Game Theory #19: The Hollywood-Pentagon Complex

This weekend we have reached a turning point in the war. It is possible that in a few hours or by tomorrow we will reach

the point of no return. Donald Trump has threatened the Iranians saying that on Tuesday, if the Iranians still refuse to

open the Strait of Humus, then the Americans will destroy the Iranian power plants

and bridges and universities. Basically,

the Americans will start attacking critical civil infrastructure which will force Iranians to strike hard against

the GCC, the oil fields, the dissalination plants, the universities as well. And this would mean that the

as well. And this would mean that the world would lose 20% of its energy supply.

And this would be catastrophe for the global economy.

It would uh de-industrialize the world and would create global famine among other problems. Okay. So next few hours,

next day um we could reach the point of no return in this war. Hopefully Trump

is bluffing because he has known to bluff before.

In fact, he's issued many ultimatums to Ran before and then he sort of tackled, right? Trump always chickens out and he

right? Trump always chickens out and he said, "You know what? I said a day, but I'll give you a week instead." But this time, I want to show you that it's

different. I want to show you that this

different. I want to show you that this weekend the Americans went allin. They

launched a ground invasion. It failed.

And instead of saying, you know what, um, we probably can't beat Iran. Let's

negotiate a peace deal. What the

Americans will do is they will go all in now and launch a full-scale ground invasion called the national draft and the world will never be the same again.

Okay, so this is a tweet that Donald Trump um sent to the Iranians and he calls them crazy bastards.

Um and he says praise be to Allah. So a

lot of people think he is now the reigns. Clearly he's angry at the

reigns. Clearly he's angry at the Radians. All right.

Radians. All right.

All right. So, um,

the Americans and the Israelis have constantly escalated attacks against civilian targets in Iran. So, uh, Trump

ordered the destruction of Iran's largest bridge. Okay.

largest bridge. Okay.

All right. Right here. Right. You guys

see that? Okay. And this is considered a war crime because you're not supposed to t target target civilian infrastructure.

Now, you can make the argument that this is dual use, meaning that the military uses it as well, but everything is dual use, right? Because the military also

use, right? Because the military also uses water, they also use electricity, their kids also go to university. So, um

there's a great fear now that we already at the point of no return. And the

Iranians themselves have promised to start to attack universities in the GCC as well. Okay. In retaliation.

as well. Okay. In retaliation.

Um so if Trump were to destroy the Iranian power plants, uh this would be devastating for the Iranian economy. And

there's news now that Iran is organizing a uh protest where young people are asked to go to power plants and form a human

chain so that if the jets come destroy the power plants they will be destroyed as well. Um so some people think that

as well. Um so some people think that okay this is the Iranians calling the bluff of Trump. That's not a good idea

because the first day of the war, the Americans killed uh 168 school girls in southern Iran. So this shows that the

southern Iran. So this shows that the Iranian the Americans and the Israelis don't really care about human life. Um

but by doing this, if the Americans actually do destroy uh power plants and they do kill a lot of young people in the process, what this would do is

galvanize the nation into total war.

Okay. So what's important to understand is that um throughout this war there have been different voices in Iran. Okay. Some

like the the Asafic Refugeary Guard want total war. But there are also some who

total war. But there are also some who are worried about the economic damage because of this war. They're also

worried about giving power to too too much giving too much power to the military. Okay. But if Donald Trump goes

military. Okay. But if Donald Trump goes and attacks these power plants, then the Iranians will be going to total war, they will be totally committed to destroying the American military

presence in the Middle East as well as the global economy. Okay?

And unfortunately, the Americans in the Shis don't really care because they're committed to destroying um Iran as a viable nation state. Already we are

seeing increases in fuel prices. Okay?

So if you are in the um red, it means that you've seen prices go up a lot. Okay, if you are in the red,

so America, Australia, um they've seen prices skyrocket. Uh China has also seen

prices skyrocket. Uh China has also seen prices skyrocket as well as well as Europe. This is only just the beginning.

Europe. This is only just the beginning.

Um we can we can expect gas prices to skyrocket so much that essentially collapses the civilian aviation industry meaning meaning that in the future you want to

fly it might cost you 10 times as much as it does now. Okay. And this will happen very very quickly. But again the

main issue and I need to emphasize this.

The main issue is not the fuel. The main

issue is the fertilizer.

And the fertilizer is important because you need fertilizer to grow food. And we

are in the planting season. You guys

don't know this, but it is because fertilizer that we are that we are allowed to support 8 billion people. If

we do not have access to fertilizer, we can only grow enough food to support one to two billion people.

And unfortunately this means that Africa um and parts of South South Asia a lot of people there will starve to death. So

the main concern is famine. Okay, not

airline tickets.

All right, let's continue. All right, so as this war is progressing, we need to step back and recognize that this is a global war. So, um, the the Ukrainians

global war. So, um, the the Ukrainians use drones to attack and destroy an oily

pot, an oil terminal in Russia. And this

means now that 40% 40% guys of Russia's oil exports have gone offline, right?

So what's happening is that not only is the server home was closed but the Americans are also attacking uh Russia's

oil. Okay. So you have drone strikes in

oil. Okay. So you have drone strikes in terminals but also you don't rec you don't see this in the news but also there's um a basically a naval blockade.

So if you are a Russian uh oil tanker the American if the Americans come and catch you they'll take your oil. Okay.

So this basically piracy.

So in other words, the American strategy before was okay, before we were the world's uh global reserve currency and

as a result we uh encouraged global trade but now that we are not but now that our economy is suffering well let's just control the

sea lanes. Okay. So that's American

sea lanes. Okay. So that's American strategy moving forward. All right. Um,

some major news from Germany is that if you are a German male under 45, okay, basically from 17 to 45, this age room, this age group, you are not allowed to

leave the country for more than 3 months without army permission.

This is a prelude to a national draft.

Okay? And why is Germany doing this?

Because Germany is an industrial nation.

And if Russian energy supply goes offline, if energy from the GCC goes offline, Germany has no choice but to

remilitarize and create its own energy supplies. Okay? So, Germany must go to

supplies. Okay? So, Germany must go to war. It has absolutely no choice in the

war. It has absolutely no choice in the matter.

All right? So, let's talk briefly about what's going to happen over the next year. So as I said before, the United

year. So as I said before, the United States was the global reserve currency and that mean meant basically that for every transaction that you made with US

dollars, they could tax you. Okay?

Because they could inflate the price of the US dollar. But now that people are choosing to opt out of the US dollar, for example, in China, people are buying

more gold, right? And people are using other currencies. America in order to

other currencies. America in order to maintain its empire has to change its strategy. Now the main source of

strategy. Now the main source of American power is its ability to control sea lanes. Okay? Because it has military

sea lanes. Okay? Because it has military bases all around the world. Okay? So in

the red these are all areas with US bases and before it used these US bases in order to maintain global trade. But

with nations choosing to opt out of your system, now your option, now your strategy is to blockade

them, right? Could enable blockade,

them, right? Could enable blockade, starve them of resources, which forces them to come beg to you for trade access. Okay, so we've gone from a

access. Okay, so we've gone from a strategy where America guaranteed global trade to America basically being a mafia state, being pirates and allowing you to

use um seal lanes and giving you trade access. Okay, does that make sense? And

access. Okay, does that make sense? And

believe it or not, but America does not actually need to do that much work in order to control trade around the world.

it just it just needs to control certain trade or um certain choke points. Okay.

So the Panama Canal is one choke point and that's why about a third of um America's navy is deployed to the

Caribbean right now. All right. And its

main purpose is to block off trade um in the Western Hemisphere. So if you are China, if you are Japan and you are South Korea, if you want to access Western resources, Western hemisphere

resources, you need the permission from the US government. And the um example of course is Venezuela where they remove the president and now they basically have a blockade over Venezuela. And so

the Venezuelan government is very cooperative. Okay, they're basically

cooperative. Okay, they're basically over obedient. There's um and so what we

over obedient. There's um and so what we can expect next is for Trump to exert authority over Greenland. Why? Because

this is the Arctic choke point. Okay,

which gives you access to Canada uh and to Europe as well. We're going to also expect um America to basically create a choke point over the straight home

moves. Right? So right now the issue is

moves. Right? So right now the issue is that the Iranians control the st. But

the Americans can also choose to blockade the shoo. Okay? Does that make sense? All right. The major choke point

sense? All right. The major choke point in the world of course is something called the straight of Malaka.

Why? Because that this is where China gets most of its resources from Africa from the Middle East. Okay, through this very small choke point and again unfortunately there are lots of US

military bases in this area. So as long as America is able to maintain these three major choke points, the Panama Canal um the Middle East and Malaka oh

and also sorry Greenland as well then America can control naval access okay trade access maritime navigation it can control all these things and so what's

going to happen is this the big event this year moving forward is that Russia will militarize its shuttle fleet.

Okay. Basically, Russia has a channel fleet about a thousand uh ships. It will

provide mercenaries to the ships and then it will start to uh engage America in the oceans. The point is not to defeat the American Navy. You can't do

that. Okay? The point is to create a war

that. Okay? The point is to create a war of attrition where you know that the Americans will have problems rebuilding these ships and these ships are pretty

old as well and the sailors are on them are pretty tired. So you just force them into conflict and then this naval capacity of the United States will degrade over time. Okay, this is something to look out for over the next

year or two years. There's conflict in the seas that will arise between Russia and the United States. Okay. And then

you ask yourself, okay, well, how about China? Because China is actually the

China? Because China is actually the main beneficiary of um oceanic trade and China is going to do China, which is to say that China is going to try to

negotiate between Russia and America and try to triangulate the two and try to come to peace with all two. Okay? And

that often means paying both off, paying both the Russians and paying the the Americans off. And and that's what

Americans off. And and that's what that's what happened in May when Trump visits China, right? Okay. We'll talk

talk more about that later on.

Okay. So, the big news this weekend and this something I want to focus on for the rest of lecture is the Americans said that one of their one

of their jets, it's called an F-15. This

about a $90 million plane. Okay. It was

shot down over uh Iran. Okay. Um basically in uh this area right here.

And you ask yourself, okay, the Americans have aeros supremacy over Iran. So how is it possible for the

Iran. So how is it possible for the Iranians shoot down um a plane? And the

answer is this. The US Air Force is not designed to fight a long war. It's

designed to fight at most a two-eek war.

If you fight for too long, you have certain issues. One issue is

certain issues. One issue is maintenance.

Okay? Which is these are very expensive planes. They require a lot of

planes. They require a lot of maintenance. But if they're flying too

maintenance. But if they're flying too much, if they're if they have too much work, they suffer from wear and tear.

Okay. Another issue is just fatigue where these pilots are being asked to work too hard, they get tired, they get

lazy. Now the last thing is this Iranian

lazy. Now the last thing is this Iranian um resilience.

Okay? And all this means is that as you're bombing the Iranians, the Iranians have to figure out how to strike back at you. Their radar systems don't really work. So what they use is

use heatseeking missiles. Okay? So

rather rather than trying to figure out where you are, this five missiles up in the air and hope and hope to log on to your hit signature and knock you down.

Okay? All right. So over time, all this means is that as this war progresses, if you insist on fighting a ear war, you're going to lose more and more planes as

your pilots get tired, as men issues arise, as Iranians become much more creative in their response. Okay? So, a

pilot was shot down and two pilots were able to eject safely out of their plane.

Now, it is the policy of the American military to leave no man behind.

And this is the and and the Americans are one one of the few militaries actually do this where if you're behind enemy lines, they will try to rescue

you. and they spent years training you

you. and they spent years training you on how to invade uh enemy capttors.

They'll spend a lot of resources trying to save you. And the propaganda is that this is to show you how Americans really value

uh human life and it's something Americans are very proud of. But another

reason why Americans do this is this optics, which is that that the Americans believe that the military is invincible

and they spend a lot of money and resources in order to create this image, this aura of invisibility and invisibility. So if the Iranians are

invisibility. So if the Iranians are able to capture a pilot and have him appear on Iranian TV, this is a huge

propaganda win for the Iranians. Meaning

this meaning that if the Americans the Americans will try your best the Americans will try their best to save you but they can't save you and there's a risk that the enemy will capture you they rather have you killed okay because

they can't afford to lose this propaganda war for the Americans everything is optics as I will show you later on this is going to be a huge issue in this war okay as this war

progresses now there are a lot of issues with um the story that's being told to us.

Okay, the Americans said that they have successfully evacuated both pilots. They

have saved both pilots. But the issue is this. The issue is that we know that

this. The issue is that we know that um the Americans created a makeshift landing strip, basically an airport, a

small airport 200 kilometers from um where the airman actually

was knocked down. So he had he had to hike a long way in order to get to Lenning strip. Also he was injured. I

Lenning strip. Also he was injured. I

mean he he broke his ankle or something.

Okay, so that was very very hard to do.

Also, he's trying to evade uh enemy capture. Okay, so this story doesn't

capture. Okay, so this story doesn't really make sense. And why did the Americans decide to create a landing strip here rather some place someplace closer? And why would you need 155

closer? And why would you need 155 planes for this operation? Right? Aren't

you better off with just one or two to like avoid enemy fire? So, this is a very strange story, but it gets weirder.

Okay.

Um, it turns out that the Americans basically spent a lot of resources to to

save the pilot. It took 48 hours and the CIA created a lot of distractions and the um Americans spent spent a lot of

resources to save the man while the Iranians were trying to capture him.

Okay. And this led to the destruction of very expensive American planes. Okay.

The these are called C130. So they're

transport planes and they were destroyed in the rescue operation. Now the

American story is that these planes were caught in the sand. They couldn't lift off. So Del Force, the commandos who are

off. So Del Force, the commandos who are trying to save the pilot, they blew up the um planes themselves. Okay. And as

you can see, the Americans in this operation, they lost a lot of expensive planes. The estimates are the Americans

planes. The estimates are the Americans lost $300 million in planes. And even

though the Americans say that there were no casualties in this rescue, we can expect that there were casualties in this rescue because a lot of planes were destroyed. Okay? And again, these are

destroyed. Okay? And again, these are very expensive planes.

And throughout this war, the Americans have lost quite a few planes. Um the C um uh 130

are extremely um expensive. Okay.

All right.

Okay. All right. So, this has led people to question whether or not the narrative is true or not. Now, you can make the argument that this narrative is true.

You can make the argument that the American military prides itself on no man left behind. So, they will do whatever they can move heaven and earth to save that person. And that's

something that the Americans take pride in. But again there are issues with this

in. But again there are issues with this narrative. So this is um a man named

narrative. So this is um a man named Arnon Petron and on Twitter he explains that the story doesn't really make

sense. Okay. So the first thing is how

sense. Okay. So the first thing is how did a fighter jet American fighter jet get knocked down in Iran when the Americans

have said that they have a supremacy over the country? Another issue is that um the weapons director, sorry, the

weapons systems officer is a colonel. A

colonel is a very high ranking individual in American military. So why

would he participate in this operation?

That's very strange. Um, and even though he was injured, seriously wounded according to Trump, he still managed to hike up a 7,000 ft mountain ridge line

and hide in a crib in the Zag mountains for 48 hours despite his wounds. Also,

we don't know who he is.

He He's never been identified. He was

never interviewed by the press, which is unusual because once because if you rescue the man, you make him into a national TV star, right? So, there are a lot of issues with this story. All

right. So, um, Emmer, could you do me a favor and just read the summary?

Okay.

So, to sum up, anti-aircraft equipment that supposedly didn't exist shot down an F-15 and apparently an A-10 Warthog.

The same day, a seriously wounded man climbed a 1 uh 2.1 km uh kilome mountain. The US seized an airfield 200

mountain. The US seized an airfield 200 miles inside a country it's at war with next to one of its most strategic nuclear sites and deployed hundreds of

troops all apparently unimpeded. Lost

two planes to sand and destroyed their own helicopters. Videos show heavy

own helicopters. Videos show heavy clashes, missiles raining down, but not a single person got even wounded. And

the man at the center of it all, nobody knows who he is. Completely anonymous.

zero pictures, but Trump says he is safe and sound and so is the rescued Aton Warthog pilot who also remains anonymous. Okay, so again, this story

anonymous. Okay, so again, this story makes absolutely no sense. Um, you we don't understand why they had to build an airport. We don't understand how

an airport. We don't understand how these planes got destroyed. And the fact that there are no casualties absolutely makes no sense whatsoever. Okay, so

maybe something else is going on and people online are speculating that this was actually a failed ground invasion

and the mission was to sneak into Iran's nuclear power plant located in the area and steal Iran's uh enriched uranium which it would need to build a nuclear

weapon. Okay? And by doing that you deny

weapon. Okay? And by doing that you deny the Iranians capacity to build a nuclear weapon and you can declare a victory.

Okay? All right. So, what's the evidence for this? Well, on March 7th, 2020 uh

for this? Well, on March 7th, 2020 uh 2026, so um at the beginning of this war, a journalist named Barack David uh

Barack Ravid wrote an article in Axios uh which is a Washingtonbased uh media outlet saying that the US is considering spending special sending special forces

to seize Iran's nuclear stock power.

Okay. Now, Ver Rabbit is is famous in in Washington DC because he's very close with the Israelis. He himself is Israeli. So, he's able to get a lot of

Israeli. So, he's able to get a lot of information from the government. Okay.

So, from March 7th onward, there was news reporting that the Americans would insert special forces to steal the uranium. No one took this seriously

uranium. No one took this seriously because it's so stupid. Are you

seriously going to send in like a hundred guys into the middle of Iran and like hope they can sneak into a

military base and steal that uranium and then run away? THAT'S JUST NO ONE WOULD do that. Okay, so everyone's like, "This is just this is just a scar.

This is just disinformation." Okay, no one took it seriously. I didn't take this seriously at all. But then

4 days ago, sorry not 4 days, a week ago, the Washington Post leaks a Pentagon plan to do exactly that. And it's a very detailed plan that

that. And it's a very detailed plan that involves hundreds or thousands of troops. Okay. And the idea is to build a

troops. Okay. And the idea is to build a leting strip near the power plant in order to land forces, in order to land um equipment.

So, this is a very detailed plan. The

problem, so when this first came out, again, I didn't take it seriously because this is so Are you seriously going to build an airport by

yourself in the middle of Iran and hope the Iranians don't notice and you're going to land a thousand troops in the middle of mountains where

they're going to rain missiles on you?

It makes no sense what whatsoever. Okay.

But unfortunately, if you just look at what happened this weekend, this is the plan they used where they sent 155 aircraft to try to create a landing strip. They sent in

special forces. It was exact exactly the

special forces. It was exact exactly the plan that Washington Post reported on.

Okay. But then the question is, wait a minute here. This is a top secret

minute here. This is a top secret military plan. How did the Washington

military plan. How did the Washington Post get this? Well, the answer is because we assume that some generals gave it to them. All right. Peter Hex,

the secretary of war for Donald Trump, fired the top generals for the military.

And we don't know why.

There was never a reason given, but we can suspect what happened was this.

Donald Trump asked the generals to come up with a plan to steal the uranium. And

the generals are like, "Let's just humor him. Okay, let's come up with this

him. Okay, let's come up with this stupid insane plan that there's no way this guy would agree to." And then we'll forget about it. They present to Donald Trump and Donald Trump's like, "THIS IS

A BRILLIANT PLAN. THIS IS A GREAT MOVIE.

LET'S DO THIS, GUYS." THE GENERALS are like, "Oh my god, he is insane.

Oh my god, we are so screwed, man. And

they refuse to carry it out. So Peter XF is like, well then you're fired. Okay.

And then Peter XF orders the new generals to execute this plan.

So again, we don't know what happened.

We will never know what happened, but the evidence suggests that this this might have been a failed ground invasion. Another piece of evidence to

invasion. Another piece of evidence to suggest that this was a fail gun invasion with the intention of stealing the uranium is that the Iranians were

able to recover ID from dur in the crime side. Okay. And it

turns out that this woman happens to specialize in nuclear technology, an engineer. Why would you need an engineer

engineer. Why would you need an engineer who specializ in nuclear technology to rescue a pilot?

Right. That's kind of strange.

And the Americans have done stupid things like this before. Okay. So, in

1980, in 1980, um the Americans implemented something called Operation Eagle Claw. And the

idea was that at this time the Iranians had taken hostages, American hostages in Tran, the American embassy. Okay. So Jimmy Carter

American embassy. Okay. So Jimmy Carter the president authorized a rescue operation. So but Iran was too big. So

operation. So but Iran was too big. So

what they did was the American military set up a foreign operating base in the desert halfway between uh Persian Gulf and Tran. When they landed in their base

and Tran. When they landed in their base there there was a sandstorm and a lot of their planes malfunction and they recognize that oh my god it's really

hard to go through such an operation in Iran. So we should just go home. Okay.

Iran. So we should just go home. Okay.

So that was 1980 when Americans were were pretty sane.

Unfortunately, Americans are no longer sane. Okay. This is June 3rd when the

sane. Okay. This is June 3rd when the Americans swept into Venezuela and kidnapped their president Maduro, thus ending the conflict between Venezuela

and America. This is great TV. The plan

and America. This is great TV. The plan

worked out perfectly. It showed that Delforce was invincible. And

unfortunately, Donald Trump believes this, okay? He believes that we did this

this, okay? He believes that we did this in Venezuela, we can do this in Iran.

And this explains how and why Donald Trump would agree to such an insane plan as to try to build an American military

base in the middle of your enemy. Okay.

So the main message here is that whoever is leaving America whether it's Donald Trump or other people for whatever reason they believe that optics is all

that matters. Okay they think that

that matters. Okay they think that reality is a movie a Hollywood movie is if they can script it properly then the movie will turn out to be a wonderful

wonderful thing. Okay, this is a war

wonderful thing. Okay, this is a war about optics rather than strategy and unfortunately this is just how

America's going to fight the war from now on. Okay, so let's just discuss what

now on. Okay, so let's just discuss what you need to win a war. If you are fighting a war, what are three things you need to look at? Okay, and there are three things and that's it. First thing

you want to look at is economics.

Okay economics.

Second thing you want to look at is organization.

The third thing you want to look at is logistics.

All right. So, what what what do I mean by this? Well, the first thing is

by this? Well, the first thing is resource management.

In other words, you're trying to win a war as cheaply and as quickly as possible.

Okay? Unfortunately, right now, the Americans are not fighting a war of economics. If you're spending $300

economics. If you're spending $300 million in military equipment in order to rescue a pilot, you're not going to win this war. Okay? So, econ economics

is really m is really important. Second

is idea of organization which is the implementation of strategy.

Right? So you have a strategy and then you implement it. And here what's really

implement it. And here what's really important is the simpler the strategy the easier easier it is to implement.

Okay? You want the strategy to be very simple because you have to organize it implement it. So if you are trying to

implement it. So if you are trying to build an air base in the middle of Iran so you can extract extract uranium from Iranians that's not a good organization.

Okay, this thing is going to blow up in your face. The third issue is logistics

your face. The third issue is logistics which is just supply. Okay, supply.

Making sure that your forces have the necessary equipment, the resources in order to fight the war effectively. And

right now the Americans are not concerned with any of these issue. E

economics, organization and logistics.

But these are the three major issues that you need to figure out if you want to win a war. Okay?

And unfortunately, right now, the Americans are too much focused on optics and narrative.

So that's why I think the Americans will ultimately lose this war because the Iranians are actually fighting a real war where they're trying to win the war as cheaply as possible with where they're implementing a very simple

strategy that allows for proper organization and they and they are trying to um maintain logistics. Okay,

the Americans are just trying to uh win the war in the most Hollywood fashion as possible and this is going to lead to

disaster both in the short term and the long term. So the question then is why

long term. So the question then is why Americans like this and unfortunately the answer is because there's too much cooperation between Hollywood and the

Pentagon. All right. So this is a movie

Pentagon. All right. So this is a movie saving part saving part right in the and this was made in the year 1998. Okay.

And this is one of the um highest growing the highest grossing films in Hollywood history where a private uh

named Ryan of course he is lost behind enemy lines in the Europe and his brothers all killed. So

his mother writes a very angry letter to General Marshall and says, "All my sons are dead except for one and he's missing." And so General Marshall is

missing." And so General Marshall is like, "We can't have this, okay? This is

this makes us look bad. We have to win the home front." Okay, Europe, this warfront, it's secondary to the home front. We need to make sure that the

front. We need to make sure that the American people are fully behind this war. So he sends a team led by uh this

war. So he sends a team led by uh this man played by Tom Hanks to go and save Private Ryan. And they do, but at the

Private Ryan. And they do, but at the cost of his life. Okay. And this movie is based on a letter that Abraham

Lincoln wrote to a mother in the American Civil War. Okay. 1864. And this

considered one Abraham Lincoln's most um brilliant pieces of writing. Okay. So um Amber, could you help me read this, please?

Dear madam, I have been shown in the files of the war department a statement of the adjunant general of Massachusetts that

you are the mother of five sons who have died gloriously on the field of battle.

I feel how weak and fruitless must be any words of mine which should attempt to beguile you from the grief of a loss so overwhelming. But I cannot refrain

so overwhelming. But I cannot refrain from tendering to you the consolation that may be found in the thanks of the republic they died to save. I pray that

our heavenly father may as sewage the anguish of your bare bereiement bereiement and leave you only the cherished memory of the loved and lost

and the solemn pride that must be yours to have laid so costly a sacrifice upon the altar of freedom. Yours very

sincerely and respectfully. A Lincoln.

Great. Great. Okay. Um, the sacrifice upon the altar of freedom. Okay. So, our

democracy, our republic is our God and our sacrifice is worth it as long as we can maintain our freedom and our liberty. Okay? And

this is the defining theology of the American military.

All right. Um, this has led to the military becoming more of a propaganda machine. Okay, so this is the

propaganda machine. Okay, so this is the movie Blackhawk Down. If you saw the movie, then it's about these special forces, Delta Force that go in and save a pilot

uh when they are when his helicopter was brought down in uh Somalia. Okay. Okay.

And this was a b based on a book by Mark Balden writing about the incident which happened in the late '9s. Okay. All

right. The problem is that this movie is complete BS. In the book, what happened

complete BS. In the book, what happened was that the helicopter was brought down and the pilot was taken hostage by the Somali. But he was treated very well and

Somali. But he was treated very well and eventually he was allowed to go home after the government paid a ransom.

Okay, that's what happened in real life.

But in the movie, what happened was that Delta Force went in and saved the pilot from those trying to kidnap him. And

this goes back to the to the mythology of No Men Left Behind. Now, there's a very important scene in Black Hawkdown where a general confronts Delta Force

and Delta Force was created for operations like this. And what and what the general says to Delta Force is you guys are a bunch of cowboys. And what

he's saying is that you guys, you double force, you special forces, you guys never you guys think you're superior to everyone. You think that we all revolve

everyone. You think that we all revolve around you. You think that we we should

around you. You think that we we should all serve you. You guys are ego-driven.

All you care about is glory for yourself. And eventually your ego, your

yourself. And eventually your ego, your arrogance are going to be are going to be your downfall as well as the downfall of the American military. Okay.

Um this is a movie. This is Jessica Lynch.

And in 2003, she was serving in the war in Iran, Iraq. actually Iraq, sorry. And

her co her um her team got lost and they were ambushed by the Iraqis and then she was um kidnapped. But then because she was injured, the military, the Iraqi

military sent her to a hospital, a civil hospital. And the people in the hospital

hospital. And the people in the hospital treated her very very well and they actually tried to send her home in an ambulance. But when the ambulance tried

ambulance. But when the ambulance tried to reach the Americans, Americans bombed the ambulance. So the ambulance had to

the ambulance. So the ambulance had to turn back and but but the Iraqis informed the Americans where she was and told the Iraqis, you and so told the Americans, you you can come and pick her

up anytime, okay? She's she's safe.

We're taking care of her, but if you want but if you want to take her home, it's okay. The Americans response

it's okay. The Americans response organized special forces to go and rescue her even though she was not in danger. and the media report that she

danger. and the media report that she was raped, she was beaten, and she was held hostage. Okay, so that's what the

held hostage. Okay, so that's what the Pentagon does. The Pentagon is a

Pentagon does. The Pentagon is a propaganda machine. It doesn't care

propaganda machine. It doesn't care about the truth. It just cares about trying to create a Hollywood movie out of a movie. Okay? So, Pentagon is

concerned first and foremost about creating a Hollywood movie out of a war.

That's its own that that's its mentality. Um, we know this because

mentality. Um, we know this because Jessica Lynch after she was set free went on TV and said that the military is lying about the incident. I was never

beaten. I was never in danger. The

beaten. I was never in danger. The

people in the hospital treat me very nice. In fact, the nurses sang me to

nice. In fact, the nurses sang me to sleep because they were so concerned about my welfare. All right. All right.

So, this is a huge problem for the American military, for the Pentagon as they fight this war. You can pull this crap when you're fighting Somalis and Iraqis, but against the Iranians, you

need total war. You need to focus on economics, organization, and logistics.

Stop doing this crap of optics, okay, and narrative. Unfortunately, it's it it

and narrative. Unfortunately, it's it it has it is now the very mentality of the Pentagon to turn war into a Hollywood

movie. All right. So this is a paper

movie. All right. So this is a paper written by Kennor Merles at Brown University and what this author talks

about is how the Pentagon and Hollywood are aligned together. All right. So so

so can you read the three major take takeaways? Um um Amber

takeaways? Um um Amber in exchange for the use of military equipment and personnel movies and TV program producers must comply with

Pantukon entertainment policy including script changes to align with military goals including recruitment and public relations.

Since the inception of the Hollywood entertainment industry more than a century ago, over 2,500 war themed movies and TV programs have been made

with Pentagon assistance. Pentagon

assisted movies uh movies and TV shows frame US wars as necessary and glorious, downplaying the ignoring uh downplaying or ignoring the human, social, and

environmental devastation war causes, particularly for civilians. US soldiers

are typically cast as noble protagonists while those non US people's people's deemed enemies of America are constantly stereotyped.

Okay. So what this paper is saying is that the Pentagon uses Hollywood in order to indoctrinate and brainwash American people to believe that war is

good. Okay. So that's true. But what's

good. Okay. So that's true. But what's

also true is that by working with Hollywood, it brainwashes the Pentagon to believe that war can be like Hollywood. It can

be perfected. As long as you create a good script, it will work out in the end. Okay? And this will lead to

end. Okay? And this will lead to disaster in Iran. So think about again Donald Trump where it's a failed ground invasion.

And so if it's a failed innovation, what you do is you go back, you sit down with Pentagon planners and you figure out what went wrong and how to never make the mistake again. But Donald Trump does

not want to admit it was a failed ground invasion. So they made up a stupid

invasion. So they made up a stupid Hollywood movie, a stupid Hollywood script that this was a rescue of a American pilot that it will turn into a Hollywood movie at some point. And so

from their perspective, this is a huge success. Okay. And this is going to lead

success. Okay. And this is going to lead to problems because if it's a huge success, then do it again, right? And if people think it's failure,

right? And if people think it's failure, prove that they're wrong by having successful ground invasion. All right?

So unfortunately, the fact of the matter is that America right now, the American military, it's too dominated by special forces, by Delta Force, by Navy Seals who are interested only in their own

personal glory. Okay? Okay, I'm not

personal glory. Okay? Okay, I'm not saying I'm not saying all of them, but I'm saying there's quite a lot of them who understand that after this war is over, they can make they can sign a book deal. They can write a book, make

deal. They can write a book, make millions of dollars, which will be turned into a movie, and they'll and then they'll be a superstar. Okay, so

that's what that's how they think and what they should be thinking about are organization, logistics, and e economics because these are the three things that win wars. All right. Okay. Any

win wars. All right. Okay. Any

questions guys?

I personally also think that America is likely to um make a movie about saving the pirates in Iran. But I think it will

be similar as uh saving pirate Ryan. But

could you please tell me whether the plot of saving uh private Ryan is true or it's just made made it up?

Yeah, it it's it's just a madeup movie.

Yeah. Most of these things are are made up, okay? They don't really turn out the

up, okay? They don't really turn out the way that that they they do. But like the problem with Hollywood is that it's so seductive. It's so attractive that

seductive. It's so attractive that people think they're true. Okay? People

think that the movie is more true than real life. And that's how not only the

real life. And that's how not only the Pentagon works, but also like all of American society works now. Americans

live in their own fantasy world created by Hollywood. And the realities of war

by Hollywood. And the realities of war are too far away from for them to care about. Okay? I mean, Americans think

about. Okay? I mean, Americans think that, oh, at worst case scenario, my my the food prices will go up. And you

can't really imagine how this war will ever forever change the world as well as America. Okay. Um, yeah.

America. Okay. Um, yeah.

How many more of these spectacles do you think America can afford recreating? or

let's say how many more times would America like learn to understand that this this like like optical

Hollywood act will not no longer work for their plan. Will they ever will they ever work?

Okay, that's a great um question to answer is they will never ever learn.

Okay, because they live in a different reality. Like Donald Trump surrounds

reality. Like Donald Trump surrounds himself with people who just tell him what he wants to hear. And the reason why he's able to go in front of the

press and say what a great success in that that we had in saving a pilot.

Okay. The reason why the reason why he's able to do that is because he himself believes this. Okay. He lives in

believes this. Okay. He lives in alternate reality, a fantasy land. And

that's why he's able to to so convincingly tell the press and the American people that this was a great success. Even

though if you look at the evidence, this was a tremendous failure. And

unfortunately, this will not change. As

this war continues, you have more incidents like this. We just say it it's a failure that the American military and and Donald Trump um spin as a tremendous

success. And so the American people will

success. And so the American people will continue to believe that this war is going well. Okay? And and we know this

going well. Okay? And and we know this because this is exactly what happened in Ukraine. For the past few years, Russia

Ukraine. For the past few years, Russia has been dominating the battlefield and has been um killing many, many Ukrainians. It's been a disaster for

Ukrainians. It's been a disaster for Ukraine. But you don't know this if

Ukraine. But you don't know this if you're American, if you're an average American because the news tell you that this war is going great. One more day, guys, and Putin will fall. One more day

the Russian economy will collapse. The

Russian people will revolt and Putin will be out of office. One more day and the and Ukraine Ukrainians will reach Moscow. Okay. Same situation here where

Moscow. Okay. Same situation here where one more day and Iran will surrender.

One more day the Iranian economy will collapse. The people will revolt and

collapse. The people will revolt and then we'll have peace in the Middle East. Okay. So unfortunately

East. Okay. So unfortunately

this is modern war where it's really about optics. But again you want to win

about optics. But again you want to win this war don't focus on optics because ultimately you're the one focusing yourself. Okay. Yeah.

yourself. Okay. Yeah.

But despite that America is strong in this kind of Hollywood and war scene but I think they still holds dominant position and still holds the strongest uh military weapon in the world. and

they still have, you know, the sovereignty to state and control many of those countries. How can you explain

those countries. How can you explain that?

Okay, you're actually right in that America is still the empire and America will not fall because of this war. Worst

case scenario, they lose, they they go home. Okay, so one thing that I I I want

home. Okay, so one thing that I I I want us to think about is that the strategic objectives of the Americans and the Iranians are not actually in conflict with each other. Okay. So if you look at

the Iranians, they want to um get America out of Middle East. All right?

Middle East. All right?

They want to destroy the global economy and they want to deter Israel. Okay?

Does that make sense? These are the three strategic objectives of Iran. to

remove America out of the Middle East forever to deter Israel. You can't

destroy Israel because Israel has nuclear weapon, but you show Israel you're strong and you you can hurt them if you if Israel goes too far and you want to destroy the global economy

because you want to reset the global economy in a way that benefits you.

Okay, so these are three strategic objectives of Iran in this war. Let's

look at America. America is okay. Uh

destroy Iran as a nation state.

Okay. Which basically means you destroy the desalination plants, the power plants, the universities, the reservoirs and you try to create ethnic conflict.

Okay. Uh buffanize

uh Iran. Okay. So you basically encourage ethnic uprisings throughout the uh country. Okay. Now the last thing

you want to do is isolate Iran.

So you want to destroy Iran's capacity to trade with Russia and China. Okay. So

if you look at what's happening, one really strange thing about this war is that these strategic objectives are not in conflict with each other. Even if

Iran is able to achieve its strategic objectives, it doesn't prevent America from achieving its strategic object objectives. So in other words, at the

objectives. So in other words, at the end of this war, what what we can expect is both countries achieve their strategic objectives. Okay, which is to

strategic objectives. Okay, which is to say that America is now out of the Middle East. Um Israel is humbled and

Middle East. Um Israel is humbled and the global economy is destroyed. But at

the same time, Iran is destroyed as a nation state. It's balconized. Uh, it's

nation state. It's balconized. Uh, it's

basically born back to the stone age.

All right.

All right. Does that make sense? Okay.

So, and unfortunately, because the shooting objectives are different, both nations think they'll win the war. All

right. Maybe objectively we think that America is losing the war. But from

American perspective, the way that they frame their strategic objectives means that from their perspective they are winning the war and that's why they and that's why they think that any day now

Iran will surrender. But from the Iranian perspective, they think they're winning the war and they think that any day now America will surrender. That's

why it's impossible to get the two to negotiate a peace settlement. Okay? Does

that make sense?

Okay. All right. Okay. All right. So, on

Thursday, we're do something really interesting. Okay. We are having a

interesting. Okay. We are having a midterm examination, but rather than me test you, you're going to test me.

Okay? So, what I want you to do is think about what we've learned this semester and try to figure out where I could be wrong or where the problems, my logic

are. I want you to test me. Okay? And

are. I want you to test me. Okay? And

this is also true for YouTube where um if you think that there's something wrong with my logic, if you dispute what I say, then uh raise a question and then

my wife will read the YouTube comments and then pick out questions for me to answer on Thursday. Okay? So on Thursday will be a midterm examination, but

rather than me test you, you will test me. Okay? and be as hard and as harsh

me. Okay? and be as hard and as harsh and as difficult as you want to be. I

enjoy being questioned and examined.

Okay, so Thursday will be a lot of fun.

I'll see you guys then.

Yeah.