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Is This Where Crypto Catches Up To Stocks? [Trust The Pump?]

By Crypto Banter

Summary

## Key takeaways - **Stock Market Peaks, Crypto Awaits Catch-Up**: The stock market, including the S&P 500, NASDAQ, and Dow Jones, has reached new all-time highs. The key question now is whether crypto, specifically Bitcoin and Ethereum, will follow suit and 'catch up' to these gains. [00:09], [00:14] - **Bitcoin's $100K Defense is Crucial**: For Bitcoin to potentially catch up to stocks, bulls must defend the critical $100,000 level over the next two weeks. Holding this level is seen as essential for establishing a foundation for future price increases. [00:24], [00:30] - **Low Cash Allocation Signals Bullish Stock Market**: Fund managers globally have the lowest cash allocation in over a decade, indicating they are net long and likely to drive stock prices higher. This follows a significant April correction where cash positions were at their highest. [01:36], [01:41] - **Volume Drop Signals Potential Trap**: Despite price increases, the 7-day moving average of daily exchange volume for Bitcoin continues to decline. This decreasing volume is a warning sign, suggesting rallies may be unsustainable and could indicate a potential trap scenario. [10:00], [10:09] - **November Seasonality Favors Stocks, Potentially Crypto**: Historically, November has provided strong returns for the stock market, with only one minor negative instance since 2018. This positive seasonality for stocks could potentially lead to a bid for Bitcoin and Ethereum. [02:56], [03:02] - **Concentration is Key in Crypto and Stocks**: A small percentage of companies generate the majority of wealth in the US stock market, highlighting the importance of concentrating investments in strong assets rather than broad index funds. This principle also applies to crypto. [06:57], [07:03]

Topics Covered

  • Is the Heavily Overvalued Stock Market a Trap?
  • The Pareto Principle: Why Only a Few Assets Matter.
  • Don't Mistake Quiet for Weakness: Bitcoin's Reloading Phase.
  • Trading Advantage: Change Your Bets Mid-Game.
  • Short-Term Crypto Pullback: Your November Buy-the-Dip.

Full Transcript

We've been speaking quite a lot about the stock  market pushing up to new all-time highs. We said  

it's probably an inevitability where we're going  to see the stock market breaking out. That goes  

for the S&P 500, NASDAQ, as well as the Dow  Jones Industrial Average. And that's exactly  

what we've seen. The real question is, is this  the part where crypto plays catch-up? Because we  

saw bulls fight back to close a strong weekly  candle defending some very critical levels.  

The thesis has really been that we need to see  bulls defend $100,000 specifically and not break  

below that level over the next two weeks. That  will reposition things and set the foundation  

and the stage to potentially catch up. And when we  say crypto, we're more specifically speaking about  

Bitcoin and some of the larger caps like Ethereum  because the rest of the cryptosphere is actually  

absolutely annihilated, right? Still going down.  So, we've made some changes to certain parts of  

the portfolio. I'm going to talk about that as  well today. Smash the like button and let's get  

straight into it. It's a really big week. A lot of  key events that are going to be coming up. If you  

look at this over here, just outlining the major  things coming up this week. We have the interest  

rate decision from the Fed. That's going to be  on Wednesday. We have, of course, Jerome Powell's  

press conference. We have big earnings that's  going to be coming out, a lot of them. Trump  

meeting the president of China on Thursday. More  big earnings coming out. And actually, 20% of the  

S&P 500 companies will be reporting earnings this  week. A lot of major ones; they're all listed over  

here. You're welcome to just screenshot that if  you want to have a look at which ones are coming  

out when. And yeah, it should bring volatility  within the markets. The fund managers around the  

world actually also have the lowest allocation  to cash in more than a decade, which is pretty  

significant. This tells you that they're net long.  We spoke about that following the massive April  

correction where it was the opposite, where they  had the biggest cash position ever, and they're  

going to be left chasing prices higher for the  stock market. That's essentially what's taken  

place, and that's what creates those V-shaped  recoveries and leads into price discovery.  

But also, with the stock market being heavily  overvalued, eventually these guys are going to get  

caught off guard, which is why our bias has been  to really position more for short-term trading,  

right? To move away from the long-term investment  approach and rather move into being concentrated,  

holding just a couple of coins or a couple  of positions, whether that be stock trades,  

and just simply ride the wave. Eliminate the risk  by moving stops to break even or at least take a  

little bit of profit. So, the Warren Buffett  indicator hitting a new all-time high, 223%,  

meaning it's the most expensive the stock market  has ever been. You can see before the 2008 massive  

collapse, it was only just over 100% at that point  in time. I know a lot of people probably say,  

"Well, this thing's broken," but it's probably  not, right? Because you can see Warren Buffett  

has been scaling out. And personally, I don't want  to fade one of the all-time greats. We do expect  

that November should be really good for the stock  market because if you look at the seasonality for  

November over the last couple of years since all  the way back in 2020, well, we only had 2018 which  

was slightly negative, and that was literally  less than a percentage: $0.26$ percent negative.  

Otherwise, November does provide some of the best  returns. And also, historically, what we've tended  

to see with Bitcoin and crypto is that in the  post-election year or the post-halving year,  

which is this year, November, December is  typically where you find the major cycle top. And  

this is why I've said that I don't want to be one  of those people that's calling the top just yet.  

I give the bulls the benefit of the doubt that as  long as they hold above $100,000, there is still  

the potential to set the foundation to send  prices higher. And that's why we'll take each  

trade at a time, right? One trade at a time. And  the recent trades that we've been in, of course,  

have been a long trade. Still holding the Gravity  long. We positioned out of the Bitcoin long,  

which we took off of the Monday range trade into  Gravity. We held that. Gravity broke out into new  

highs. And excuse me, Gravity, I mean Zcash. But  on Gravity, this trade over here broke into new  

highs, and we're up $823$ percent. So, we'll  update you on those. We do need to make some  

changes over there. Expectation is a very bullish  November for the stock market, which means maybe  

just maybe crypto can catch a bid, or Bitcoin  and ETH can catch a bid over there, sticking with  

those majors. There it is, the S&P 500 moving  to new highs. And all we've been doing is just  

adjusting this risk-to-reward because it all  depends on how you approach a particular level.  

One area of interest that we're focusing on is,  of course, this trend line which is going to be a  

major pivot level over here for the stock market.  So, I am adjusting the final take-profit and I'm  

just going to continue to hold this trade until we  hit this trend line over here, which is currently  

coming in. If this is under the presumption that  it were to happen today, which I'm obviously not  

expecting, but just hypothetically, if it did,  you're going to hit this trend line at about  

7,000. So, at least 7,000 is where we're looking  at. Otherwise, alternatively, what we need to see  

to close out this long trade, which indirectly  is going to affect crypto, is we need to see  

some sort of a breakdown below these key SR flip  regions, which we said we're now breaking back  

through. So, my expectation is even if you do get  a pullback over here, you're probably going to  

find support over here and then probably continue  towards the upside. So, S&P 500 is looking good.  

Dow Jones is also looking good. And again, I'll  just continue to extend this target over here.  

No need to close this position. Initially when we  took it, we were targeting for 3R, right? A $3:1$  

risk-to-reward ratio. You can pretty much same  thing just continue to ride this up. You can  

use a couple of Fib extensions as well towards  those $1.618$ and the $2.618$ Fib extension. So,  

I'll leave it as it is for now, but I'm not going  to be closing this position. Just hold that, ride  

it until you see some proper breakdowns. We have  the NASDAQ with the $161.8$ Fib extension coming  

in from the initial lows would be a $61\%$ move.  So, that's targeting 648. And then we also have  

the US small cap 1000 index also breaking above  that support resistance level and just marking up.  

Everything looks super, super strong over here,  but there are some underlying factors that we need  

to look at for Bitcoin specifically, mostly around  the volume chart, which I'm going to show you  

today, right? So, this would provide a short-term  pullback, maybe a little bit of a trap scenario,  

and then you could probably have an opportunity  to reallocate, trying to play that catch-up trade  

as per the title. You can actually vote over here.  Are we so back? Yes. $53\%$ of you believe we are.  

$41\%$ believe it's a trap. And then we have the  comments from the peanut gallery, which is only  

$6\%$ of you. So, I do think that this chart also  is very, very, very telling, right? Just $3\%$ of  

the companies have generated all the net wealth in  the US stock market since 1926, which just shows  

you again the importance of remaining concentrated  and longing strength, right? Picking the right  

stocks, the right cryptos, and placing your bets  in the right place, as opposed to going for some  

kind of an index fund approach where you're going  to, you know, pray and spray where you're just  

going across a massive section of different coins,  right? Which if you looked at, I did have a tweet,  

but I don't want to throw anyone under the bus,  but some influencers have started to post and  

tweet how down they are, like being honest, saying  how down they are because they have this massive  

crypto portfolio of all these different things.  They're like $70\%$ down. And we spoke about that,  

right? We said that 2025 was probably going  to be hard for investors, long-term spreads,  

people that have put money across a broad sector  of portfolios. And it was going to be, I don't  

want to use the word, traders' paradise, but this  is the terminology that gets thrown around. I  

wouldn't call it paradise for traders, but let's  just say a much better experience for active  

traders that are positioned in things that have  strength and are doing what I've said I'm doing,  

which is just taking each trade at a time and just  riding the wave. And if you start to see weakness,  

you take profits and you exit the position, right?  So that's essentially what we've been doing. And  

I actually want to discuss this at length  today. If you want to come to the workshop,  

it's going to be for Whale School. We'll  specifically be covering this section over here,  

which is going to be portfolio structuring,  right? How should you be positioned? How should  

you structure your portfolio? Remember the  Pareto principle, which is the $80/20$ rule.  

It's only $20\%$ of the people in the world that  will make $80\%$ of the world's wealth. Or you  

can even skew that as far as $0.1\%$, right? It's  the same thing in the stock market. Look at that:  

$3\%$ of companies generated the majority of the  wealth within the stock market. So, we'll discuss  

that today, how to structure your portfolio. Also  talk about things like trade execution, liquidity,  

volatility, which I'll also mention a little  bit today because it is very relevant. So, first  

let's have a look at the Whale Trades website in  terms of the long to short ratio. Surprisingly,  

it's pretty balanced. I would have actually  expected this would be skewed much more on  

the long side, but you only have a $0.17\%$ skew  of shorts in the market. So, relatively balanced,  

which shows equilibrium. It shows that things  aren't necessarily getting out of control yet.  

Prices can probably squeeze a little bit higher.  We'll talk about the positioning in a moment. So,  

the Fear and Greed Index has spiked up quite  significantly now to $51\%$, market in doubt. Not  

sure what comes next. The 24-hour liquidations.  Well, here you got a big short squeeze, right?  

372 million. So, we're now at half a billion. This  is quite sizable compared to what we've seen over  

the last couple of weeks. Very, very, very decent  over there. But here's one of your warning signs.  

Remember, we've spoken a lot about the volume,  and just remember this chart when I go into the  

daily chart on TradingView to showcase what the  volume is doing. But the daily exchange volume,  

7-day moving average continues to creep towards  the downside. It's really, really important that  

we start to see this around this $50$ billion  mark, which is more or less where it's approached.  

We're now at $52.27$ billion, which means  kind of now in the next day or two, you want  

to start to see this thing turning a corner and  hopefully rolling back towards the upside over  

there. This is a big warning sign in itself.  It tells you that rallies are unsustainable  

until such time as this can pick back towards  the upside. In terms of the ETF flows, well,  

this week that we just had closed positive on  the ETF flows. We had a few days of negative,  

a couple of days of negative over there for  Bitcoin flows. ETH flows were negative. Let's  

look at the daily. So, this has been pretty  good for a reset over here on ETH. You've  

had quite a few negatives, and that's why ETH  is kind of positioned almost better. I would  

say there's more opportunity, and I'll show  you that when we get onto the ETH chart. So,  

just be careful of those major economic events  coming out. If we look at the weekly flows,  

BNB still continues to have a lot of inflows.  Zcash, which has been the long trade that we took,  

also a lot of inflows over there. And then the  rest I just say are randomized, right? But net  

sellers across the board still for the majority  of other things. And there is also a big whale  

who is on Hyperliquid still holding a short  position of around 3 billion, right? So, that's  

something to probably pay attention to with these  warning signs. Will he get liquidated or not? So,  

we know we're on the cusp of a really big move  based on the Bollinger Band width percentile. And  

if the move if price continues to hold towards the  upside, this is probably going to reset and then  

prep for a bigger move. And I thought this was a  really good tweet from Stock Money Lizards over  

here. It just explains the various different  phases and builds the bullish hopium case,  

which lines up with kind of what I'm looking at.  If we can hold above $100,000, it's going to be  

significant. So, if we just read this, just take a  minute to read this and look at the MACD as well.  

He's looking at the 3-day time frame, which I'm  looking at the 5-day over here, but it kind of,  

of course, the 3-day will fire off before the  5-day. And he says over here, "The calm phase of  

the cycle. Every major BTC rally begins the same  way. Volatility contracts before you lead into  

expansion. Right now, the Bollinger Bands around  the 34 EMA are tightening, which is a signal of  

energy building up in the system." That's a really  good point, right? That tells you there's energy  

that's building up. So, these recontraction phases  which you go through, which is why I've said  

holding that $100,000 level is so critical because  that still allows for the energy to rebuild up in  

preparation for the next big move. Which is why  I said I'm not one of those people that's willing  

to call a top just yet. Timing-wise, yes, we've  met the timing cycle top in the sense that we  

were targeting around 1,070 days around there.  The longest cycle was 2017 from low to top was  

1,167 days, right? We've now surpassed that. So,  timing-wise, we've met the top, but price-wise,  

we haven't seen the breakdowns that you need to  in order to truly confirm that a top is in. So,  

this could just be a reset building up energy  in the system. As long as you hold above $100K,  

that's kind of the invalidation. He says, "At the  same time, downside momentum is losing steam. The  

MACD histogram shows that divergence over there,  and we call this a contraction phase. Volatility  

compresses, emotions start to cool off," right? We  saw the market reposition into more fear. We were,  

you know, last month down to $33\%$, then we went  into extreme panic at $29\%$. Yesterday we were at  

$40\%$, and now suddenly we're back in doubt. So,  you're getting this reset within the market. And  

then he says, "And positioning resets before the  next directional phase actually takes place." So,  

the takeaway of this: don't mistake quiet for  weakness. Compression is often the market's way  

of reloading before volatility returns.  So, when you're in that reloading phase,  

that recontraction phase, things do get a little  bit sketchy, right? It's anyone's game. It could  

be the bulls, it could be the bears. It's very  divided $50/50$ as per the polls. Go to the polls  

over here in today's video and you'll see exactly  that. But you must have key pivot levels where you  

see certain reclaims take place where you now  start to give the odds or the bias towards the  

other team. And I've always said this: use this  analogy like teams, right? Imagine you could  

place a massive bet on two teams, right? So, of  course, there are two teams versus each other,  

whatever is your favorite sport in the world,  but imagine you were allowed to reposition your  

bet during the actual game. You're obviously  not allowed to do that, right? You place your  

bets before the game takes place. The players go  onto the field, they start the game, and one team  

starts to win. You're not allowed to now flip-flop  and change your bet, right? But in trading, you  

can. That's the beauty of it, right? In trading,  you can be live in the game, and you can flip-flop  

from one team to the other when you have evidence  that the other team's starting to win. So, this  

is essentially what it comes down to. That choppy  phase of recontraction makes it really difficult  

to see which team's going to win. And we're  not at that point yet, I just want to be clear,  

but you're starting to see the signs of the shift  that could potentially just maybe, maybe line up,  

of course, with a strong November for the stock  market, which could catch a bid for crypto and  

Bitcoin. And if Bitcoin doesn't, though, that  becomes a big warning sign. But I'll show you  

in the short term how you may still get a bit of  a pullback before things take off. There's still  

a trap scenario that could be unfolding. But the  higher time frames are looking good in the sense  

that you've recovered above the 21 EMA, which  is the first thing that we want to see, and it's  

still angled towards the upside. If we closed this  week, this previous week that we just closed now,  

red, well, you would have actually turned that 21  EMA towards the downside, and then your next major  

support levels were coming in at $100,000, which  we spoke about why that was all so significant,  

right? We really wanted to see this level hold,  the 50 EMA, the key $100,000 psychological  

round number. We have the $0.5$ Fib level when  considering the price from the major lows to the  

current highs. And the odds are beginning to shift  very slowly. It's a slow move as things transition  

and turn, but slowly things can shift in the  bulls' favor with a couple more green weeks over  

here. Your only real bearish factor at that point  is going to be the stop and reversal indicator,  

right? Which means like being on a certain team,  you're getting live data, and you're allowed to  

change your bets, right? Which is a good thing.  So, one of the things we wanted to see was that  

reset with the RSI in the weekly time frame.  And we said that we want to see a little bit  

more chop around here over the coming weeks into  the first week of November. And then the pendulum  

will swing, right? I've often used that analogy of  the pendulum swinging from the bears to the bulls,  

from the bears to the bulls. And we see the  swing over about a two-week period, which  

will often line up with the bull and bear flag or,  excuse me, the bull and the bear moons, right? So,  

that bull moon is going to be coming into play on  I think it's the fourth or the $5$th of November,  

and that lines up with that seasonal period which  we're expecting to be very strong for the stock  

market. So, this is your weekly time frame. We  still need the MACD to cross back towards the  

upside. That hasn't happened. But the good news  is when you look at this, this is lightening,  

right? And you're at least getting a bit of a  high-low print as well on the MACD. So, you need  

those moving averages to cross back up. That's one  of the things we're looking at. And the main thing  

I'm focusing on here is this RSI. I would love  to actually see, you know, one more test. We got  

the 50. I'd love to see one more test of that  RSI into the 50 and even close there. And that  

should really set the stage for November where you  can get a bit of a stronger move, and then real  

crazy season happens if you can break like as per  the yellow lines over there, the yellow drawing,  

if you can break above that down-sloping trend  line. Okay. So, weekly is saying potential for a  

turn over here. Here is your daily look. You are  working also on almost a nine top, which would  

come tomorrow if today's green and the next day  is green. Well, then you're going to have a TD  

sequential nine top, which suggests exhaustion.  Right now, you have reclaimed the level that we  

said the level to reclaim was Tuesday's high. So,  I'm going to delete that. That's a good thing.  

You're above your RSI pivot level. But this would  be the area to be cautious. This is your order  

block that led to the breakdown. So, you can  imagine if tomorrow puts in a really, really  

strong green candle in the shorter term, in the  medium term, you would expect that to get faded,  

right? You would expect some sort of a pullback.  That pullback into a higher low within this yellow  

box probably provides a great opportunity. So,  all we were looking for timing-wise was between,  

we keep adjusting this box towards the right-hand  side, but the end point of that is coming in on  

the $4$th of November, which is where we expect  the next bull moon to print. So, all we wanted  

to see from bulls is, "Hey, whatever you do during  this time period, so between then and the $4$th of  

November, is just don't lose $100,000." That's all  we want to see from you. We want bulls to defend  

100. So, even if you came down, it's okay, just  don't break down and close below $100,000 given  

this move. This now drastically increases the  probability that that will not happen. And despite  

the fact that we have this bearish order block  over here, which is going to be a resistance zone,  

all this means is you're going to be provided  probably with an opportunity, some sort of a  

rally. Even if it goes up into here, you'll get  a throwback. And the great news is it lines up  

with our timing thesis that you're probably then  going to put in some sort of a higher low. So,  

this is going to be the plan essentially leading  into the first week of November. It then shifts  

the narrative into more a buy the dip opportunity  where you're going to give the bulls one more  

opportunity to run it up off of that high low into  new all-time highs alongside the stock market into  

a very bullish November, which lines up with the  on-point seasonal period for when you would expect  

the markets to top, right? The final phase of  the bull run, if you will. And we'll readjust,  

right? As per new information, we'll  continue to monitor things very carefully.  

But in the extremely short term, just lining this  up with that bearish order block with the timing,  

which is still not completely safe, we don't  have the bull moon yet, is the volume. We've  

spoken about this, so just pay attention to this.  I told you, follow each of the green candles and  

then the green volume profile. And what you'll  notice, and we this is what we've been focused on  

for a couple of days or weeks, if you will, since  the $12$th of October. We said, "Look at this. You  

got this move up. Look at the volume, right? Look  at the volume over there. Now look at this move  

up and look at that volume. It's even lower. Now  look at this move up, even more significant, and  

look at that volume. It's going lower," right? The  volume is dropping off significantly. Which again,  

I told you, remember this chart, you line it up  with this. This tells you the bulls are not out  

the woods just yet. But the good news is that  price action in the form of higher highs and  

higher lows or reclaiming key horizontal levels  is more significant than all the funny underlying  

things like momentum oscillators, volume, blah,  blah, blah, all these things, right? The actual  

candlesticks and what they're doing is the most  important thing because that's how you get paid.  

You buy here, you sell here, you made money. Of  course, it doesn't matter what all those momentum  

oscillators are doing underneath, right? So, at  the end of the day, use this to your advantage.  

What this means and how you would use this to your  advantage is as follows: Well, the price has moved  

high, and it's reclaimed some key levels, which is  a good sign. You're coming into the bearish order  

block, which theoretically would, if you're a low  time frame trader, this would be where you'd be  

looking to take profits on longs and position  into shorts with a tight stop-loss above. But  

what I would say is that shorting the market  is very tricky, and most people are not going  

to do it successfully, and you're going to lose  money. So, your better approach is to watch for  

some sort of a rejection based on the volume being  the warning sign and let that rejection serve as  

a buy the dip opportunity into a high low. And if  you get that high low, that's where things reset  

and bulls have the opportunity to take control. As  the pendulum swings from bearish back into bullish  

for November, and November's strong for the stock  market, will crypto catch a bid? Most of the time  

it does follow the stock market, right? So, will  this be that one time that it diverges away? Well,  

if it does, it's over. Okay, so we've spoken a lot  over here. I hope you're all paying attention and  

taking notes. The other thing that lines up  with this low volume to suggest that, well,  

you might very well get a big pullback from here,  but that pullback leads into a high low is the  

USDT dominance, which we've been focused on for  quite some time. And I told you all of last week,  

I'm sticking to the level that needs to be taken  out to be more convinced that the bulls are back  

in control. And if we go to the USDT dominance,  that level still is this. This is still the level.  

And I said there's a good chance that you're  going to pull back into the golden cross between  

the 50 and 200 EMA. And you're now pulling back  into that. And I said the first test of that is  

more likely going to lead to a bounce. And you  know what that means? A bounce of that means  

that the rest of the market pulls back, and it  probably coincides with the TD sequential nine  

top tomorrow with a drop-off in volume and the  bearish order block that's all coming into play  

over here. So, that is essentially the shorter  term plan, right? USDT dominance. Very likely,  

nothing's guaranteed in life, but very likely that  you put in a bit of a bounce. That bounce leads  

to the pullback on Bitcoin, on other things,  the rest of the market. But that pullback,  

if this leads into a lower high, leads into a  higher low across the board. That means that  

you'll buy the dip. And if this tanks down here,  that leads into that final November pump. Okay,  

that is the plan. That is the plan. That's what  I'm reading the market right now. Of course,  

if this nukes through here, then we'll readjust  the plan where you're going to look for some sort  

of acceptance gained underneath, and that changes  things, right? Let me know in the comments if  

that makes sense to you before we continue  because we've now spoken about a lot. Okay,  

I hope I made that crystal clear. If you enjoy  that, if that makes sense, please do like this  

video. It helps to get the show content out. And  then we'll go into the trades, right? Cool. So,  

drop a number one in the chat if that makes sense.  Drop a number two in the chat if that doesn't make  

sense. And drop a three if you're just a troll.  So, give me a one, two, or three. Drop a one if it  

makes sense. Drop a two if it doesn't make sense.  And if you're just a troll, drop a three. Okay.  

So, give me a one, two, three. And that's quicker.  Let me just see what everyone thinks over here, if  

that helps, and we're all on the same page. Okay.  All right. Okay. Cool, cool, cool. It looks like  

everybody is on the same page. I'm glad to see all  the trolls. Welcome, welcome to all the hagglers  

and trolls. Okay. Let's have a look at a couple of  other things over here. So, also by the way guys,  

if you want to discuss the portfolio structuring  and you want to join the workshop, you do need to  

sign up to Whale School. Just very, very, very  quickly, this will be your last chance to get  

in to unlock full access. How do you do it? Just  quickly have a look over here. All you have to  

do is sign up to Blofin. You get a sign-up bonus.  There's a little green thing. That's how you know  

you're at the right link. Click that. Only these  links will be verified. There's a video that shows  

you how to get your sign-up bonus. Once you've  done that, you'll go into your Blofin account.  

At the top, you'll have a user ID. Copy that  user ID. Go through to the Whale School page  

and say Unlock Access. Unlock access to Whale  School. You'll come to the sign-up page over  

here. This is just for anyone new. Very quickly  explaining this. It will show sign up. You've  

already signed up. Zoom in. It says, "I already  used the link." Click on that. Unlock using  

that user ID. Go to the dropdown. Choose Blofin.  Submit your user ID. Click submit. I've already  

signed up with this ID so I can't do it twice.  And that's it. You're in, right? Deposit $100,  

join the workshop. Next month, we do it all over  again. We start from A to Z in those workshops,  

right? All righty. So, that's the first thing.  Let's go into the liquidity heat maps, right? So,  

you saw price run through the top liquidity over  here on the weekly scale. That's about 79 million  

that got liquidated, which is why we saw those  short squeezes. So, if we go over here, that's why  

we saw 372 million of shorts getting taken out.  And we said when you do that, you want to assess:  

are you putting in a swing failure pattern, which  means you're rejecting from that liquidity sweep  

where you took the liquidity in terms of moving  into that yellow area, or are you holding and  

defending that? Right now, you're holding and  defending that, which is a good sign. So, that's  

the first good sign. Let's look on the 24-hour  period. The liquidity is now building below. So,  

pay attention to this. We always look on the  daily. Anything above 25 million in liquidation  

leverage on a daily is a significant amount that  becomes a draw for price to move towards. So,  

that price level is coming in at about $112,000.  You can see Bitcoin right now is trading at about  

$115,000 to $116,000. So, if you pull back based  off of the low volume, assess how price comes into  

this in the coming days and what the number is.  If the number's over 25 million, these are late  

longs chasing price with a liquidation price  slightly below. That becomes your buy the dip,  

right? We've seen also on the High Block Capital  the deltas are going very positive, which shows  

you that there are definitely longs that are  starting to chase price here on everything:  

Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, SUI, Sonic, and AA.  Okay, so they all gone positive over there.  

Okay, total holding up. That's all good. We're  going to skip that. We don't have too much time  

today. I have updated you guys throughout the  week. First, we started off. We were looking  

for the Bitcoin trades off of the Monday range.  It's going to be the same thing. First, we need  

Monday's range to play out this week, and then  we'll find the opportunities off of that. Now,  

my suspicion will be that the Monday range trade  for this week, so last week it was all longs. This  

week it's probably going to be shorts based on  everything I've shown you because the daily volume  

is dropping off. You're coming into the daily  order block, bearish order block where you'd  

expect a rejection to take place. The 7-day moving  average is coming down. We have a lot of economic  

things coming up. So, in actual fact, this Monday  range, once we've printed the Monday range,  

which cannot be done until tomorrow, right?  Just to be clear, guys, you have to wait for  

Monday to finish to have your Monday range. Last  week, we took all the longs. They all played out.  

We start off with Bitcoin. There it was Bitcoin.  And I took the trade live in the Discord. I told  

everyone what I was doing. Started to scale  out. Closed $25\%$ closed, closed, closed,  

closed, closed. Took more profits. And then  we started to look for the Zcash trade based  

on the ascending triangle, which I said a whole  voice note explanation to everyone below. That  

Zcash looks primed to move higher. And we entered  into that trade at $240. And now, as you can see,  

we're up massively, right? So, we are up $800\%$  to $900\%$. Probably get $1,000$ percent. I have  

been scaling out of this position incrementally,  just taking $25\%$ profit at a time. You have been  

updated if you're in the Whale Room group. But so  far that trade has played out very, very well. So,  

we're going to look for more trades, right? We are  going to look for more trades. There's the setup  

playing out. We're still targeting $465$. So,  I'm going to probably line up my profit-taking  

on this with the thesis on Bitcoin because Bitcoin  will drive all the markets. So, it depends what  

happens over today and tomorrow. I'm hoping that  we continue to expand higher today and tomorrow  

into that TD sequential nine top, and hopefully  this reaches $465$ by then, which means it's  

met the measured move target and we can take full  profits. So, this account, unbelievably, you know,  

we started this account, it was like $900$. If you  look at the bottom over here, the initial margin  

for this trade was only $220, which means we've  over 10xed this trade already to overall 3x the  

trading account. It's so unbelievable what you  can do with leverage when you are responsible.  

And the only reason that we're doing it on here is  to get those points, right, for the portfolio. So,  

right now I'm over $1,000 anyway in estimated  airdrop points for the Gravity token. So, if  

you want to participate, remember guys, for anyone  that's new here, use that link, join our team in  

Gravity. You get a multiply bonus by joining into  my team. The link is over there. Take the trades.  

Look, you're a bit late on Zcash. You can't take  the trade. I believe the mind share is reaching  

max capacity at the moment. All the random  crypto WhatsApp groups and things. I mean,  

everyone's talking about Zcash. I think that we've  hit peak euphoria on Zcash, and it's probably time  

to start to close the position, which is why  I'm taking incremental profit. So, currently,  

as I updated Whale Room, I am essentially $58\%$  out of this trade. I've got like another $40\%$  

left, and I'll probably be closing the rest off  between today and tomorrow. All righty. Next,  

let's go into altcoins. Ethereum still looks  good. What did I tell you? Remember what I said  

last week? I said, "Yes, this looks bad."  But a couple of green weekly candles in a  

row in the slow grind and fight for higher prices  once you get above $4,000 is going to look really  

good. And as you can see, it's starting to  now look like an SR flip. A big previous  

resistance in the form of a range high breakout  now into support. A big resistance in the form of  

this triangle breakout as well now flipping into  support. So, I said I would personally remain  

quite concentrated. Again, the way that the stock  markets work. $3\%$ of the companies generated  

all the net wealth in the US stock market since  1926. The Pareto principle still holds true for  

everything in life. Not just the stock market,  but crypto and everything. Okay, and everything,  

right? So, look it up if you want to learn more  about the Pareto principle. I highly recommend  

that you learn more about that if you don't  know it already. So, the measured move for this  

is huge. The measured move off of the rectangle  for ETH breaking out will take it to like $6,500,  

$6,600, which is why we consolidated a lot of the  positions on Pionex. These are the trades that we  

had been taking. We consolidated a lot of that  into ETH. So, we're up about $10\%$ which also  

into a BTC long up $7.26\%$. I did update Whale  Room this morning as well, which I just want to  

share with the rest of you. We were down quite  a lot on Plasma, which is the ticker XPL, and I  

think we were down like $60\%$ to $70\%$. Over the  course of the weekend on Saturday, I added margin  

into that position to reduce the average entry. We  got the trade within like only a $5\%$ loss based  

on the Saturday morning trade and we got a pump  on Sunday. I have consequently closed XPL for a  

very tiny loss, minuscule, like $5\%$. So, that  trade worked out, right? That trade worked out,  

I would say, to take what was $60\%$ to $70\%$  loss to only a $5\%$ loss by reducing the average  

on Saturday. That trade is closed. So, I am out  of XPL. These are currently the positions that I'm  

in. And let me just fix this so I can move my head  so you can all see everything. There it is. So,  

we're in BTC, we're in ETH, we're in Pump.  We added into Pump as well. It's going very,  

very well. We're holding the ASA position. No  changes over there. Remember the flows still  

coming into the BNB ecosystem. And then we have  AVAX which we're down a lot on. We reduced that  

trade as well. And now, I guess we have a decision  to make. We've got this one pretty much close to  

break even based on the adjustment to AVAX on  Saturday morning. So, do we hold this or not?  

I want to be in strength. I want to hold things  that have relative strength. Even Pump is a bit  

sketchy, right? Pump, we said, "I don't expect it  to V-shape to new all-time highs, but you can have  

a beautiful rally into a bearish order block."  So, let's have a look at that. Let's have a look  

at that. So, here was Pump, right? This is what  I said for Pump, and we'll move on to the daily.  

I said that you could rally up here, but this  all becomes a profit-taking zone. So, that's  

a question. Should we continue to hold Pump?  Theoretically, this was running at a small loss,  

and we're now in profits. So, should we just close  this bot? Do we just close this bot? You guys  

let me know. Give me a one if we should close it.  Give me a two if you want to hold Pump. For AVAX,  

though, I want to go to the chart and really  consider if this one should be held. So, you are  

at key support. There it is. Super key support.  It did get ugly, but you know, if I were opening  

a fresh entry today, a fresh new trade, would I be  longing AVAX over here? And I don't think I would.  

I think that probably that's a major low for AVAX.  Probably you don't really get daily candle closes  

below $167, but also probably AVAX chops like this  before making a move higher. So, consequently, the  

job was to add margin on Saturday to reduce the  average entry to get this thing closer to break  

even. I don't need it anymore. We are done, like a  $2\%$ loss. Nothing. Now, everything is in profit.  

Okay. So, some of you say close Pump. I'm going to  leave it for a little bit longer. I'll monitor it  

over the course of today. The positions that I'm  in right now: BTC, ETH, Pump, and ASA. Let this  

be a lesson, right? I think that any of the moves  that happen now is a great opportunity for you to  

consolidate a lot of your portfolio. So, not you  don't need to be holding 50 coins. You should be  

really concentrated to only a couple of positions  as we reach the end point of the crypto cycle.  

Let's say hypothetically, even if price rallied  for another six months, well, I would still rather  

be holding only three or four positions. Maybe for  me personally, I'll probably only be holding like  

one or two with the majority of my capital. But if  I were to extend it to an extreme point, I would  

kind of set like a hard limit rule where I'm not  allowed to go over five positions. Just choose the  

best five positions. Okay. All right. Matt says,  "I'm the best advisor in the game." Just remember  

to put in brackets there, not financial advisor  in the game, but thank you very much for that.  

All right, cool guys. So, we've gone through that.  I just wanted to give you these important updates.  

So, to be clear, the actionable things that I'm  that, well, I'm doing it if you want to copy me  

is I've been slowly scaling out of that Gravity  position. So, just taking incremental profits  

on this massive trade, $25\%$ of the $25\%$ at a  time. And as per my little example to Whale Room,  

taking $25\%$ here and there, which is now three  times in a row, doesn't mean that I'm $75\%$ out.  

So, if you assume I had 100 Zcash and I took  $25\%$ three times, that's not $25 + 25 + 25$  

equals minus $75$ from the 100. But rather, it's  $100$ minus $25\%$ is 75 Zcash left. Then you take  

that 75 and you minus $25\%$. Now you have $56.25$  Zcash. Then you take $56.25$ minus another $25\%$.  

So, therefore, I have $42\%$ of the trade still  open. Just to make that clear, every time I say I  

take $25\%$, I'm literally just going on here like  this. I'll show you. I'm just going on here like  

this. And I am saying where is it? Limit. I'm  going limit. There you go. And I'm just taking  

from the net value, and I'm just saying Close  25% over here. That's what I'm doing. Okay,  

just to be clear. All righty. So, what else? Okay,  ETH/BTC still looks good, and it's also rounding  

out over here. It may not even make it into the  $0.382$. That probably was the test, which is  

why I have consolidated a lot of this portfolio  into ETH specifically. You can see this is a much  

bigger position, 16K. It's the largest of these  all of these positions over here. And that's for  

that reason. So, I'm trying to be concentrated  over here. So, we're summarizing everything.  

$25\%$ we're taking out of there. We closed a  couple of positions over here. The expectation  

is to continue to profit take on longs into today  and tomorrow. And then we're potentially going to  

take a short trade off of the Monday range once we  print the Monday high and low tomorrow or the next  

day. We're going to look for a sweep of the Monday  high, and we're probably going to short that down.  

That short when it closes out is probably going  to lead to the buy the dip opportunity for  

longer-term trades that line up with the weekly  that could trade into new all-time highs. So,  

I hope all of that makes sense. And if you want to  be on the same page, you know, just show up every  

day. That's it. Just show up every day. I'll  update you each step of the way. If you want  

to copy these bots, that's also available over  here on Pionex. Just click that link and then  

use that Blofin if you want to come to the Whale  School event later today. So, I think that's all  

we have time for today, guys. I do appreciate each  and every single one of you. A very informative,  

important show to update you on. Like the video  if you got value from it. Share it with a friend,  

and I will see you on the next one, which is  tomorrow. Have a good day, and cheers for now.

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