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LIVE Day Trading ES/NQ/GC Futures with SpecOpsTrader

By SpecOpsTrader

Summary

Topics Covered

  • Ignore Price, Trade Order Flow
  • Trades Delta Reveals Limit Orders
  • Exhaustion Divergence Weaker Signal
  • Absorption: Price Leads Delta
  • Special Ops Mindset Thrives Chaos

Full Transcript

This is uh unlikely.

I just realized I was muted. So, I was just saying that we're above the weekly VWAP, above the rolling VWAP, and we're uh hitting our heads here on this

previous month's VWAP. If it breaks through this, I think that uh you could get a really nice push higher.

Obviously, the quarterly, the rolling quarterly is there and the rolling monthly, so there's definitely some areas of resistance. And then we've got a big high volume node up at like

25,900.

So, right now, everything's looking bullish. Let's take a look at the um

bullish. Let's take a look at the um the RTH chart and we'll see what kind of order flow we get out of the gate.

So, we got a little bit of a gap.

[clears throat] Usually when it gaps up, doesn't necessarily mean that it wants to go higher, but just means there's quite a bit of buying in the overnight session.

All right. So, I'm going to zoom in here.

I like to look at uh this open on like a 5second chart. We're got a 30 here right

5second chart. We're got a 30 here right now, but let's just see what kind of kind of push we get here.

Sorry.

I notice immediately that our trade delta is underneath the volume delta. So

there's definitely some sellside absorption here.

You guys can see how they're separated like that. Jason, I definitely want to

like that. Jason, I definitely want to talk with you more about about your thoughts, but I'm kind of reading that as again that there's some underlying absorption that's taking

place.

And yesterday caught a nice short after CPI because my trades delta just started dipping super hard and there was a big time divergence.

So, we're sweeping some highs, but we're nowhere near that quarterly VWAP, which is at like 490 right up in here.

Put on the other chart.

We haven't touched this thing since last Wednesday. So,

Wednesday. So, it's been a little bit since we've been up here.

Going to try to adjust this profile here so it's looking at just the current bars, visible bars.

Okay, so the trades is starting to flip. If this trades breaks here, then

flip. If this trades breaks here, then I'll probably You guys can see too that we got a little bit of a divergence.

See how they're putting in uh lower highs, but price is putting in higher highs.

So, let's see what happens here. This is

kind of a critical moment.

Doesn't mean that we start shorting just yet.

want to see some convincing uh change.

Hey, what's going on Connor? Appreciate

you tuning in, man.

Again, we're still working on things on our end here. We're trying to uh get better at this streaming thing.

If we don't um again just thinking of I'm always looking at what what is the delta doing?

What is it failing to do?

If it does break here and start dropping, we need to look at that. It did. Also,

they're just not that much aggressive buying, which I think would be expected given that we're up against the quarterly VWAP.

Uh, got exist existing home sales at 10, consumer consumer sentiment at 10 as well. So, those are like midlevel

well. So, those are like midlevel uh news catalysts.

Nice, man. Yeah, the K levels work work really well if you're just wanting to scalp. Uh

scalp. Uh I've always had good luck with them.

It's looking like it's wanting to possibly dump.

That's the thing is we just we never know where the order flow is really going to kick in at If our volume delta and trades really

get in alignment here below neutral, then I'll start shorting.

You guys can see the divergence though.

Again, I'm not just we're not just trading the divergences. We're looking

for an actual break, right? Some actual

commitment.

Guys, let me know if that music's too loud.

We do have the gap below down here at uh 219.

I want to try to fix this volume profile for you guys. Right now, it's showing all of the bars on the chart. I need to adjust it so it's just showing the ones we're looking at. So we can pay

attention to these high volume, low volume nodes here.

Still not short yet.

At least I'm not. Somebody out there is.

You guys can see how the trades delta is diverging here from So the trades delta is basically back at neutral.

We got our volume delta hitting the 1k level there. There's a divergence

level there. There's a divergence between the two of them. So volume delta and price are in alignment with each other, but our trades delta is not not

in alignment.

So, it's telling me that there's some selling orders, right, that are hitting the book.

Just be patient. I'm going to try to fix this profile for you guys.

There we go.

There we go. Now we got a profile that's working.

It's a little bit wide. Let me

Okay, if this uh if this trades delta starts making new lows here, yeah, then I think we we can start taking shorts.

I like the divergence.

You can see there's some aggressive buying up here at the top that uh at least right now is not getting big follow through.

See what they do.

Hey, Shahid. Appreciate you being here, man.

Oh yeah.

I need to do a better job of tracking that kind of stuff. Options, expiration.

I got my hands full. That's the thing.

Doing a bunch of other stuff. So,

can everybody see this divergence between the trades?

OM Delta does not mean that it's going to reverse yet. I do think that it's just indicative that there's

some underlying selling.

So, let's just be patient.

I'm not nuts about going long yet because we are up against this quarterly VWAP. I'd like to get some kind of a

VWAP. I'd like to get some kind of a retest uh lower before trying to build into a long. Of course, every time I think

long. Of course, every time I think that, right, then we just get a big trend day and it just runs and I never really get a chance. But I feel like if if it's really going to run

higher, then this trades delta would be in alignment with uh the volume delta. And

these two would be like this. Sometimes

it takes them a little while to really get in alignment with each other. But

hey, Micah male rather, sorry.

Glad you're here, man.

So, we're tapping into the rolling quarterly VWAP.

Looking for some kind of confluence here to either get us long or convince us that we need to be shorting.

Okay, so now they are in alignment with each other.

See if we can This is convincing enough for me to try to get long. Um maybe we'll get a little bit of a pullback.

into one of these low volume nodes. I'm just going to I don't really don't have a better way to plot this right now for you guys, but maybe we'll get some kind of a pull back

into here and we can get long. I like it now that they're that they are in alignment with each other, right? Price

other, right? Price volume delta trades delta, they're all pointing in the same direction. That

means we need to be going in that direction.

I would be fine with uh putting one on right now. I'm going to wait though.

Let's see what we can get here.

So, it's important that you guys wait.

um some morning it's really it's crystal clear, right? But right here we were

clear, right? But right here we were looking and we were seeing this divergence. We're waiting to see if

divergence. We're waiting to see if those kind of underlying uh limit order guys, they were going to be really committed or not and uh they

they backed off and so now we're basically in buy mode.

Uh next week I'm probably going to have the tick on this chart as well for you guys.

Um, and then I might I might switch things up and go to widescreen format because right now I'm just trading on um

this little screen, right? This is the streaming screen, but it's not my full my full chart book that I'm used to looking at.

So, see if we can get a pullback here into some of these volume clusters.

But we've got good alignment, right? We

got good good bullish alignment. I like that.

Just glance at the strategic chart. So

above us right here is a this area is a previous day's VWAP purple.

Then there is a high and then right here is the monthly VWAP.

Just trying to plot some levels.

I'm going to go ahead and put on one micro.

I don't want this thing to absolutely run away from this without something on. And if we get uh if we get

a pullback down into here, I feel even better right about building a position in this area.

Sometimes you don't get it and you just got to you got to take it.

So, we've got a previous days VWAP right here.

I usually mark these as P V D previous days.

And then we've got a rolling rolling monthly. You just mark that as

rolling monthly. You just mark that as RM.

Okay. So little divergence here.

A lot of times I will scalp these. I just call them K levels

scalp these. I just call them K levels for those of you guys that are on YouTube. You can scalp these K levels

YouTube. You can scalp these K levels pretty nice.

What do I mean by that? Well, you know, you could have maybe taken a short when the volume delta hit that that K level, but so we want to see a pullback

to delta neutral right along in here.

Uh to start to add some size into this So, we got a little bit of a what I just call a micro divergence. I'll just point this out. But

this out. But I get the price isn't really falling even though we've got negative delta.

It's wanting to hold our trades delta's kind of hit neutral here. I'll I'll watch this area closely,

here. I'll I'll watch this area closely, see what it does. If we're going to go higher, and I think that we will, then we absolutely should hold this level here.

Um, if the trades delta starts to break that and especially if it starts to break the

low, then that tells us that we need to be looking to possibly go short.

But right now, all systems are go. I

didn't add in right there because it just was not a big pullback.

Again, just trying to keep it keep it light for you guys.

[clears throat] I know folks are trading smaller accounts, evals and funded accounts and uh there's no reason for us to really

size up yet.

Starting to get a nice volume cup over here.

Oops, that's not where I wanted to draw that.

You guys can see it though over here.

Volume profile. That's good, right? So,

we want those limit orders to come in and kind of provide support through this area.

Buyers are aggressive. It took it up and out.

I have to step away for just a second.

I'll be right back, guys.

Hopefully I don't miss this. I can add into this. I'll be right back.

into this. I'll be right back.

All right, I'm back.

See what's going on here.

Yeah, a little bit of a pullback.

Can you guys still hear me on YouTube? I

Think I lost my uh lost the music here by Okay, cool.

I wanted to buy a little more on that dip, but it's okay.

Maybe we'll get another little push down here.

Still feeling pretty good about this.

Okay, good. Hey KTS, you have issues.

Appreciate you guys being here, man.

So guys, if you're just kind of tuning in, I appreciate you.

I am an orderflow trader. I try to look for confluences between uh different things

within the order flow itself.

And uh to be perfectly honest, I I don't get really wrapped around what price is doing.

I'm always watching the order book. So

right now the order book is positive.

Initially, we had a divergence kind of out of the gate on our trades delta and but it's been it's been basically positive

since RTH open. And we look at RTH open because that's when uh all the algos and systems out there recalibrate.

And really we're looking at confluence between what's happening in the order book. This is the volume delta again,

book. This is the volume delta again, cumulative trades delta and our volume profiles. Um, which this is

an important profile because it's recent, right? Uh, recency to me is very

recent, right? Uh, recency to me is very important. Um, this this volume that's

important. Um, this this volume that's accumulating um it means something, right? This

aggression where we left this prior area of uh value, right? That aggression

means something.

And then the other things that we look at are uh historical VWAPs. So we're looking at previous days VWAP, previous weeks VWAP, previous months, previous quarters, and

sometimes we get down near the year. Um

I don't just buy and sell. Like I'm not going to limit order in on to um

a VWAP just because it's there. There is

edge in that. Um, and I've developed some stats on previous days VWAP and weekly and monthlies, but I prefer to let the order flow really show me where

I need to be getting into my trades. And

I just kind of keep it simple. I've gone

through footprint charts and domes and all that stuff. And uh, for me, CR Chart lets me have multiple

volume deltas. I can customize them. And

volume deltas. I can customize them. And

uh for me, this has just been the simplest way for me to uh for me to interpret order flow.

And I look at the trades delta as kind of like uh limit orders, right?

I I think of it as if trades is going one direction and the volume delta is going the other direction, that means that there's contradiction there and they're selling.

Love it.

So, a little pop. I really was hoping to uh add in more down in here. It's okay,

right? Like the important thing is is that we read the order flow correctly and we got the right direction. So, you

know, you're not always going to nail it, but hey, it's $170 trade on two micros. I mean, I I'll take that, right?

micros. I mean, I I'll take that, right?

And we're getting um you know, our profile is building out, possibly getting other areas to um to add into if it continues to go

higher.

Now, now that we've tapped into this previous day, if things start to go south, meaning that

our volume delta and our trades delta start to really tank from here, then we probably should get off the long train and and start

looking for shorts.

Let's just see what happens.

It's been interesting the last few days.

I've been looking at um the analytics for uh the YouTube stream and most people stick around for like 10 or 15 minutes and then they just bail. It's

like oh specs not really doing anything super flashy or um exciting.

And so they just they punch out rather than stick around and kind of see how, you know, maybe you learn something.

But you guys that are here, I I do appreciate you very much.

Having issues with the music this morning. Let

me try another one here.

So an important point here is this high on our volume delta.

So this is our CVD high.

This is uh the highest point that buyers got aggressive. So when we reach back up

got aggressive. So when we reach back up into that I expect there to potentially be some selling.

Yeah, there is. So that's what I was saying. and it's the previous days um

saying. and it's the previous days um VWAP close

and we're just below the monthly. I'm

going to switch to um let me switch the stream here for you guys real quick.

Just a second. I'm doing it there. And then I'm gonna do it over

there. And then I'm gonna do it over here.

You guys will see what I'm looking at.

I know it's black. Sorry.

Oops.

There you go. Sorry, guys. So, yes, this purple line right here is a previous day's VWAP.

uh it's been passed through you know before but still definitely carries a lot of weight. We are just below this monthly. This previous day's VWAP could

monthly. This previous day's VWAP could be enough to push us back down into the quarterly or to the monthly. I would be very surprised if we go all the way back

down towards this weekly.

So, you know, on our higher time frame, this is just a 30-inut chart. We're

making new highs, right? Um so, let's see.

uh what it does there is a divergence but it's not doesn't mean that it's going to completely start selling off from this point. So

let me go back to RTH.

There you go.

And we're talking about this Generally, as long as price is still uh going higher like this, I don't get too worried about it.

But they could just get so aggressive that they they certainly push it down.

I would be surprised if there's that kind of selling at this this point now above this monthly which is uh this yellow and then there's a

swing here. Yeah, then I would expect to

swing here. Yeah, then I would expect to see some real aggressive selling.

Let's see.

along just two micros.

Now, I know some of you are thinking, where's his stop at?

My stop is when I see the trades delta really start to make new lows.

I don't really care what price does. My

position is light, so price may very well break through here

and I'm not going to exit the trade um if that that low gets broken. My concern

is what is the order book doing? So the

order book does have a divergence in it.

We see it, but I'm really concerned about what what's happening down here.

my volume delta is still positive. So if

these sell trades really start hitting the order book for whatever reason, right, we don't know then then yeah, we probably ought to get out

just kind of reset. So

So we're watching right down here now.

Sometimes it'll go below it a little bit.

Not too Not too worried about it.

I like it that there's a rolling quarterly VWAP below us.

Okay, we're hitting it a little bit.

Yep.

485ish.

Probably should have added right there.

I'm trying to play it safe and careful because I know got you guys on here.

I just checked uh Trading View. Trading

View has this just a tiny bit lower about right there. But but you guys get the idea. There's a quarterly VWAP.

the idea. There's a quarterly VWAP.

Basically center mass of that low volume node.

Whoops.

Didn't mean to erase that.

We do still have a gap back down here like 219ish.

What do you guys think? You guys think it's going to go up? You guys think it's going to go down? Just curious.

Nobody wants to say anything.

I think we go up until uh this gets broken.

These trades start uh selling off. It's

going to drop obviously.

Little bit of aggression there.

Let's see if it has any effect.

Okay.

Yeah. Let's see

what happens here.

I'm really trying to be better about uh not getting wrapped up in the lines on my chart, but really looking at the order flow. So,

order flow. So, not closing this just yet.

big moment here. We'll see what uh the buyers do when we get back down to neutral. Trades is definitely starting

neutral. Trades is definitely starting to look bearish, especially with the divergence.

Price is still holding though, at least for the moment.

Sometimes you'll get a funky little bounce where volume delta will hit zero or neutral and your trades will hit

negative 1k and then it'll rally. Of course, it could really start to go. Yeah,

I'll give it just a second here before I fully commit to this uh low volume note still definitely means something over here, right? Buyers

were aggressive momentarily.

I'm going to add this just a little bit.

Obviously, if we break break this uh this swing here, then we'll have to exit, look for a short, but I like it that the volume delta is still holding neutral.

Could be just enough aggression to keep it afloat.

Again, I recognize there's a divergence there.

But it's not an absorption divergence.

It is exhaustion. So

a lot of times these are not as reliable as the absorption divergence and it'll flip.

An absorption divergence would be price is lower but our deltas are making new highs. So

new highs. So now having said that absolutely there could be enough

aggressive selling to market selling right to knock it back down. Which is great

for us because then we can try to catch a short and then a bounce lower.

hanging precariously on the edge of this low high volume node.

Just going to move this down here.

watching to see if the CBD starts making new lows.

CKTS, appreciate you coming by this morning, man. You have a good weekend

morning, man. You have a good weekend and I'll be back on next week.

We're watching the aggression here.

See brother.

I'm really looking to see what makes a high first. Is price going to make a

high first. Is price going to make a high first or is it going to tap this low? And that'll give us pretty clear

low? And that'll give us pretty clear direction. And we see that delta break.

direction. And we see that delta break.

So, we might have to get out for a small loss. That's okay.

loss. That's okay.

We know that our point of control is up here at about 550.

So for now there seems to be an agreement that this is our value. Is that

tapped right into that previous day's VWAP. Nice though.

VWAP. Nice though.

Okay. So, I'm watching the volume delta.

If it starts to break, then we're going to get out and we'll look for some kind of retest on a short.

We know our trades is selling off.

Hey Darl, appreciate you coming by man.

I'm doing very well this morning.

Got a cup of coffee and we're enjoying the holidays.

So, we caught kind of a late long here.

Not terribly late, but [snorts] Okay. Looks like we're getting some

Okay. Looks like we're getting some aggression.

Yep. Okay. So, I'm going to exit this long for an L and we're going to look and see

if we can find a short.

Now sometimes Whoops.

Sometimes we will get this looks to be like the RTH delta low.

So we haven't broken that yet. We've

done it on uh trades. Oops. Dang. Sorry.

We've done it on the trade cell. But we

haven't well I say that now they are doing it.

They are breaking that low which is about right here.

Uh yeah, absolutely.

The only thing about using uh the only thing about getting long in the LVN just because the LVN is there is that

we've had this divergence in the order flow and now our order book looks to be

wanting to go negative.

Um, anytime that the trades delta is below our volume delta, that means that there's just more selling trades that are coming in and hitting the book. So,

normally, if we're really wanting to go long, we want to see the reverse of that. We want to see that trades delta

that. We want to see that trades delta lifting it.

But that's not the case. So, they could actually be selling it off from here. And if they are that that you know low volume node

and even this quarterly VWAP which looks super tempting and VWAP it's not going to matter. They'll sell right through

to matter. They'll sell right through that.

If these two volume delta and trades delta are making new loads it'll just it'll cut right through whatever is there and keep keep going.

I did like this kind of initial aggression.

No, I'm looking at the volume delta and the trades delta. So the volume delta or CBD is in blue and our trades delta is

in red.

So when I say order book, I'm really looking at these things here. Just a very simplistic method rather than

trying to watch pulling and stacking and all that stuff on a thumb. I don't do that. I used to do it, but I've just

that. I used to do it, but I've just again tried to really simplify my trading.

I kind of just want to see the overall direction of the order book, right? And

right now it's wanting to go down.

So why fight it?

And uh and it keeps me from having to stare at a bunch of footprint charts and I just want to see the momentum, right?

I want to see the stream. I call it the delta stream. Which way is the delta

delta stream. Which way is the delta stream taking me? And right now it's taking us down.

I'm not short yet because I want to try to get some kind of a pullback. But I

wasn't sure if this divergence was going to there's a divergence here. I wasn't

sure if this was going to stick. But it

looks like there's quite a bit of aggression on the tape. So all we can do is take that now.

Having said that, I might try to scalp a quick long

based on this -1k CBD level and -2k trades delta level.

If these two can get in alignment with each other, we could probably catch a nice scalp. Now, I also want to say too that I mentioned this earlier

that this is an exhaustion divergence.

This is not a full-on selling absorption kind of divergence. So, this is just saying buyers got a little exhausted up

here and so they stepped away.

Let's just see if we can scalp along.

I'm looking at right here.

Okay. So, it's punching through it.

That's fine. But now I'm looking at these K levels right coming back down here towards the open.

So, they punched through that 1K level.

But I will I will uh I will certainly scalp these things.

And just keeping this down here.

Yep. That little short. We read it. Read

it. Read it. We read it right. Didn't

get on board with it, but that's okay. I

was I'm kind of surprised that there was that much selling off of that previous day's VWOP there, but kind of want to see what happens right here.

I might do You guys can see how the order book momentum is in alignment with price, right? Price

is going this way. Both our volume and trade delta going this way.

Think I might try one micro short here.

Now, what I really want to see is this CBD come back up and kind of retest

this area here. So, I'm anticipating that happening and I would imagine that there'll be some confluence between that delta neutral and probably this

high volume node here. I don't know. I

don't know if we'll get that far back up.

But again, just trying to put ourselves in alignment with the order book.

I didn't scout that long. I just wasn't super convinced that it wasn't going to go lower. So, held off on that.

go lower. So, held off on that.

But now that we're now that we're negative that the order book is selling, we know that because we're we're below here,

right? As long as we're below here,

right? As long as we're below here, then we should be looking for shorts.

So, Was hoping to get a little more size on that, but it's okay.

So, we want to see these continue to break new lows.

Yeah, I would chase longs too if you were just looking at VWAP and profile, right? You got that push up but or we

right? You got that push up but or we had, you know, we had this leg up in price.

But the order book is not wanting to carry a higher at least as far as I can tell. Right.

So, let's see if we get a retest up in here.

Guys, let me know if that music's too loud for you please.

Sounds good on my end.

When you have uh delta and trades that are going this directional like this, that's aggression, guys, right? It's aggressive selling and

right? It's aggressive selling and aggressive limit order selling.

You guys want to hear any music?

Okay.

Maybe I'll start singing. You don't want that.

You can hear it. Okay.

As long as it's not too loud because it um if I'm just sitting here talking.

[clears throat] Okay.

Yeah. Well, I agree. I'm just here for the trading, too. It's just that sometimes it gets like awkwardly quiet.

There is a part of me that feels like I need to entertain you guys with some war stories or something like that.

Not adding into this short yet. I want

to see if it goes a little bit higher on the on the uh delta grid here.

When I say delta grid, I just mean the bottom frame of my chart here. This area

We're going to zoom in as this gets closer here to neutral.

You're down for war stories.

Just going to kind of hone in here on the delta grid.

I kind of want to go down to a 5second chart, but I'm going to wait.

So, this area right here is an important area. This is the low that CBD hit

out of the gate. It went negative and then stopped. It's about 167. So you

then stopped. It's about 167. So you

guys can see how the buying up here is kind of weak. It could absolutely pop through this and we'd be off sides. And

again, all we can do is try to get in alignment with the order flow. Right

now, I feel feel good about this.

not sizing into it crazy yet.

Like it that I would imagine again that this is the point of control right here for the day.

Apologize. This is just the streaming chart book. So

chart book. So I'm going to sell a couple more.

If the delta starts popping off and going positive, then we'll we'll get out.

We want it to get basically up in this area where it's at right now.

If it doesn't if it doesn't actually go back to neutral and it starts to sell off, that's a good

sign right?

I like that we've got some confluence here with this high volume node.

As far as stops go, if the delta starts to break positive again, we'll get out.

And I'm not really concerned so much about what price does.

It can kind of go up or down. That's

just really what the order book is doing right now. The order book is flipped

right now. The order book is flipped bearish.

If the CBD and trade delta start to make new lows, we can add into this You guys may hear the ice machine in the background. My wife is

background. My wife is lovely wife. It's making me 18.

lovely wife. It's making me 18.

All the perks of being married.

Hey, appreciate all you guys on YouTube.

This is the most uh people that we've had on stream. So,

thank you guys for being here.

We're currently trying to catch a short here because our order book has flipped negative.

Again, I'm not getting wrapped around the axle about VWAP being there or that quarterly VWAP

or any of that stuff.

I'm really looking at the order flow, order book and the volume profile on the right.

This volume is important volume because it's recent.

So, we had a divergence mark here for you that I honestly was not like super super excited about. Thank you, Darl.

excited about. Thank you, Darl.

Appreciate.

But looks like it wants to stick. So, the

divergence here is if price We got aggressive sellers and we have our trades delta. So there's

a divergence and then right here we really flipped bearish.

Now the order book has not sold off that far yet.

We'll know if this thing really wants to go lower if these two start making new lows. If these two

start making new lows, I would not be surprised if we go all the way back down to the gap, at least to the gap,

which is way down here. We've got a previous day's VWAP

and yesterday's close.

So, lots of juicy downside targets for us.

So, let's zoom in. Let's see uh see what they do here.

We're looking right here.

So, does this volume delta break this and does our trades delta break that?

And if they do, then I feel very confident that they will take out this low.

Yeah, I know. I apologize for that, guys.

I'm going to lock in uh one micro of profit here. I'm gonna

leave two on. Currently up $636 just trading micros this morning. So

that's good. It's the only trading that I've done this morning. I haven't done anything else.

Mu, appreciate you being here, brother.

I've enjoyed uh your messages on X, man.

Thank you.

So this is an important moment here.

Jets, if this straight delta breaks, man, it's going to tank.

Of course, it could bounce and rally, too. Hard to say.

too. Hard to say.

Take one more off. Okay, so we're still short one micro.

We have now locked in $719.50 in profit.

You guys are wondering why I'm short even though it's gone up since the open.

It's just the order book. That's really

it guys.

I'm watching the order flow and the order flow looked bearish and it looks like

it wants to go lower. So,

somebody had mentioned uh about trying to go long and uh yep, there's VWAP here. There's

quarterly VWAP. There's all kinds of reasons why low volume node, etc., etc. But none of those levels

mean anything unless the order book supports it. And that's the thing with

supports it. And that's the thing with NQ is that uh the order book is thin compared to ES.

And so when the orders start doing uh when they start going then it then price

uh will diverge for a little bit but then eventually it really starts to go.

So I think we've demonstrated some agility here this morning. Didn't take

that initial short because I was just not super convinced about it. But

about it. But that's okay, brother. It's okay. So, I'm

trying to show you guys something a little different, right?

It's not perfect. All right? And I'm not saying that uh the way that I use volume delta and the way that I use the trades delta or the any other stuff like I also use the tick a lot. I don't have it up

right now. I just don't have the screen

right now. I just don't have the screen space. Again, I really have no idea what

space. Again, I really have no idea what it's doing.

But when you understand that hey there's an underlying order book

and there is um market internals right it's really just a matter of trying to

put the wind in your sales and so what happens with when when you're just trading price

is that you you just kind of get caught um offsides sometimes and you feel like you're really struggling to figure out the market's direction.

If this divergence would have happened up here at this monthly, which is uh this area right here, there's like a swing high and a monthly an old monthly

VWAP or I'm sorry, the rolling monthly VWAP.

I would have I would have been all about it. I would have sized up, but it didn't

it. I would have sized up, but it didn't happen there. It happened at this

happen there. It happened at this previous day's VWAP.

So, let's see what it does. We're still

short one micro.

These guys are making new lows, right? We can see how they are. Oops.

right? We can see how they are. Oops.

They're sloping down.

Got to move this out of the way.

Given that this was not a real absorption divergence the way that I normally look at them, it could very well flip and rally go back

positive and that's fine if it does.

I do think it's I do think it's kind of telling that the order book did not really get back to neutral.

See, when you say, "Oh, the previous days you got um

it it's probably just a chart book set."

Let let me look at Trading View.

So, Trading View, of course, Trading View is Um, I think Trading View is great for just general charting, but I have it set

to the full session. So on Trading View, the full session, previous days VWAP is at like 589.

And this CR chart, this current chart that you guys are looking at, I just call RTH tactical

has it at 596.

So I I think of it as a zone really. I

mean, it's not again sometimes you you nail it and u like this like this is almost to the

tick. It's not it's not that

tick. It's not it's not that you know, spec ops is some super charter or anything like that. It's just that just happened to be where where it was at. But

at. But all right, let's see if this breaks. If

this breaks, I feel like we're going to go quite a bit lower.

Got big old gap there. This looks juicy down here. When I see this this kind of a

here. When I see this this kind of a drop, man, I start getting excited.

to buy it. Want to buy it down there.

Oh, come on. That's not what I wanted to do.

It's a good thing you guys can't see what's going on here behind my desk right now.

Dragging charts everywhere.

I tried to move this cord over so I could see chat and it uh it tanked everything else. So

here we go.

Now I can see YouTube chat.

I'm sorry if you guys are watching this thing get drug out of the stream. I

apologize.

There we go. Now I think we got it.

Now I can see everybody.

Dang, I had five people dip out on YouTube. We were up to 15, guys. It's

YouTube. We were up to 15, guys. It's

pretty amazing. And they're just like, I guess eight left now. It's like, all right well nothing exciting. So, we're gonna we're

nothing exciting. So, we're gonna we're going to leave.

So fascinating.

If I found somebody that I thought knew what they were talking about, like I would listen to them for hours.

Unfortunately, seems like everybody just wants to uh talk trash, I guess. So, right.

I guess. So, right.

I mean, every now and then I'll crack some funny jokes, but um yeah, I'm trying I'm trying to provide for my

family over here, too, you know.

So, the good news is is that if this if they decide to uh pour it on here and really buy it back up, we've got

some nice areas to get long again. But

right now, things are still looking bearish. Not seeing a lot of

looking bearish. Not seeing a lot of convincing buying action.

Well, I will DCA. You guys have watched my stream, you've seen it. Um,

I think you can really get yourself strung up pretty bad if you're just looking at price and you're averaging down based on horizontal levels because again,

the it doesn't matter what's there. like

it could be could be the thickest fattest point of control on a TPO chart or volume profile and if the orders do not come in for

whatever reason at that point like it does not matter. It's not going to it's not going to affect it. I forgot to mention, oh, we talked about it briefly,

but uh there was news at 10 and that's when things started to sell off.

I like the little news plugin that I've got, but um I guess maybe I should I've got it on the strategic chart.

It just messes with OpenGL on the charts. So, it

charts. So, it sometimes I don't put it on all my charts because sometimes they get a little buggy.

See how much conviction these guys have here.

[snorts] If it starts um if the order book starts making new lows here and breaks through this negative 2K level, I might might add into this.

You guys see how um point this out?

I'm going to erase some of these chart drawings here.

Guess I'll just take them all off.

Uh this is noteworthy. So when the sell-off started, you can see that there was a fair amount of space in between

our volume delta and the trades delta and it continued to kind of expand but then it starts to narrow.

So, this narrowing, I do pay attention to that. And it's

it's getting even a little narrower down here too.

So, there's some buying, just not real convincing yet.

All right, see what happens.

Got a nice murky volume profile on the right.

All right, Ryan, we'll get it figured out, brother. Not sure why it's not

out, brother. Not sure why it's not showing up right for you.

going to pull this back just a little bit here to look at.

I really This going to kind of look a little funny for you guys, but I want to look at this volume profile on this side over here. I apologize. I know that

over here. I apologize. I know that looks goofy, but I'm just trying to look and see what what is happening uh down

here at this like 480 470 level on the profile.

These guys are still in alignment with each other, right? Our swing points are

right? Our swing points are kind of matching up on all of them.

Price is wanting to make new highs, though.

I'm kind of feeling like we might see this exhaustion divergence get wiped out here, which is certainly possible.

So something of note again I'm just sharing with you guys what I'm seeing here but I want I want to show

this. Okay. So I said that there's no

this. Okay. So I said that there's no real divergence but it's kind of subtle and it's hidden. And if you guys can

pick up on this, I think it'll it will help you. So,

and I'm probably going to exit this short because of it, but we've got a swing in price, a swing in delta,

swing in trades, and then we've got uh a low in price, and basically a low

in trades and low in delta.

But if you look right here, make this a little bit thicker.

That uh kind of swing low there on delta.

If you overlay that with the same swing point in price, you'll see that price is accelerating

kind of away from that, right? Price is

basically making new highs and was and broke that swing point, that

little low right right here long before our order book did.

So that my friends is absorption.

So what that means is is that on the limit order side of things, right, our price is

is diverging and I feel like they're going to probably come back up and take out this

high. So, I'm going to exit the short

high. So, I'm going to exit the short before it gets back up to my my position.

And let's look and see. I would not be surprised if So, again, definitely some selling,

right? For sure.

right? For sure.

But the aggression's kind of waning a little bit. And then we see this

little bit. And then we see this absorption happening here with price.

So, at this point, I'm going to clear this up.

Again, I'm just sharing with you what I'm seeing is that if the order book starts to make fresh highs from this point forward,

and there's that that divergence that we just talked about that's kind of hidden in this area here.

Um if if the order book starts to break higher, you know, either through neutral,

then we can try to rejoin this uptrend.

I hope that makes sense to you guys.

So, let's see what it Let's see what it does. And we'll know for sure when

does. And we'll know for sure when this thing really starts to pop through this this high volume node

that's to the right, right? We'll have a little more conviction.

order book is still bearish um on the day, but given how much price is kind of streaming up on its own without that

much uh aggression behind it, kind of

wanting to rather than reshort it, right? rather than reshort it.

right? rather than reshort it.

Give it some space and see uh see what happens here.

Yeah, it might be kind of hard to see it now, but Again,

just because there's a a divergence in the order book doesn't mean, and I'm going to erase this quarterly VWAP right now, but this is this is what I what I see.

So, everything like swing highs and swing lows are are in alignment, meaning that for every swing high in

price, there is a matching swing high and the volume delta and the trades delta. They're basically tick for

trades delta. They're basically tick for tick, right?

This little area here, we've got this guy, there's this one there, this one there.

So, all of these swing points are more or less in a I just call it alignment.

Okay.

But what happened was that I noticed that price and I'll make this thick and we'll color

it green.

Oops.

Okay. So,

if we look at that same swing point on the CBD.

All right. So that's the same swing point from right here is that CBD was making basically a new low. So aggressive selling which would

low. So aggressive selling which would be expected because it's kind of a sweep of this. So people had stops right there

of this. So people had stops right there and you know anytime that you see that that's kind of a I just look at that as

stops being run. But what I noticed was is that price price was passing this point here and

was streaming up aggressively but when was basically back to VWAP

way before our order book was back to that same that same level. So when I see that

I interpret that as bidside support or limit order support on the bid side because we have right the CBD is showing

us market orders and market orders only.

The trades is just showing us the trades. Are there more trades on the on

trades. Are there more trades on the on the on the sell side or more trades basically on the buy side, the bit of the ask, right? And so

when you have delta that's negative and price that's streaming in the opposite direction, it means that for every little bit of

positive delta that that does come in that uh price is really moving on that, right? And then you're getting

right? And then you're getting price is just getting a whole lot of traction.

So price was moving man before before the order book was normally I you know again this is kind of a a thing is that you're trying to put yourself in

alignment with the aggression kind of the way that we did um you know on the short on the way down but at some point that aggression is going to be

wrong right and you have trapped sellers here in this case and they're starting to feel the pinch Right. They're starting

to get squeezed a little bit. So, I hope that makes that clear as mud for you.

You can see now that our price me get rid of all this stuff.

You can see now that our price You're welcome.

So, our price is really kind of in alignment with the trades delta. So you

still have people that are shorting it, but yet because there's bid side or limit order of support, our price is

higher. Price is making a higher high.

higher. Price is making a higher high.

Let's see if we can maybe find a place here. I'm going to look at just this leg.

Okay. So, right here we've got again I just don't have a good way to draw this. I apologize.

draw this. I apologize.

I'm gonna buy one micro.

Um I'm really looking I wish I could draw over this over this volume profile.

Hope you guys can see my cursor, but we've kind of got this volume cup low volume node.

I'm not going to call it a fair value gap. It's a low volume node.

gap. It's a low volume node.

So we have this low volume node on this leg in price. And you can draw a fixed range volume profile as well, but

we know that there's buying aggression through there.

Um, and this should hold.

This little volume cup, low volume node should hold.

If it doesn't hold, then you probably need to get out.

Again, I'm not really looking at VWAP or any of that. Just again trying to get myself in alignment with the the

order flow, the strongest part of the order flow that I can.

So, let's go back and look at that.

Let's just watch that volume cup and see. So, it's kind of filled in. Now,

see. So, it's kind of filled in. Now,

I'm going to extend this just a little bit so you guys can see it better.

Let's go with 40.

Let's make it even bigger than that.

Okay.

So, we can see that volume cup right there. Again, this isn't this volume is

there. Again, this isn't this volume is is meaningful because it is recent, right? And if we erase these

recent, right? And if we erase these chart drawings, what do we have? We have the order book.

I know this is a wonky view. I

apologize, right? But we have

right? But we have the order book making a fresh high.

Price making a fresh high.

And the order book, right, broke back above this 1K level and is continuing to kind of push up.

Let's just watch this segment here.

You guys can absolutely trade profitably just looking at like the current leg in price.

Let me do this.

Yikes.

It's ugly.

So we've got that little low volume node there. If this

thing is going to hold, right, if our deltas are going to continue to stay in alignment with it, then this low volume node should hold.

might come back down and fill it in, but price should not should not break below that.

Again, it's just because the buyers have been aggressive, right? Buyers are

buyers are being aggressive right now.

I got into that late. Apologize.

Not a great Not a great entry. So, let's just again I know this is kind of funky because we're just looking at the left side of the screen,

but maybe this will maybe this will help you guys.

So, we want to see the order flow continue to make new highs. Now, we are getting back up towards this delta neutral area. So, I feel like one

of two things are going to happen. It's

the sellers are really going to step back in and it's going to actually really drop the rest of the day or

we're going to see them get the buyers get really aggressive and it's going to it's going to pop and we're going to go back up to that monthly VWAP.

So, let's just watch. But we know as far as this long goes that we're in right now that it should not go below this volume cup through this low volume node. I'm

not adding in aggressively. It's just

it's a micro, right? It's a micro.

Just looking at this currently.

So we want to see are these lows going to hold.

Yeah, you should know, right? Like in

your mind, you're like, "All right, bet if that low volume node breaks, like really breaks,

and I'm getting follow through with the the volume dealt in the trade cell that I need to get out.

This is to be expected for it to kind of uh I'm not going to say struggle but take its time. Like if

we look at where we're at in the overall volume profile scheme of things, right, we are in a we're in a we are inside of

we fought back into this high volume node from earlier, right? From this

earlier, right? From this I know that's terrible. It's a terrible look. Sorry. Just work with me. Right.

look. Sorry. Just work with me. Right.

this high volume node that we're in right now was built out over here. So,

we've we've fought back into that.

So, you guys, when we're going back into these areas, there's going to be uh some consolidation. I don't It's not

consolidation. It's really

consolidation. It's really accumulation, distribution, little bit of choppiness, whatever you want to call it right?

But let's let's just keep looking at just this leg.

I want to see is price going to continue to make new highs before

our volume delta does. And if that's the case, then we know that we still have bidside support. We still have limit

bidside support. We still have limit order support.

We're also going into lunch. So, and

it's a Friday.

Feel like with that pushup though, there should be some momentum.

I wanted to add into this a little bit.

Honestly, didn't quite get the best entry because I was looking elsewhere. But

looking elsewhere. But again, I like it that the order flows.

We We'll wait. We'll wait. I don't want to get too heavy on it because if it breaks RTH neutral, that's that's where I want to

get. That's it's an A+ setup when we pop

get. That's it's an A+ setup when we pop above RTH neutral and start really going positive again.

And I don't normally look at this like this, but I want to show you guys. Let's

see power of these volume cups, volume nodes.

Again, we know that if price doesn't hold that that uh our our long is wrong.

You see how price is continuing to kind of drift up even though the delta is going down. So that's

going down. So that's that is that um bidside support limit order support.

If you think about how orders work, if you're wanting to buy with a limit order, what do you have to So, if you're buying with a limit order,

what do you have to have on the opposite side of that trade?

You have to have market sell orders.

So, we have I'm not going to say that this is aggressive market selling, but we have

market sell orders hitting the book.

And what's price doing in the face of that?

This.

So, that's absorption.

Does it mean that it's going to rally from here? No.

from here? No.

Because we're talking about institutions, banks and hedge funds and uh retirement funds and whoever else,

right? Bigger players than us that are

right? Bigger players than us that are accumulating positions, right? So,

they're they're trying to fill 10,000 contracts in a day, right? So, they're really looking at their average price and

everything else. So, we don't really

everything else. So, we don't really know what their intentions are. All we

can do is see the nuance, the relationship between price and the order book. Right? When I

say order book, I'm really just meaning cumulative volume delta and the trades delta.

Oh, hold on.

Almost control alt deleted my computer here.

That would have been bad.

than ego.

So you guys can see that there's, you know, some selling.

What's price doing?

It's lifting.

Do you guys think that's a bunch of retail traders that are using limit orders to to buy right now?

Or do you guys think that Those retail traders might be selling, trying to sell.

So, looks like our LVN is holding.

Let's just follow this up. Let's just

see what happens. We're going to Go into uncharted territory.

So price looking like it wants to make new highs even though we're sold off.

Feel like I could probably add into this a couple here.

And I'm doing that simply based on I guess you could call this momentum, right?

I know that again that's just not doesn't look right. Apologize.

But I'm just going to copy and paste this thing.

Right here, we've got this massive accumulation of volume and price is lifting from that.

At least it's trying to.

So, I like that. Right. This is an area where buyers and sellers agreed.

They put in a bunch of volume and now price is going higher on low delta.

Seems like a good time to buy that.

Okay, not heavy, but I know that if price starts to really break down from this level here,

this point, then my my thesis is wrong and I need to get out of that trade.

And if it if it doesn't if this area right here doesn't hold, then it will likely probably come back down and fill in this low volume node,

which is great because then I can buy it again.

Feel like for about to get a pop.

See what's above us.

Previous days VWAP roll a monthly and a high got another little

low volume node right here. Right.

So, we got kind of a kind of a new high.

Maybe didn't quite break this high yet, but got this other little low volume area here.

Not a bad place to buy it.

Well, look at that.

So, some stops, I would say.

Um, so the volume delta, it's a good question. Excuse me. volume

delta is showing us um the volume uh so it's the market order volume

that's executed um basically it's it crosses the bid and ask spread so it's aggressive buying or it's aggressive selling if your cumulative

volume delta is positive so meaning above this I call it the water line or RTH H, you know, or delta neutral. If your

delta is above that, it just simply means that there's been more market order buying than market order selling.

And if it's below it, then it just means that there's been more market order selling. So

selling. So that's cumulative volume delta, right?

It's it's it is a read on the overall uh delta between those market orders. Now

the trades delta is different, right? So the trades delta is just looking at uh and you can look at this on the Sierra chart under their technical

resource uh I forget the name of it, excuse me, but they basically have a a technical resource page and it is just looking at the trades. So

they call it the trades delta. Now the

trades delta the way that the way that spec interprets it is is that it is telling me whether there are more trades

executed at the bid or at the ask. And

so I look at it as like limit limit orders being refreshed.

So if if the trades delta is going one direction, then more trades are hitting the order book in that direction. So like right

now the trades delta has been going down.

Um, so yeah, that that's I I try to interpret it as limit orders, but I know that that conflicts with what

I'm talking to you guys about about this absorption. So I don't think it's like a

absorption. So I don't think it's like a direct, you know, it can't be a direct onetoone interpretation of, you know, one trade is one limit

order. I don't look at it like that.

order. I don't look at it like that.

It's just showing us, I guess, the speed or the momentum, so to speak, of those trades as they're hitting the book.

So, like right now, there's a bunch of trades that are that are hitting the sell side, right?

But price is lifting. So, I read that as absorption, right? As sometimes that's,

absorption, right? As sometimes that's, you know, depending on where you're at.

If Let me see if I can give draw you an example here of what I'm thinking of.

So, uh, yeah, it's correct on that trade.

So, it's I'm up $27 just micros because I got again people that are I always trade micros. Usually

what I do is try to keep it light on stream because I know that people are watching and there's always somebody that's trying to uh copy my trades.

But yes, that's correct. We're $22 in profit.

Uh so if All right, I'm I'm going to give you two examples. I'm going to show you like my A+ setup which is

price. I'm not going to have the room to

price. I'm not going to have the room to draw it.

Make this smaller here.

Also going to get rid of this low volume node. We know that it's there. So again,

node. We know that it's there. So again,

disregard everything except for what I'm showing you. So if price is falling,

showing you. So if price is falling, okay, and and our delta Let's just say that

I've got to draw it over here.

So if price is dropping and our delta is dropping and they're in alignment with each other

and then price bounces, delta bounces, they're still in alignment with each other.

Price makes a new low.

Delta makes a new low. So they're still in alignment.

If there is limit order absorption, what will happen is is that they're still in alignment, but price will make

a higher a higher low.

right here when delta made a lower low. So that's

trapped sellers.

This really is my A+ setup. If

this uh there's alignment with like a quarterly VWAP or a monthly VWAP or something like that,

right?

That's a plus because this shows me that there is actual absorption in the market or in the order book. Right?

I'm gonna take a little bit of profit here.

So, this is um true limit order absorption.

And so, I read that as you know, this could be this could be 30 minutes, an hour, hour and a half, right, between when this process starts of

accumulation.

Yep.

So that to me is absorption, right? I think

I answered your question about CBD and trades delta, but this is really your kind of A+ bread and butter. Um when

when we are around I make my best trades when price is just right catching that falling knife

because it's just easier for me to read to read the order flow. Um

yeah, the opposite of this is when Okay. So the opposite of this, an

Okay. So the opposite of this, an exhaustion divergence is when price makes another leg down, but delta

puts in a higher low, right? So,

right? So, this divergence to me is the weaker of the two.

Okay. So, and and if you look at it, let's go look and see what kind of divergence this is over here.

I'm going to it's going to be a mess for a second. Sorry.

a second. Sorry.

So that's what that's what we have over here. We have price being carried higher

here. We have price being carried higher by limit orders, but yet we see um

market orders come in and start to aggressively sell it.

Again, think about it like if you're a bank or a hedge fund, right? and

whatever the news is, you're like, "Ooh, this is, you know, this uh CPI or whatever

is a super bullish um fundamental um you know, fundamental stat, whatever, right? They're super

bullish on it. They they're trying to accumulate as subtly as possible, right?

Because as soon as they start using market orders, they do use market orders, but as soon as they start to, price really starts to lift quickly. So,

you know, there was there's buying and then we see this aggressive selling coming in. It could

be that they are actually aggressively selling their positions off or right could be that they're limit buying

and they need they need this selling aggression.

They need this selling aggression in order to accumulate positions with limit orders. So that's

how I read it. Yeah, there's there's aggressive selling, but you also have to look at what is the effect having on price and let's clean all this up and

let's look and see see if we can get a read on it. Right? So,

so when we look at it again, we're going to go from our reference points.

Our price is lifting even though we have this gross selling.

So, it can be tricky to try to get yourself in alignment right with all of it.

There's some nuance to it, but I think we made a good call when we talked about this little

hidden divergence.

Again, that's not if you Google how to trade CBD or you look at YouTube, nobody's going to teach you that, man.

That little hidden divergence right there was super sneaky. And the only way that you can catch that, right, is by

watching this process unfold.

Um, I know I'm taking some here. It's okay.

We still got Not too worried about it. Um,

yeah. What's interesting is is that when you know we're shorting, other people are going long and vice versa. Somebody

posted a screenshot of an ICT trader trying to get long when we were short.

All right.

So, the bigger this divergence gets, the more powerful

it will be on the rebound. So,

I'm looking at this and I want to see If this thing hits 3K right here, I will absolutely DCA down into this, right?

Because now we're back down towards our little uh our low volume node. Go back to this.

So, they've filled in some of it.

Not a lot of volume building here, but I'm watching this right here.

Can you see how closely? Um,

so the trades is starting to want to go positive.

I probably should have exited when it broke this, but it's okay.

I'm not taking that much heat on it, but I'm not going to DCA into this yet.

You guys can see the divergence though.

I mean, here's the open and it basically goes like this.

So there is a lot of limit order buying.

It's kind of holding price up, icebergs or whatever you want to call it.

I wasn't paying attention. I should have gotten out of that.

But let's see what happens. Let's see

what happens when we hit this 3K level.

I want to zoom in on this.

Let's see what price does.

You can see the CBD or the trades delta start to kind of lift things.

I'll be right back, guys. I got to use the bathroom and then uh hopefully this thing will drop to this 3K level here.

Just a sec.

All right.

Was kind of hoping that we would get a bigger push into this.

So, I'm going to wait and see.

See what happens.

You're wondering why I'm staying in this trade is simply because we saw that absorption down here. We saw

price streaming up on its own.

And yep, there is aggressive selling for sure, right? Aggressive selling, but it hasn't

right? Aggressive selling, but it hasn't really had an effect on price. So price

is quite a bit higher.

Sure.

I was really hoping for a nice strong push down to -3k here and put on some size. Now I could get

out of this for sure, but I'm not Not too worried about it. We're up about 800. So, I've got

800. So, I've got plenty of room to give this thing some space.

Now, if price and delta were in alignment with each other, then I would probably short this. But you can see where price has made new highs and delta hasn't. So I feel like

somebody's about to be caught off sides here.

It's either going to be the limit buyers who have been kind of accumulating and keeping price up in the face of this aggressive selling.

or it will be some legit heavy sellers that come in and

drive price lower.

I know it's like, you know, that there's a gap down there in the open and all this other stuff, but you just don't know what uh what their

intentions are and how what kind of conviction they have. I think it's interesting again that price is kind of

supported up here while there's a bunch of u selling I also see my trades delta start to go above

the volume delta.

I was hoping that that was going to, like I said, push down to this 3K level because I would have

absolutely DCA into that.

Not just immediately, but you know, like you got to you got to watch price because sometimes it'll it'll do like this. Excuse me. Where

it'll just excuse me uh pierce through a a delta level and kind of keep keep tanking.

So yeah, if you look at this from, you know, from here over Our delta is absolutely selling,

but when you look at the relationship with price again, it's just not really having the desired effect.

Oh, I did a bunch of body weight squats yesterday. My quads are smoke today.

yesterday. My quads are smoke today.

You guys probably don't want to care hear care hear about my fitness.

It might want to go a little bit lower.

Let's see.

I don't want to start telling a war story because I'll get like halfway through it and then it'll it'll do something and then I'll miss it, which is what's been happening lately. Okay.

lately. Okay.

kind of wonky.

We've just had some wonky price action lately.

So, I want to see if price continues to get bidside support.

Meaning that if price breaks this high before the delta does, that's that's probably a good thing. I would maybe

consider averaging down into that.

Make this a little bit narrower now.

Still not there.

So, let's see what it does.

I've had a few people ask about my time in the military, but I don't I don't know if it's because like

folks don't want to ask or folks either like was he really a green beret? Was he

really in Delta? I don't know. I don't

know what you guys think. I just try to answer as honestly as I can and not get myself into trouble with the government.

So our delta is looks like it wants to maybe make this high first. Our trades delta. So trades

high first. Our trades delta. So trades

is kind of pulling up things. That's how I see it.

A lot of times there will be little bounces like this. So this

is basically look at the delta chart here like a 500 level.

I have some chart books where I've got these 500 levels plotted out and you'll get you'll get nice little bounces, but the 1K levels

definitely hold their footing better.

All right, so Connor is asking a question.

All right, Spec, I got one. How was your experience as a Green Beret? How has

your experience as a Greenbrite translated to trading?

Um, so Green Berets and SEALs and agency guys, so CIA guys, we get paid to go into

areas that nobody wants to go into and try to either stabilize or destabilize

a region. And

a region. And um there's a lot of like gray area and ambiguity in that. I like it the price is making a new high here

um before the delta does. So there's a lot of like gray zone, ambiguity, autonomy, and

trading is a lot like that in that for folks like us, like you know, I'm saying normal people, right? bluecollar

middle class poor people who don't come from money, don't have an uncle who owns a bank or, you know, a hedge fund or

daddy was a trader like, you know, normal folks, right? Um,

trading is a monster, right? It can be a monster. It's probably going to be the

monster. It's probably going to be the most academically challenging thing that you ever undertake in your life. And

it's absolutely been that for me. Um,

and it's almost like no matter how much you study, you just it's difficult to wrap your brain around it right?

So, I guess when I was in the service, we're just taught to not just survive, but thrive in chaos

and thrive in like the harshest conditions, wherever you're at, you know, some third world country that nobody talks about. I

mean, there's special operators all over the world. Um, basically, every country

the world. Um, basically, every country has has got some kind of special operations mission going on. Whether

that's, you know, stabilization, destabilization, or some kind of like, you know, direct action host hostage rescue stuff like what you're seeing in Venezuela.

So, there's special operators everywhere and we just, you know, were taught to thrive and accomplish our missions and the the harshest environments.

So when you're, you know, a civilian, the market's pretty close to to that, right? Like it's a

right? Like it's a it's a harsh environment. It's not it's not a friendly environment, right? It's

like when you when you go to YouTube and you see I'm watching to see if price makes another high here. That there's a little swing right there. I want to see if it

breaks that high first.

You know, when you go to YouTube and you start watching, you know, videos about how to trade price action and they're

like, you know, guys, this is this is an uptrend, right? But we all know like

right? But we all know like there's no uptrend that looks like that.

Like it never it never looks like that.

Maybe in hindsight you might see it, but in the moment.

So I think being able to stay focused, being able to have belief in myself and and have a positive self-image and a

positive mindset, um, and just having belief, right, that I would accomplish my goal of being a profitable trader.

and being a being able to operate, you know, in a harsh environment.

Also too, we do a lot of uh we do a lot of networking, right? So, one of the things that we're

right? So, one of the things that we're always tasked with doing is building intelligence networks.

So we go into whether it's Iraq or Afghanistan or South America or Syria or China or wherever like we're building intelligence networks everywhere we go

and I'm always looking to connect with other people who know more than me are better traders than me. Not necessarily from

like a P&L standpoint but like you want to surround yourself with great people, right? people that are lifting you up.

right? people that are lifting you up.

Like when I was on the teams, I was usually I mean there were times that you had injuries and things like that that you had to contend with. So you might,

you know, one year you might be the number two guy on a team, right? Number three guy, meaning that you're just you're one of the stronger ones, but then you know you

have a knee injury and next thing you know you're like bottom of the barrel, right? Maybe you're 10 of 12 and it's

right? Maybe you're 10 of 12 and it's just not a good year for you. Um,

being able to surround yourself with people that are that are better operators than you are or better traders than you is is a super important skill.

And so I've been able to do that. Like

there's some great guys in our, you know, that I've become friends with that [clears throat] are helping me helping me today. And it's just because

it's not that I'm like, you know, seeking to build relationships to manipulate people or anything like that, but it's just about being open and

honest and genuine with folks. When I

[clears throat] see some of these other streamers, it's like, dude, all they do is talk trash and burn bridges like everywhere they go. Um,

and uh, you know, I I I am a Christian, so you know, Christ made me a man. I

wasn't always a believer. I was an atheist at one point or an agnostic because I was just seeing some really tragic things, you know, in war, but God

softened my heart and brought me to Christ. And I'm grateful for that. So

Christ. And I'm grateful for that. So

I, you know, I do believe that we reap what we sow. And you've got two kinds of people, really three kinds, right? You

got people that are going around and all that they sow is hatred and division and

lies, right? Those are the people that

lies, right? Those are the people that really hate this world. They hate

America. They hate

bluecollar hardworking people wherever wherever folks are from.

And on the other end of the spectrum, you've got people that, you know, like they're sewing positivity, but they're doing it from a manipulative standpoint

and they're it's like they're fake, right? And so you can see right through

right? And so you can see right through those people and it just feels kind of scuzzy and slimy.

And then there's always people that they don't have any idea. They're just going through life by default.

I see that we've got this little divergence here.

Our trades delta starting to slump off a little bit and diverge. Does

it mean that we're going to fall?

Price is still wanting to climb through this. So, um, you know, a lot of people

this. So, um, you know, a lot of people don't even realize that they can choose like you can choose to be a positive person each day when you wake up. It's a

choice.

What kind of, you know, kind of energy are you going to bring into your work space? What kind of energy are you going

space? What kind of energy are you going to bring into your trading?

when I have set my self-image positive, you know, each day through uh reading my Bible or meditation or

affirmations or, you know, like I have some visualization stuff that I'll probably share with you guys at some point, you know, when I you're only going to be

as good as your as your belief is. So,

if you don't believe that you're a profitable trader, then you never will be. It's not I think traders approach it

be. It's not I think traders approach it from the wrong direction. Like we we're looking for a strategy or an entry method to

make us profitable but nobody focuses on the belief.

So what happens is that you know you start googling around watching YouTube looking at social media for a strategy

and you start strategy hopping and you're not getting good results or maybe you're getting mixed results and people just don't spend any time

you know building belief in themselves and building positive habits. So,

it's important. It's very important.

That was a super long- winded answer. I

apologize.

Still just watching price hold the line here. Like

here. Like I feel like sellers are about to get their face ripped off here.

You can see how strong the limit order divergence is in this aggressive selling.

That's why I don't trust that exhaustion divergence that we had over here.

Like, yeah, it worked for a time, but it's not a it's not a true limit order absorption kind of

divergence, right? So, that's why that's

divergence, right? So, that's why that's why I was reluctant to short that. I

know that we ended up catching a short up here and it worked out, but that's why I was kind of like kind of iffy on shorting it right out of

the gate like that.

I mean, it worked. It have been a fine trade but so now we've got now we've got a much bigger problem here

for the sellers.

You can see how much price is just lifted.

So once I would not be surprised if delta does not get back like in full alignment with price here.

I don't even know what I've got on right now. Not even really looking at the I

now. Not even really looking at the I got two micros long. So,

let me check my P&L for the day here.

So, we're up 850 bucks.

Not a ton.

Had a good day yesterday, even though I said I wasn't in a trade yesterday.

All right, so we're we're above this uh value area. A lot of people are going to

value area. A lot of people are going to be shorting this edge, right? I've got it set. You can see the

right? I've got it set. You can see the highest volume areas in white there on that profile on the right. And that's

just again looking at those bars. Let's

see if uh I want to maybe kind of help you guys out a little bit. Let's look at just this leg in price again.

We'll go from like right here. So,

let's see if we can spot an area.

If it really extends, okay, if it if it just drops, then we're not going to do that. it. Let's see if from

that. it. Let's see if from this point right here on our price chart, right? If we can spot

chart, right? If we can spot a good area to add into this winner based on the volume profile

and um our delta chart. So, we're just going to watch this kind of we're [music] not we're not worried about any other volume or any other levels.

I mean, we're still negative on the day as far as delta goes, but that's okay.

I I feel like there's probably definitely going to be some short action up here, but let's just see if we can get

some extension in price and we can add into a winning trade. I'm going to keep delta neutral in line here. And again, let's

just watch this volume profile.

Tell you what, we're going to we're going to do even one better. I'm going

to close this trade.

I'm going to close it. Okay. So, let's

say that you're not let's say that you're not in a trade at all right now.

And you see price making a leg up.

You're delta neutral on the day, but price is making a leg up. Let's see if we can find a spot to initiate

a new trade. Okay, I closed that trade because it's going to affect the theoretical average, right, of whatever we put on

next. So, let's go from

next. So, let's go from Let's just look at this this current leg in price. So you see

price going up, your delta's going up.

Disregard that our trades is below our volume delta. I'm not not looking at

volume delta. I'm not not looking at that.

But let's see if we can find a place to add into this long or initiate a long.

Okay.

So fresh trade.

You guys can see I do want to point this out.

Um that divergence right there, right?

Price is really wanting to go up up up and our trades and our delta are kind of angling down a little bit right There.

My three-year-old has started skipping.

Like for real skipping around the house lately, last two weeks. It's been

hilarious.

So, if our delta is negative, you would think you'd want to be shorting this as it hits this 1K. I I mean, you could,

but I wouldn't want to do that given the limit order buying we've seen on price.

So, let's let's wait for a long here.

So generally we'll see it kind of build out a bit of a high volume node. Again, when I say high volume node, it's not again it's

not a it's not a session high volume node or an RTH high volume node. We're

not talking about that at all. We're

talking about micro market structure.

So we'll see it build out a little bit of volume here. And what's happening is is that as so now you can see

we have aggressive buying. We know that because our delta is angled up. So we've

got aggressive buying. And what happens is is that as there is aggression in the market.

Then again the banks and the hedge funds that are buying down here they will come along and kind of

backfill these areas with limit orders.

So there's been an extension, right? And then there's a there's a

right? And then there's a there's a extension on those market orders. And

then I kind of think of this as liquidity kind of coming in and backfilling that space.

So you want to wait for price. It's

showing you the direction that it wants to go in.

Now let it kind of sink back down into these orders, right?

It's the limit orders that provide support and resistance.

That's how I look at this.

You don't need bookmap to tell you that.

Okay?

You don't need bookmap to tell you that there's limit orders that are coming in.

And you just know it.

It's why it's important to understand the order types and stuff and kind of the market dynamics that happen.

So, did we buy that little dip right there?

No. Just not really enough of a discount for me, right?

I'm not one to I've got one guy on X. I

don't know if he's listening right now.

Probably not. But he's always asking me how much did I risk?

And it's like, well, don't use brackets, don't really use a hard stop,

and I'm not pulling RR, you know, uh, measurements to see, do I really want to, but having said that,

you know, I know that there's a previous day's VWAP right here, and I also know that are at this 1K level

on the delta chart. So, I'm not like, oo, yeah, let me buy right here in this area. I want to see a pullback, right? I

area. I want to see a pullback, right? I

want to get this a little bit of a discount.

We're getting into some funky jungle music here on my end. So, uh,

notice again that price is still still lifting even though we've got some selling pressure.

Light selling pressure.

I should probably hop off here. But I

like this little scenario that we've got here, right? Kind of in real time.

here, right? Kind of in real time.

You've got a leg up.

Delta's negative on the session.

Can we find a spot to buy it?

So, I'm going to extend this out a little bit, guys. This uh volume profile on the right, let's just go to 50.

Okay.

See if we can spot.

We want to see this volume increasing, right? Like I was telling you, it's

right? Like I was telling you, it's probably going to build out a little bit of a high volume node.

But where do we where do we buy it? We

want to buy it.

You want to see a confluence between the volume and the volume delta and trades delta.

It doesn't always play out picture perfect but so I'm paying very close attention to the

volume profile. Let's expand this just a

volume profile. Let's expand this just a little bit. And you'll see the volume

little bit. And you'll see the volume get built out. I know that the price line is kind of obscuring a little bit,

but you'll see the volume slide in.

having like a mystical experience over here of the uh soundtrack right now.

You notice that this node is starting to get a lot bigger than it was when we first came up here.

Depending on how strong it is, it may just rally from here and we might, you know, and we may miss it.

I'm hoping that it sells off a little bit back down to like 550 or something. And we can

start to build into a long.

I don't know if you guys can hear, but I think that was a loon. I think I just heard a loan in the uh the music there.

Hey, can you do me a favor? Can you feed the fish?

>> You're playing with your toy. I'll come

play with you a little bit, kiddo.

Okay.

>> Can you drop some food in there for me, please?

You guys are hearing me put my life over here. Wait for this.

here. Wait for this.

Pull back.

Oh, what are we getting? Is this it?

So, the first thing I try to look for too is to see if I got any funky divergences or anything that would preclude me from wanting to take this

trade.

See you, Connor. Appreciate you tuning in brother.

I'll be on probably Monday.

But then we got a little more of a drop here.

I don't know if I mentioned it, but this blue number here, guys, is just our current delta reading.

cumulative volume delta reading. All

right. So, now we're getting a little So, we want to kind of see some alignment, meaning that I want to see my CVD hitting there, maybe this hitting

there, price kind of hitting, you know, low volume node. It's a confluence of

volume node. It's a confluence of signals right?

So, and I I'm gonna I'm gonna buy one micro right there.

That's enough of a kind of confluence for me. I didn't go in heavy with it.

for me. I didn't go in heavy with it.

Again, I'm trying to be mindful of whoever might be watching here.

But that one micro gives us some room in case it starts to sell a little more.

So, we didn't quite get to this low volume node here. It's okay.

The other thing that you can do guys is draw a fixed range volume profile which would look like this. Hold on.

I've not drawn one of these in a few days, so I don't know exactly how this is going to look, but I will draw it from the low

to my swing. Yeah, there you go. I like

these little guys. And then uh you could also do a if you really wanted to,

you can do an anchored VWAP from here.

So that's anchored VWAP. There's all kinds of

anchored VWAP. There's all kinds of different tools that you got for Confluence right?

Just trying to show you guys you can take what I'm teaching you with the trades delta and how I read orderflow and kind of pair it with other things.

Let's just see where we're at here.

Now, I would not be surprised if we get something like this.

Maybe we don't get a bounce until we get back down to this RTH low here.

I'm sorry.

Yeah, we've had a few few rough days. I think

maybe I mean I don't know. Some people

get really wrapped around the axle about the time of the year and whether or not you should be trading at all. I mean,

let's face it, if you're trying to like, you know, provide for your family, you're going to trade every day. Like,

you guys have heard me say this before.

I'm not I'm not a person who is going to be like, you know, I'm not going to trade today because there's no red folder events. Well, dang it. If I've

folder events. Well, dang it. If I've

seen, you know, dozens of times that ended up being the best darn day to trade.

So that low volume area is starting to be a little more pronounced right here between 550 and 560.

Now you notice I'm not like adding super heavy anything like that.

This is just kind of a starter position. And I was just trying

starter position. And I was just trying to demonstrate to you guys how if I was not in a trade, how would I

start one, right? How would I start building into a trade?

So I'm watching to see is price going to make a new high first or is the delta

price may also drop from here too. So

thinking about doing a Apex like 300k account challenge for 2026. Thinking about

2026. Thinking about uh buying one 300k account because it has the largest draw down. I'm thinking

about people that I've been talking to over the last month that are struggling and helping them to, you know, pass

past that. I got to change this music.

past that. I got to change this music.

This stuff is pretty depressing.

Yikes.

I went over to the to YouTube and it's a uh it's a it's a vampire eating an apple. That's kind of again

apple. That's kind of again don't need that in my life right now.

Okay. All right.

Uh but doing like a 300K account. So

it's got a $7,500 draw down which is huge.

and starting one single eval with uh one single so one single account.

I'm not uh going to do what I see all these other influencers do where they start with 20 accounts and then they yolo it and brag about how much they get. It's not again that's not really

get. It's not again that's not really applicable if you are a mom or a dad who has got a

job and you are just trying to get out of the daily 9 to5 grind and uh make some life-changing money like you're not going to be able to do that

right you're not going to yolo 20 accounts or the other terrible advice I see of these guys who are like you know buy 20 accounts

right before FOMC and long 10 and short 10. Like that's again stupid. Um I'm

10. Like that's again stupid. Um I'm

never going to advocate for you guys to do anything like that. But just take one 300k account and uh start the eval

live stream it so every day, you know, or every day that I trade and then just um you know, pass the eval. To me,

that's the hardest part with the 300K is getting it to 20K profit. It's not hard.

It just if you're trading with good risk and you're not overdoing it, it might take you a week or two to do it. Um,

but take that 300k account and start getting some payouts, right? And then

that first payout, I'll let you guys decide. You know, do we add one account?

decide. You know, do we add one account?

Do we add five accounts?

You know, what what do we do? And just

so again, I like prices. You guys can see where price is making a new high before our delta is.

So again, that's telling me that there's limit order buying. Um,

but build that account up, get a $3,500 payout, and then decide, you know, do we add some accounts? What do we do? we try to

some accounts? What do we do? we try to just keep trading it and get to two or get to two payouts. You know, $3,500 is probably not

lifechanging money for most of us in the sense that you're not like, you know, I'm going to run out and quit my job kind of money.

But it's life-changing in the sense that you were just able to take profit from a simulated trading environment. So,

that's pretty amazing.

And uh but just do that and build it up to 20 accounts, you know, not do anything crazy, but just methodically

work up to 20 and kind of document the journey.

And then also while I'm doing that, uh you know, I'm working on the trading course as well. So

I you guys tell me what you think.

So, we're back up to that previous day's high.

Close to it, but We have not broken it yet.

Somebody just sent me a message on Discord here.

Just a sec. I'm replying to this.

It's looking at all the visible parts right there. But I want to focus on

right there. But I want to focus on getting that leg up.

So, we want to see price really make a new high here.

I want to uh I also want to look at this.

Let's see the reaction that we get here at this RTH low.

But we kind of took that initial entry there because price is being supported by limit orders

in the face of this kind of aggressive selling.

Let's see if we either decide to add in here or or not.

So again, this is our RTH delta low or trades low. Okay. So, it's

the trades low, but a lot of times you'll get kind of this double bounce, double bounce here.

again. Look at price want to just carry higher. Man,

this is where again they're fighting the trend.

didn't really get a chance to uh at least I didn't really want to add on a bunch of size right there.

Would you want to be a seller right now?

It's It's not looking good.

So, I might add, we'll see if we can catch some of this momentum up out of here.

Question is, where are they going to go with it? Well,

with it? Well, oops. Sorry, sorry, sorry. Like, they're

oops. Sorry, sorry, sorry. Like, they're

definitely going to try to take out that high from earlier today and it may very likely go up to this

monthly or to this uh previous high.

So, I'm going to dial this uh volume profile back a little bit.

And we're just going to kind of zoom out some.

just a little bit here to see where we're at.

So, we added in on that little bit of momentum.

I would say that if price breaks really below this volume cup right here. We probably need to just get out.

Let's watch the order flow and see what it does.

I'm trying to just look at this leg, but we'll just do this. We'll just use this fixed range volume profile.

So, that's what it looks like. You guys

can see that low volume cup right there.

So, we want to see this thing go ahead and extend on up.

You can see how much price is lifting just in the face of that. All that sell in thing's just been a juggernaut.

Okay, so pay attention to this profile on the left as it forms. Okay, we've got a little volume node

here, right? And then as it extends away

here, right? And then as it extends away starts to leave behind these low volume nodes.

Those should be defended.

Um yeah defended in the sense that remember I was talking to you guys earlier about those limit orders, right?

So, we want to see those limit orders come in and kind of support price.

If if it starts following falling through those low volume nodes, then you got a problem

because then it tells you that they're they're not actually defending it, right? So you could add we could add

right? So you could add we could add into this and move our theoretical average up.

And we know that if you can see this on the left and the right is that if it pops through this low volume node, you need to get out.

It should be going higher, right? And

creating low volume nodes up above it.

And when it stops doing that and it starts starts to lose them, you know it's time to get out.

So we don't we don't want to see it break below that. So that's why I was I added I added into that little starting position again just to put a little bit

of size on. But if it really starts to break below this this area, then we know that we're we're in trouble.

So we hit the previous day's high again on negative delta.

Getting a little retest here.

Getting a little bit of pullback. It's

okay. We're not We're not panicking.

Long as it doesn't really start to accelerate away, it's okay.

We're up just over a thousand now or P&L. So, so

it's going through that more than I would like, but again, I'm not I'm not panicking.

This this is still holding this uh 2K level that it's reclaimed, right?

And I kind of just see this as like a retest of our trades low. So,

could absolutely be wrong and it could just tank from here and we have to get out.

We also have a low volume node right here and that you could potentially DCA into.

might have added into that a little too aggressively but just trying to give you guys some good examples of what I'm thinking about.

See you.

>> Yeah. Once we kind of resolve this trade, I'm gonna head out too, guys. I'm going to get some lunch and embrace the weekend.

So, we want to see some positive delta come in off this -2K level.

This will really kind of show us if the buyers are really ready to be aggressive.

Made business, right? They really made business.

The things that CR added was this ability to do anchored VWAPs kind of on the fly. I

like that. Looks nice.

See where we're at from the load here.

Oh, you can do multiple ones, too. Yeah,

that's pretty sweet.

Used to you'd have to add a study to your chart, but they've changed that. So, that's really cool.

changed that. So, that's really cool.

Sometimes it's nice to have a confluence of things, right?

It's kind starting to look a little bit busy here, but I'm just trying to show you guys a few things.

That'll give you some edge.

Okay. So, we we DCA into that a little bit or I guess we added.

So, as this thing starts to lift, you want to start taking some Oops, wrong button. Sorry.

wrong button. Sorry.

You're going to want to start taking some profits.

Do you guys see how This order flow right here flattened out.

I like that. I like that. That flattened

out like that. And look what price did.

Price was rallying.

It's hard for me to stream like this for three and a half hours and then go to X and make a meaningful post,

wrapping everything up. It's just a lot, you know. It's a lot trying to share how

you know. It's a lot trying to share how you trade with people and help and add value, I guess.

But I like it. You guys have been great.

I've only had one or two people that I've had I don't know less than optimal experience with.

All right, guys. I was hoping that we were going to get a little more resolution. on this, but I'm going to

resolution. on this, but I'm going to have to go. Finished up about $1,100.

I just don't have time right now to kind of babysit this trade, but you guys are getting the idea, right? Tried to show you a good entry there, how you can use

your volume profile and your delta to kind of time your entries and stuff. So,

I will be back on on Monday and I hope that you guys have an awesome weekend.

Please stay safe and yeah, just have a great time.

Hope you guys are all able to be with your families uh for Christmas.

Yeah, let me know if you guys have questions. You guys can hit me up on X.

questions. You guys can hit me up on X.

So all right guys, take care.

God bless you.

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