GameStop CEO Ryan Cohen live on TBPN
By TBPN
Summary
## Key takeaways - **From passive to active investor**: Ryan Cohen initially invested in GameStop as a passive investor but transitioned to an active role after conversations with the management team and board, leading to his involvement in the company. [01:06] - **Cutting bloat for profitability**: GameStop has significantly reduced its corporate headcount from over 1,400 in 2021 to around 400, leading to a 50% decrease in SGNA and increased productivity. [03:56] - **Learned lessons from Chewy playbook**: Applying the Chewy playbook to GameStop failed because physical retail and e-commerce are fundamentally different; overbought inventory in physical retail depreciates quickly, unlike in e-commerce. [09:08] - **Collectibles a significant growth area**: Collectibles have become a major growth driver for GameStop, increasing from 10% to nearly a third of sales, demonstrating strong customer appetite in this category. [11:14] - **AI's productivity benefits and risks**: While AI clearly increases productivity by reducing cost structures, there are significant long-term concerns about its impact on employment, demand, and potentially humanity itself. [06:35], [42:55] - **Social media's toxic impact**: Social media is viewed as detrimental to humanity due to its ease of manipulation, fostering unrealistic expectations, a lack of work ethic, and increasing societal divisiveness. [42:01]
Topics Covered
- Aligning Incentives: Owners Drive Profit, Not Bloat.
- Strategic Capital Allocation Prioritizes Downside Protection.
- Copying E-commerce to Retail is a Costly Mistake.
- True Leadership Aligns Incentives and Delivers Scalable Impact.
- AI and Social Media Pose Existential Threats to Humanity.
Full Transcript
And you look at these like Call of Duty,
they're killing each other. I want
positive influences. I want things that
are healthy. I want things where people
are going to learn.
>> We have Ryan Cohen, the CEO of GameStop.
Can you hear me, Ryan? How are you
doing?
>> I can hear you.
>> Okay. Sorry. We have we have serious
serious technical difficulties today.
Um, but I believe we have you here on
the phone. Thank you so much for
joining. Thank you so much for taking
the time. How are you today?
>> I'm doing well. How about yourself?
>> We're doing great. Uh, we'd love to just
get uh the story of GameStop from your
perspective, kind of how you tell it
now. Uh, you're a couple years into this
project. Uh, we'd love to kind of get
the the high level just to set the
stage.
>> Where do you want to start?
Um, maybe the original idea, like when
did you think you'd become involved with
this company?
>> I originally invested as
a passive investor.
>> Mhm. Um, I had a few conversations with
the management team and the board of
directors and I realized that saw a lot
of stuff that you read about but you
don't really believe until you actually
engage with them. And as we went through
conversations, I went from passive to
active
and uh filed the 13D I believe in uh
August of 2020 and then I joined the
board in January of 2021
and um
the rest is history. The long story
short is there's been a lot of changes
at the company. Um,
a lot of cost cutting.
>> Uh, a lot of rationalization, focusing
on the basics of running a profitable
business and a lot of it was getting
people out of the way. um a board of
directors that had perverse incentives,
a management team that had perverse
incentives. Ultimately, what you see is
that when people don't have their own
money on the line, they don't give a
[ __ ]
>> And they're focused on all kinds of
other stuff that ultimately doesn't
matter to shareholders. And a lot of it
was getting that out of the way so that
we could actually focus on the business.
And um you know you see it in the
results of the business today versus
where it was not just when I joined the
board but you know you look at the
results even prior to that. It's uh it's
a tough business.
>> Yeah totally. What do you think uh the
mainstream media gets wrong about the
GameStop story uh today or has gotten
wrong throughout uh the whole saga?
[Music]
That's not an easy question to answer.
Um because we're talking in generalities
and
>> sure
>> I don't want to stereo, you know, I
can't stereotype in general.
>> Um everyone thinks they know. The
mainstream C media thinks they know. I'm
running the business and they seem to
have greater visibility into the
business than I do. So everyone has an
opinion as opposed to actually just
focusing on the results. And in general,
the news should just focus on the
results instead of uh comments from the
peanut gallery, right?
>> Yeah. Let's let's let's talk about Q2
specifically. What what made that one of
the biggest quarters in years?
It's a it's a focus on running a a
business like an owner and cutting costs
and making money and leaning into the
areas of the business where there's
margin potential just trading cards and
then getting rid of the bloat. Um,
as an example,
uh, I was just looking at this earlier
today before we spoke. 2021
there were 14 over 1,400 people in
corporate.
Um
>> Wow.
>> Today there's like 400 people.
>> Wow. Yeah.
>> And we're more productive today than we
were in 2021.
SGNA has come down by like 50%. So
people build teams, they hire people.
Ultimately what that means is they
delegate their work to someone else. you
end up taking on this crazy cost
structure and
>> it works when the business is growing
but doesn't work well once you uh the
business stops growing and that's where
GameStop was and uh physical retail is
tough
>> yep
how much of that corporate restructuring
going from I think you said 1,400 people
down to 400 how much of that is just
reor reorienting around a players
aligned incentives picking being the
best person to actually run a specific
initiative versus using technology,
using software, using AI. Is there any
sort of narrative around that that
you've found success with?
>> It's both.
>> Mhm.
>> Even finding the right people though.
Yeah.
>> You know, you don't you don't know. I
mean, I've been interviewing people for
a long time and you meet people I meet
them and I get really excited cuz
they're really good at the interview
process and they know how to say the
right thing. So, what does that mean?
Means they've got really good public
speaking skills. So, they overindex
there and then you actually when you
look at their execution skills, they're
not great. Mhm.
>> So, uh, I've been as equally excited as
people that I've hired that have worked
out as I have been of people that I've
hired that I wasn't excited about and
then they prove to me that they can
actually execute. So, you know, the
results speak for themselves. You you
really only know once you put people
someone in the position and you see what
they're capable of. They can tell a
great story. they can put together a
great PowerPoint presentation, but you
don't you don't actually know until you
see what they're what they can actually
do. So, there's no question that
artificial intelligence and just
broadly speaking, technology has
increased productivity.
Um, you know, that's that's been a big
benefit. And then doing more with less.
>> Yep.
You take a Z salary, you have billions
of dollars of cash on hand. Uh, how do
you plan to allocate it over the next
two to three years? I don't want to I
don't want to go too long term.
>> There's um
we don't have a gun to our head. So it
needs to be a situation where the
downside is limited and the upside is
really high. And
um that's a different calculus than the
world of private equity or or venture
capital or any money managers where
they're incentivized to deploy capital
because they get management fees. In
this case,
a fancy way of saying is it's risk
adjusted and I don't want to lose money
and I I want a situation where there's a
good chance of making money and a really
low chance of losing money. So, it needs
to be a pitch that is pretty much down
the middle. Um,
>> does that mean you're waiting you're
waiting for a for a crash?
You never know what's going to happen in
the financial markets. They can go from
>> uh from green to red and and they don't
flash yellow. So when that happens,
we'll be in a position. But
>> yeah, I just feel like it's I just feel
like it's notable that you have all
these, you know, digital asset treasury
companies that are just market buying,
you know, obscene amounts of
>> of uh, you know, Bitcoin and and other
tokens and and you guys are, you know,
uh, taking a longer view.
>> Yeah.
>> What are you excited about uh in the
core business over the next few years
between retail online? You you mentioned
trading cards. Can you unpack a little
bit more about some of the the key
initiatives like the customer behaviors
that you see as uh really big
opportunities?
>> I tried a lot of different things.
>> So I originally went in
um with the the Chewy playbook
>> was we focused first on consumables. So,
we had a lot of success on pet food,
treats, litter, things that you could
put on auto ship. And then it went from
focus on consumables, getting customers
on auto ship to we're going to be the
everything pet store and we're going to
expand our catalog and we're going to
add all these hard goods. So, I had all
these preconceived biases
where I was going to copy the Chewy
Playbook at GameStop and basically be
like the everything store
>> for gaming. and we um I hired a bunch of
fancy people from both Amazon and Chewy
and we expanded the catalog and we added
a bunch of product and um most of that
product didn't sell and we ended up
marking it down and taking a big hit and
it cost shareholders a lot of money cuz
once you have the product trapped in
stores you got to mark it down in order
to move and get it out of the stores. Um
whereas within the consumable space if
we ever bought if we ever overbought
inventory we just waited and ultimately
you know bought too much cat food or
whatever it ended up selling. So
physical retail is very very very
different than in e-commerce. And uh I
spent a lot of money to figure that out.
And so what I learned is that we went
into all these categories and
a lot of uh we took some significant
hits on losing money. We lost money.
It's that simple. by trying to expand
into all of these categories that were
not core to the GameStop customer. And
then along comes collectibles. And
obviously after expanding into
categories where there's very little
success, your risk appetite at that
point is pretty low. All of a sudden, we
see that they're like the GameStop
customer. Y
>> really when it comes to trading cards,
there's a strong appetite for for
trading cards. And that category has
done very well. And we've gone from like
10% of our sales to over close to a
third probably for the full year is
going to come from collectibles. And um
>> that's remarkable. Congratulations.
>> Yeah.
>> Um I I want to I I want to know more
about the collectibles thing. Let's
let's table that for a second. I'd love
to know more about uh where you see the
traditional video gaming market going.
Uh I'm I'm experiencing kind of whiplash
because I see uh mobile games and and
freeto play growing and micro payments
happening. EA is getting taken private.
Uh you have a lot of stuff going on that
end, but then you also have Palmer Lucky
kind of bringing back the Game Boy and
the N64 with Chromatic and I know you're
you're partnering on that. Um what are
you excited about? What does the shape
of the traditional sort of like video
game market look like over the next
couple years?
>> The video game market is definitely
going from physical to digital. So, our
ability to play in the digital world is
limited. There's a lot of money that's
being spent and um we've taken a capex
light approach like a a a pretty risk
light approach to the digital world. if
there's not a a clear path to us being
able to to make money and a a payback
period that's that's pretty attractive,
then
>> uh this isn't a story of like moonshots.
So there's no moonshots that are being
done like we're
>> we're focused on real returns.
>> Yep. Uh what about wearables, virtual
reality? Uh we heard a story about the
Meta Quest or the the Meta Rayban
displays and uh a friend of ours went
and had to test them at Best Buy and
didn't have a great experience and it
feels like uh if we do enter sort of
like a wearable era, there's a renewed
demand for instore experiences. Is that
on your radar at all or is that more of
like a you know futuristic thing that
you'll deal with it when it comes down
the pipe?
I mean, the when I think about
wearables, the Apple Watch is a good
product. When I think about the
MetaQuest,
I mean, it's a joke. Uh the all of the
virtual reality stuff doesn't feel like
who's going to walk around with these
[ __ ] glasses on their head? Like,
it's just
it doesn't it does not seem like that's
the future. But if we could sell a
product and we can make really high
margins, then obviously we're going to
sell the product. But we're not
investing in um in in virtual reality or
in in the metaverse unless there's a
clear path to being able to deliver
results for shareholders.
>> Yeah. Yeah. I meant more just as like
Apple does have the Apple Store network.
Uh other companies that are trying to
get into wearables and might need intore
demos don't have one of those. But uh
yeah, I mean your your rationale makes a
ton of sense.
>> It's so interesting to think about the
dis, you know, when when I hear you
talk, Ryan, it's you're you're
everything you say aligns with
thoughtful capital allocation and yet
the the broader like world seems to
believe that this is this is just about
being, you know, kind of
>> this is, you know, it doesn't
>> moonshots. the other there there's
there's uh CEOs out there that have
effectively meme stocks and they just
act and talk a lot differently. Yeah.
Than you do.
>> No, this is refreshing.
>> Um what what do you think about some of
the the uh conversations? There's been
uh I guess rumors that uh the admin is
interested in companies moving to by
annual uh reporting instead of quarterly
reporting. Do you think that's smart?
what what kind of moves from the admin
uh this year have you been uh
particularly
uh interested in?
>> I like reducing cost. So if it costs us
less money than to report by annually
then by all means uh I think it's
important for shareholders to have
visibility into how the company's doing
and then making a determination whether
they want to stay invested or not.
But we have an opportunity to reduce our
costs. I mean,
>> it's it costs a lot of money to be a
public company.
>> Yeah,
>> we spend a lot of money on audit fees.
So, that hurt me at Chewy. That hurts me
at GameStop. Uh they they charge us a
lot of money. So, if it mean if it
ultimately means we spend less money on
being a public company than and it makes
us more efficient, then that's that's
fantastic. Uh, I I've I did did I didn't
mention it, but thank you for Chewy.
I've been uh a subscriber for probably a
decade. Uh, you know, it's uh it's been
the backbone of my household and my uh
my dogs. Thank you as well. Uh I'm
interested to hear your your take on
kind of uh evolution of e-commerce.
There's a lot of chatter about agentic
commerce and people buying through
products through their chat apps. Have
you looked into that? Do you have a a a
current uh framework for thinking about
the the adoption rates of people buying
stuff through an LLM?
>> Um Amazon started selling pet products
in the late
>> 90s
>> and
they were they were doing okay.
>> Chewy comes along. We originally wanted
to start off selling jewelry. We
actually bought hundreds of thousands of
dollars worth of jewelry. We went I went
to a trade show and I bought hundreds of
thousands of dollars worth of jewelry.
We set up the website and everything and
then I was shopping in a neighborhood
pet store and I had a um at the time
like a five or six pound teacup poodle.
Uh, and I kept on going to this neighbor
at bed store every few weeks and I run
into the office. By the way, I don't
wear jewelry. I was not passionate about
the cat. I didn't know anything.
>> That's important. I went to felt like
you were just kind of it was picking
like this seems like a good mark in
business and it's light. You can ship.
>> Yeah. It was a little too mercenary like
you got to get into the, you know, build
something that you want so you can give
yourself feedback.
>> Yeah. And but you think like your
intuition is like there's margins in
jewelry and so like you can make money.
There was there was a blue Nile at the
time that had really gross high gross
margins and I was like we can do we can
do well in online jewelry.
Um anyway, I went to this jewelry trade
show. I bought hundreds of thousands of
dollars worth of jewelry. Um, and
then I was shopping kind of at the same
time every few weeks at this
neighborhood pet store for my poodle.
And I was way more interested in the pet
category than I was in jewelry. I
understood the customer and so I ended
up selling the jewelry. I ended up
getting like 80 or 90 cents on the
dollar. Mhm.
>> Uh, and I went into the pet category and
I liked that. I Well, I understood it.
Uh I
I liked the predictability of the
industry. I like the fact that like once
you're a pet owner, you're buying pet
food pretty much for the rest of your
life. And um and and we shifted. And so
Chewy comes along. It's 2011.
And
I took the playbook from Amazon. So the
focus on fast shipping, having a great
selection, being able to get onto the
website, add an item to the cart, and
check out. Our average checkout time was
like less than two minutes.
>> Wow.
>> So, you know, you think about like
GoDaddy, and I don't know if you've ever
bought a domain name, but you go through
the check out process, they're trying to
upsell you on like a gazillion stuff.
>> Yeah. And then all of a sudden, Chewy is
like average time less than two minutes.
We're not trying to upsell you. It's
like we're going to get you your pet
food as fast as possible at the best
price. So Julie comes along in 2011
and completely completely disrupts the
industry.
>> Yeah.
>> And we disrupted the independence. We
disrupted Petco and PetSmart. And we
were delivering your consumables at a
better price, faster, with an easier
experience backed up by great customer
experience. And so, um, you don't
necessarily have to be first to the game
in order to be successful. Amazon was
first to the game, but we focused on the
category and we were successful. And
it's kind of what's interesting in
technology in general is like you have
these technology companies that are
trying to do everything, right? Amazon's
trying to do streaming, they're trying
to do e-commerce, they're trying to do
everything. And then all of a sudden,
you have Netflix that is really
successful in streaming. You have Chewy
that's really successful in pet food.
>> Yeah.
>> So if you focus on a category,
you could be very successful. How did
you process the DTOC e-commerce era? It
was like really hot in Silicon Valley.
Every MBA was raising venture capital,
slap a $250,000
brand on a white labeled product and
raise some money and then it kind of
fizzled out. But like how were you
processing that at the time? What's your
postmortem? Like how should people think
about bu building brands going forward?
Is there still opportunity
>> for us? building brand was acquiring one
customer at a time and making sure that
they got their
pet food or whatever the hell they
ordered from us the best price really
quickly. That's how you build a brand.
It's not
>> spending a bunch of money on, you know,
Pets.com, a Super Bowl commercial. It is
focusing on the the best marketing is
word of mouth. So, you allow a customer
through word of mouth. You have a great
customer experience. You deliver the
product really quickly at a great price
and you have a happy customer. And that
was the way to build Chewy was getting
big market leadership and making sure
that customers were really happy.
>> What are the three like key lessons from
Chewy that you feel like you and the
GameStop team are applying today?
um running efficiently. There's no
question that like we ran very a a focus
on
uh on you know Chewy was they're so
different. Thing is is you think like
e-commerce and and and physical retail
are the same. And that's where I I made
a lot of mistakes cuz I showed up like a
wise guy at GameStop. I thought I had a
lot all the answers. But e-commerce and
physical retail are very very different.
>> Yeah.
>> So in general within physical retail,
what I've learned is like you want to
you have to run lean and you're better
off having less inventory than more
inventory. So um
I caught shareholders a lot of money by
taking the Chewy playbook at GameStop.
And then I learned physical retail which
was
uh a muscle that I had zero memory and
it was on making sure that when you get
the product you sell it very very
quickly because if you don't the product
depreciates very quickly whereas with
chewy if I overbought I sold the product
very quickly it didn't matter. So
>> they're not the same.
>> They're uh they're not the same. It it
the reason why in general
both concepts have worked out is cuz
you know you you you keep on I have my
own money on the line. So I'm not going
to stop until I figure it out. And
>> you're him.
>> But but it costs a lot of money to
figure it out.
>> Skin in the game. The man's in the
arena.
>> Uh people have said you're you're too
>> Yeah. People have said you're uh too
bold as a CEO. Uh do you think the
traditional concept of a of a buttoned
up uh CEO CEO that maybe shies away from
controversy uh should uh is is obsolete
or or should be forgotten.
>> I don't even know what a co means. I
want at the end of the day I want
whoever's in charge if it ends up
successful they end up doing really well
and if it ends up not being successful
they lose a lot of money and call them
call me the janitor for all I care at
the end of the day their incentives
should be aligned with common
shareholders so
um
that's the most important thing is that
the incentives are are generally
aligned.
>> Yeah. You're the loudest shareholder.
>> Yeah.
>> Um how do you decide how do you decide
what battles to fight because you got a
lot of stuff coming your way at any
given point? A lot of opportunity.
What's your framework?
>> My framework is what's going to move the
needle. like if if we can if if we can
make 80% margins
uh but the upside is limited and it's
not going to move the needle, then I
don't care. If if it's able to translate
into billions of dollars of shareholder
value and it's scalable, then we're
talking. So there's a lot of things that
are like small time and yeah we can make
a lot of margin but there's there's not
a lot of upside in terms of shareholders
then who cares but if it translates into
into something meaning meaningful and
scalable then then I'm interested.
>> Do you think do you think power packs
could be that?
>> Uh what do you think?
>> Well the chat is going crazy. They want
to know they they want the the update
from your side.
>> Power packs is interesting.
Power packs physical and digital
um is very interesting.
We we we can't get enough inventory. So
>> that's always a good
>> I don't want to I don't I don't want to
say anything because I mean users can uh
>> do you see
>> customers can figure out for themselves?
>> Yeah. Do you see it as the same sort of
like it's more consumption focused so it
fits within the Chewy model or is is
that the right way to think about this
as opposed to you know you you you're
you're there's less risk of getting
stuck with a bunch of inventory.
>> Are we talking physical or digital? uh
physical I would imagine would be like
the place where there's inventory risk
in some regard. But uh if if you view it
as more of a consumption product uh than
like the Chewy story, there's presumably
less risk in uh holding a bunch of
inventory.
>> I like the trading card space. Okay. So
we have uh we GameStop has a lot of
assets. We have the community and the
brand that allows us to if you look at
digital power packs, we've kept uh we've
kept it pretty limited in terms of being
able to get into the digital category
and and frankly it's not a marketing
thing. We just we can't get enough
inventory. And it's the same thing on
the physical thing, but digital is more
scalable. Um, so if we had a choice
between physical and digital, because
digital is more scalable, we're going to
go towards digital. Um,
can't get
>> Yeah.
>> enough inventory
at at least at a price where we can
>> I mean, you you can buy inventory at a
110 or 120% market value, but we're not
going to we're not going to start doing
stupid stuff like that. How do how do
you see the collectibles landscape
evolving over the next five years? It
feels like different players have picked
a focus whether that's live uh
traditional auctions uh something uh you
know like like you just discussed um as
well but like what what is what is the
shape of the market going forward uh in
your view
>> they're all connected like if you look
at the overall collectible space it's
looked at as a st store of value. And
it's been that way for decades. If you
look at trading cards, you it's like
nostalgic to, you know, I I I grew up.
Uh I didn't I collected trading cards a
little bit, but there's definitely a
comeback right now on trading cards, so
it's looked at as a store of value.
Whether that continues or not,
who the who knows? I mean, everyone is
like, well, it's going to continue.
Everyone thinks crypto is going to
continue. Nobody knows.
>> Y
>> uh but but we're having a lot of success
when you look at our assets right now.
Like the the way it stands right now is
we're selling the product very quickly.
We can't get
the more inventory we have, we could
sell the product. So we're going to run
efficiently and if we can sell the
product, great. And if it happens where
we can't sell the product, then we're
going to adjust and uh you know, we're
going to lower our costs and going to
focus on on on the things that make
sense.
>> Do you have a do you have a take on
Labu? I feel like uh if I find out about
it, I'm ultra late and I might have top
ticked it when I finally uh learned
about that, but it seems like it's uh
somewhat important to the collectible
boom, the story there. Uh, do you have
any idea what's going on?
>> We I don't Do we sell Lubu right now? I
don't think we sell Lubu.
>> Yeah. Yeah. I'm just wondering like uh
Yeah, it's like kind of an odd strategy.
It has some of the unboxing
characteristics. Uh, very popular.
Seemed like it just kind of emerged out
of China out of nowhere. Uh, I was
wondering if you had tracked the market
at all.
>> No. Should we sell it?
>> I don't know. It might be too late. I
have no idea. They're very demonic in
our view.
>> Yeah, we we we we think they kind of
just don't have the right vibe and uh I
feel like there's plenty of other
collectibles that would be more on
brand. Personally,
>> how how do you
>> What was that?
>> Is it females or males?
>> I don't know.
>> I think it's all sorts of people buying
them.
>> I saw Tim Cook had one,
>> so I don't think that How are you
thinking about uh how do you think about
M&A on the in the collectible space? I'm
sure people come to you all the time
with sort of platforms that maybe have
some scale but not quite uh the scale
that you have that that would love to
sell to you but obviously companies are
bought not sold. So I'm curious uh if
you've if if it's something that you
would explore in the future.
They don't come to us as often as you
think because they know well
um they probably go to private equity or
venture capital or these fancy hedge
funds before they come to us cuz
uh I want to make sure that I'm I'm uh
I care about cash flow and the price
that I pay. So
>> yeah,
>> we don't uh we see some deals, but it's
hard to compete against guys that are or
girls, whatever, that are getting
management fees.
>> Do you think uh do you think AI uh plays
into the collectibles world at all? Just
this idea that like if you have a piece
of IP, you can instantiate it maybe much
quicker across a whole host of images
and videos and kind of build out an
intellectual property world faster. Is
that actually an accelerant to the
collectible trade?
>> I
in general I have been I'm the person
that's very cynical when it comes to
emerging technologies.
>> Sure.
>> So,
uh like autonomous driving as an
example, like everyone with like GM,
Ford, all of the big OEMs, they're
finished cuz there's going to be
autonomous driving. No, it's it's uh
when it comes to AI,
it's a big problem. At some point, the
computers are going after the humans.
And I don't think it's that far away. I
think that the sci-fi movies, when it
comes to AI,
I feel it. I feel like there's going to
be a big problem when it comes to
artificial intelligence. And at some
point it's going to be the computers
against the humans.
China versus the US. Who's going to be
the winner? Who the [ __ ] knows? But we
got big problems with AI. And it's
interesting because you can't stop human
innovation.
And we've got this insatiable appetite
to go into these technologies like
artificial intelligence that are very
disruptable. There's lots of money
that's that is being poured into it. But
what the future looks like, we have to
be very very very careful. So
artificial intelligence,
it scares me. I mean, I I like the
productivity benefits, but
um AI
once the robots come after us
scares me.
>> What's your timeline there?
>> It's faster. It's faster than I would
have thought. When I look at what's
happening, I don't buy into emerging
technologies,
but when I look at the advance
advancements in AI,
this is no joke. And we have to be very
very very careful about what's going to
happen to artificial intelligence.
>> Where do you think we are in the market
cycle? Do you think it's uh you think
it's 1999
uh February of 2000? Does that is that
even worth comping to or do you comp to
something else
>> in AI? It feels early.
Doesn't feel like we're at the end. It
feels like we're like the second or
third inning, but who the hell knows?
But at a high level,
um
I think that it
I think we have to be very careful when
you think about the future of humanity
and whether
AI is going to benefit the future of
humanity.
I don't know.
I would uh if I was running a
dictatorship and someone made me king
and you told me should we move forward
with this technology,
it's not clear to me whether moving
forward with AI
is going to benefit everyone. It's
definitely going to benefit
the few that are invested in the
industry, but there's going to be a lot
of people that are not going to benefit
from artificial intelligence. So,
>> but chat GBT chat GBT is depending on
paid users right now. They can't, you
know, if they killed off humanity,
that'd be kind of bad for business.
Isn't there a way to solve that
alignment issue?
You know, we've if you look at the
tractor trailer the US in the 1800s
and the tractor trail I think it was
like 80% of the population was working
on the farm and then all of a sudden
tractor trailer comes along and few
centuries later it's like 2 to 3% of the
population is working in farming and you
would have said how the he the hell can
the US economy adapt to something that's
so disruptive and we did. But when it
comes to artificial intelligence,
I feel like it's different.
Uh maybe I'm biased from some of these
sci-fi movies, but there is going to be
a lot of wealth inequality that's
created.
I don't I don't like it. I mean, there's
there's there's opportunities to be had.
There's no question about it. But is it
better for humanity in aggregate AI?
What do you think?
>> Well, I Yeah, I I think for me, uh I
think it's very straightforward to
imagine the dark sci-fi timeline, but it
feels farther away. I mean, at least in
our corner of the internet, people have
been reacting to uh uh Carpathy's
interview with Daresh that was uh I
think went live Thursday night. And it
feels like uh the debate right now is is
is AI frontier lab progress slowing down
is it just autocomplete
uh or uh and if it's autocomplete and we
don't have uh and if basically if the
rate of progress is slowing down are is
there massive overinvestment right now
and what I'm hearing from you is
simultaneously
uh generally kind of the the doomer
point of view which I think is fair, but
at the same time it doesn't sounds it
doesn't sound like if you were running a
a hyperscaler you'd be ramping up capex
right now.
Are we smart enough as a society to
understand
what the benefits are and what are the
downsides? And everyone has perverse
incentives. So someone who's in the AI
industry is going to tell us how AI is
the best thing since sliced bread. But
in general as a society if you think
across like human evolution
over centuries do I want to take this
emerging technology and is this going to
benefit
the human population in aggra over the
long term?
Do you
>> what happened? What happens when AI
becomes smarter than us?
>> Yeah, it's pretty crazy. Do you think
the solutions government intervention
just good stewardship by the leaders of
the foundation model labs like who
actually
who actually has the responsibility of
stewarding the new technology most
effectively?
It's governments
and it's ones who are f who have a long
tenure. You look at America,
you know, the presidential cycle is four
years.
>> So,
I don't know if that's necessarily
long-term incentives.
>> Yeah.
>> Um,
but
who cares about where humanity is going
to be not in four years from now? not
when they check out but in a hundred
years from now. Who's got a long-term
focus on this emerging technology and
who cares about humanity
over
centuries
but we have to be very very careful
about this technology.
>> What what was your view on social media
a decade ago? It was quite popular for a
period to say that social media was
destroying humanity.
Uh and maybe it is, maybe it isn't. Uh
we seem to have found a way through. But
do is your view that that AI is as bad
as people once maybe thought social
media would be?
like what what specifically when you
think about you know one one of the
things we laugh about internally is uh
just how easy it is to clock when
somebody uses AI to generate like a
cover letter cover letter or a job
application right it's like a really
good way to just get your cover letter
application ignored is just to generate
it with chat GBT it's just beyond
obvious and I'm sure your your team has
seen a lot of this too but I'm curious
like what do you think the before we get
to the you know sci-fi doomer scenario
where the computers rise up and destroy
us all. Uh what what's kind of like the
immediate impact uh that that uh you're
worried about?
Social media
is one of the worst things to happen to
humanity.
If you look at Instagram,
people are so easily manipulated. They
filter videos. They filter pictures.
You know, you look at these young
people, their expectations, their lack
of work ethic.
China
has censored all of this stuff for good
reason because it's so easy to
manipulate the layman. And so in general
when I look at social media I say well
has it benefited humanity
or is it been toxic? It's there there's
no question that social media is is
toxic.
Um
AI clearly will increase productivity
but at what cost?
At what cost?
I think we have to be very very careful
>> when when public company CEOs talk about
how much efficiency they're getting out
of AI. Do you think that they're
actually getting efficiency out of AI or
do you think they're just uh pushing
their teams harder to be more efficient
and uh they want to blame blame the
impact on on AI?
>> It's both.
It's both. But AI without question
increases productivity.
But you know again it's shortterm versus
long-term. So if you're running Johnson
and Johnson or pro or Proctor and Gamble
and you can use artificial intelligence
and you could reduce your cost structure
because you've got all these humans that
are doing these mundane tasks and all of
a sudden you realize the computers are
going to do it better. Well, duh. You're
going to reduce your cost structure. But
all of a sudden, when you when you have
all of these people that are unemployed
and the demand for your product goes
away,
what's better?
You want to keep people employed and
have some kind of self-worth and working
hard and making money or do you want to
replace them and give them universal
basic income? And then what does that
mean? Does your consumption and demand
for your product in aggregate go up or
go down as a result of artificial
intelligence? I don't know. But I one
thing I know for certain is that the
CEOs if they can reduce their cost
structure in the short term, they're
going to replace they're going to take
computers over humans.
But is that better for humanity over the
long term?
You tell me. everyone on UBI over the
long term. How does that make them feel?
People need a purpose.
>> You don't you don't think we'll create
new jobs? I mean, we created email jobs.
A lot of them could go away and the
world wouldn't be too much different.
>> Artificial intelligence feels different.
>> Yeah. I just wonder if we on other
things.
>> It feels different. like we could still
have we could still have hierarchies and
competitions on things that only humans
can do. I mean, we already do this with
sports and all sorts of things. Um there
there's probably still some sort of like
reproductive battle to try and get to
the top of the stack. Even if you don't
need to go and work to make money, there
are still other things that you do with
your time to raise your status in
society. Um but I don't know, it is it
is a bizarre future to think about. I
just wonder if it's five years, 10
years, 50 years away.
>> We're in an era of
instant gratification. That's the
American system. Is that now now now?
>> Mhm.
>> Innovation, making money today. But when
you think about 10, 20, 30 years from
now and artificial intelligence,
what what does the world look like?
It's it's not about job displacement.
It's not about control,
but is artificial intelligence going to
control us or will we control artificial
intelligence?
And you would argue that social media
already controls how we feel daytoday.
We open our phone and decide
>> Yeah.
>> our mood based on what's happening in
far away places that we have nothing to
do with.
>> Social media is a big problem.
What's
>> it's so easy if you look at the
divisiveness
>> in this country,
social media, whether you're a
conservative, you you go on Instagram
and you're you're a conservative
and then all of a sudden you get, you
know, these algorithms serve you all
kinds of things that are going to make
you mad. And if you're a liberal, you
all of a sudden go on social media and
you see all kinds of media that's going
to make you mad.
>> Why is it that ultimately
humanity like it it comes down to human?
What why do we have to lose something in
order to appreciate? Well, it feels like
the only neutralizer is death and war.
doesn't have to be that way, but it
feels like the only way we can
ultimately appreciate something is if we
we actually lose it.
It's it's very very very sad, but that's
what it comes down to. There is so much
in divisiveness
in America if we can just all come
together and figure out command things
that
we both agree on but instead we figure
out the reasons why we're going to be
divided and the politicians divide us
and
>> well I think a lot of people have agreed
a lot of people on social media have
agreed that they like you a lot so
there's there's there's there's one
white pill in there.
>> Yeah, there's some
>> Until they don't. Until they don't.
>> Well, hopefully it doesn't.
>> Do they like me over the long term? I
don't know. We'll find out.
>> Yeah,
>> we true leadership is not about dividing
people. It's figuring out how do we
bring people together over the long term
that benefit humanity.
>> Yeah. Uh how do you apply that that that
sort of thinking to video games? because
there was a lot of fear-mongering about
violent video games causing kids to
become violent. Uh the government did
step in and regulate video games with
the ESRB. Uh every game is given a
rating and young kids, you know, they
they can figure out a way to get access
to some violent video games, but it's,
you know, parents are more in control
now. And I feel like we more or less got
the good outcome and and people can
enjoy video games responsibly. And of
course there's some negative scenarios,
but in general I feel like uh video
games have been just like a cool cool
medium for artists to tell stories.
There's wide variety of experiences. Uh
it feels like we as humanity got through
that test and whereas maybe we're still
in the middle of the of the fight for
positive social media and maybe just at
the beginning of the fight for positive
AI outcomes. Uh h what lesson should we
take from like how humanity uh dealt
with video games?
I
>> think the Chinese have restricted their
children from playing video games. I let
my kids play video games. Doesn't b
unless they're playing like Mario Kart.
Yeah.
>> But you look at these like Call of Duty,
they're killing each other.
I want positive influences. I want
things that are healthy. I want things
where people are going to learn.
>> Mhm.
>> Blowing someone's head off, exposing it
to young people.
Governments,
you know, you look at America, it's the
land of the free. It's great. It works
well for immigrants cuz they come from
places where it's [ __ ] and they come to
America, they have all this freedom and
their gratitude. They're they're
grateful. But then you look at people
where they don't necessarily have that
level of gratitude and they come to
America, you give them all this freedom
and they destroy themselves. So, do I
want my kids going and playing Call of
Duty,
blowing each other's heads off? And then
you look at the Chinese and they're
restricting the ability to play video
games,
and you say, "Well, they're censoring
versus we're free."
Well, what's better for humanity? Having
boundaries and having rules or just
letting people do whatever the hell they
want, destroy their lives?
>> Have you ever thought about getting Have
you ever thought about getting into
politics?
>> I was born in Canada.
>> There are some positions you could still
run for.
Which ones? Senator.
>> Yeah, I think you could be I don't know
if you could be senator, but you could
be maybe, right? Isn't the mayor of New
York not born in America? Or going
>> what is it? There there was this saying
my uh
I heard
>> you could be city councilman. Maybe.
>> Yeah, cuz they'd kill me.
>> Well, you could go to Canada. You could
be prime minister of Canada.
>> Too honest. I'm too honest.
I'd have to be full of [ __ ] I'd have to
be sure. They couldn't handle me. They
couldn't handle me. Politicians, they're
like diapers. They start to stink. They
get They start to stink very quickly. I
couldn't play the [ __ ]
>> No.
>> So, you you want to tell people what
they want to hear.
>> Yeah.
>> And I'm not playing that game of what
they want to hear. But when it comes to
artificial intelligence and social media
in general, is it beneficial to society
and humanity as a whole?
>> I don't like him.
I don't like him.
>> That's extremely honest.
>> Humor confirmed.
>> Yeah,
>> that's fair.
>> Well, thank you so much. This has been
really a great interview. Uh, thanks so
much for calling.
>> Yeah. Anything else? Anything else that
we missed? You know, we'd love to
Anything else that you're working on
that you want that we didn't touch on?
We'd love to talk about
>> you guys got anything else?
>> I think we're good.
>> Uh, last question. What What's your
What's your relationship like with Roar
and Kitty? You guys talk much?
>> Um,
>> ask him.
>> Okay. Yeah, we'd love to have him on the
show. Maybe we'll
>> get him on the show.
>> That'd be a lot of fun. He's uh you know
we're we're pretty new to the live
streaming thing. I always enjoy talking
to people who uh operate in the same
medium and so conversation.
>> Yeah.
>> We don't want day traders. We want I'll
have a conversation with him that if
he's focused on decades and centuries,
not on making buck.
>> Yeah, that makes a ton of sense.
>> Uh I like it.
>> Well, yeah. Well, we're rooting for you
for the next decade, for the next
century, for the next millennia. Thank
you so much for coming on the show. This
was fantastic.
>> Yeah, great chatting, Ryan. Cheers.
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