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Iran under attack: War widens across Middle East as oil and gas prices surge | BBC News

By BBC News

Summary

## Key takeaways - **Trump's War Objectives**: Donald Trump states the objectives are clear: destroying Iran's missile capabilities, annihilating their navy by knocking out 10 ships already, and ensuring the world's number one sponsor of terror cannot obtain a nuclear weapon. [06:02], [06:20] - **550 Iranian Deaths**: The Iranian Red Crescent reports at least 550 people have been killed in Israeli-US attacks continuing into a third day. [00:34], [02:58] - **Oil Refinery Shutdowns**: Iranian attacks shut down Saudi Arabia's biggest oil refinery Ras Tanura and Qatar's major gas plant, causing global oil prices to jump 10% and gas prices in Europe nearly 50%. [04:08], [29:39] - **Friendly Fire Losses**: Three US F-15 jets shot down by friendly fire in Kuwait with crews ejecting safely, while six US service members confirmed killed in action. [04:12], [10:01] - **Mixed Iranian Sentiments**: Some Iranians shout with joy at explosions hoping for regime fall, feeling anxious and elated, while regime loyalists fill streets; main concern is US deal allowing oppression to resume. [08:33], [09:01] - **Shifting US Justifications**: US rationales vary: regime change, preemptive after Israeli strike, imminent threats, nuclear ambitions; Secretary of State clarifies destroying missile capability to hinder nuclear program, though Iran years away. [13:10], [14:09]

Topics Covered

  • War Opportunity Eliminates Iran Threats
  • Iran Attacks Unite Gulf Against It
  • Israel Exploits War for Regional Gains
  • Many Iranians Welcome Regime Fall
  • Shifting US War Rationales Confuse All

Full Transcript

At 10, Donald Trump says the war with Iran was the last best chance to stop the country's regime as the US military confirms six service members have now

been killed. Today, the United States

been killed. Today, the United States military continues to carry out large-scale combat operations in Iran to eliminate the grave threats posed to

America by this terrible terrorist regime.

There are more strikes hitting Iran right now. Israeli US attacks continue

right now. Israeli US attacks continue into a third day with the Iranian Red Crescent saying at least 550 people have been killed.

Iranian missiles hit Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and targets here in Israel as the war escalates across the Middle East.

Strikes close the world's biggest oil and gas facilities in some Gulf states, sending prices soaring.

>> Three American jets are shot down by friendly fire in Kuwait, while Sakir Starama says British involvement in the war will be for defensive operations only.

>> This government does not believe in regime change from the skies. The prime

minister explicit there about his view, the government's view, and explicit too about his disagreement with President Trump.

>> And tonight, some of the 300,000 Brits in the region have returned home.

>> Uh we heard explosions, we heard the hotel shake, we could see columns of black smoke, we saw drone interceptions.

As a third day of war draws to a close, we'll be reporting from across the region from Dubai, Doha, Beirut, Cyprus, the Iranian border, and we'll hear

directly from Iranians about what they want to happen next.

On BBC London, we hear from Londoners with links to Iran on the widening conflict in the Middle East. Difficulty

contacting friends and family is causing widespread uncertainty.

Hello to you. We're live in Tel Aiv as Donald Trump reiterates the war with Iran is designed to eliminate the threat from a terrorist regime and going to war

was the last best chance to stop Iran posing a threat to America. In the last hour, the US Secretary of State Marco Rubio went further, saying Washington

anticipated a strike on Iran from Israel and so launched a preemptive campaign to prevent reprisals against America. It

comes as the US and Israel continued military strikes for a third day with the Iranian Red Crescent saying more than 550 people have now been killed.

Well, there's been a significant escalation of the conflict with Iran staging retaliatory strikes right across the Middle East following the killing of

its supreme leader Ayatah Hami. While

the US and Israel have continued their attacks on Iranian targets, including in Thran, with many huge explosions reported there today. Lebanon has been

drawn into the conflict with the health ministry there saying at least 52 people have been killed in Israeli strikes.

Israel says it was simply responding to attacks by the Iranbacked militant group Hezbollah. And Iran has continued to hit

Hezbollah. And Iran has continued to hit back at states and bases allied to the US across the Middle East. In Cyprus,

two drones heading for RAF Acriteri were intercepted following a drone attack last night. Iran has also targeted

last night. Iran has also targeted energy sites, including this oil refinery in Saudi Arabia and a major gas plant in Qatar. Global oil and gas

prices have now risen sharply. And in

Kuwait, three US fighter jets crashed after being mistakenly shot down by friendly fire. All six crew ejected

friendly fire. All six crew ejected safely.

Well, Jeremy Bowen, our international editor, has our first report tonight on day three of the war.

>> Six missiles struck Sanad in Iran's Kurdistan province. Official Arabian

Kurdistan province. Official Arabian media said densely populated neighborhoods were hit. The Americans

filmed their destruction of a missile launcher. They say they're working

launcher. They say they're working through a list of military targets.

This is a satellite image of an Iranian naval vessel on fire inside the seaw wall in the port of Bander Abbas.

But Iranian civilians are also in the firing line. Overnight in Thran,

firing line. Overnight in Thran, children were among those treated after the Gandhi hospital was badly damaged.

The hospital is out of use. Israel's

prime minister said they're targeting tyrants in Thran to protect civilians, but war is never as clean or simple as a sound bite.

In Kuwait, three American F-15 warplanes were shot down. The Americans said mistakenly by friendly fire from the Kuwaitis.

Their crews ejected safely.

>> And in Washington, Donald Trump is back at the White House from Florida. He

believes this war of choice was an opportunity not to be missed.

>> This was our last best chance to strike what we're doing right now and eliminate the intolerable threats posed by this sick and sinister regime regime. And

they are indeed sick and sinister. Our

objectives are clear. First, we're

destroying Iran's missile capabilities.

And you see that happening on an hourly basis and their capacity to produce brand new ones and pretty good ones they make. Second, we're annihilating their

make. Second, we're annihilating their navy. We've knocked out already 10

navy. We've knocked out already 10 ships.

They're at the bottom of the sea. Third,

we're ensuring that the world's number one sponsor of terror can never obtain a nuclear weapon.

>> The war is spreading across the Middle East. The Saudis biggest oil refinery,

East. The Saudis biggest oil refinery, Ras Tanura, was shut down by an Iranian attack. Iran is targeting Arab oil

attack. Iran is targeting Arab oil states across the Gulf, trying to disrupt and outflank America's power, hoping the Saudis and others will put

pressure on Donald Trump to end the war.

But making Gulf Arab states who did not want the war into targets, this was Dubai, looks to be a bad mistake for Iran, pushing them closer to

the US and Israel.

The Israelis attacked Beirut after Iran's Lebanese ally, Hisbala, fired into Israel's north. Hisbala was

considered to be one of Iran's main weapons against Israel until the Israelis killed its leaders and destroyed much of its missile stockpile

in the Gaza war. Israel is now threatening a new offensive in Lebanon.

It feels as if Israel and the US see an opportunity to take care of unfinished business in the region.

It's coming at a cost for the Israelis with funerals in bed she near Jerusalem of civilians killed by an Iranian missile. Israel's air defense system is

missile. Israel's air defense system is strong but not infallible. It has a finite supply of interceptors. Iran is

calibrating its attacks to try to force Israel to burn through its defenses. In

Bet she Benjamin Netanyahu the prime minister restated his war aims. If this regime, this terrorist regime of the kind we've never seen in the world, if

they get nuclear weapons and the means to deliver them, ballistic missiles, intercontinental ballistic missiles, they will threaten all of humanity.

>> In Thran tonight, the regime's loyalists are back on the streets. They've built

an important core of support. Over the

weekend, they filled the main square in the city of Isvahan.

An internet blackout makes it hard to gauge the mood in Iran, but BBC Persian has been able to contact Iranians who want the fall of the regime.

Bakeries and petrol stations are busy.

The streets are not busy. The main

concern here is that the US might do a deal and the authorities begin oppressing people all over again. I

think the Revolutionary Guard still has power on the ground and this is what makes people afraid.

People feel anxious and elated all at once. With every explosion, some shout

once. With every explosion, some shout with joy from their windows.

There are many security stations around the city, stopping people that they deem suspicious. We are tired, very tired.

suspicious. We are tired, very tired.

The death of Kamini is not enough. They

all need to go.

It is only day three of the war. This

has a long way to go. a deepening debate about the legality of America and Israel's decision to go to war. Probably

weeks of air strikes and without doubt years of consequences.

Jeremy Bowen, BBC News.

An overview there of uh the main developments today from Jeremy. Well, in

the last hour, it's been confirmed that six US service personnel have now been killed in action. Earlier, Donald Trump said he attacked Iran because it was the last best chance to strike and to

eliminate the intolerable threats posed by this sick and sinister regime. Well,

Sarah Smith is live outside the White House for us now. Sarah?

Yeah, Donald Trump was in sunny Florida when he launched this attack on Iran, but he's now back here in a snowy White House where he appeared live on television talking about the war for the

first time. But he didn't take questions

first time. But he didn't take questions from any of the reporters like me who were in the room with him.

Donald Trump was awarding medals to the heroes of previous American wars as he made his case for why today's serving military are risking their lives again.

>> The regime already had missiles capable of hitting Europe and our bases both local and overseas and would soon have had missiles capable of reaching our

beautiful America.

The purpose of this fast growing missile program was to shield their nuclear weapon development.

>> Donald Trump always railed against the war in Iraq and other previous American attempts to affect regime change. He

promised voters no new foreign wars. The

defense secretary Pete Hgsth served in Iraq. He says this conflict is different

Iraq. He says this conflict is different from that invasion in 2003. No stupid

rules of engagement, no nationbuilding quagmire, no democracybuilding exercise, no politically correct wars. We fight to win and we don't waste time. This is not

a so-called regime change war. But the

regime sure did change and the world is better off for it.

>> When three US fighter jets were down by friendly fire in Kuwait, no Americans died. The pilots ejected safely, but six

died. The pilots ejected safely, but six military personnel have been killed already, 18 seriously wounded. It's news

like this that makes formerly loyal Trump supporters cry betrayal.

Ex-Republican Congresswoman Marjgerie Taylor Green reposted pictures of what Iran said was the strike that hit a school building and said, "I did not vote for this in elections or Congress.

This is not what we thought MAGA was supposed to be. Shame."

President Trump did not ask Congress for a vote to authorize military action before launching this attack. And

Democrats say they have not heard a convincing reason for attacking Iran.

>> You know, will the real reason for this operation please stand up because it is changing by the hour, right? It's regime

change one moment. It's some undefined uh imminent threat, which by the way is a lie, right? There is no imminent threat.

The Secretary of State came to Congress to explain the need for this attack.

Despite Iran being years away from developing a nuclear weapon, >> the objectives of this operation are to destroy their ballistic missile capability and make sure they can't rebuild it and make sure that they can't

hide behind that to have a nuclear program. That's the objective of the

program. That's the objective of the mission. That said, abundantly clear, we

mission. That said, abundantly clear, we would love for there to be an Iran that's not governed by radical Shia clerics. Donald Trump is already facing

clerics. Donald Trump is already facing opposition to this war at home from both the left and the right. Opposition that

may grow as American casualties inevitably increase.

Sarah, there do seem to be shifting ration for this war coming from American officials, regime change, fears over reprisals after an Israeli attack,

imminent threats, nuclear weapon weapons ambitions, and so on. I suppose all that could be true at the same time, but are the American people a little confused?

>> Yeah, I I think they have every right to be because they hear different things from different people at different times. When Donald Trump was speaking

times. When Donald Trump was speaking here earlier today, he did not repeat his call for the Iranian people to rise up and overthrow their government, which he had asked them to do at the weekend.

But then we heard from Marco Rubio, the Secretary of State, who was basically saying regime change is not the objective of this conflict, but it would be a very welcome development if it

happened. And the other big question is

happened. And the other big question is we know Iran does not have a nuclear weapon and was not on the brink of developing one, not least because uh the US bombed their nuclear sites just nine

months ago. So why was this attack

months ago. So why was this attack necessary now? Well, what we've been

necessary now? Well, what we've been hearing from administration officials today is that it was necessary to take out Iran's ballistic conventional weapons because if and when it did

develop a nuclear weapon, it would use those conventional weapons to defend it.

And we've also heard from a couple of people today, the biggest wave of attacks of this war has not even begun yet.

>> All right, Sarah, thank you. Sarah

Smith, our North America editor there, live outside the White House. Well, it's

understood RAF Fairford in Glostersha and the military base at Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean will be used by the Americans for defensive strikes on

Iranian missile sites.

Meanwhile, sirens have been sounding at RAF Accuteri in Cyprus, warning of a potential attack. The British base there

potential attack. The British base there has already been targeted by Iran. One

drone hit the runway. Security has been boosted with additional fighter jets, but families on the base have been told to leave. Jessica Parker has just

to leave. Jessica Parker has just arrived in Laneka in uh Cyprus for us and uh can speak to us now. Jessica, um

I suppose these are particularly anxious times for the folks on the base.

>> Absolutely. It's been a pretty dramatic 48 hours here uh in Cyprus. So today we heard from the Criate government that two drones have been intercepted that they say were heading towards uh the

base RAF at Critieri and that's after as you mentioned a drone actually struck the base on Sunday night. There were no casualties we're told and the damage was uh limited. But where did that drone

uh limited. But where did that drone come from? Well there are unconfirmed uh

come from? Well there are unconfirmed uh reports that the Iranianbacked Hezbollah group in Lebanon uh may have been behind the launch but that has not been confirmed. What has been confirmed by UK

confirmed. What has been confirmed by UK officials is that they say that that uh first drone was launched before UK Prime Minister Karma said the US uh could use

uh bases for what he's described as limited and defensive measures in order to strike Iranian missile sites. In the

House of Commons, uh the British Prime Minister also said that Cypress bases here in Cypress uh were not being used by US bombers. uh the Criate government

itself very keen to stress that it isn't involved in uh the wider conflict um and for the people u of Cyprus of course an anxious wait to see if the situation

escalates >> Jess thank you Jess Parker who's just arrived on Cypress for us thank you well Starama says the government doesn't believe in regime change from the skies

and said his decision not to get involved in the initial strikes on Iran was in Britain's national interest.

"That is what I've done and I stand by it," he said. Well, his statement in the comments came after Donald Trump said he was very disappointed in the prime minister for taking too long to accept a

US request to use British military bases for defensive strikes on Iranian missile sites. Well, Chris Mason is at

sites. Well, Chris Mason is at Westminster for us tonight. Chris

>> Clive, the prime minister today explicitly and directly set out his view on this conflict after a couple of days uh in which his ministers were really

struggling to cogently articulate what they made of America and Israel's actions and why. Let me play you around half a dozen contributions to the debate

in the House of Commons this afternoon.

It lasted for around uh two and a half hours. We'll start with the prime

hours. We'll start with the prime minister. This government does not

minister. This government does not believe in regime change from the skies and I thank him for his question. The

lessons of history have taught us uh that uh it is important uh when we make decisions like this that we establish there is a lawful basis for what the

United Kingdom is doing. That is one of the lessons from Iraq and that there's a viable thought through plan. They're the

principles I applied to the decision not to get involved in the offensive strikes of the US and Israel. They're also the principles I applied separately to the

separate decision and a separate request from the US to be able to take defensive action. On Saturday, our allies in

action. On Saturday, our allies in Canada and Australia immediately backed the action taken by America against this despotic regime in Thran. And I have

made it very clear that the Conservative Party also stands behind America taking this necessary action against state sponsored terror.

>> Does he not understand that after 10 years of negotiation that have failed actually the west was left with no alternative? And does he understand also

alternative? And does he understand also that actually in refusing to support the US he has humiliated us on the international stage? We have seen before

international stage? We have seen before what happens when an American president launches an illegal war with no idea how or when it is going to end. And we fear

for what comes next.

>> We also condemn the deeply irresponsible and illegal attack by the US and Israel on Iran launched in the middle of nuclear negotiations. The best tribute

nuclear negotiations. The best tribute to the murderers in Tran and the Iranian regime is a maintenance of an international rules-based system. And

more than that, we owe it to the people across the region to learn from the instability that we had in the aftermath of Iraq.

>> The question for today that people want us to ask is when will people be coming home especially from Doha and Dubai?

Prime Minister said there are around 300,000 Britons in the region and the foreign office is working hard to bring people home as quickly and safely as we

can. He said there is a Yuggov poll out

can. He said there is a Yuggov poll out tonight which gives us some sense of uh public opinion uh on the events of the last few days. the poll suggesting that

far more people in Britain oppose America's actions than support them and far more oppose uh allowing the US to use UK air bases than support that. All

of this on the day where perhaps we've seen the biggest public disagreement yet between the prime minister and President Trump.

>> Chris, thank you. Chris Mason, our political editor there live at Westminster.

Well, our correspondents across the region have all the latest developments.

Where Davis is in Beirut is standing by in northern Iraq and Barbara Plet Usha is in the Qatari capital Doha. Uh we're

going to start with you first in the Lebanese capital which is now a new front in this war.

>> Yeah, Clive. Well, this is exactly what the Lebanese government and most people here didn't want to get involved in another costly, divisive conflict with Israel. But the the key thing here is

Israel. But the the key thing here is Hezbollah. Hezbollah, of course, was a

Hezbollah. Hezbollah, of course, was a key ally of the Islamic regime in Iran.

And when that was attacked, Hezbollah, which is still quite powerfully independent here, decided it was going to attack Israel with with some missiles overnight. Israel's response to that was

overnight. Israel's response to that was overwhelming, attacking Hezbollah positions here in the capital in Beirut and in the south of the country. There

were explosions all day long intermittently, drones overhead, and 50 people, 52 people were killed in those strikes. And I think Israel has decided

strikes. And I think Israel has decided that it can't trust the Lebanese government to deal with Hezbollah. So,

the Israelis have said tonight that they're going to carry on targeting specific Hezbollah figures and installations until they're happy that Hezbollah has been defeated. And to that end, tonight, there's been a warning to

more than 30 towns and villages in southern Lebanon to be evacuated because that Israeli military operation is ongoing.

And Ola, you're in Eriel. Uh, US troops are stationed there, making it a target for Iranian proxy groups.

>> Indeed, Clive. And last night, there were flames in the night sky here in Herbil after an attack on a major US base at Bill International Airport,

which is just in the distance behind me.

Safe to assume the base had been emptied out by then. It was such an obvious target. uh the drones and the missiles

target. uh the drones and the missiles were intercepted by air defense systems but an ammunition dump caught fire. Now

again during the day today there was uh targeting of US locations the US consulate which was is housed in a very large complex here was targeted twice

and we heard a very loud bang at one stage which was the sound of one of those drones uh being intercepted. No

reports of any casualties there at Clive. A video has emerged on social

Clive. A video has emerged on social media which appears to show a fragment of a drone that tore through the roof of a residential building uh landed inside

a family's apartment and they appeared to have had a lucky escape. Now, it was inevitable that when Israel and America began their attack on Saturday against

Iran, that countries around the region, neighboring countries were going to pay the price whether or not they agree with that war. And that is what we are seeing

that war. And that is what we are seeing out. We are seeing the fallout spreading

out. We are seeing the fallout spreading around the region tonight. Worth

mentioning, Clive, that the attacks here are not being claimed by Thran. They're

being being claimed by some of Iran's proxies, militia groups here in Iraq. It

shows you the complexity of what is taking place.

Absolutely. And Barbara in Doha um after Iranian strikes, there's news that Kat's actually shot down two fighter jets.

>> Yes, quite a development. Uh the defense ministry says Qatar has successfully shot down two fighter jets coming from Iran. It didn't give any details, but it

Iran. It didn't give any details, but it seems an escalation because the Iranians uh so far have been firing hundreds of missiles and drones at their Arab neighbors, but this is the first we've

heard of them sending a war plane. A and

it's quite extraordinary for a Gulf state to be shooting down a manned Iranian aircraft. The Qataris say that

Iranian aircraft. The Qataris say that they are acting in defense, that they are responding firmly to an external threat. And this comes after another

threat. And this comes after another major development here, which is that the Qataris have stopped production of liquid natural gas after drones targeted two main plants, two of the main

processing plants, which caused an almost immediate spike in uh gas prices or or gas prices in Europe. Uh and then plus there was a drone attack on Saudi

Arabia's main oil refinery. So Iran

showing for the first time that it is willing to target uh energy infrastructure.

>> Okay, Barbara in Doha, Ola in Airbil and Wira Davis in Beirut. Many thanks to you all.

Well, that's all from us here in Tel Aiv in Israel. Before I hand back to Rita,

in Israel. Before I hand back to Rita, here's Victoria with what's coming up on News Night over on BBC 2 shortly. Hi

there.

>> Hi. In the last hour, the US Secretary of State has said the hardest hits are yet to come on Iran. So, what happens next? We'll speak to former Conservative

next? We'll speak to former Conservative Cabinet Minister Michael Gove. Your

party's Jeremy Corbyn and Middle East expert Sanam Vakil to find out. News

night live at half 10 on BBC 2. See you

soon.

>> Victoria, thank you.

Now, much of the airspace in the Gulf is closed, but an Etihad flight from Abu Dhabi has just landed at Heathrow, bringing home hundreds of holiday makers and travelers. This is the current

and travelers. This is the current picture of flights in the region. As you

can see, planes are avoiding Iran and the area around it. The prime minister said the government was looking at all options to support Britain's currently stuck in the Middle East. Luke Deal

reports now from Dubai.

>> British nationals are among the hundreds of thousands of travelers stranded in the Gulf Arab states as major airports remained closed following retalitary strikes from Iran. Many flights to and

from countries in the Middle East are impacted as the conflict in the region continues. Dorne and her husband Nick

continues. Dorne and her husband Nick contacted BBC Your Voice. They should

have arrived back from the United Arab Emirates this afternoon after a week's holiday. They're booked onto a BA flight

holiday. They're booked onto a BA flight for Saturday. They hope it will take

for Saturday. They hope it will take off.

>> Our plans might come to nothing. We

probably will do. There's an option possibly of driving to Muscat in Oman, which is about five to six hours away from here, um, and getting a flight home from there.

>> Isabelle is stuck in transit in Abu Dhabi, stranded after her flight to Thailand was cancelled. She has

accommodation, but she's very fearful and has had little help.

>> My family are incredibly worried. Um

they're trying to contact the embassy um and Etihad because we've had no communication from EVA. I have signed up to the um alerts from the British

embassy but as of yet haven't had any update.

>> The travel situation here in Dubai remains extremely fluid. However, within

the last hour, Emirates, the main airline, have issued a statement saying that they're going to be operating a limited number of flights commencing tonight, the 2nd of March. We're

accommodating customers with earlier bookings as a priority, they say. And

for those who have been rebooked to travel on these limited flights, they will be contacted directly by the airline. Meanwhile, passengers have

airline. Meanwhile, passengers have arrived into Heithro this evening on a flight from Abu Dhabi.

>> We heard explosions. As we heard the hotel shade, we could see columns of black smoke. We saw drone interceptions

black smoke. We saw drone interceptions head. And while we were having breakfast

head. And while we were having breakfast on Sunday morning, there was black ash falling on the breakfast table.

>> There were quite loud explosions um being heard and quite a lot military jets flying over. I've never heard anything like it. Never been so scared in all my life. Officials at the foreign

office are understood to be working on plans for potential evacuation routes should the airspace here in the Gulf remain closed. Luke Deal, BBC News,

remain closed. Luke Deal, BBC News, Dubai.

While the conflict in the Middle East has caused prices for oil and gas to surge, as you heard, Iran is targeting the energy infrastructure of neighboring Gulf states. It's closed the narrow

Gulf states. It's closed the narrow straight of Hormuz, a critical supply route for tankers, and is threatening to set any ship trying to get through on

fire. That's according to Iranian media.

fire. That's according to Iranian media.

The largest oil refinery in Saudi Arabia was hit in a drone attack and has paused operations and Qatar has shut down its liqufied natural gas production after it

says it was targeted. Fisel Islam has been looking closely at how supplies are being affected by the hostilities and at the possible impact on the prices we pay for our energy.

>> Oil tankers ablaze. The biggest oil facility in the world in Saudi Arabia targeted and closed. These satellite

images showing the extent of the attack and so too the biggest gas export facility in neighboring Qatar. The flow

of energy firmly disrupted and the possibility of what markets have called their worst nightmare. Here is what happened this morning. Oil prices jumped 10%. If sustained, that could feed

10%. If sustained, that could feed through to a several pence bump in diesel and petrol pump prices later in the month. Gas prices here in Europe

the month. Gas prices here in Europe jumped by nearly 50% this morning after the news from Qatar, which if sustained could see a rise in domestic energy

bills, though not until the summer. Some

context is helpful, though. This bump,

though material, is not the four-fold increase seen in 2022 when Russian supplies were cut off amid the Ukraine war. If we continue to see things

war. If we continue to see things continue to escalate, $100 oil was certainly not off the cards. But I think the key unknowns of how long the disruption lasts and how extensively it

broadens. And this is why here you can

broadens. And this is why here you can see even on Saturday the flow of gas and oil tankers transporting a fifth of the world's oil through the narrow straits

of Hormuz start to slow as the USIsraeli attack on Iran begins. By yesterday, the red triangles indicating oil and gas tankers dry up. And now it's stopped

entirely. And there were dozens of these

entirely. And there were dozens of these essential energy transports at anchor, the red circles here in the open Gulf, too scared to cross the 24 mile straits

between a man and Iran.

All this comes at the very moment the economic weather in the UK had been starting to look a little brighter. In

the Treasury, they're putting the final touches to the spring statement tomorrow. And that is principally a new

tomorrow. And that is principally a new set of official forecasts on jobs, inflation, and the economy in general.

And if today's moves on gas and oil markets are sustained for weeks or months, then all of those figures are out of date even before the spring

statement is published.

But that is still an if. Energy supply

to Europe is not disrupted so far. But

the price we pay for our fuel and energy seems likely to rise. Fisel Islam, BBC News.

>> Let's get a final word from our international editor, Jeremy Bone.

Jeremy, just looking at what's going on, has the US set off a chain of events here that it might not be able to control?

>> I think that is a real danger at the moment. Uh the thing about war is that

moment. Uh the thing about war is that when it start it it is hard to control especially when it's spreading so quickly around the world's most

turbulent and volatile region and especially too when the protagonists in it the the Israelis and the less the Israelis more the Americans have these

shifting uh stated intentions about what it is they actually want out of this.

Trump's still saying things which aren't true, like they're about to build missiles that could have hit the US. Not

true. Talking about being close to getting a nuclear weapon. Not true.

These are things though that are still being used in justification for what they're doing. So, I think we'll see an

they're doing. So, I think we'll see an intensification of the war. That is also what they're saying. But there's also this business of how it ends, where it

goes, what the consequences are. Those

are a lot of unknowns in all of that.

But I think what we can say without a shadow of doubt is this is such a dangerous and unpredictable moment which is going to have potentially a lot of

consequences for a lot of people over a prot protracted period. Jeremy, thank

you very

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