most popular ones are by using the trend lines for visualizing the price wings and the other method includes the use of indicators like
moving averages average directional index Etc but we will limit our discussion to only the first method the simple reason being this is a price
action course and we want to trade with cleaner charts and minimum confusion before moving on further let me talk about a situation where there are three
stock market participants an investor a swing Trader and an intraday Trader if I ask them what is the present Market Trend do you think all of them will have
the same answer not necessarily investor could say it's a bullish Market while the intraday Trader would say it's bearish Trend even the swing Trader can
say there is no Trend at all or the market is sideways what is the reason for different opinions why do different people have different views on the
market Trend given the same charts and same conditions at the same instance the simple and straightforward answer is the time period that each Trader use for
their analysis the investor might conduct his analysis on the monthly or yearly time frames while the swing Trader might be using the weekly or daily time frames and for an intraday
Trader the time frame might be 15 minutes or 5 minutes therefore as the time frame changes the analysis changes
so does the perspective on the market trends so this is my first conclusion that Trends are relative in nature that
is Trends are dependent on time frames and it change with time frames there is a common saying in the market that trend is your friend I will try to bring
clarity as to why this statement is relevant for our trade success in the last episode we have talked about the four different phases
or stages of the stock market price mov now let us analyze in detail how the price moves for that let's take an example of
a rubber ball for instance and let's bounce the ball once the ball would not just take off and go out to space right it will come back to the ground and
bounce back up similarly in the stock market also the price does not move indefinitely up or down there will be Direction changes once in a while this
nature of price oscillation is called as price swings a typical price swing will consist of an Impulse move and a corrective move the impulse move is the
strong move with stronger price action candle while the corrective moves in a trend are generally weak or dull moves opposite to the direction of impulse
move moving on let's understand this by taking up each of the trend types and learning how to draw the trend line for analysis by definition uptrends are
marked by Rising data points such as higher swing highs and higher swing lows so here the price moves up in such a way that the swings also move up making a
recognizable pattern during an uptrend the impulse move is a strong up move with a series of strong bullish candles which forms a higher price than the
previously formed High the impulse move is followed by a corrective move in the opposite direction of the prevailing bullish Trend the corrective move
usually includes a lesser number of weaker candlesticks that forms a lower price but this lower price is still higher than the previous lower price
font the corrective moves are generally due to profit booking by some Traders as a rule of thumb a trend can be confirmed as an uptrend only when the price has
made at least two swings on the upside after finding out all the higher lows all we have to do is to draw a line connecting all the swing lows or the
higher lows that we have ploted this line connecting a series of higher lows creating a support level for future price movement is called as a trend line
it is from the vicinity of this trend line that future price movements would reverse or break out and therefore it is a very important trading zone or an area
of value the trend line is an area from which we can trade the impulse swing moves or simply we can place a buy order when the price reaches the trend line
after identifying all the higher highs we can draw a line connecting the series of higher highs or swing highs that we have ploted and this line is called as
the trend channel line which will act as an area of resistance for the prices and we can trade the corrective moves from the trend channel line or simply we can
place a sell order when the price reaches the trend channel line coming to downtrends by definition these are marked by Falling data points such as
lower swing lows and lower swing highs in a downtrend the price moves down in such a way that the swings also move down making a recognizable pattern so
during a downtrend the impulse move is strong in the downward Direction with a series of strong bearish candlesticks which forms a lower price than the
previously formed low the impulse move is followed by corrective moves in the direction opposite to the prevailing bearish Trend the corrective move
usually includes a lesser number of weaker or dull candlesticks that forms a higher price but this higher price is still lower than the previous formed
high so the corrective move is generally due to profit booking by some traders who took a short trade earlier in the trend so a trend can be confirmed as a
downtrend only when the price has made at least two swings on the down side that is two impulse move and two corrective moves should be there now
after plotting all those lower high points we can draw a trend line connecting all the swing highs or the lower highs that we have floated the trend line so formed acts as an area of
resistance from which we can trade the impulse move to the downside or simply we can place a sell order when the price reaches the trend line as in the
previous case if we plot the lower losss and then draw a line connecting all these lower lows we will get a trend channel line which will act as a support
for the the future prices and it is from this trend channel line that we can place buy orders to trade the corrective move so by now you might have the
realization that the corrective moves are weak moves opposite to the existing Trend while the impulse move happens in the direction of the trend and is
generally a series of stronger candles this is the reason why we should trade the impulse move during trending market so that the probability of profit is
high this is the reason why trend is your friend as we move on it is very important to understand when a trend
will end and when the consolidation will start this can be identified by the use of Swing transition during an uptrend
whenever the price breaks the higher low for the first time then it is an indication that there is a transition in the uptrend
similarly when a price breaks the lower highs in a downtrend it indicates in the transition from downtrend to a sideways
Trend or even an uptrend the final type of trend is not actually a trend but it is a situation where there is no clear Trend in the market where the market
stays inside a range we have talked about ranging stages of the market as accumulation phase and distribution phase so the price movement between two
price levels is called as sideways Trends there are three types of sideways Trends number one is the range contraction number two is the range
expansion and the last one is the Triangular range let's talk about range contraction first during range contraction the levels shrink and the
price action becomes almost neutral or flat this shows the lack of any interest between buyers and sellers the volatility in the market also drops so
range contraction happens when there is a shortening of the price bars or simply the Candlestick sizes reduces the high
and low range or levels get narrower or closer to each other and this is a strong indication that a trend reversal is coming soon that is if there was a
prior downtrend now the trend might change to an uptrend but it is just an indication it is not for sure during a
range expansion as the name suggest the levels will expand and the price action starts becoming visible so range expansion is associated with lengthening
of the price bar or the size of the candlesticks becomes larger and the high and low range or the levels gets wider so range expansion usually indicates a
continuation in the price pattern that is if there was a prior uptrend it is an indication that the uptrend might continue in the future but it is not for
sure now the final type of sideways trend is the Triangular range where the price shrinks or expand not between two fixed horizontal levels but rather an
expanding or converging level this is a topic which needs broader discussion so we'll talk about triangle patterns and how to trade them further forward in
this course even though the trend lines do a good job of showing overall Market Direction one issue with trend line is that they often need to be redrawn for
example during an uptrend the price may fall below the trend line but this does not necessarily mean that the trend is over or there is a break down the price
may move below the trend line and then continue Rising so in such an event we have to adapt ourselves and the trend line needs to be redrawn
to reflect the new price action drawing the trend lines is easy but there can be errors in drawing the trend line so that is why just using
trend lines exclusively to determine the trend is not really advised because most professional Traders also tend to look at other indicators like moving averages
or average directional index to confirm the market trend because the more the confirmations the better the analysis so it's finally time for the
most important part of the video that is identifying the strength of a trend so generally Trends can be categorized into two types depending on the strength that
is there can be a strong Trend or there can be a dull or weak Trend the main parameters to keep in mind while categorizing the trends based on their strength
includes a few parameters number one is at least two or more swings has to be there or there should be two or more
points of contact in the trend line then only a trend is considered to be valid number two is the slope so the slope of
a trend indicates how much the price should move each day so steeper the slope the better the trend the slope is simply the angle between the critical
price level during a consolidation and the trend line so if it was an accumulation phase and the price breaks out to an uptrend if we take the angle
between the trend line and the top price level of the accumulation phase then we can easily find out the slope of the trend so if the trend is too flat
strength is considered to be weak or dull the third parameter is the time of the trend it is actually about the time required to form a trend if the trend
took months to form then it is considered to be more stronger than a trend which took just weeks or days to form so more the time a trend takes to
form the more stronger it is we can also categorize the trend based on the duration like it could be a short-term Trend an intermediate Trend or a
long-term Trend the longer the trend Remains the stronger it is so these are a few param to identify the strength or
the weightage of a particular
[Music] Trend in this video you will learn how to rate Candlestick patterns like a
professional Trader this is even if you have no experience beforehand and here's the good thing I will explain a simple method to read the Candlestick patterns
without memorizing a single pattern that's right you don't need to by heart any of these patterns so let's get started candlesticks are a way to show
the market prices of a security on your chart it's not the only way to represent it we have other ways of plotting them like bar chart line chart Etc but the
candlesticks are one of the more popular approaches the Candlestick usually consist of two parts a real body and
shadows or Wick also when you're are dealing with candlesticks you must be aware that there is a four price point for every candle on the chart these
price points are the opening price the high price the low price and the closing price for the same period or simply we call them as o
hlc the real body of the Candlestick shows the open and close price prices while the Shadows on the top and the bottom of the body shows the high and
low prices for that particular period the Shadows looks like Wicks and hence they are called as candlesticks the upper wig signifies the
high of the period and the lower wig signifies the low of the period the high is the highest price point of the candle at a particular time and the low is the
lower price point of the candle at a particular time depending upon the time frame you're trading on candlesticks generally have two popular colors green
and red sometimes it might be white and black depending on the settings that you use but most commonly it's green and red and a very important feature is that for
green and red bars or candles their opening and closing prices are at different locations the color of the body of the candlesticks determines if the
Candlestick is is showing a bullish or bearish Price movement that is if the opening price is less than the closing price then the
body of the Candlestick is green or white similarly if the opening price is more than the closing price then the
body of the Candlestick is red or black the longer the real body the more bullish or bearish the candle is there are so many Candlestick patterns out there
ranging from engulfing candlesticks shooting stars hammers spinning tops dois Etc to name a very few so if you were to learn all these patterns it
would seem very hard and confusing but don't worry because we have got an easier way to understand what each Candlestick means and identify the
strength or priority of each of them to learn this Method All you have to understand is just two little things number one is the open high low close or
the ohlc of the candles and number two is to figure out who is more dominant in the market whether it is the Bulls or the beers or simply the buyers or the
sellers at a particular time period let's start our discussion on the first category of candlesticks these candlesticks are called as mosus let's
look at the first type since the candle is a green one it is a bullish candle it has a big real body but has has no Wicks or Shadows on either the upper or the
lower end so we know that the longer the real body the more bullish the candle is the ohlc of the candle is as follows since it is a bullish candle the buyers
are under control so the closing price is greater or higher than the opening price since there are no weeks on either side the high and low prices coincides
with the close and open prices respectively as a rule of thumb the wick of a candle indicates price rejection or opposition by the opposite party in case
of a bullish marabu the open and low prices coincides and similarly the high and close price coincides which means that there is no selling pressure from
the Bears that brings us to the conclusion that bullish marusos are the strongest bullish candles we can find on a chart but we have to be flexible with
patterns that is we have to first quantify and verify because in the market the patterns generally don't occur exclusively the same way as it is
mentioned in those textbooks so let's look at this green Candlestick pattern where the price has closed higher for the period it has opened lower and closed higher which means it is a
bullish Candlestick and there is a small lower Wick and a small upper Wick but the high and low prices are so close to the open and close prices which means there is a very weak big selling
pressure from the Bears so in real market conditions we can actually consider these scandles as bullish maros because even though there was a slight selling pressure it is still a strong
bullish candle now moving on to bearish marabu which is similar to the bullish maribus but this pattern is a strongest bearish pattern for a bearish candle the
open prices are higher than the closing prices this is because the sellers are willing to sell at all the available prices a bearish marabu also indicates that there is so much selling pressure
in the that the participants actually sold at every price point during the day so much so that the stock close near the low point of the day in case of a
bearish marabu the high price and the open price coincides while the low and closing prices coincides the candle has a big rail body with no wick on either
end indicating a strong selling and a complete lack of buying or opposition from the Bulls as mentioned earlier we can be a little bit flexible when
trading in real markets now let's look at the second category of candlesticks the pin bars the first category of pin bars are the Hammers and hanging man
talking about hammers a pin bar is said to be a hammer when it appears at the bottom of a downtrend the hammer consist of a small real body at the upper end of
the trading range with a long lower Shadow the longer the lower Shadow the more bullish the pattern is generally the prior trend for a hammer should be a
downtrend as mentioned we should visualize the hammer pattern in the following manner the market is in a downtrend so bearers are in absolute
control over the markets when a hammer forms the price goes even lower and it forms a new low price the price action of hammer formation indicates that the
Bulls attempted to break the prices from falling further down which simply means that the Bayers tried to bring the market lower but they did not succeed in
their attempt to do so because the Bulls generated a lot of buying pressure so much so that the price closed near the open of the candle this action by the bulls has a potential to change the
sentiment in the stock so we can say that hammer is a reversal pattern and a Hammer pattern could indicate a bullish reversal in the market now moving on to
the hanging man a pin bar is said to be a hanging man when it appears at the top of a trend similar to the Hammer pattern the hanging man is also a reversal
pattern except the fact that it is a bearish reversal pattern a hanging man signals the market High here's how you should visualize the hanging man pattern
the market is in an uptrend hence the Bulls are in absolute control over the market a hanging man at the top of the trend indicates that the Bayers have managed to make an entry this is
emphasized by the long lower shadow of the hanging man which signifies that bears have tried to break the stronghold of the Bulls because the Bulls tried to push the prices higher but the bearers
managed to bring in so much selling pressure that the price closed closer to the open price creating a small real body and there is a high probability
that the Market Trend would reverse and the hanging man pattern is a good indication that bearish sentiment is about to Prevail in the market and it is
a good time to short the stocks now the second category of pin bars goes by the name of shooting stars or inverted hammers depending on where it is formed
on the chart talking about an inverted Hammer generally occurs at the end of a downtrend this is the weakest bullish candle that you can find in the market we can see that the the range of the
candle or the real body is very small also the open and closing prices are close to each other the long Wick suggest that the Bulls tried to take the
price higher but there was a big selling pressure by the Bears so it indicates that the weak buyers are in control of the market and there can be a shift in
the sentiment so we can say that even though a green candle was formed the sellers are actually in control of the market Market the inverted Hammer is
generally accepted as a price reversal Candlestick pattern just like the hammer where the trend shifts from a downtrend to an uptrend but if you were to ask me which signal would you trade the hammer
or the inverted Hammer I would definitely go for the hammer pattern because the hammer pattern gives a much stronger indication of a trend reversal than an inverted Hammer pattern this is
also due to the difference in selling pressures in both these cases now moving on a pin bar is said to be a shooting star when it occurs at the end of an
uptrend indicating a price reversal similar to an inverted hammer it also has a real body with the open and close prices close to one another it also has
a large wick on the upside indicating that the Bulls tried to bring the price up but they were overpowered by the bearers who push the price below the
open price so the shooting star is a strong bearish pattern it is stronger than the hanging man pattern that is formed in the uptrend this is because the sellers were more in control when
the shooting star was formed rather than during a hanging man pattern now let's move to the third category of candlesticks we can clearly see that the candles have a small real body a small
real body indicates the open and close prices are quite close as we have discussed so far the upper and the lower Shadows are almost equal in length since
the open and close prices are close to one another the color of the candle doesn't really matter now talking about the upper Shadow the presence of the upper Shadow tells us that the Bulls did
make an attempt to take the market higher however they were not successful in their attempt if Bulls were truly successful then the real body would have been a long green candle as seen before
in case of maribus hence this can be treated as an attempt by Bulls to take the market higher but they were not successful at it similarly the Press of
lower Shadow tells us that the Bayers did attempt to take the market lower however they were not successful in their effort if they were really successful then the real body would have
been a long red candle as in case of a bearish marabu hence the Bay's attempt to take the market lower can also be treated as an attempt which was not
successful so here neither the Bulls nor the Bears could establish an influence or a superiority in the market which is evident from the small real bodying what
this means is that there is an indecision between bulls and bears they are not able to clearly influence the market Direction so this type of
candlesticks is called as spinning tops which are actually indecision candlesticks now let us consider two situations where spinning tops can be
formed and let us discuss what the outcomes are now what if the spinning tops were to occur in a downtrend so during a downtrend the Bayers are in
absolute control as they are able to take the prices lower a spinning top in the downtrend indicates that the Bayers could be consolidating their position
before resuming the trend it can also be seen as an attempt by the Bulls to arrest any further price fall but are they really successful because if the Bulls were to be really successful it
would have resulted in a strong bullish candle rather than a spinning top so clearly there are two foreseeable situations or outcomes with equal probability in this case number one
either there will be another round of selling and the market will continue with its flow or number two the markets could reverse its directions and the prices would increase as a Trader you
need to be prepared for both the situations that is for either a reversal or a continuation an obvious situation persist in the uptrend also now lastly
let's talk about the dois so does are similar to spinning tops except that it does not have a real body this means the open and closing prices are equal so DOI
is an important Candlestick pattern as it provides very crucial informations regarding the market sentiment by a textbook definition dogee suggest that the open price should be equal to the
close price which indicates that the real body does not exist the upper and the lower wigs can be of any length and the color of the candle does not really matter because the prices are are very
close to each other the dois have similar implications as spinning tops as we have discussed just now so whatever we have learned from spinning tops
applies to dois as well so doy also conveys indecision in the market meaning that the bulls and bears are confused whether to take a trade both dois and
spinning tops ask the trader to remain cautious in the market there are a lot of other candlesticks but those mentioned so far is enough to understand
the idea of similar candlesticks that forms in the chart now let us arrange the candlesticks from strongest to the weakest so first of all we'll consider
the bullish candles and arrange them in the order of their strength [Music] moving on let us arrange the bearish
candlesticks in the order of their strength from strongest to [Music] weakest a gentle reminder at the end of the video would be not to trade these
candlesticks in isolation because more the confirmations the better the key thing that I'm trying to bring across is that you understand what each individual
Candlestick pattern mean and afterwards you can use these tools and techniques that you have learned and make it a part of your trading plan when you consider different elements of price action which
we are going to learn in the upcoming episodes of this training
[Music] the support and resistance are one of the key factors that distinguish between
your success and failure in trading starting off the support and resistance are specific price points on a chart which is expected to attract maximum
amount of either buying or selling the support price is a price at which one expect more number of buyers than sellers likewise the resistance is a
price at which one expect more sellers than buyers so as the name suggest the resistance is something that stops the price from pricing further this is a
textbook definition that you can find in any standard trading book Let's dig deeper into this topic let us understand why some price points behave in this
particular manner we have talked about the fact that stock market runs on demand and supply this very concept is what causes some price levels to behave
as a barrier or some as a booster for the prices take an example of a stock trading at 125 rupees let us say that an
institution thinks that the stock will do good in the upcoming quarters but the fair price is 100 rupees and not 125 rupees in order to achieve the fair
price they take the market down to 100 rupees where they slowly steadily build their positions the price seems to respect the price level of 100 rupees
this level where the demand for the stock is met and from where the prices will start to rise is called as the support level the support level can also
be seen as a price level which holds the prices from falling further down it is also an area where the big buyers will buy the stock due to a large number of
buy orders at the support level and the lack of sellers to match all the orders the price starts rising from the support level a price level is set to be a
support level when it is below the current market price now moving on with the same example the price rallied from 100 rupees to 200 rupees in a matter of
months this is when the institution thinks of squaring of their position or selling the stock to make a profit they do this by placing a large number of
small sell orders so that the supply meets the demand or in other words they ensure that there are enough buy orders at the same price at which they want to
sell so that the profits are not reduced this particular price level will look like it is stopping the prices from moving further up so this level is known
as the resistance level the number of sell orders in this price level is higher than the number of buy orders or the supply is higher than the demand due
to which the prices start to fall from this level a price level is set to be a resistance level when it is above the current market price as a Trader working
in any time frame it is important to figure out the critical levels where there was some price action by identifying the important price levels you can make more successful trades
using the price action technique let us learn how to draw supports and resistance in our chart by a simple four-step process in short these four
steps are loading the data points and zooming out identifying the obvious price action zones aligning the zones
and fitting a horizontal line now we can take a look at each of them step one is to load the data points and zoom out after selecting your preferred time
period for the trades you want to zoom zoom out your charts this is because we want to see the bigger picture once you can see the big picture it is much more obvious to your rise which key levels
should you be paying attention to so if your objective is to identify the shortterm support and resistance for intraday trading then you must load at
least 3 to 6 months of data points and if you want to identify the long-term support and resistance for swing or positional trades load at least 12 to 18
months of data points so when you load more number of data points the chart looks more compressed moving on to the second step we have to identify the
obvious price action zones a price action Zone can be described as sticky points on this chart this is because the level sticks out or is easily visible to
your naked I so if the level sticks out the level matters or it is a level of importance but if you are doubting your eyes and asking if it is a level or not then it's
better to ignore it because it is not an important level just to give you better Clarity you can identify a critical level when the price has displayed at
least one of the following behaviors that is number one the price hesitates to move up further after a brief up move and number two the price hesitates to
move down further after a brief down move and finally number three when sharp reversals occurs at a particular price point these are some of the ways you can
figure out the price action zones now moving on to step number three aligning the price action zones now when you look at a 12 to 18 month chart it is very
common to spot many price action zones by the method that we have just discussed but we don't have to track down all these price levels the trick is to identify at least three price action
zones at the same price level but a critical point to note while identifying these price action zones is to make sure that these price zones are well spaced
in time meaning there should be a good time difference between the two levels sported the more the distance between the two price action zones the more powerful the support resistance
identification or we can say the support or resistance is a major price level now after identifying an align in your price action zones we move on to the step
number four that is fitting a horizontal line connect the price action zones that we have identified with the horizontal line after Drawing the Line you have to
adjust your level to get the maximum number of touches the more touches the better because the more number of touches the stronger the price level
will act as a major support or resistance so how do you tell that you have drawn a support or you have drawn resistance as we have discussed if the
market price stays above the level that we have drawn it acts as a support similarly if the market price is below
the level that we have drawn then it will act as a resistance here's an important mistake that most Traders make while plotting the support resistance
levels the approximation risk generally when identifying the support resistance you r into approximation risk the thing to understand is that the market will
not respect just a single price level but rather a group of corresponding price levels or an area of prices so hence we have to give a room for error
which means that the price level should be depicted in a range and not just as a single price point which simply means that rather than drawing a single line
to plot the support resistance we should represent it as a zone or an area where there is a price action happening so this is a very important idea to
remember when you are placing the targets and stop- losses while trading the support resistance levels especially if you are keeping stop losses with respect to a single support or
resistance line you might end up hitting your stop losses often let us talk briefly about how reliable the support resistance are the
support and resistance lines are only indicative of possible price reversals that is by no means we can be certain that a reversal is going to happen which
implies that the support and resistance alone are not the Holy Grail to success in price action trading rather a few optimization techniques will help us
identify high quality trades remember the fact that when you see quality the quantity will always be compromised but this compromis is worth taking the idea
is to identify quality trading signals as opposed to identifying plenty of worthless trades and ending up bursting your pockets this leads to an important
idea so what if we have a checklist or a framework for every trade that we consider the checklist would act as a guiding principle before we initiate the
trade the trade should comply with the conditions specified in the checklist if it does we take the trade else we drop it and look for another trade opportunity that
complies with the checklist not only that we should not make a habit of just trading with a single confirmation that is if the price reaches a support or resistance we should not jump into the
conclusion that the price would reverse the direction and we should enter the trade does not work like that instead what we should do is that we should look for confirmations in the previous
episode we have talked about price action candles which are very important it is generally a very good idea to use some of these price action candles along with the supports and resistance to
actually make a trading system that is a Confluence trading system which is much more efficient than using a single indication or a single confirmation so make your own system and create a
checklist because the checklist has another Advantage it helps you to be disciplined because discipline as they say makes up 80% of the Traders success
so in my opinion the checklist forces you to be disciplined it will also help you to avoid taking an Abrupt and Reckless trading decision so we will
continue this discussion on support resistance in the upcoming episodes because it is an extensive topic requiring a deeper understanding I will
in the previous episode we have discussed the basic stuff regarding supports and resistances in this video we will go a step further seeking the
depths of support and resistance levels we will talk about how to identify if a level will break or not how to approach our trades using supports and
resistances that is if we should trade a breakout or should we trade a reversal and finally we will learn to find trades that other Traders fail to notice let's get started right away without wasting
any time the first and foremost question is how to identify when a support or resistance will break to get started
when you see a series of higher lows into a resistance you want to avoid selling at the resistance the reason is very simple let me give you an example let's say you have a huge hammer in your
hands and it's really powerful and right in front of you there is a brick wall now you take the hammer and smash against the wall many times over and
over again now let me ask you will the brick wall hold or is it likely to break well Common Sense tell you that the brick wall is likely to break and this is exactly the same concept when a
resistance level is tested multiple times within a short period of time the chances are the resistance will break now I'm not 100% sure that it is going
to break because no one can be 100% sure in trading but the odds of resistance breaking are high and likewise when you see a series of lower highs into the
support the chances are the support level is going to break this is because the prices hit the support level multiple times in a short duration of
time we will expand this idea further in this video when we will talk about breakout rades moving on to the most important question how to find the best
support and resistance areas to trade we can approach this question with two trade ideas the breakouts or the reversals we will understand when one
should take a breakout trade and when to take a reversal trade now let's start with the idea of trading reversals the most important question associated with
this type of reversal trade is how do you know that a particular level is likely to hold only if the support or resistance level holds can you enter a
reversal trade otherwise you will end up in the wrong side of the trade and you will incur losses in order to trade reversals I want to share with you a few tips to bear in mind the first and
foremost thing is that you want to see a power move or a momentum move or a strong move into the market structure now what this means is that if you have
drawn a area of support or resistance you want to see a strong move into the level by strong move I mean big or large bodied candles which in turn means that
for an area of resistance you want to see a strong bullish candle coming into the area of resistance and in case of a support level you want to see a strong
bearish candle coming into the support now this is what I mean by a power move or a momentum move I know this sounds counterintuitive as to why one should trade a reversal when there is a strong
momentum move so you can ask ask me why do you want to sell when there is such a strong bullish momentum into the resistance and also why do you want to buy when there is such a strong bearish
momentum into the support level right now don't worry because as we move on we will find clarity as to why I'm talking about this now the second tip that I
have to give you is that you want to see a strong price rejection at the area of value that is the area of support or resistance you want to see a strong price price rejection the price
rejection can be in form of a pin bar the pin bar may be a shooting star or a hammer Etc the idea is to see a long Wick where the price gets rejected from
the particular level that we are considering let's say this in case of resistance a big bullish candle comes into the resistance and suddenly it gets
rejected and the stronger the rejection the better and that is exactly what you want to see let's take our discussion a little deeper and and understand it
closely initially I have told that you need to see a strong momentum move or power move into the area of support or resistance let me explain why you want
to see large bodied candles into an area of support or resistance now let's say when you look at a resistance and when you have a strong move coming to the
resistance level at this point ask yourself what exactly a resistance is so in the previous video we told that resistance is a price level which stops
the price from moving up or simply it is a level where the supply is high now also think about the fact that where exactly will you face an opposing
pressure or simply where do you think will the buyers come in so that they could buy at good prices so if you think about a good price that the buyers would
come in and if you look at the chart the chances are that buyers would always love to buy at an area of support so it is obvious from the market structure
that the buyers would wait for the price to retest or reverse to the particular support level so that they can buy or they can go long further the price
rejection at the resistance indicates that the buyers are not willing to buy at higher prices and this is exactly the best place to initiate a short trade the
other reason being the only place where you have to be afraid of the buyers coming back into the market is the support level the advantage of taking a short trade at the resistance is that
you can leverage the difference between the support and resistance level so as to obtain a higher reward to risk ratio however on the downside if you don't get
a strong move or a momentum move into the particular level instead what you get is a choppy move with a lot of swings like this then it is not a good
idea to short on the resistance we can ask the same question here also where will the opposing pressure come in that is where will the buyers come in so as to get a good buying price well this
time around the bias could potentially be at these swing lows what this means to a Trader who is looking to short at the resistance is that as the price
approaches to these swing low levels you will be facing opposing pressure that could turn the tide against you and you would not get a good reward to risk trade that is exactly why you don't want
to go short when there is a type of stair stepping price action or a swing price action into your levels the reason being all these swing low levels are opposing pressures where the buyers
could potentially come in and push the price against your trade now another reason why you want to see large candles or larger momentum candles into a
particular level is a very simple idea often when there is a strong price move for example there is a strong bullish move into a resistance level most Traders just look to buy the breakouts
I'm pretty sure that you have done it yourselves right so when there is a strong mov up you might be thinking let's buy the breakout the market is rallying and it will continue to Rally
so the simple decision at that point of time is to buy now this is where the twist in the plot comes where will you put your stop- loss now because you are taking a breakout trade it is pretty
obvious that you will put your stop loss under the resistance or maybe in the middle of the range or somewhere in that close vicinity what is the importance of
this now what this means is that if the breakout fails it is going to hit all these clusters of stop-loss orders that is placed under the resistance and what
exactly are these clusters of stop-loss orders that are waiting under the resistance level they are simply orders to exit the market or Square of the positions which were kept by those
breakout traders who went long on the stock this in turn means that these are actually sell stoploss orders which will induce further selling pressure in the
market now more stronger the bullish move is into the market structure more breakout Traders will enter the trade and there is more buying and more buying in turn means more selling stop-loss
order behind the resistance and if there happens to be a price reversal or if the price reverses towards the downside it will hit all the sell stop-loss orders of these breakout Traders and another
key thing to remember is that the longer the price is away from the particular level the better the trade is and why is it so the thing is the longer the price is away from a particular level the more
it would attract the attention from higher time frame Traders for example if a price has not retested to rupees 150 level on a daily time frame for let's
say 3 months or 6 months or even one year then you can be sure that this particular level can be seen on the weekly time frame or even the monthly time frame and because of this reason it
will attract more Traders from the higher time frame to pay attention to these particular levels and that is why you get a strong price rejection or a
reversal at a level which has not been tested for a long period of time all right now let's learn to identify breakout trades most newbie Traders
trade more breakout than reversals when they see a strong move they think that the market is going out to the space and they jump into buying the breakouts in The Next Movement there is a price
rejection and there is a strong reversal in the opposite direction and all these Traders get caught on the wrong side of the trade which in turn results in hitting their stop losses which forces
the price to go even lower now when do you trade breakouts at supports and resistance this concept is actually pretty much the opposite of what we have just learned earlier in case of
reversals so you know that price is likely to at a support or a resistance when you have a strong power move or a strong momentum move into a market
structure with a price rejection when you're looking at it from a breakout standpoint you don't want to see a strong momentum move into the market in this case what you want to look for is a
price action that we have discussed right at the beginning of this video we have to look for higher lows into a resistance which somewhat look like an ascending triangle or we should look for
lower highs into the support which somewhat looks like a descending triangle or even a third type where there is a price buildup which is supported by a moving average now let me
cover each one of them starting off higher lows into a resistance looks something like this and you can see the price looks somewhat like an ascending triangle pattern this is significant
because it's telling me that the buyers are willing to buy it higher prices and the sellers are not interested or they are weaker the ascending triangle pattern tells me that the sellers in
terms of their strength are getting weaker or they are getting feeble the thing is that the first time the sellers managed to push down the price by a good margin and in the consecutive times it
got weaker and weaker and this is a sign of bullish strength that the market could possibly break out higher now at this instance you don't want to be shorting at the resistance because
number one you don't have a momentum move into the resistance structure and number two if you were to go short into the resistance there are swing levels which have been formed where the buyers
could potentially come in and result is that you will hit your stop- loss now similarly let's look at lower highs into the supports which are the same thing and it tells me that the sellers are in
control and they are willing to sell even at lower prices on top of it from a price action standpoint it is telling you that the buyers are also getting weaker because this is a condition where
the buyers barely pushed the price higher and the subsequent times it only moved smaller and smaller they were not able to push it any higher similar to the previous case you should not be
going long in this case as the sellers are the dominant force and there is a higher probability that the market will break down and in case if you go long there are swing levels which were formed
during the ascending triangle formation where there's a possibility that the buyers can come in which will in turn result in hitting your stop loss now you see the price action is quite
interesting right where one side is getting stronger and stronger while the other side is getting weaker and weaker now let's discuss the third type where a buildup is supported by a moving average
in this case the price could just come to a key support or resistance level and it just consolidates there now if you bring up the moving average like a 20 period or 50 period moving average
you'll notice that the moving average supports the price and vice versa pretty nicely it's like the Market is really respecting the moving average and it is getting ready to break out so if you
find a buildup or a slight consolidation when the price reaches the support or resistance it is always an indication that the price is about to break down or
break out now let's hop onto the final question how to find support resistance trading opportunity that most Traders fail to notice now it's very simple if
you are a Trader who Enders at a daily time frame then then you have to go to a higher time frame like a weekly time frame and then you have to look for buildup or a tight consolidation this is
because when a higher time frame is forming a tight consolidation there are chances that you will be able to find support resistance trading opportunities on a lower time frame like a daily time
frame in this case now taking another example if your trading time frame is a 1 hour time frame you should spot a tight consolidation on a higher time frame which in this case could be a
daily time frame and if you are able to find a tight consolidation in your daily time frame then it is likely that you will find a support and resistance trading opportunity in the lower time
frame which is a 1H hour time frame this is a pretty good technique that you can use to find support and resistance trading opportunities in the market you can also use it for even shorter time
frames like 15 minutes or even 10 minutes time frames the only thing to keep in mind is to appropriately select a higher time frame and find a tight consolidation in the higher time frame
so that you can find the support and resistance trading opportunity in the lower time frame this price action course will not be complete if I don't talk about the
market volumes throughout this course our Focus was strictly on prices for the success of price action in Market volume plays a very pivotal role be it the
identification of Trends or patterns be it finding out the breakouts and false breakouts be it the entry or exit from the trade volume is a necessity as you
may know volume is a leading indicator which means that it precedes the prices or simply before something happens in the price the volume will show the changes beforehand so our duty as a
Trader is to find the relation ship between the price and volume so as to get an edge over the market or even to predict the market moves beforehand so let's hope in right away without wasting
any time basically volumes indicate how many shares are bought and sold over a given period of time so the more active the share the higher would be its War
for example you decide to buy 100 shares of tataa Motors at rupees 485 at the same time I decided to sell 100 shares of tataa Motors at 485 or it can be
different people who want to sell a smaller quantity at the same price that is $485 which are accumulated together to give you 100 shares that is let's say one of them has 50 shares the other one
has 30 shares and the third person has 20 shares to sell at the same price of rupees 485 which will be matched with the buyer so basically there is a price
and quantity match which results in a trade this means that you and I have together created a volume of 100 shares or you and the other three sellers which
we have talked about created a volume of 100 shares because if you notice overall 100 shares were transferred from the seller to the buyer now many people tend
to assume the volume and count it as 200 because 100 were bought and 100 were sold but this is not the right way to look at volumes because only 100 shares transferred hands from one person to the
other with that being said the volume information on its own is quite useless for example we know from the nsse website that volumes on Reliance India
for this particular day is 16700 shares so tell me how useful is this information when read in isolation so if you think about it it has no merit when
used individually and hence it would actually mean nothing for our analysis however when you associate today's volume information with the preceding Trend in the price and the preceding
Trend in the volumes then the volume information becomes more meaningful now I will show you a table that consist of four price to volume relations for different conditions and the related
outcome that is expected under such conditions now before going ahead don't fall into the conclusion that if you understand the relations provided here you can trade right away it doesn't work
like that in order to use this idea and market conditions you should have a fair idea about the market structure and the participants the Market of which you need to understand how the big players
or institutions work and number two you need to have a good understanding of the candlesticks and their relevance at different price areas if you know these two things spot on then this will just
be a walk in the park for those who don't have an idea I recommend you to watch these two videos beforehand that we have already discussed earlier in our course before we understand the price
volume Trend table in detail think about this SC when we are talking about an increase in the volume what does this actually mean to a Trader what is the
reference point or what is the metric to say if the volume is high or the volume is low should it be an increase over the previous day volume or the previous
week's aggregate volume what is the reference point as a practice Traders usually compare today's volume over the average of either last 3 days or last 5
days or last 10 days or even last 20 days volume depending on the type of Trader they are and what exactly is their time frame for analysis generally
the rule of thumb is that higher the time frame and higher the number of volume bars or data taken to calculate the volume the more reliable the analysis is for the sake of this video
let me consider the volumes from a swing Traders perspective that is a 1 day time frame and 10 days of volume data for the average volume measurement after the
average volume measurement is done we can use it for the comparison of today's volume now today's volume is set to be the average volume if it is equal to the
last 10 days average volume now if today's volume is set to be higher volume or is said to be an increasing volume then it is greater than the last
10 days average volume and finally if today's volume is said to be a low volume or a decreasing volume then it is less stand the last 10 days average
volume in order to get the last 10 days average all you need to draw is a moving average line on the volume bars and the job is done this feature is available on
most charting platforms for free so you don't have to calculate it by yourself every time as you can see in this chart the volume bars are represented as red
and green bars and is placed at the bottom of the price chart the blue line that is overlaid on the volume bars in indicate the 10day average volume as you
notice all the volume bars that are over and above the 10day average volume can be considered as increased volume now the question is what does increased volume necessarily mean and why is it
important well increasing volume means higher trading activity than usual which means more shares are being exchanged hand now who do you think will be
responsible for this can retail Traders by themselves contribute to such high volumes single single-handedly Common Sense tells you that it is not possible
and it's obvious that there is some institutional activity or large participation by some big players has taken place on the same note what does a
lower than average volume mean to a Trader it means that big institutions or big players are not interested in the particular stock at that period of time
and the major volume is contributed by the retail participants and speculators so the simple logic in stock market is to follow the big institutions if you
want to be successful we have discussed this in the market structure episode okay then let's look at the thought process behind the volume Trend table
when institutional investors buy or sell they do not transact in small chunks or small quantities for example think about LIC or Life Insurance Corporation of
India which is one of the biggest di or domestic Institutional Investor now if they were to buy the share of TCS would you think they would buy 500 shares or
th000 shares obviously not they would probably buy 5 lakh or even 50 lakh or even more shares so what happens if they were to buy 5 lakh shares from the open
market all in one go yes it would definitely start reflecting in the volumes and besides besides this because they are buying large chunk of shares
the share price also tends to go up now this is where I have to remind you that instit institutional money is referred to as smart money it is perceived that smart money always make wiser moves in
the market than most retail Traders so being smart or wise they would not just buy all at once rather they would accumulate the shares in small quantities over a period of days or
weeks or even months so as to get the descided price that they want to buy now most Traders have a misconception that when the volume is high the price will
also move up or down with larger candles depending on the color and size of the volume bars but this is a wrong way to understand the price volume relation the thing is that volume is the number of
shares that has traded hands which can also mean that the orders can also be at a single price point for example let's say there are 10,000 buy orders and
10,000 sell orders all at rupe 400 of a stock and let us say that the average volume of the stock is 8,000 for the last 10 days even though the 10,000
shares were exchange resulting in a higher than average volume for the particular day the price will not move up the simple reason being all the orders are placed at the same price that
is rupe 400 on the other hand if the price where to move up with a increase in volume then there should have been more buy orders at higher prices that is
buyers should be willing to buy at even higher prices and a similar case if the price were to go down then the the sellers should be willing to sell at even lower prices and it is at these
instances we can leverage an increase in the volume for our trade decisions and not otherwise the case is the same when the volume is low the low volume does not necessarily mean the price would not
do anything this just that the number of shares exchanged hands are a lower number but there is still a possibility of buying or selling interest where the
orders can be placed at higher or lower prices by the buyers or sellers respectively then there is a definite chance that the prices can do something
but on the downside the big players are not interested in this particular stock and it leads us to the conclusion that the price move was supported by retail Traders which is actually evident from
the lower volumes and hence following the smart money is the wisest idea that you can have as a Trader well then we shall discuss each of the four cases in
detail if both price and volume are increasing this only means one thing that a big player is showing interest in the stock now going by that assumption
the smart money always makes smart choices and the expectation of the market turns bullish the institution build their positions slowly and gradually but sometimes there won't be
enough liquidity at a price where they want to buy or simply there are not many sellers who want to sell at the price that the institution wants to buy what this does is that it will in turn push
the price higher keep in mind the fact that the quantity that these big players take for delivery is huge and therefore every rupee is worth LHS for them due to
this reason the institution starts to sell some quantity which will in turn bring the prices down to where they want to buy and because of this the Panic sellers would sell off the stock at the
former price that the institution want and this phase of position buildup will look similar to an accumulation or consolidation in the chart once the institution finishes placing all the
orders that is when the market actually starts to move higher and this is the time when the retail Traders actually start to notice that the market is starting to go higher and even they will
start to join the party by buying the stock which will push the price even higher so this is the reason why one should look for buying opportunities in the stock because the expectation turns
bullish when both the price and volume increases now whenever you decide to buy ensure that the volumes are substantial this means that you should be buying along
with the smart money also also you have to look for bullish Candlestick patterns like hammers or engulfing candles to confirm your trade entry you will find more details regarding this on my
Candlestick video now all is well if you are an intraday Trader but if you are a swing Trader or an investor you will have to keep an eye on a third parameter which is either the delivery volume or
the delivery percentage now delivery volume is the volume of the stock delivered to actual buyer out of the total traded volume or in simple terms
the shares which were taken as delivery for the particular day an year ago we need to go through both these parameters because the delivery volume would also
include the btst trade that is buy today sell tomorrow trades which will not give the correct picture so we also had to keep an eye on the delivery percentage
but now since the BTS trades are stopped we can consider any one of them you will get the delivery volume details on the nsse website I will put a link to it in the description box now the importance
of delivery volume is that it gives you the real picture of the interest of big players or big institutions if the big institutions start buying they will take the shares for delivery if you can see a
rise in the delivery volume or delivery percentage for a few days you will understand that there is a real buying intent in the market also Al understand that even if the overall traded volume
is very high does not necessarily guarantee that the delivery volume will also be high or simply it does not straight away mean that there is an interest from the investors it can be
seen as a heavily traded Daye and nothing else moving on to the second case what do you think will happen when the price increases but the volume decreases think about the situation in
the following terms number one why is the price increasing simple answer answer because the market participants are buying easy right are there any institutional buyers associated with
this Rising price the simple answer is it is not necessary that there should be institutional buyers associated with the price rise now the critical question how would you know that there is no
meaningful purchase by the institution investors or the big players Now using the basic rule if they were buying then the volumes would have increased and not decreased in this case the price PR
increased but the volume has decreased now what does price increase associated with the decreasing volume indicate it means that the price is increasing because of small retail participation
and not really the influential buying by the big pryers hence what this price volume relation is telling you is to stay cautious in the market because it would be a potential bull track that is
if you have taken a long trade there are every chances that the market can reverse and go in the opposite Direction resulting in your loss so when it comes
to decreasing volume but with increasing prices we should be cautious and not to take any long-term trades because the market is run by the retailers and there
is no investor participation or investor interest in the stock going forward the third type is a decrease in price along with an increase in the volume this
particular relation between price and volume sets a bearish expectation in the market we will discuss why first question to ask yourself what does a price decrease indicate a price decrease
indicates that the market participants are selling the stock but on the positive note an increase in the volume indicates the presence of smart money or the big institutions now clubbing both
events together that is decrease in the price and increase in the volume it simply implies that the smart money is selling the stocks they do this gradually so that the market
participants won't Panic think about it what would have happened if they Place Large sell orders all at once it would definitely be shown in both volum and price that is the prices would drop and
the volumes would increase this will further induce panic in the retailers who will further start selling and because of this extensive selling the prices would even drop further and the
institutions will not be able to sell at the desired price that they want and this would directly affect their profits really badly being smart they would sell the shares in small quantities slowly
and gradually and generate the ample liquidity to sell at the descided price that they want now going by the assumption that smart money always makes smart choices the expectation in the
market is bearish and we should look for selling opportunities in the stock now whenever you decide to sell Ensure that the volumes are good this also means that you should be selling with the
smart money and also use bearish Candlestick patterns for your trade entry and confirmation if you are a swing Trader or an investor it is a good practice to look at the delivery volume
or delivery percentage which in this case would be decreasing since the investors are selling their shares now an increase in the volume does not necessarily mean an increase in delivery
volumes moving forward to the final case where both the volume and price decreases ask the questions number one why is the price decreasing simply because the market participants are
selling question number number two are there institutional sellers associated with this price decrease simple answer we can't be sure about it now the most critical question how do you know that
there was no meaningful sell orders by the institutional investors straightforward answer if they were selling then the volume would have increased but in this case the volume
decreased and what does a price decrease and a decreasing volume indicate it means that the retail participation is the reason for the decrease in prices and not really the influential seller so
this is a case where you have to be cautious if you are planning to sell the stock as it could lead to a possible be trap that means if you have shorted a
stock there is every possibility that the stock can reverse and go against your trade if you want to know more about analyzing delivery volume or delivery percentage for your trades do
let me know in the comments
[Music] now that we have finished with the fundamentals of price action from the
market structure to the volums we are all set to learn the different price action strategies that we can employ in the market under various market conditions the first one in the list is
obviously breakouts you may ask why breakouts it is just that breakout trading can be exciting the price quickly moves in your favor and makes it seems like you're riding a wave and at
the same time making a hell lot of money for you however that being said breakout trading is also quite painful for example you notice the price breaking above the resistance now the candles
formed are big and bullish and you instantly get the fear of missing out so you decide to go long and as soon as you enter the trade hoping to get a strong
move up the price does a 180° reversal and before you know it you bought the highs and now your stop- loss is here and if you have not placed a stoploss order you will see your account bleeding
I hope this has happened to at least some of you this brings us to a very critical question how do I filter for high probability breakout rates and know
which are the ones to avoid we have talked about the basic idea governing a breakout and a reversal in the sixth episode of this price action course I want you guys to watch that video first
because this video will be a continuation of where we left off in episode 6 and so in order to understand the concept completely watch that episode and then attend this video well
then a breakout occurs when the price moves Beyond a certain level not just any level but a level of importance or an area of value the area of value can
be anything from a resistance a support to a trend line or a moving average the very idea of breakout trading is entering the trades when the price
momentum is in your favor however no system in the stock market is perfect keeping this in mind let us first discuss the positives and shortcomings of a breakout trade I will explain its
pros and cons first of all let us talk about the pros of a breakout trades breakout trates comes with a limited risk which means that in many instances breakout trates present themselves
during the consolidating market faes so the initial stop losses that we place for our trades may be relative small according to the compression or the
price range used for the market entry so in addition a confirmation of a trade's failure may come very rapidly which offers an opportunity for a quick exit which simply means that if the trade
does not go in our favor the price will reverse immediately and hit our stop loss we don't have to wait a whole day for the trade to complete and also the risk to reward associated with breakout
trades is much better so that you can control your stop- loss accordingly the second Advantage is that the momentum is in your favor if a breakout trade is successful large gains are possible so
getting in on strong Trend early can be a profitable situation and the third Advantage is trade management which means that the market entry and exit are
predefined with the stop losses and profit targets being identified before the trade so that our only job is to place the stop losses and targets and
wait for either one of them to get hit now talking about the disadvantages number one is false breakouts so false breakouts are a considerable part of the
breakout approach of trading no matter how sound your methodology used in identifying the breakout is or how good your system is in quantifying the market
in many instances a signal may appear to be solid but it will end up lacking the intended participation or the increase participation from the market participants which is the most essential
thing for a break out trade to succeed the second disadvantage is associated with opportunity cost the optimal breakout setups don't occur frequently so searching for setups can often leave
a Trader on the sidelines instead of pursuing other opportunities in the market or simply the number of breakout trades are less or it is hard to combine before venturing into different breakout
trading techniques it is always better to understand how not to trade breakouts in the first place let us talk about inst instances when you should avoid trading breakouts first of all under no
instance you want to be trading breakout against a trend now trading against the trend is quite illogical for me as a Trader and you don't want to do this in the first place we have all heard the
famous saying a trend is your friend until it Bens so let's see why trading with the trend puts you in a much more favorable position than going against it
when you are moving with the trend or in the direction of the trend the moves that you get are pretty strong and it can last for longer period compared to someone who wants to trade against the
trend for example let's look at the bull traders who are going long in a bearish market look at these up moves or Corrections that are resulted from Trading against the trend so these are
up moves which are very sharp and very limited you can see that the strength of the Bulls is very weak compared to the beers from the size of the candles formed so if you are looking to trade
against the trend then you can see that that there is not really much of a strength in the move or the move is pretty weak which in turn means that the gains from these trades are pretty much limited because you are trading against
the trend likewise if you want to trade breakouts I would strongly discourage or in fact I will strongly advise you not to trade against the trend and let's say you are looking to trade the breakout
higher I would say the chances are this breakout isn't going to go very far because after all you are trading against the trend what is likely to happen in this situation is that even if
you get a breakout it would not trade any higher before it will collapse lower which will give you a false breakout at that point so you have to be beware of trading against the trend whether you
are trading breakouts pullback or whatever entry technique you are using trading against the trend is not usually the ideal situation for you as a Trader moving on you don't want to be trading a
breakout and the price is far from the market structure we have talked about the market structure in the second episode of this price action course the important thing that I have to tell you
is whatever Market you are looking be it bullish or bearish or whatever time frame be it swing time frame or intraday time frame the principles we are discussing are essentially the same and
it applies to all of the M whether it is a 4-Hour time frame a daily time frame a weekly time frame or hourly time frame they're all the same nevertheless what we are looking at right now is an
uptrend at this point in time you see that the price has traded a a point which is so high and some of those former Traders will look at this chart and decide to get long before the price
trades any higher without them so they enter long at a high price over there now what the problem with going long at this high price based on the example think about this where are you going to
put your stop loss or in other words where is the logical place for you to put a stop loss the possible answer is the previous resistance level with a possibility of of it becoming a support
if the price drops down the level is the one that you need to lean against to place your stop- loss and of course you don't want to be placing the stop- loss exactly at the level as well because the
price could just come into the level and bounce higher after hitting your stop- loss instantly so the chances are you need to put your stop loss somewhere below the resistance because in this
case the price has to move at least an equal distance as that of your stop loss so as to achieve at least a one is to one RIS rest reward as you can see having a large stop- loss give you a
poor rest reward so I would discourage you to trade breakouts when it is far away from the market structure because of the fact that you need to have a very
large stop loss and it gives you a very poor risk to reward as a result of it now that we have understood what not to do we are ready to learn the different techniques of breakout
trading there are two things to bear in mind when you have to identify a Hy probability breakout trade they are you want to trade with the trend or trade in
the direction of the trend and secondly you want to trade near a market structure or an area of value now let me explain each of them in detail let's
start with the trend trading breakout strategy SO trading with the trend is something which you should be familiar by now because earlier I discourage you from Trading against the trend and it
only makes sense to be trading with the trend Trend now here's the deal for an intraday Trader or a swing Trader let us say in a strong Trend the price tends to
stay above the 20 period moving average so if you are waiting for a pullback to the moving average or even a trend line then most often or not you will be disappointed as the market will continue
making new highs without you able to initiate a long trade the thing is that there is a time for trading pullbacks but it's definitely not when the market is in a strong trend we will discuss the
pullback trading systems in the upcoming episodes right now in this scenario you want to trade breakouts instead of pullbacks this type of breakout trading
strategy is called as the trend trading breakout strategy here you can either trade the break of the Swing high or swing low depending on the type of the
trend the market is in let's see how this works with an example let's say the market is in a strong uptrend and the market respects the 20 period moving
average the idea of this trade is to buy the breakouts above the swing high you can see that the price has Consolidated and broke higher the price looks like forming a flag pattern then you could
possibly trade higher from it in this case the trend is in your favor so the ideal thing is to trade the breakout in the direction of the trend here you will
increase the odds of the trades working out in your favor the exact entry for this trade would be the candle above the the breakout candle High the next thing
that you have to do exit when you're wrong this refers to your stop loss in other words you want to ask yourself at which point on the chart will I get out of the trade if the market moves against
me as a guideline your stop loss should be at a level where if reached will invalidate your trading setup which simply means that keep your stop- loss at a level which you think will
invalidate the breakout trade that you have taken so in this case set your stop loss one ATR below the swing low if you don't know about what ATR indicator is
watch this video on ATR indicator or else you can simply place the stop loss below the trend line or even below the 20 moving average for that sake now the second exit is when you're right on the
flip side what if the market moves in your favor how would you exit your trade it is simply about setting the targets my suggestion is to write the trend for all its worth which means there is a
good chance of the price heading even higher for an intraday Trader place your target as the next potential High Point or the swing High which is actually difficult to identify or it can even be
the nearest resistance level but for a swing Trader I would ask you to write the trend and exit the trade only if the price closes below the 20 moving average
or when the market breaks out of the structure by the structure I mean uptrend in this particular case that is when the market stop forming the higher
highs or higher lows is the time to exit the trade so you can place a similar entry and exits for a downtrend with proper modifications moving on to the
second strategy which is trading near the market structure or an area of value earlier we have discussed that when the price is very far away from the structure it doesn't really make much of
a sense because your stop loss is so large and you will get a very poor risk to reward but what if you're trading the break out when it is near the structure
in this example you can see an area of resistance resistance in a market as you may know is an area where there will be potential sellers coming in or where the
supply is higher than the demand now the price tested the area of resistance and the price break and closed about it this is a breakout of resistance which is slightly different from the breakout of
a swing high as we have discussed earlier because resistance is a much more respectable area in the chart so the probability of the trade success in this case is higher now if you are
looking to get long right now where is the logical place to put your stop loss the possible answer would be below the previous resistance on support you can put the stop loss somewhere below the
previous resistance so this is a much tighter stop- loss with a much tighter stop- loss it gives you a better risk to reward because the price does not have to move a lot in your favor to start
giving you the gains and why do you think you have a much tighter stop- loss it is because you're trading much closer to the market structure so compared to the earlier example where the structure
was too far away it does not really make any sense to make a trading in that scenario now identifying when to trade is as important as knowing how to trade
the breakout trade near a market structure can be classified into three types number one is breakouts with buildup number two is higher lows into
the resistance level and finally number three is the lower highs into the support level let's start with the first one that is breakouts with buildup now
buildup is basically a congestion or consolidation or a tight range near an area of value you can think of a buildup along these lines a lot of Traders will
look at the prices consolidating at the resistance these Traders go short at the resistance or somewhere in the middle of the range and they will place their stop- loss above the resistance that's
what they will do because at the resistance it makes sense to go short but think about this a little deeper if the price is consolidating at the resistance what does it really tell you
you know that resistance is an area where there are potential sellers who will come in and push the prices lower but in this example the price is consolidating at the area of resistance
so where are the sellers why aren they pushing the prices slower and why is that the reason why the sellers are not pushing down could be one of these two
things either there are no sellers out there who are interested in selling or there are equally strong buyers at the resistance no matter what the scenario whether it is number one there are no
sellers or number two there are equally strong buyers it does not look good for Traders who are looking to short either way and on top of that the clusters of stop losses above the resistance level
would create an incentive for the smart money or the big players to actually break out higher so that they can Leverage The stop losses to take the
market above the resistance so my point is that when you see a consolidation at a resistance basically a buildup just in front of the area of resistance this is
a sign of bullish strength in this scenario I'll be looking to go long and my trade entry is when the price trades above the breakout candle high and I
will put my stop losses below the resistance level that is below the low of the buildup or consolidation or you can even keep it around two times the
ATR value below the resistance now talking about the targets my target would be the next nearest structure in this case the next nearest resistance level now look through your charts look
through in the price approaching the support area and ask yourself what happens if there is a consolidation at the support area and what will you do come and down down below so buildup is a
core concept whenever we trade breakouts however there are variations of it for example when you see higher lows into resistance it is a sign of a strength or
weakness now think about it when you see higher lows into resistance what does it tell you it tells you that there is not enough selling pressure or the sellers
are weak it also tells you that there is strong buying pressure which supports the higher prices and the final thing to keep in consideration is that there are buy stoploss orders which are clustered
above the resistance which are kept by those sellers who went short at the resistance level and clearly this is a sign of bullish strength now you might be familiar with this chart pattern
called the ascending triangle pattern so if you spot such a pattern in the market condition it means that the market could break out higher right it's the exact same scenario here you should be looking
to go along in this case the entry should be above the breakout high and your stop loss should be slightly below the last higher low to the resistance
level and finally your target for the trade should be the next nearest resistance or it should be equal to the length between the first higher low
level and the resistance level projected above the resistance level now let us look at a situation of a breakdown this is the inverse of what you have learned
earlier so whenever you see lower highs into the support it tells you three things number one there is no buying pressure or the buyer RV number two
there is strong selling pressure pushing the price even lower and number three there are sell stop-loss orders clustered below the support level which are kept by the buyers who went long at
the support now clearly this is a sign of weakness in terms of buying and you might be familiar with this chart pattern called the descending triangle so if you spot a pattern in the market
it means that the market could break down lower in this case we should initiate a short trade below the breakdown candle low after the candle
closes below the support level just for confirmation the stop loss can be kept above the last lower high into the support or it can be two times the
average true range value above the support level and finally talking about the Targets in this case Target should be the next support level or it should be equal to the length between the first
lower high level and the support level projected below the support level moving on let us look at a highly profitable breakout trade scenario now here's the
thing the market is always changing it moves from a range to a trend from a trend to a range Etc the longer the market stays in a Range the harder it
breaks this is true but why is it true because the longer the market is in a Range the more orders are placed in the market let me explain the bullish Traders will put buy orders above the
resistance hoping to catch the breakouts similarly the bearish Traders will look to short the market at the resistance and they will have their stop- loss which is also a buy stop-loss order and
they place it above the resistance and as the time passes you'll get an overwhelming amount of buy stoploss orders above the resistance level and by some chance if the market manages to
break out of the resistance it will trigger all of these clusters of buy stop-loss orders which will fuel further buying pressure and in turn it will take
the market higher so if you want to identify explosive breakout trades with high profitability you have to pay close attention when the market is in a range
for a long period of time because the longer it is in a Range the harder it breaks and the more profitable you become in the previous episode we have
discussed about breakout trading in great detail breakout trading is one of the oldest trading Styles in the book you watch the price consolidate within a
range and then when the price breaks out of that range you bounce onto the trade and enjoy the benefits of a strong move and often when the price has been stuck
in a Range it will move out of that consolidation range r with some good momentum giving the Traders a good profit potential but and it's a big but
the breakout pattern has an evil twin which is actually a curse to all the breakout Traders and it's none other than the fake out if you have ever traded breakouts you'll recognize this
situation just when you think you have caught the big move the market turns against you and shakes out of your trade so how can we tell the difference between a breakout and a fake out now
there are a number of tools tools that Traders can use but the first thing I have to let you know is that there is no way you can avoid false breakouts completely there are certain times no
matter how good a setup you have you're still going to get caught in a false breakout but we can minimize the chances of getting caught in a false breakout you have got some price action methods
and some tips that you can make use to minimize your chances of getting a false breakout with that being said the first tip I have for you is to stop stop chasing the power moves or stop going
after the power moves into an area of value what are power moves I have talked about power moves in the episode 6 of this price action course and we talked
about reversals but let me talk about it briefly so as to brush up your memory if you see a big or strong momentum move with large candles this is what a power
move is now if the price moves up from a level with little or no pullback and then it goes up higher breaking an area or a level of value like a support or
resistance then my advice is not to chase the breakout of this type because more often or not the market tends to reverse under these conditions and why
am I so sure and why is it so let me give you a very simple explanation of why this actually occurs when you chase a market where the price is making a
strong move or a power move there is no floor or support to these higher prices now we if you look at the chart most of the time the price exhibits a specific
type of price aution where the prices goes up and then retraces or pulls back in this type of price action there are levels like swing lows to support these
higher prices what this means is that for example take the case of a resistance if the market were to reverse from the resistance it would find a floor or a support where potential
buying pressure could push the price higher these types of moves are more sustainable because there are a series of higher swing levels along the way to support these higher prices now what
happens when the market has given a power move into a level in this case let's talk about a resistance level it means that there are no intermediate swing levels to support these higher
prices or there is no obvious levels for the buyers to come in to oppose the sellers if they sell at the resistance now the only possible area for buying is
the previous support level and so there will be a lot of sellers waiting at the resistance to sell and also there will be a lot of buyers who looks to buy the breakout who place their stop losses
below the resistance now there is a cluster of sell orders below the resistance by both the sellers and the buyers and by some chance if the price manages to reverse all of these stop
losses would be triggered which will induce further selling in the market and the market will reverse even lower and there is a good chance if the reversal comes can be very Swift towards the
downside to the nearest support level or the floor area where the buyers could then potentially come in but this is going to be a huge distance and for any buyer who hasn't placed a stop- loss can
end up bleeding his account so as a matter of fact you want to stay away or stay on the sidelines if you are a breakout Trader under such conditions where there is a power move in the
market to an area of value now we will look at some price action tricks that you can easily apply on the market to stay cautious of the fake outs however the problem with each of them is that
you are left waiting for the candles to form their patterns and sometimes this might be a reason for missing out on some of the trades so it's up to your decision making as a Trader in the real
market conditions for them to make any sense now there are clues in the candlesticks and volume data which can give information whether the breakout is a genuine breakout and these are worth
considering and can be used in conjunction with other tools like indicators a breakout occurs because the price has been contained below a resistance level or a support level for
potentially some period of time now the resistance or support level becomes a level which many Traders use to set their entry points or stop-loss levels so when the price breaks through the
support or resistance level the Traders waiting for the break out would jump in and those who did not want the price to break out will exit their positions to avoid larger losses this is very much
clear now this flurry of activity will cause the volumes in the market to rise which shows a lot of Traders were interested in the breakout level now the higher than average volume helps to
confirm that it was a breakout but if there is a very little volume on the breakout then the level may not have been very significant to a lot of Traders or not enough Traders felt
convinced to place a trade near the particular level and most of these low volume breakouts are are likely to fail in case if we are talking about an upside breakout if it fails the price
will fall back below the resistance level and in case of a downside breakout of a support often called as a breakdown if it fails the price will rally back
above the support level in some instances even after a high volume breakout the price will often retrace or pull back to the breakout point before
moving in the breakout direction again this is because the sh short-term Traders will often buy the initial breakout but they will attempt to sell quite quickly for a profit this selling by the short-term Traders will
temporarily Drive the prices back to the breakout point now if the breakout is legitimate then the price should move back in the breakout Direction after the retest or pullback and if it does not it
is a fail breakout and the prices would reverse analyzing volumes were one way of identifying if it is a breakout or a fake out but as I have mentioned earlier
does not work every time and there are occasions when this idea will fail so let us consider a few more ideas to keep in mind so as to distinguish between a
fake out or a breakout the first thing is that you have to wait to see if the Candlestick closes through the line of support or resistance which means that the real body of the breakout candle
should close above the resistance level or the real body of the breakout candle should close below the support level which in turn means that just a wick poking through the level is not enough
to confirm a breakout so it's a good rule to follow but on its own it's not particularly reliable now the second thing is that you have to wait for a close beyond the support or resistance
level and then you have to wait for the price to retrace back to the level or pull back by a little bit and then move in the direction of the breakout and this candle should close beyond the
closing price of the breakout candle this is a resistance turned support or a support turn resistance method which is a reliable way to trade breakouts but on
the downside there is a lot of patience required because there is a lot more waiting around and sometimes the prices won't even retest or pull back to the level and chances are you might miss the
trade now the third point is to look for big candlesticks which will indicate that there is momentum behind the breakout and you have to check for large breakout volumes Which is higher than
the previous volume but on the downside a very large candle means that you have potentially missed a hefty part of the move so it can right away affect your risk to reward as well as the placement
of your stop losses and the final point to keep in consideration is that you have to look for a price buildup at the market structure which may be a tight consolidation near the area of value or
higher lows into the resistance similar to an ascending triangle or lower highs into the support similar to an ascending triangle which are credible enough patterns that can give you high
probability breakout trades you can learn a lot more about them in the previous video now we will look at a faster way to get a breakout confirmation using an indicator which
will give us an immediate yes or no confirmation as to whether we can rely on this breakout or not so we have to add the RSI indicator or the relative strength index indicator in our chart so
when we are looking for a breakout we are expecting the breakout to come with a degree of momentum and we will use the RSI indicator to find that moment momentum so basically RSI is a momentum
indicator and it measures the speed of a move so if the speed is increasing the momentum will be building or increasing in this particular scenario I'm talking
about RSI convergences RSI convergence occurs when the RSI Direction mirrors the price trend for example if the price of a security Trends upwards then the
RSI will also Trend upwards this is what I mean by RSI convergence so if the price is moving up through an area of value we want the RSI indicator to be
showing higher highs which signals building momentum or increasing momentum the idea is that if the market momentum is increasing the RSI should also be increasing the same is true if the
prices are headed down and breaking through the value of support which will indicate a momentum towards the opposite direction or the downward Direction in the RSI 2 so this confirmation for both
bullish and beish signals are generally more useful when the RSI period is 14 days or month more and anything below the 14 period may be typically
considered less reliable for confirming the convergence and of course no indicator is infallible but using RSI to confirm breakouts will give you a
significant Edge in the market it adds weight to the evidence of a possible breakout and not a fake out so I recommend that you add it in your charts and see what it can do for you now
coming to the most important part or the important point of this video you have to back test these techniques that I have discussed with you so as to understand how reliable each system is
and then choose a system of your liking and convenience because practice makes you perfect and back testing can save your account in this episode we are going to
learn all about about trading pullbacks a pullback to an area of value is one of the best techniques when trading in the market Direction and it is also one of the safer techniques because of the
confirmation that it gives we will discuss the pros and cons of trading pullbacks and we will talk about the likely places on the chart where the market will pull back and how to
approach your trades so if you ready let's begin what actually is pullback trading and why does it work in the market now a pullback is when the price
temporarily moves against the underlying Trend in the market for example in an uptrend a pullback would be a move lower or we can say it is a corrective move on
the other hand in a downtrend a pullback would be a move higher so in essence what you're trying for pullback trading is to buy the dips in the markets or the
retracements to a critical level or the corrections in an existing trend for example the price breaks out of of the resistance level with strong candle and
then it retraces or pulls back or test the resistance level and then move up higher another example would be if the market is trending higher you are always
looking to buy the dip or to buy the retracement or to buy the pullback so as to buy at the least possible price and in case of a trending Market the reason
why pullback trading works is because when the market is trending it does not go up in a single straight line instead in an uptrend you can expect to see a
series of higher highs and higher lows so as a pullback Trader what you're trying to do is to time your entry on the pullback or the retracement or the
correction so you are basically entering the trade as the market trades at lower prices during an uptrend as a pullback Trader you are trying to take a trade in
the direction of trend but you look to Ender when the market is sort of going against the trend on the retracement or the corrective move but you are still trading in the direction of the trend
and the reason for pullbacks in the prices is simple it is due to the short-term profit booking by some Traders which causes the prices to dip
lower now let us move on to understanding the pros and cons of pullback trading we will start off with the positives with pullback trading you are basically buying low and selling
high for example if you are trading pullback in an uptrend you're basically buying at lower prices and the intention is to sell higher and if you're selling
pullback in a downtrend you're basically selling at higher prices so that you can buy back at lower prices and the second thing about this is that it is actually
easier when it comes to your trading psychology when you're trading the pullbacks the reason being you are basically trading from an area of value because buying low and selling high is
something that we are all accustomed to even when we start learning about the markets think about it in terms of a small business basically what we want to do is to buy at lower prices and then
sell at higher prices now we will talk about the shortcomings of trading pullbacks now the downside of pullbacks is that you might miss the move more often or not let me explain for example
we know that an uptrend consist of a higher highs and higher lows let's say the price is pulling back or retracing back right now assuming that you are
hoping the prices to retest back to the lows onto the trend line or the moving average but what happens in the market is that the price does not pull back
deep enough and then it broke out higher without you being able to take an entry so it ended up causing you to miss the move this is the biggest disadvantage
when it comes to trading pullback which is that sometimes you actually miss the move while waiting for the price to come to your desire level the second disadvantage or maybe I won't call it a
disadvantage is that pullbacks are not suitable for impatient Traders now if you are an impatient Trader or you have no patience to wait for a pullback then
this strategy might not be your piece of cake now that we have understood about the advantages and disadvantages of a pullback trade let us learn how to
approach a pullback trade so there are a few things to look for on trading a pullback the first point is to identify the market Trend now the first and
foremost thing that you have to figure out while you trade pullbacks is to find the existing Market Trend you must have a trend in the market because most often you will encounter a pullback
opportunity when there is a trend in the market and more importantly make sure to trade in the direction of the trend and not go against the direction of the trend now I'm not saying that there
won't be any pull back opportunities if the market is not trending or if the market is in a range but instead the probability of getting a pullback setup is higher when there is a trending price
action and most often or not during a range or Consolidated price action the market tends to give explosive breakouts where the chances for pullbacks are
lower due to increased interest and participation by the market participants now the second point is to identify an area of value here's the thing just
because the market is in an uptrend doesn't mean you want to blindly enter a trade instead you want to be trading from an area of value an area of value
could be any of these including a swing low or a swing High a support or a resistance level a trend line or a moving average Etc these are all potential areas on your chart where
buying or selling pressure could step in now the third point to consider is to look for an entry Trigger or an entry area assuming that the market is trending higher and it has made a
pullback towards an area of value but this does not mean that we can blindly hit the buy Button as a pullback Trader you want to look for specific entry triggers to let you know that the buyers
are stepping in or to make sure that buyers are in control and they are about to take the prices higher the entry trigger could be as simple as reversal Candlestick patterns which may be
bullish hammers or bullish engulfing patterns Etc so that's an entry trigger for us to time our pullback to get on board the trade and to join the existing
Trend in the market now the fourth point is setting up your stop- loss since you are trading pullback the most important question is where do we set our a stop loss logically speaking if you are
trading pullbacks on a uptrending market then your stop loss should be below the loss of the pullback so in case if the market is on an uptrend and you have
kept your stop- loss below the swing low this means that if the market corrects or retraces and breaks below the lows of the pullbacks it tells you that this
pullback has failed and you want to get out of this trade so in order to be safe and not hit your stop loss before the pullback finishes you'll have to identify the loss of the pullback and
give some buffer below the loss for this purpose you can either use the ATR indicator or you can even set it based on your risk- taking ability let's take
a look at the ATR method briefly let us say the low of the pullback is 100 rupees and let us say you pull out the ATR indicator and the average true range
of the market is rupees 5 you can simply takee rupes 100 which is the low of the pullback and subtracts rupees 5 which is the value of the ATR at that specific
period now your stop loss turns out to be rup 95 which will set a small buffer below the low of the pullback now a similar approach can be taken in case if
the market is on a downtrend and the final point is setting up your targets now where do you take profits let's say you are trading in the direction of an
uptrend what you can do is to reference the extreme swing High to take the profits when you're trading pullbacks during an uptrend you're buying the dip
and the market has retraced against the trend if you look prior to the retracement you should be able to identify a swing high on the chart and this swing High could be a reference
point for you to take the profits now if you are looking to buy a pullback and you went long and the market is moving favorably in your direction you can look to take the profits just before the
swing high or before the nearest resistance if you are an intraday Trader and you can ask me why not after the swing high or why not at the swing high
or why not at the resistance level the simple reason being swing highs and lows supports and res resistances are not specific levels on the chart instead
they are areas or zones on your chart this means that the price could come close to the swing high but may not be able to reach the exact price point and then start to reverse from there so if
you don't want to watch your open profits come close to your Target only to do a sudden reversal and then hit your stop loss what you want to do is to set your profit Target just before the
recent swing high or the nearest resistance level for this example now that we have learned how to approach our pullback trades let us move on to the different ways of trading pullbacks
successfully and how to employ the entry and exits in the right manner starting off with breakout pullbacks breakout pullbacks are very common and probably
most of you have encountered them breakout pullbacks commonly happen at the market turning points uh that is when the price breaks out of a consolidation pattern or a range now now
some of the most popular consolidation patterns includes the head and shoulders the wedges triangles rectangles Etc so the question that naturally comes up is how to trade the pullbacks although
there are many ways how you can approach the pullback trading I will talk about two main concepts of pullback trading during a breakout now these principles can be applied to all other pullback
scenarios that we will discuss along let us take the case of an aggressive Trader now the aggressive Trader WS for the price to come back to the pullback area which may be a support or a resistance
level a trend line a moving average Etc and he enters the trade right away and the price pull backs to the level let us say the point one marks this approach in
the scenario of a breakout and pullback now there are a few more points that you need to consider when choosing such an approach using an aggressive trade entry you may be able to enter at the best
possible prices as this point can often Mark the extreme point of the correction wave and the pullback phase so the potential reward to risk ratio is highest following such an approach
because the stop loss can be placed very tightly but the major drawback is that you enter a trade against the price Direction without any confirmation so
the price could easily go against your trade so such an approach can therefore have a lower win rate or a lower probability of success but the higher
reward to risk ratio May offset it though but I wouldn't go by this method me being a conservative Trader Waits until the price continues the trend
structure and breaks over the pullback now with this approach the trader goes with momentum and confirms that the trade is in the desired Direction unlike
the aggressive Traders case where there was no confirmation of the trade Direction now the conservative approach or the conservative entry happens later
and therefore the potential reward to risk ratio is smaller if you ask me there is no right or wrong when it comes to trading and it all comes down to your personal preferences as a Trader now
talking about the stop losses you have to place the stop- loss below the pullback low in case of a breakout on the upside and make sure to add the suitable buffer based on your risk
potential or you can even use the ATR indicator to do the same it is always better to stay cautious as to not move move your stop- loss to break even because this is a very dangerous and
unprofitable thing to do and the reason for this is that pullbacks happen so often in the market after a long uptrend the market stays in a range between
defined levels now many Traders use the levels to time their breakout entries in this case we are anticipating a breakout on the downside and most Traders would
use the support level to time their breakout entry but where they go wrong is that they move their stop- loss to break even too soon and when the breakout pullback happens they will get
kicked out of their trade just to see the price return in their anticipated Direction but without them finally the targets can be the next potential
resistance level or place a suitable Target based on the type of consolidation pattern the market was in right now be it a wedge be it a triangle pattern be a rectangular pattern use a
suitable Target based on the consolidation pattern formed in the market now the second way of trading pullbacks is using horizontal steps now the stepping Behavior can be observed
during many trending phases in the market during the ongoing trending phases the price will often present those stepping patterns this pullback approach is a great addition to the
previously discussed breakout pullback the breakout pullback happens very close to the market turning points but if the trader misses the initial entry opportunity the horizontal steps can
allow the trader to find alternative entry scenarios it also helps the trader to enter a trade even if the pullback does not form a swing low touching the trend line or a moving average in case
of an uptrending Market the entry in this case would be during the retracement from a swing high level to the previous swing high levels and using confirmation candlesticks like bullish
engulfing or Hammer patterns for the trade entry and if you talk about the stop-loss for the trade it would be suitable to place the stop loss below
the step pattern or the swing low with a suitable buffer depending on your risk appetite further a Trader could simply choose to use the stepping pattern as a
trial stop-loss behind the trend in a much safer way in this case the trader Waits until the price has completed a particular step and then try the stop-
loss behind the last pullback area and because of this the stop loss is protected and it is not very vulnerable a Target in this case would be each of
the Swing high levels as the price moves in your favor now the third idea should have been trend line we know that trend lines are famous pullback tool but the drawback with trend lines is that it
takes longer to get validated as a thumb rule we all know that a trend line requests at least three contact points to get validated we can always connect
two random points but only when you get the third Third Contact point you are really looking at a trend line trend lines can work nicely in addition to other pullback methods but as a
standalone method the trader will miss many opportunities as the trend line validation takes a long time so instead of using a trend line we can use the
moving averages for pullback trading and without any doubt moving averages are amongst the most popular tools in technical analysis and they are used in
many ways including Trend identification and you can also use them for pullback trading as well you could use a 20 period a 50 period or even a 100 period
moving averages it does not really matter and it comes down to whether you are a short-term Trader or a long-term Trader now short-term Traders generally use shorter moving averages to get the
trade signals quicker and of course shorter moving averages are more vulnerable to a lot of noise and wrong signals and longer term moving averages
on the other hand moves slower and so they are less vulnerable to noise but you may not get much trading opportunities as in case of the short-term moving averages so it is up
to you to weigh the pros and cons of your own trading style for the purpose of this example I will use a 50 period exponential moving average and the price
is in an uptrend now here we can see that the prices are correcting and reaching the moving average and it is actually respecting it the entry in this
case would be above a rejection Candlestick from the moving average like a bullish pin bar or a hammer and bulling engulfing candles it shows that
the buyers are willing to buy at higher valuations you can place a stop loss below the moving average line adding some buffer space because it is very common for the price to overshoot the
moving average and show very deep pullbacks and that is why you need to give your stop-loss more breathing room if you choose such a pullback strategy and if you enter the trade with proper
confirmation and not being aggressive to enter the moment the candle pulls back to the moving average then you can actually save yourself from the overshoot problem finally a riding Trend
till the end is the best possible Target in case of an intraday Trader look to place the nearest resistance as the Target and for a swing Trader exit the
trade either when the price breaks out of the moving average line or exit the trade when the market structure changes from trending to range or consolidation
so as you have seen there are many different ways on how to approach the pullbacks now you can even use it with Fibonacci levels also you can even combine the various tools to come up
with even stronger signals with that being said it is always a good idea to back test what you have learned to get a sense of how the strategy Works in real Market condition and see if it works for
you
[Music] reversal trading can be one of the most
profitable trading strategies you can use you can trade reversals in trending markets ranging markets and even against the trend reversals refers to large
price changes where the trend changes its direction altogether but the thing is that when it starts to occur a reversal isn't distinguishable from a pullback and the main difference between
them is that a reversal keeps going and form a new trend while the pullback ends and then the price starts moving back in the trending direction or simply the price will continue with its previous
Trend reversals often occur in intraday trading and happen rather quickly but they also occur over days weeks and years therefore reversals occur on different time frames games which are
relevant to different Traders so an intraday reversal on a 5 minute chart doesn't matter much to a long-term investor who is watching for a reversal on The Daily or weekly chart yet the 5
minute reversal is very important for an intraday Trader so as a reversal Trader you are in essence a counter Trend Trader who is trading against the trend
or the current market momentum for example let's say the market is in an uptrend making a series of higher highs and higher lows as a reversal Trader you
will look to sell in that uptrend or for example if the market is in a downtrend then as a reversal Trader you are looking to trade against the trend and the momentum reversal trading especially
the trend reversal trading can be a profitable way to trade the markets however like any other trading strategy there is a correct way and a wrong way
to trade reversals before we talk about the correct way to do reversal trading let me me first explain how you should not trade the market reversals or simply
I'll talk about the mistakes that most Traders make while trading reversals the first and the most important point to consider is to not catch a falling knife
for those of you who do not know what is catching a falling knife it means trying to enter a long position in a market that is crashing down so let's say the
market is dropping every day you don't want to blindly enter a trade because you are a reversal Trader looking to buy low and sell High there is absolutely no sense in trying to catch a crashing
Market similar to a falling knife and why is it so because if you are buying into the losss of the market there is no logical place for you to set your stop-
loss there is no support or Market structure you can refer to and there are no signs that the downtrend could be ending anytime soon and most importantly Trends need time to reverse their
Direction as we have discussed in the market trends as well as Market structure videos so avoid catching a falling knife the second mistake that
Traders make is entering the first pullback anticipating that it will be a reversal now this is a common mistake that Traders make that is attempting to
trade the first pullback itself this means that you go long when you see the market rallies after a huge decline but often this type of a rally is only a
retrace M of the existing Trend and why do some Traders always do this and this is simply because of the fear of missing out or formo and you don't want to miss
out on the next move thus you enter a trade as soon as the market shows any sign of reversal unknowingly this sign is usually a retracement or a pullback
of the existing Trend and the market will continue the trend causing you to lose your money now that we have understood about what not to do during a
reversal trade let us look at how to approach reversal trades in the market the first and foremost point is to have a reference point on your chart now what
exactly is a reference point a reference point can be a trend a consolidation or an area of value like a support resistance a trend line a moving average
Etc where there is a chance for some sort of a price action now after you have figured out a reference point the second point is to wait for the market
to reach that particular reference point now no matter where the price is trading right now for a price action Trader to make any sort of conclusion with the prices it has to be in an area where
there is a potential interest from the side of the market participants or simply the price should be at an area of value now the third point to consider is
regarding the trade entry now that the price has reached an area of value you have to look for reversal Candlestick patterns you can use reversal Candlestick patterns like engulfing
candles or pin bars to time your trade entry so you will enter a trade only after the market shows signs of reversal however you risk entering at a much
higher price which may lower your risk to reward ratio but it gives you a higher win rate now the fourth point is setting up a proper stop loss when it
comes to stop- loss you want to place it at a level that invalidates your trading setup this means if your stop- loss is hit then the pattern is broken and there
is no reason to stay in the trade any longer so it is generally a good idea to keep the stop- loss with reference to the area of value and the high or losss of the reversal candlesticks by giving
the ample buffer space to save yourself from pullbacks the buffer space can be decided using the ATR indicator or with respect to your risk appetite and the
final point to consider is to set a conservative profit Target now your exits depend on your goals so what do you want to accomplish either you can
capture a swing or ride a trend so if you want to capture a swing then you can exit the trades before the opposing pressure comes in for example if you are
long in the market then you want to exit your trade before the next resistance level or the swing High where the sellers can come in and on the other hand if you want to ride a trend then
you can you can Trail your stop loss as the market moves in your favor for example you can Trail your stop- loss using a 20 moving average now that we have understood how to approach a
reversal trade I'm going to share with you three techniques which can help you identify reversal trades in the market and as a reversal Trader you want to be
smart about when you want to enter your trades so here we go the first strategy is the break of the market structure we have talked about the different stages
of Market in the market structure video and we also know how to identify a particular Trend type from the market strengths video now think about this in
a trending Market let's say an uptrend you know the price makes a higher high and higher loss and what do I mean by a break of the market structure the break
of Market structure is the clue that the market is telling you that it is about to get weaker or simply it is about to reverse its direction so in case of an
uptrend you have a break of structure and the price fails to make a new higher low or a higher high so this is the first clue or the first evidence that
the market is about to reverse lower but there is no 100% guarantee that the reversal will happen but it's an Evidence given to you by the market that there is a break of structure and there
is a good chance that the price could potentially reverse lower again looking at the concept that I just shared with you for an uptrend to reverse we are looking for a break of the trend Market
structure that is what we are looking for is a lower high or a lower low which invalidates the uptrend setup at this point you have actually got a lower high
and when the price breaks below the area of support formed by the previous higher low you will have a lower low this tells you that this trend could be weakening
and the trend could eventually reverse now the trend will not reverse all of a sudden because markets need enough sellers to bring the prices down and so
most often the market go into a phase of consolidation where the price will stay inside a range for some time and then it will show a trend reversal when there is
an ample selling pressure available this time when the price breaks out of the consolidation or the distribution stage and move lower is actually the best
short trade entry for a reversal in case of a tighter stop loss you can keep the stop loss above the breakout candle high and to be much safer and to avoid deep
pullbacks you can even place the stop loss above the consolidation range the Target in this case will be the nearest support level now let us consider this in case of a downtrending market again
we will apply the break of Market structure concept we can see that during a downtrend there is a series of lower highs and lower lows the break of
downtrend structure comes when the price stops forming the lower highs and lower lows or simply when you have a higher high because the price broke the prior
resistance formed by a lower high or if it formed a higher low this again should give you a strong clue that this downtrend could possibly come to an end
and the market could potentially reverse its direction in this case also the reversal may not come quickly instead there can be a consolidation or an
accumulation stage where the buyers can come in in ample quantities so as to take the market higher here also the trade entry would be when the price breaks above the accumulation stage and
moves higher you can keep a safer stop- loss below the consolidation range and the target can be set as the next nearest resistance level or simply you
can write the trend until there is again a Breakin structure now there is no such thing as guarantee in trading or in price action or in whatsoever so if
anyone promises you guarantees then it's better to stay far away from them this is why I like to use words like probably likely possibly so keep that in mind
there is no guarantee for anything and especially when it comes to trading now the second strategy is the higher time frame reversal structure so in a market it's very important to pay attention to
where you are in terms of the big picture or simply you should stay attention to what the higher time frame is doing this is where the higher time frame reversal structure comes in handy
in this example the price apparently breaks above the swing high and then it collapses lower below the support level at this point a lot of unaware Traders
would have bought the breakout on the upside only to get caught on the wrong side and why is that this is a chart in the 4-Hour time frame now let's see the
same chart on a higher time frame for example a 1 day period on the higher time frame chart it is evident that most of the Traders are buying the breakout
into a previous support level as shown that could eventually act as a resistance and thus it makes a very low probability breakout trade this means
that the Traders are buying into a huge selling pressure and what do you think will eventually happen it's pretty much no wonder why the market reversed from the resistance level this is what I mean
by a higher time frame reversal structure so what exactly are we looking at in case of this strategy you have to look for a higher time frame area of
value like a support or a resistance where the prices can eventually reverse and you can then take a trade entry on a lower time frame with the help of a
reversal Candlestick for confirmation in this case there was a false breakout and you can leverage the highs of this false breakout to place your stop- loss now the Third third strategy we will be
discussing is using moving averages we can make use of moving averages for reversal trading in this particular Technique we will use the longer term moving averages like the 100 moving
average or 200 moving average with a positional trading perspective we know from the basics that if the price is above the 200 moving average for example
we should try to stay long and if the price is below the 200 moving average try to stay short the market now the reason for this is quite simple if you
think about this the 200 period moving average summarizes the price of the last 200 candles based on your time frame so if the price is right now above the 200
moving average it is telling you that the price has been trending higher and similarly if the price is below the 200 moving average it is telling you that the price has been trending lower this
is a simple way to tell you what's the long-term trend on the particular chart that you're trading why is it a long-term trend on the particular chart
of your trading it is because you could be using a 200 moving average on a 5 minute time frame that is not really a long-term Trend because it's a 5 minute
time frame right likewise it can be a 200 moving average on a daily time frame then that's a pretty long time frame so it is actually the long-term trend of the chart that you are trading and
depending on what time frame you are looking looking at so let's use 200 moving average and one day time frame for this particular example over here the price is above the 200 moving
average so from the basic rule you want to look for long opportunities in this market we can plot an area of support and every time the price comes into the
area of support it forms a price rejection that is validating your trading setup but the key point to note here is that the price is actually forming a consolidation and it has
tested the support level multiple times and you know what that means from the simple concept that we have discussed about supports and resistances in episode 6 and it is exactly what
happened the price broke down the support level and even moved below the 200 moving average with great momentum there wasn't any price rejection of any
sort from both these areas of values now you can have a short bias since the price is trading below the 200 moving average and now we can look for
opportunities to go short on the market now this is how you can actually use the 200 moving average to give you a bias to know whether you should go long or stay
short and after you have identified your bias then just reference to a market structure like a support or a resistance or even the moving average itself to
kind of identify the area of value that you want to trade from and sometimes the price will test the 200 moving average which is which is actually an area of resistance and if it turns out to be a
false breakout of the highs you can use the help of reversal Candlestick patterns to take a reversal trade lower anyway the 200 moving average is useful
to help you find out the trend reversals and to identify the trade on the right side of the trend now these are some of the techniques which you can adopt and back test in the market conditions to
check if they work for you and if it does the entry and exits can be decided based on your risk appetite and [Music]
patience the inside bar pattern is one of the most common candlesticks you will find on your charts the inside bar is a simple yet powerful Candlestick pattern
it can help you better time your trade entries with lower risk and the best part once you learn to identify this pattern then you will very quickly see it everywhere you will see it in many
different markets and in all your different time frames however just because the inside bar forms often and can be easily identified does not mean
you should be using it or trading it so in this video we go through exactly what the inside bar is and how we can use it successfully in our trading what exactly
is an inside bar pattern the inside bar pattern is a Candlestick pattern where the price forms completely within the previous Candlestick so for an inside
bar to be considered valid both the high and the low of the Candlestick needs to be completely inside the previous candles range most often or not Traders
have this confusion around the wigs or Shadows of the candlesticks to clear this up from the start the inside bar takes into account the candlestick's Shadows or the wick also this this means
that the high and the low including the Wix of the inside bar candle must be within the high and the low of the previous Candlestick to simplify this
even further inside bar must have a high that is lower than the previous candle's high and it should have a low that is higher than the previous candle low
including the vix however not all inside bars are created equal there are different types of inside bar patterns formed in the market let us take a look
at a few of these the first type is an inside bar with a small range so this is a standard inside bar where the range of the candle is small and it is covered by
the prior candle or the previous candle now this tells you that there is an indecision or low volatility in the market we will talk about this further in this video the second type is the
inside bar with a large range now you can have an inside bar with a large range so this is still an inside Side Bar as the range of the candle is covered by the prior candle or the
previous candle but in this case you will notice that the range of the inside bar is too large now depending upon the close of the inside bar this could either represent an indecision in the
market or a reversal in the market now let's see an example each for the long range candles of these types as you can see in the first category there is a
large inside bar with bullish close which shows sign of bullish strength moving on to the second type it is a large inside bar with a small real body
which shows signs of indecision so depending upon the range and the real body the inside bar can either represent an indecision or a reversal in the
market now the third type of inside bar is multiple inside bars so in this case you have multiple inside bars together this is a powerful pattern because it
tells you that there is a low volatility in the market to briefly talk about volatility low volatility is associated with weak participation from the market
participants or it can signify weak price movements while a high volatility is associated with elevated interest from the market participants and we know
the market volatility is always changing that is it moves from a period of low volatility to a period of high volatility and vice versa so when you see multiple inside bars together it is
a strong sign that the market is about to make a big move soon now the fourth type is the hikkake pattern which is a variation of the inside bar this is
actually a must know pattern for all the Traders because this pattern helps you identify a false breakout from the inside bar pattern imagine this situation you identified an inside bar
and you are hoping that the market will go higher or simply you have a bullish Outlook so you go along when the price breaks above the highs of the inside bar
but the next thing you know the market does a 180° reversal and collapses lower and you are now in deep loss now this is what we call a hikkake pattern which is
a false breakout pattern now there are two variants of the hikkake pattern the first type is a bearish hikkake pattern which actually entices the Bulls or the
buyers into buying and then trap them and make them hit their stop loss the second one is the bullet shikake pattern which actually entices the beers or the
sellers into shorting the market only to trap them and reverses the price against their position now the hik pattern can be traded the same way you trade an
inside bar which we will discuss as we move along this video but this is a much more powerful strategy since the breakout Traders get caught on the wrong side of the move and the stop loss would
push the market in your favor if you take the right side of the trade now let us talk about the nature of an inside bar or the Outlook of an inside bar in
the market the inside bar is actually an indecision Candlestick pattern the inside bar is formed because the price was not able to break either the high nor the low of the previous session or
the previous candle now this shows us that or this tells us that neither the Bulls nor the beers were in control during the session this is a very important information when used
correctly however it is important you note where the inside bar is formed and in what type of market so if an inside bar is formed in a strong trend for
example a trend higher then it could be signaling a quick pause before the price continues on with the trend and if the inside bar is formed at a swing point or
even at a major support or resistance area then it could be signaling that the steam has run out of the current move and the reversal is about to play out or simply the market is about to reverse
because this is an indecision Candlestick it is very important to pay attention to where and how this pattern forms moving on let us look at the best time frames to trade the inside bar
candle as I have mentioned earlier you will be able to find this pattern on all your time frames from the one minute chart right through the monthly chart however just because you can find an
inside bar on all your time frames does not make them all created equal because inside bars formed on a higher time frame will hold more weight compared to
inside bars formed on a smaller time frame the reason for this is simple because of the time that goes into forming this pattern so if price action is showing indecision and it cannot
break the previous Candlestick high or low on the 1 minute time frame that shows us that for 1 minute the price was stuck however if we see that the price
could not break higher or lower on The Daily time frame and formed an inside bar then it shows that for a whole day neither the Bulls nor the beers could
gain control of the market this leaves us with the conclusion that the higher time frame inside bar candle holds a much higher weightage than a inside bar on a shorter time frame well then let's
talk about the trading strategies now there are many ways you can use the inside bar in your trading you can use it to find new trades and you can also use it to manage your trades the three
simplest best and most common strategies to trade the inside bar are the inside bar breakout the inside bar reversal and the inside bar Trend trading strategy
let us start with trading the inside bar as a breakout the first key to trading the inside bar as a breakout strategy is identifying a strong Trend either higher
or lower in this example the price is in a strong Trend lower and because there is a strong Trend the inside bar represents a pause in the the price action where some profit booking is
being taken and the price is taking a breather so when you are looking to enter with the inside bar breakout you are looking to enter when the signal confirms itself this happens when the
price breaks the inside bar high or the low in the direction of the trend in this particular example we are looking to take a short entry when the signal confirms itself and breaks lower with
the trend or simply we are looking to Ender when the price breaks below the previous candle low but to be frank I'm not a great admirer or a fan of the inside bar breakout strategy in
particular and it's simply because of the sheer number of false breakouts that this particular strategy can generate also it is not a very smart move to
trade an inside bar on a choppy range or consolidation because of its low probability trade and why is it so because a range or consolidation happens
when the market is taking a breather or when the Bulls or beers are in some form of indecision so it does not make any sense to use an indecision Candlestick
to take a trade on a market where indecision exist so personally I would be well off using the other two strategies than the breakout so moving on to trading the inside bar as a
reversal the key to inside bar reversal strategy is where the inside bar forms to use the inside bar as a reversal you need to see it Formed at a swing high or
a swing low depending on the market Trend and even at Key price action levels or areas of values and these levels are often the major support or
resistance level for example the price approaches a support level and we know that a support level is one where there can be higher chances for demand for the
stock or where the buyers will be willing to enter a position and if an inside bar was formed at or near the support then it could be an indication that the price is looking to make a
reveral back higher and we could get long when the price breaks back above the inside bar high but that being said I prefer to wait for the price to make a
reversal move first and then for an inside bar as shown in this case now what is the benefit of this by doing this I get to know two very significant
things number one that the buyers are in control at this period as they managed to make the first wave of reversal from the support level number do is that
there is a volatility contraction due to the formation of an inside bar and if the buying pressure could continue further then it will manage to break out
the reversal candles high and move higher this is exactly when you can enter a long position that is when the price breaks out of the inside bar this particular approach will let you enter
the trade as the price moves in your favor but on the downside there is a possibility of a false breakout due to a bearish hake pattern as we have learned
earlier you can avoid this trap by taking on a more conservative approach you can wait for the breakout candle to close and enter the very next candle if the breakout candle manage to close
above the reversal candle high now again in this scenario you risk missing a big move or sometimes it can lower your reward to risk potential so clearly
there is no right or wrong answer to it so you have to find a trade entry which Suits You you best when it comes to the stop loss you don't want to set it beyond the loss of the inside bar as the
general rule states and why is this because we have already learned that there is a variation of the inside bar which is the hikkake pattern this means
if you set a stop loss just below the loss of the inside bar you could get stopped out prematurely on a bullish iake pattern so a better way to set your
stop- loss is using the ATR indicator that is you can place the stop loss 1 ATR below the low of the inside bar in case of long entry trades this will ensure that your trade has more
breathing room so if you want to know more about the ATR indicator you can watch the video here now I will talk about setting the targets at the end of this video after we have discussed the
next strategy the third strategy is catching the trend previously you have learned how inside bar allows you to catch reversals in the market now you will learn how to use it to identify
Trend trading opportunities now here's the main idea behind it let us reference with the use of a 20 moving average in a strong uptrending Market the price is
above the 20 moving average so pullback in such a market will be shallow so when the price starts or stops after a pullback in form of an inside bar let us
say you want to enter as soon as the price resumes the direction of the trend now here's how you can approach the trade when you are going long on the market now as we have mentioned the
price is in a strong Trend that is the price is above the 20 moving average we have to wait for a pullback to occur and if the pullback has occurred we have to
wait for an inside bar to form and if the inside bar is also formed then you can go long when the price breaks above the highs of the previous candle of the inside bar or you can wait for the
confirmation that is wait for the breakout candle to close above the inside bars previous candle's High so as to avoid being trapped by the hikkake pattern for this trend trading strategy
you can consider setting your stop- loss one ATR away from the 20 moving average since the market finds support at the 20 moving average now let us talk about
setting targets for inside bar trades now your exits or targets depends on your goals so you can either catch a swing or you can ride a trend so if you
intend to catch a swing then you can exit your trades before the opposing pressure comes in for example if you are taking a reversal trade from the support and you are long on the market then you
want to exit your trade before the next resistance or the swing high now if you want to write the trend then you can trade the stop- loss as the market moves
in your favor for example if you have taken the trend trading approach you can Trail your stop loss using the 20 moving average and when the price breaks below
the 20 moving average that is when you should exit the market now when trading the inside bar pattern by entering above or below the breakout of the pattern
using any of these strategies I would recommend you to go with the small ranged inside bar breakouts now there are a few reasons as to why this is important the first benefit is that you
can place a very tighter stop- loss you can reference the low of the inside bar to set your stop- loss as we have discussed and the smaller the inside bar the smaller the stop- loss is and with a
smaller stop- loss you can put a larger position size and still keep your risk constant the second benefit is that the price will move quickly in your favor the market moves from a period of low
volatility to a period of high volatility and vice versa so if you trade a small ranged inside bar it means the volatility is low and there is a
very good chance that it could expand or breakout in your favor this means you could get a good reward to risk potential on your trade in a short short period of time I hope this makes sense
to you as a closing note even if you find the inside bar on all your different time frames the higher the time frame the more weight the pattern holds because this is an indecision
pattern it is absolutely crucial as to where and how it is formed so you need to look at and follow the price action that is formed around the inside bar to successfully start using them in real
market conditions and as always don't forget to learn about the pattern in detail and back test it so that you are comfortable while using it in the
market in the fourth episode we have talked about the different candlesticks and what each of them had to say with regards to the market participation and
one of the main candlestick of our discussion was the pin bar candlesticks the pin bar is one of the most popular reversal Candlestick patterns you can
use a pin bar on all your different time frames and it can be traded across many different markets making it a very flexible trading Candlestick pattern most importantly the pin bar Candlestick
is a reversal pattern and it can often help you find when a new swing either higher or lower is about to occur let's hop into a more detailed study about the
pin bars so what is a pin bar Candlestick pattern if you remember a pin bar is a Candlestick that has a very large Shadow or a Candlestick Wick with
a small real body the shadow of the pin bar is at least two times the size of the real body the tail or the shadow of the pin bar shows the area of the price
that was rejected and the implication of it is that the price will continue to move opposite to the direction the tail point now this pattern can be bullish or
bearish depending upon where it occurs and how it is formed within the price action the example here shows a bearish pin bar the pin bar is formed with the
price trying to break higher in this particular Market the Bulls are in control but as soon as the bearish pin bar was formed it shows that the beers
have entered the market and are looking to take the price lower with a reversal and this is exactly why the large candle STI Wick is created which shows that the
higher prices were rejected and the Bayers are trying to regain control after the initial break higher similarly a bullish pin bar shows rejection of
lower prices the large lower Wick shows the beers were in control earlier but eventually it was overcome by the Bulls and now the Bulls are dominant and the
market could reverse higher now the most important point is that the key to high quality pin bars is where they form in the market as we discuss more about pin
bars in this video we will understand why the best pin bars are found at the key market levels or within the obvious Trends let us try to understand the two
pin bar types in Greater detail let us start off with the bullish pin bar some of the highest quality pins are when there is an obvious trend in the market
in this particular example the price is moving in a clear Trend higher we can see from the price action that the price is making regular higher highs and
higher lows with this uptrend for a bullish pin bar to make sense to a price action Trader we want to see it Formed at one of these swing lows with the trend now the reason as to why the pin
bar should be formed at the swing lows is that pin bar is actually a reversal signal and we are looking to enter the bullish pin bar and make a profit as the
price reverses higher with the trend or simply we want to enter when the buying demand starts to kick in and in addition to that we want to trade with the trend
in this particular example the price forms a bullish pin bar at the swing low within the trend higher and the rejection is quite strong which will
actually strengthen the bullish perspective even more so in this case we can enter a trade straight after the pin bar has finished forming or we could use
additional confirmations a confirmation type of Entry is where we are looking for the price to break higher and above the pin bar high and when we see the price breaking above the pin bar High we
can Ender long now let us take a look at the bearish pin bar setup to clear things even more as mentioned the pin bar can be both bullish or bearish
depending upon where and how it forms with respect to the price action the difference between the bullish and the bearish pin bar is that the bullish pin bar has a wick or a shadow rejecting
lower prices while the bearish pin bar has a wick rejecting the higher prices which is a sign that the bearers are more dominant over the Bulls now the
other great time that you will find high probability trades with this Candlestick in addition to a trending market is when the price is rejecting a level in the
market that is of importance or an area of value these can often be the key support or resistance level or dynamic levels like the moving averages in this
example the price moves higher into a key resistance level we can see that the price rejects from this resistance level and forms a bearish pin bar this tells
us that the resistance level has held and the price may now be looking to sell off lower and then we can either enter the trade the very next candle or we can
wait for the confirmation that is we can wait for the price to break below the lows of the pin bar Candlestick moving on let us find out which are the best Mar markets to trade the pin bar now the
best markets to trade pin bar strategy are markets where the price has a solid amount of volatility or the markets with a high volatility the more the price M
and volatility the more opportunities you will have to trade the pin bar and also the bigger potential for large winning trades but markets such as
individual stocks that can often have large gaps like Gap UPS or Gap Downs are not ideal for Pinar trading in said the markets which are fast and free flowing
with smooth price action is actually good for Pinar trading so markets like Forex crypto Etc are the best candidates for this particular strategy in trading
mistakes are bound to happen sometimes it may be due to lack of knowledge and other times it may be due to how we conceive an idea that is if we understand a particular idea in a
different context that will lead us to confusion so I will talk about some of the mistakes that you should avoid while using the pin bar trading strategy the
first and foremost mistake is to expect Market reversals because of a pin bar a trend either uptrend or downtrend will not reverse just because there is a pin
bar on the chart it takes more than a single Candlestick to reverse a trend sometimes even a major news release has difficulty in reversing a trend so what more of a pin bar we have talked about
the market structure or the different stages of the market and why and how they are formed so you can watch the second episode to get more insights on this topic so if you spot up inar
against the trend it does not necessarily mean a trend reversal is about to play out the odds are that the trend will continue the second mistake is giving too much attention or interest
to pin bars now we have learned that pin bar represents price rejection but here's the important thing price rejection can come in different forms and patterns and not just in the the
form of pin bars so if you focus only on pin bars and reversals associated with pin bars then you will miss out a lot of other trading opportunities in the market now the most important mistake of
all considering all pin bars to be equal the point is if you see a strong momentum on the upside followed by a small bearish pin bar it is likely to be a pause in the price action as the Bulls
are in control of the market and on the same note if you see a weak momentum on the upside followed by a huge bearish pin bar it is likely to be a reversal
since the preceding price action tells you that the Bulls are getting weak so it's clear we should not treat all pin bars the same because they are actually not and remember the bigger the pin bar
relative to the previous candles the stronger the price Rejection it is always a good idea to compare the pin bar with the previous candles sticks to understand the price action logic now
let us hop onto the pin bar trading technique starting with trading the pin bars with the trend one of the simplest and most effective ways to start stacking the Ws
in your favor is to trade in line with the obvious trend in the market when trading with the clear Market Trend you are trading with the current flow and not trying to push against it so the
trick when using pin bar and Trend trading is to look to Ender from areas of value and important swing points which are swing highs or swing lows in
this example the price is a clear Trend higher and so we will start looking for a bullish pin bar to get long and when the price makes a swing low due to a
short-term profit booking into an area of value like a trend line or a moving average or even a swing level and then forms a bullish pin bar reversal Candlestick rejecting the lower prices
we could look to enter long trades we could either go long as soon as the pin bar has formed or we can wait for a confirmation to enter and the price
breaks the pin bar high in case of stop loss you can place the stop loss one ATR below the swing loss or the trend line or the moving amage as amble buffer or
you can even place the stop loss below the losss of the pin bar Candlestick in case you want a tighter stop- loss now the target can be set as the next swing
high or the nearest resistance level or you can ultimately write the trend and exit when the price breaks out of the uptrend structure now there are a few
advantages by trading with the trend number one is that you don't require a precise entry to make a good profit secondly you have better ODS for the trade to work out as you are trading
with the market flow and finally you have a greater profit potential as the impulse move is stronger than the corrective move moving on to the second strategy trading pin bars from an area
of value take this example where the price moves higher into a key resistance level we know as a some rule that resistance is an area of value where
sellers will be looking to short the market or there will be a larger supply for the stock than the demand so when we see a price rejection from the market level and it forms a bearish pin bar
Candlestick this is a clue that the resistance level has held or the sellers are active and this is an indication that the price may now be looking to
sell off even lower the important point to note here is that pin bars are reversal candlesticks which can help us make a trade entry but can't guarantee us a reversal now since there is a
strong price rejection from the resistance level we can either take a short entry on the very next candle or we can wait for a confirmation the confirmation in this case is when the
price breaks below the loss of the bearish pin bar candle and the stop loss for this trade would be above the highs of the bearish pin bar candle with a
suitable buffer using the at indicator and finally the target can be set as the nearest swing low level or the nearest support level now some of the benefits
of trading at a support or resistance level are that you are trading from an area of value secondly it tells you when you are wrong that is if the reversal
fails your stop- loss will be hit and you will be out of your trade and finally it improves your winning rate as well as improve your reward to risk because because of the area of value and
also based on the degree of rejection from the level now the third strategy is using a combination of moving averages and support resistance levels so in
strong trending markets the price is unlikely to pull back towards the trend line or a moving average or simply the pullbacks are shallow thus you can look
to trade from a 200 moving average Now by a general rule of defining the market Trend if the 200 moving average is pointing higher and the price is above
it then the market is on an uptrend now on an uptrend find key support and resistance levels using a higher time frame or you can even use a more responsive 20 moving average then we
have to wait for the price to come to an area of value which could be a support resistance level or a dynamic support resistance level like the 20 moving average and if the price comes to the
area of value and when you see a bullish pin bar or a price rejection from this area of value then you can go long you can take a long entry on the very next
candle or you can wait for the break of the highs of the pin bar so as to enter with a confirmation if you are long you can place the stop loss below the low of
the pin bar or 18r below the pin bar low now if the price goes in your favor then you can take the profits at the nearest swing high level or the nearest resistance level or you can even use the
20 moving average as a trailing stop-loss and exit when the price breaks below it now on a closing note pin bars will show up in any Market condition on
all the time frames so be sure to understand the prerequisites and practice identify and trading them on a demo account before trading them with real money because practice makes you
perfect Traders have always benefited from massive jumps in asset prices especially during volatile market conditions so it
is our responsibility as a Trader to understand these massive gums in asset prices or simply the gaps formed in the market and then learn about them analyze
them and finding ways to trade them in the market so what exactly is a gap the difference between two consecutive candles closing price and opening price
is called as a gap or simply a gap is an area of discontinuity in the chart where the price of the asset either Falls or rises from the close of the previous day
a gap occurs when the prices skip between two trading periods that is skipping over certain prices and so it creates a void on the price chart or
simply these are areas on the chart where no trading activity has taken place now you will have a question in your mind why do gaps occur in the market in the first place now there are
a few reasons as to why gaps occur in the market let us look at the reasons one by one first of all gaps occurs due to an imbalance between the demand and
Supply the Gap up for example is because of the aggressiveness of buyers which means that there are more buy orders in the market or simply the demand is
greater than the supply which will boost the prices to go up or in other words the price will Gap up similarly a gap down is because of the aggressiveness of
sellers which simply means that there are more sell ERS or simply the supply is more than the demand which caus the price to gap down lower so in short gaps
occurs at levels where there is a supply and demand imbalance the second reason due to which gaps occur are due to the overnight Sentiments of the market
participants or due to any big news gaps usually occur when there is a fresh news or a big announcement that will lead to change in the market fundamentals usually when the markets are closed so
when such a news spreads there is a flood of buyers or sellers waiting to buy or sell depending upon the nature of the news and finally sometimes this smart money or the big institutions try
to skip the important support and resistance level that is for example if they are bullish on a particular stock they will Gap up the price above the supply Zone where they could have faced
a potential selling price pressure another important point to note about gaps is that gaps can act as supports or resistances so in case of a gap up the
Gap can actually act as a support Zone and during a gap down the Gap can act as a resistance Zone we will use this particular idea further up in this video now another idea which is worth
mentioning is the idea of Gap filling now Gap fill refers to the price retracement back to the previous day closing price now you can ask the question that do all the gaps get filled
the simple answer to this question is a no that is not all gaps get filled however 90% of gaps eventually get filled the problem that you will have if
you are making trades thinking that a gap will get filled every single time is that even if it does get filled it can take a very long time while most gaps get filled quickly some gaps will not be
filled for months or even years so if you're looking to make trades aiming for The Gap to get filled then you need to keep in in mind that not all the gaps will fill and some of them will take a
very long time now all the gaps are not the same there are different types of gaps and actually the gaps are divided based on the context in which they appear so I'll talk about three of them
number one is the Breakaway Gap or the breakout gaps the Breakaway Gap means breaking the important support or resistance level or significant trend line in the form of a gap the Breakaway
Gap actually appears after the completion of an important pattern like a price in a consolidation range or a continuation or a reversal pattern so the main logic behind break of a gap is
that the smart money knows exactly where the support and resistance areas are let us say for example if the smart money is bullish and higher prices are anticipated the smart money will
certainly want a rally but the problem is how to avoid the old resistance which could trigger some selling pressure so what they will do is that they will Gap up through the B area of Supply as
quickly as possible as a way of avoiding the resistance now after the Breakaway Gap has occurred we have a clear sign of strength now the smart money does not want to have to buy the stock at higher
prices because they have already bought their main Holdings at lower levels during the consolidation and they also know that a breakout above the old resistance area will create a new wave
of buying in the market and how can they be sure about this number one many traders who have shorted at the market will now be forced to cover their positions by buying back the stocks and
then there will be a second group of traders who will be looking to buy the breakouts and finally there will also be traders in the market who may feel they are missing out on a big opportunity and
they will be encouraged to start buying most often or not the Breakaway Gap will not be a trap up move or a false breakout because High volumes will be supporting the move often now coming to
the second type of Gap it is a runaway gap or a measuring Gap in this case the price move have been underway for some while and somewhere in the middle of the move the prices will Gap up and this
type of Gap up is called as a Runway Gap so in case of an uptrend it is a sign of the continuation of a trend and also in case of a downtrend it is also a signal that the trend will continue moving on
to the third type which is an exhaustion Gap these are generally weak Gap UPS or Gap Downs so it can be a weak Gap up to the resistance or a weak gap down to a
support this price action is actually designed to trap you in a potentially weak market and into a poor trade and thereby hitting your stop losses and most often or not it will form a false
breakout or a false breakdown in the market well then let us figure out how to trade the gaps successfully there are several ways to leverage GS in the market to your advantage in this episode
however we will talk about the idea of breakouts and reversals with respect to Market gaps these strategies are based on two types of gaps with the open price depending upon the highs and and lows of
the previous trading section or the previous sessions range so it can be an outside Gap or a full Gap now this happens when the market open outside the previous day range that is the candle
opened outside the previous day high or the low for Gap up or gap down respectively and the second type of Gap is an inside gap or a partial Gap in this case the market open inside the
previous St range that is in case of a gap up the candle opened above the previous day close but not above the previous day high so there are three main factors we have to monitor to determine whether the Gap is real or a
trapped Gap so these three factors are the volume opening price and the pullback to a particular level let's talk about the volume briefly it is important to watch the volume carefully
when determining if a gap is valid or not so for example if a stock gaps up and the volume is also high and also the price remains above the opening price after the morning pullback it is an
excellent sign that this stock can further go on the upside in addition to volume you can also make use of an indicator called the VAP or the volume weighted average price which plots the
average price adjusted for volume on the chart and it is fairly very easy to make use of also the VAP assigns more weight to the price points with high volume to
talk about VAP briefly VAP is typically used with intraday charts as a way to determine the general direction of the intraday prices it is similar to a moving average in that when the price is
above the V app prices are rising and when the price is below the VAP the prices are falling but for the sake of this video we will go with the conventional approach of following the
volume bars for confirmations now talking about the time frames the strategies that I am about to discuss are based on a smaller time frame that is the intraday time frames particularly
on the 5 minute chart and considering the price data from two consecutive days where the Gap has occurred so to begin with I have to plot the previous day high and lows and also bring up the
volume indication on the chart then you have to see if it is a gap up or a gap down and you have to figure out if the Gap was a partial Gap or a full Gap now after finding out these prerequisites
you are ready to take either the breakout approach or the reversal approach and the most important thing of all do not trade the first hour after the market open in case of a gap opening
because we need to understand the price range or the price action happening during such a volatile opening so as to implement our strategy with some amount of confidence as I have mentioned
earlier there are two types of gaps partial gaps and full gaps and these can be further categorized to partial Gap ups and GAP downs and full Gap ups and
GAP Downs so for these four category of gaps we can actually Implement a long trade and a short trade which will leave us with eight different strategies to use with but at this point I will
pinpoint only four strategies IES which has a higher win rate than the other four strategies and let me make this very clear that sometimes the trades won't work out as we have planned and it
is better if we opt to not trade under such situations starting off with trading the full gaps let us talk about a full Gap up that is open price of the Gap up candle is higher than the
previous day high we have to note here that the previous day high is an important price level which can act as a support level for the prices it can trigger a buying pressure in the
direction of the Gap up so in this particular situation we have to wait for the prices to form a range during the first hour of the market open and then if we manage to find a pull back to the
previous day high which is the demand Zone here then we will look for a continuation trade on the upside Direction when the price actually breaks above the opening Range High or the high
that was formed during the first hour of Market open we also have to see if the volumes are favorable or high enough which will help to strengthen our trade confirmation we can enter a long trade
above the high of the range and we can keep the stop loss below the previous day high level with a suitable buffer and in case if the Open Range High is very large we can actually enter a trade
above the range keeping at least 1.5 is to1 risk to reward and placing the stop- loss below the highs of the range or below the breakout of the range candle
losss now you may have a doubt in your mind what if the gap of is too large that is if the price opened far above the previous day high which means it is
far away from any area of support and in such a case the probability of the price rate racing back to the support level or the previous day high level is very low
so as a price action Trader we can't initiate any reasonable trades as there is no critical price levels where we can find a trade entry and of course if there is any Market support and
resistance level near the 1 hour range after the market open then we can take a breakout or a reversal approach based on price action other than that it is better as a price action Trader to stay
away from such a huge shift from the price level as the win rate of the trade can be low I'm not saying that it is not possible to trade such huge gap UPS of course it is possible with technical
indicators like VAP which we will talk about in the technical analysis course but on the scope of a price action Trader it is better to stay away from such setups moving on let us talk about
a similar case but it is about a full gap down that is the price open below the previous day's low in this case the previous day low will act as a resistance level where there could be
potential sellers coming in and push the price lower so in our approach we will wait for the first hour so that the volatility will cool down and then if we see a pullback of the prices back to the
previous day low which is a potential resistance level now you have to mark the low price of the range so form during the first hour and if the price manages to break below this range low
with a high amount of volume then we can enter a continuation trade in the direction of the gap down we can take a short entry below the breakout of the range low and we can place the stop loss
above the previous day low or in case if the range is too large we can enter a short trade with a predefined reward to risk of at least 1.5 is to1 keeping the
stop- loss just above the breakdown of the range candle low similar to the previous case that we have discussed in case of a full Gap up in case of a full gap down where the open price is far
from the previous day low which is a potential resistance level the probability of a pull back or retest back to the resistance level is very low and it does not make any sense as a
price action Trader to be trading without a critical price level to rely upon so better avoid trading when the price does not respect any support or resistance levels now these are the two
full Gap trading strategies that I prefer using in contrast to their counterparts which are the full Gap up short trade and a full gap down long trade now the idea to trade the other
two techniques is based on the strength of the pullback which means if the pullback is very strong and breaks through the level with high volumes then we can think about implementing these two strategies we can research more
about the other two strategies if you are curious enough moving on let us talk about the two partial Gap trading strategies one of one of the most important points that we have discussed
earlier was that a gap can act as a support or resistance level when price does move in and close the gap or fill the Gap it will often bounce away and act as an area of Supply or demand so
there are two potential levels to consider out here the first one is the previous day closing price which can oppose the prices so is the opening candle of the particular day and consideration so both these levels are
potential levels for Price reversal so instead of considering both these these levels as separate entities we will look at them as a zone or area of price action now starting off with a partial
Gap up that is open price is above the previous day close but still below the previous day high level now when a market gaps up the Gap can act as a support level for any pullback the
pullback test the Gap with lighter volume which tells us that the price does not have enough legs to get pass through the gap or break down below the Gap Instead The Gap becomes a support
and there is a potential price reversal possible towards the upside and any bullish signal that is triggered is our buy entry so it can be a bullish pin bar
or a bullish engulfing pattern Etc we can also look for a rise in the volumes and the prices starts to rise we Ender long at this bullish signal that is we
can wait to enter above the reversal Candlestick high or for an even more conservative approach we can enter when the price breaks above the day high level formed so far but this particular
approach apprach of Entry doesn't make sense if the Range High is very close to the previous day high then there can be potential selling pressure and your trade can go against you so make sure to
maintain a good reward percentage and keep an eye on the important levels where the opposing pressure could potentially come in we can place the stop- loss just below the Gap Zone and
we can fix a reward to risk of at least 1.5 is to one or you can even keep the target as the previous day high level so the benefit of using this strategy is
that gaps fill 90% of time so this is a popular trading strategy the second strategy is when there is a partial gap down that is open price is below the
previous day close but it is still above the previous day low when a market gaps down then the Gap acts as a resistance level for any pullback if the pullback
tests the Gap with a smaller volume it tells us that the price does not have enough strength to break through the gap or break out above the Gap instead the Gap becomes a resistance level and there
is a potential price reversal possible towards the downside and any bearish signal such as a bearish engulfing candle or a bearish pin bar gets triggered it is our opportunity to short
the market we will also have to check if there is high enough volume associated with this particular move you can enter a short trade below the bearish confirmation Candlestick and place the
stop L just above the gap for safety or it is much better if you keep a predefined reward to risk before hand as a part of risk management now these were the two partial trading strategies the
two others are the partial Gap up with a short entry and the partial gap down with a long entry in these strategies also volume and pullbacks back to the Gap regions is the key that is if there
is a strong enough pullback assisted with strong volume break through the Gap Zone then we can think about utilizing these techniques you can check them out yourself if you want you can also notice
that all the strategies that we have discussed we were actually taking a trade in the direction of the Gap and not against it and finally it is up to you as a Trader to back test these
strategies on the chart and find out if you can actually Implement successfully in your trades now that is it for today guys I hope you have learned something new if you have please do like the video
and subscribe to the channel and don't forget to press the Bell icon so that you don't miss out on the upcoming videos you can also follow us on our official Instagram page I will see you
guys on another video till then see you
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