有些突然 | 老高與小茉 Mr & Mrs Gao

Hello everyone, I'm Lao Gao. In our video "Long Time No See" this year, Musk said that he believes that in the near future, most of the work will be replaced by artificial intelligence and robots. It really happened after I finished talking about it.

In January this year, Amazon announced that it would lay off 160,000 people. Three months

ago, they just laid off 140,000 people. A month later, in February, the famous American financial technology company Block announced that it would lay off half of the money. The

boss said directly that the layoffs were because the AI tool had completely changed the way the company operated. Another month passed. In March, the World Data Center and the cloud computing giant Kodak announced that it would lay off 30,000 people. The CEO also said that this is to support the promotion of AI infrastructure and use automation to replace some database management and administrative systems. In April, Meta announced that it will launch

its first round of layoffs on May 20, with the first round of layoffs of 10% worldwide, close to 8,000, and the annual layoffs may reach 16,000. And the world-famous consulting service company Essence also said that it will lay off 110,000 people this year.

It feels like 2020 has come. AI is taking over our work at a visible speed. I've been laid off. Congratulations. There are obviously two characteristics of this hiring tide.

speed. I've been laid off. Congratulations. There are obviously two characteristics of this hiring tide.

You may also be in line with this characteristic. Most of the employees are technology companies and information service related companies. It's not that other companies don't hire. Other companies

mainly hire the Hong Kong market. The hiring part will attract a new part. These

technology companies will really fire them. The second is that the hiring target is mainly white-collar employees. Most of the Amazon employees are middle-level management. They work in offices. They

white-collar employees. Most of the Amazon employees are middle-level management. They work in offices. They

don't hire people to move boxes. Yes, yes, yes. That's right. It's just that it's sitting there and it's being removed. So the whole thing can be seen to be related to computer information processing. It's easy to replace it with AS. Okay, since there are jobs that are more easily replaced, there will be jobs that are more difficult to replace. So today we are mainly going to talk about which jobs are relatively

to replace. So today we are mainly going to talk about which jobs are relatively safe even in the era of AI's full arrival. Even the possibility of never being replaced. If you are a student who is currently in school or considering changing jobs,

replaced. If you are a student who is currently in school or considering changing jobs, like Xiaomeng, who was fired by her boss and is confused about the future, this content may be a reference to you. So, based on the trend of AI development, jobs that will not be replaced in a short time can be divided into seven categories. I divided it into seven categories. The first category is the most obvious job

categories. I divided it into seven categories. The first category is the most obvious job that is not easily replaced by AI, which is jobs related to power and responsibility.

The so-called power is the ability to change reality according to one's will. It sounds

like super power, but it's actually super power. But this creativity is not uncommon and it is common in human society. And people have been doing things to pursue. The

fundamental reason why people want to make money is to get some kind of power.

When you have money, you can let others provide you with services. Let others cook for you, let others make clothes for you, let others build a good house for you, etc. This is all through the power of money. Power is mainly realized through money, people and resources. So you control the money, the more resources people have, the more power you have. The smaller the power you can achieve. This kind of control

over the real world is absolutely not given to AI. Because AI is ultimately a tool created by humans. No matter how smart AI is, how much it can do, it's always just a tool. You will use the tool, but you will not want the tool to use you to control you. So human rights-related work is not done by AI. You may give him a little bit of power and let him do

by AI. You may give him a little bit of power and let him do all kinds of things for you But ultimately the right to decide must be in your hands because you are the boss of AI Employees may be replaced by the boss is not replaced by AI The same principle all here controls the work of people money and resources will not disappear For example, politicians 精神领袖 法官 So if

you have a chance to do these jobs, it's a very good choice. These jobs will almost never

choice. These jobs will almost never disappear. 这个一会儿我们会讲的,Ado其实也不会消失。 不过大家注意,权力往往对应着相应的责任,所以责任相关的工作也是不会被AI所取代的。 典型的就是法官,还有就是医生,尤其是那些抢救生命的医生,责任重大,是不可能交给AI的。 The leaders of the organization, politicians and

disappear. 这个一会儿我们会讲的,Ado其实也不会消失。 不过大家注意,权力往往对应着相应的责任,所以责任相关的工作也是不会被AI所取代的。 典型的就是法官,还有就是医生,尤其是那些抢救生命的医生,责任重大,是不可能交给AI的。 The leaders of the organization, politicians and bosses are also very important responsibilities. They will not be replaced by AI. Doctors won't?

Doctors won't. Especially doctors related to human life. But if this matter involves a very important responsibility, it won't. For example, once something happens, you say this is what AI said, you let AI take this responsibility, it can't take it. That's what it means.

So the responsibility is not possible to be taken by AI. But if there is a problem, the doctor can't take this responsibility either. Human society is already a very mature and complete system to deal with this situation and share this responsibility. But after

the AI is out, you want to transfer the responsibility to AI, and let AI carry the pot. First, the patient will not agree. Secondly, it will shake the foundation of the entire medical system. So it's unrealistic to let AI carry the pot. Speaking

of judges, there is a popular science fiction movie called "The Final Judgement" this year.

It is about the future judicial system. After the introduction of AI judges, a series of problems occurred. Although the AIA judge is very powerful, human beings are unable to rise above the data and the law, but it is because of the lack of humanity that it is difficult for him to understand the complicated reasons behind some crimes.

And the AIA judge is unable to take the corresponding responsibility. He can sentence a person to death, but if he is wrong, who will take the responsibility? This movie

is about this matter. If you are interested, you can go and watch it. Okay,

then the second type of work that will not be replaced by AIA is created because of AIA, and it must be done by humans. The most representative is to supervise AIA's work. There must be humans. Although AI is now moving towards a more independent direction, it has to be human to decide what it can and cannot do.

Many AI-based films have problems here, causing the world to be destroyed. For example, my robot is destroyed by the failure of the three elements of robots. So the work of monitoring AI will never be done. AI is here, it is here. This work

may not be much now, but it will appear a lot in the future. There

is another type of supervision for AI. It's not the problem of AI itself, but the human being. If AI is so powerful, some people may want to use it to do something bad. This is the dark side of humanity that cannot be completely avoided. So the study of how to prevent AI from being misused, how to find

avoided. So the study of how to prevent AI from being misused, how to find and deal with it in time is also a lot of work that will not disappear. The third kind of work that will not disappear is the work of individualization,

disappear. The third kind of work that will not disappear is the work of individualization, which needs to be dealt with one-on-one. For example, the home government, the upper house, the upper house maintenance, the lawyer, etc. are all AI. The characteristics of this kind of work are that they are very strong in personality. The environment of the person in need or the environment of the work is different every time. The requirements of

the client are also different. The environment of the robot and AI in the structural and repetitive predictability is advantageous. But it takes a lot of effort to deal with the complex scenarios that are different every time. Very advanced equipment, this cost is particularly high. So this kind of one-to-one service, or different jobs that require different content for

high. So this kind of one-to-one service, or different jobs that require different content for each job, will not be replaced by AI in the short term. Just in the short term? Yes, in the short term. So the robot can also be used for

short term? Yes, in the short term. So the robot can also be used for personal use? It needs to be very smart. Then the cost of studying this robot

personal use? It needs to be very smart. Then the cost of studying this robot will be very high. Is it worth it is a question. Can't it learn by itself? It also needs a lot of power. It's not that AI can't do it,

itself? It also needs a lot of power. It's not that AI can't do it, but people do it more cost-effective. When the cost of using AI is far higher than the cost of using people, the boss will give up AI and reuse it.

The fourth type of work that is not easy to replace is when the person who works is also part of the work or product. This work is irreplaceable. For

example, artists, including painters, musicians, and writers, their works are all integrated into the personality of the author himself. Picasso's paintings, no matter if you can understand it, are certainly not cheap. Because if you want to buy it, you don't have to buy this

not cheap. Because if you want to buy it, you don't have to buy this painting. There is also a similar one. And the stars and actors are all like

painting. There is also a similar one. And the stars and actors are all like this. You just said that the idol is also like this. Before we decide to

this. You just said that the idol is also like this. Before we decide to watch a movie, we will definitely watch who will play this movie first. So the

stars and actors and idols will not be replaced. Of course, there is also a possibility of creating their own stars in AI, but it will not affect the human life. The fifth type of work that is not easy to replace by AI is

life. The fifth type of work that is not easy to replace by AI is to provide emotional value. AI can indeed simulate human emotions, but the more realistic and delicate this simulation is, the more computing power it needs. And it's very easy for people to provide this emotional value, and it can also be considered a kind of cheap. But I think AI has provided me with a lot of emotional value. If

cheap. But I think AI has provided me with a lot of emotional value. If

you want to improve the quality of the text, and you want to be very delicate and very attractive, then this algorithm is very powerful. I think it's very useful.

Ordinary people are much better. Really? Ordinary people have paper bags? You are still better than him. I may not be good at improving the quality of emotion. You are

than him. I may not be good at improving the quality of emotion. You are

better than him. Really? Some people are very good at it. It's cheaper to provide emotional value. There is another benefit of providing emotional value. That is, it can deal

emotional value. There is another benefit of providing emotional value. That is, it can deal with the scene of the event. It will not be unnatural. And artificial intelligence is ultimately imitating human emotions. It's the same as imitating human facial expressions. As long as there is a little unnatural and unreal, it will make people feel uncomfortable and even scary. This is the horror bone effect. AI wants to cross the horror bone effect.

scary. This is the horror bone effect. AI wants to cross the horror bone effect.

It needs a lot of investment. You have this horror bone effect. How can I have a horror bone effect? And I'll say it again, even if AI can completely simulate human emotions at a cheap price, it's still possible that people still hope that a real person will help them instead of a machine. So some entertainment places High-end customers or psychologists, midwives Take care of the elderly and children Life care is still

difficult to be replaced by AI High-end restaurants High-end restaurants are all robots It's not good to make a robot in a high-end restaurant, right? In fact, parents are difficult to be assured to teach children to be trained Not that AI has not enough knowledge But AI is not human after all Parents will worry that their children will be trained into a person like a robot Since there are relatively cheap humans, why

should we give such an important job to a thing that imitates humans? At least

it provides emotional value. The sixth type of work that will not be replaced by AI is anti-emotional value. Is it a bet? No, no, no. It's doing this job will make you happy. Providing emotional value makes others happy. Anti-emotional value means doing this job will make yourself happy. For example, players, artists, dancers, researchers, etc. When they do this job, they are very happy and very invested in themselves. This kind of good

thing is not given to AI. I was supposed to write a song to enjoy the process of writing a song. You created it for me, I was happy. You

came out in a second, I couldn't enjoy it at all. It's boring. The robot

kicked the ball for me, I can only sit and watch. What's the point? In

other words, good work is definitely not given to you. What is good work? You

have to do it even if you don't want to make money. Yes. You will

also be a player, artist, dancer, and researcher if you don't want to make money.

These people will continue to do this job. Of course, some of the work here will be done by AI But you do yours has nothing to do with me I am enjoying this process Okay, the seventh type is the last type I don't think AI will replace the work We should look at it the other way around The older the work, the less it will be replaced Especially those that have existed

for thousands of years The history of generations For example, the history of the capital, the history of the books, the history of the city, the history of the crafts, the history of the traditional culture These jobs have been through thousands of years of training and development. There is a deep social base. It is already part of the culture. Plus human protection. The possibility of eternal survival is also there. But the jobs

culture. Plus human protection. The possibility of eternal survival is also there. But the jobs you have covered will not be replaced. Some people in the company are very few.

I just said that these are great, you don't do this job. The key is not that I give you a few examples, you are not among them. These jobs

that are not easy to replace are some common points. As long as you meet these common points, you are not easy to replace. First of all, it is difficult for human's top jobs to be replaced. Politicians, judges, doctors, bosses, you can do it at the top of any industry, no problem. The number of people is very small.

For the majority of people, there are two characteristics. As long as you don't have these two characteristics, your job is more likely to be in need. The first is that it can't be just on the computer. The job of storing computers is extremely difficult. The second characteristic is that these jobs that are easy to replace are all

difficult. The second characteristic is that these jobs that are easy to replace are all for productivity and productivity efficiency. The main purpose of human creation AI is to improve productivity and productivity efficiency. It's a dead end to compare productivity with AI. So if

your job has nothing to do with productivity, it's not that you have to finish as much as you have to do a day, or you earn more the more you do, it's not that kind of type. It's safer. The judge doesn't say that I have a lot of surgery and I have a lot of fat. The same

goes for artists. They don't have a fixed amount of time. It doesn't matter how much time I spend. I spend a few years to complete a work. It's okay

for this kind of surgery. Isn't it because the doctor has a lot of surgery?

No, it's easy to be affected. For example, some more advanced, academic, scientific, it's safer.

Or this surgery can only be done by you. You have limited time per day.

You can do very limited amount of work. It's not like you can keep increasing productivity by adding more people. It's not like that. We IT can only increase productivity by hiring people. That's not good. IT has a lot of employees now because there were too many Cs at the beginning. There is no technology to hire this kind of people. Many people like this are working. I mean IT. IT actually has the

of people. Many people like this are working. I mean IT. IT actually has the seventh and last type of people. There are some very ancient languages. Nowadays, people don't understand. There are very few people who can do it. So when it comes to

understand. There are very few people who can do it. So when it comes to this kind of project, I will find a language specialist. In my time, AI can do anything. Yes. People like that will be replaced. Because it meets the first step.

do anything. Yes. People like that will be replaced. Because it meets the first step.

Its job is to be on the computer. So as long as your job is not on the computer, it is not the type of production that pursues productivity, it is safer. YouTube is not a computer job. The situation of YouTube is actually more

is safer. YouTube is not a computer job. The situation of YouTube is actually more complicated. Because there is everything to do. Some people don't work on computers. Their methods

complicated. Because there is everything to do. Some people don't work on computers. Their methods

and goals are different. If you are a video creator, you can easily be replaced.

But if you have your own pursuit, and enjoy the process of making videos, no matter how you develop, you will not be eliminated. You do your own work and enjoy your life. So in fact, there is a lot of cost to be replaced by AI. It decides how you see your work. If you don't think your job

by AI. It decides how you see your work. If you don't think your job will be replaced, no one can replace it. It's a philosophy. That is to say, you only work and don't want money, you won't be replaced by AI. That's right.

It's meaningless. It's actually the same as Elon Musk said. In the end, work will become a kind of entertainment.

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