Tesla Stock is about to go CRAZY.... (BREAKING NEWS)

Ladies and gentlemen, welcome back to the channel. We actually have quite a

the channel. We actually have quite a few pieces of news to cover for your Saturday afternoon. Some analyst notes

Saturday afternoon. Some analyst notes and commentary coming out following delivery numbers that were released yesterday. Now, we will also acknowledge

yesterday. Now, we will also acknowledge the elephant in the room, the situation with Venezuela and how that could move markets and what areas could benefit if

there is going to be um a negative reaction. and what would the expectation

reaction. and what would the expectation be around that? So, we got a lot to cover in today's episode. Hit that like button as well as subscribe to the channel if you guys have not done so already. Check that link out down below

already. Check that link out down below in the description of today's episode if you guys want to come join the trading community. But with that said, ladies

community. But with that said, ladies and gentlemen, let's begin. Donald Trump

posted on Truth Social and said this morning at about five o'clock in the morning, "The United States of America has successfully carried out a large-scale strike against Venezuela and

its leader, President Nicholas Maduro, who has be who has been along with his wife captured and flown out of the country. This operation was done in

country. This operation was done in conjunction with US law enforcement.

Details to follow and there was a press conference at 11 a.m. this morning. Now

basically let me give you the long story short. They had this operation because

short. They had this operation because you know whether it's over oil or you

know the fact that Maduro lost the elections in 2023 and 2024 he had

the opposition party get 93% of the votes and then 70% of the votes and refused to leave. He was not the real

president of Venezuela. In fact,

people in Venezuela are are cheering this on. Okay, they they love this.

this on. Okay, they they love this.

Now, what is the consequence from this?

What is what could happen from this from a markets perspective? We're not a political channel. We are a stock market

political channel. We are a stock market channel, a channel to make money. And an

event like this you you could theorize could have negative consequences.

Now in this certain circumstance I wouldn't expect it to have negative consequences. Um

consequences. Um because one the country wanted this the country is

cheering this. Okay. Now what could this

cheering this. Okay. Now what could this if there is negative consequences I should say I it it comes from an inter an international perspective if China or

or Russia some of Venezuela's allies want to you know make this

into an economic situation like tariff the US or uh restrict some kind of negotiations or backpedal on some of the

um you know geopolitical relationships that seemingly have gotten better in the last couple of months. That's where the

bigger market problem could come from.

Imagine if China were like, "Yeah, we don't like this. Um we're going to pause negotiations on trade, on tariffs, basically cancel the last trade deal."

That's where this would be a problem. In

fact Venezuela's illegal president, Maduro, he actually met with China's foreign minister yesterday, the same day he he met with

the foreign minister during the day and by 2:00 in the morning was was, you know, taken out the country. Okay,

China's foreign ministers were still in Venezuela when that happened. Okay, so

that's where some of the negatives could come from this. There is really no financial implication of this. Okay,

it's it's there's just no money relation to this besides an oil. Okay, and this is where a positive reaction could come from in

the markets. Okay, oil, Venezuela has a

the markets. Okay, oil, Venezuela has a lot of it.

If presumably now Venezuela starts pumping more oil, more investment into Venezuelan oil production, that could mean more oil coming to the marketplace

and that could mean lower oil prices.

Oil is the single biggest um thing that impacts households. Okay?

Forget government policies. Forget that

or this or tariffs or blah blah blah. If

the price of gas goes down a dollar a gallon, everyone benefits from that. At

least on a consumer perspective, the consumer benefits from that. It is a cost that is bared by everyone.

Okay? So presumably you could see oil coming down from this and that could help the consumer. That

could put more money in people's pockets. That could be a positive for

pockets. That could be a positive for the economy. So while I don't see many

the economy. So while I don't see many direct negatives from this, there could be negatives if other countries want to

stir up problems in the relationship with the US. I don't necessarily see that. I don't think China

that. I don't think China or anyone else that, you know, has a significant, let's say, trade relationship with the US would

want to backpedal on that.

I I I don't see that. It's possible in the coming hours we could get some headlines like that and that's really what you want to watch for if you are a

market investor, but this in and of itself is not really going to move the markets besides oil, which if oil falls a lot

coming on Monday, that could actually be a positive for the markets. Now, you can also make an argument that longer term getting Venezuela back to the country

that it once was making, you know, having more business with America, you know, could inevitably be a long-term for this area of the world. But at this

stage, the question is what is the international backlash from Venezuelan allies like China and Russia? Okay, but

you would have to lean towards this actually being a positive because of the implications for oil. Now you can take a look at Bitcoin right now. Bitcoin has

been a little volatile since um this whole situation started. Um in the last, you know, couple of hours, Bitcoin was

up and down. Okay. Um I mean it's it's been you know as high as 90 almost 91,000

since this happened as low as 88,000. Now you are generally trending

88,000. Now you are generally trending higher since um this news came out right you've kind of broken out of this basing

pattern a little bit and starting to move higher. So based on the initial

move higher. So based on the initial reaction from this event, which is what Bitcoin is responding to at this point,

it is seen as a positive. Now, Bitcoin

tends to give you kind of a leading indicator to what stocks are going to do. So judging off this reaction, it

do. So judging off this reaction, it could actually be a pretty pretty good move coming next week on Monday for markets. Now, specifically for Tesla's

markets. Now, specifically for Tesla's stock, we are coming off of delivery numbers on Friday. And analysts over this weekend are coming out with their interpretations of what these numbers

mean, what they mean for Tesla's stock, what they mean for, you know, the company in 2026. But keep in mind, we have a lot of big catalysts coming this week with economic data. You have the

Joltz job openings. You have the ADP, you have the non-farm payrolls, the unemployment rate, some ISM data coming out. all kinds of different data sets

out. all kinds of different data sets and liquidity should pick up in this upcoming week. We've been in this

upcoming week. We've been in this holiday period, this New Year's period where there's not a lot of trading activity and starting off on Monday, you're going to start getting a lot more

volume, a lot more liquidity. If Friday

was an indicator to what it could look like to get higher liquidity, you know, Friday was very much a risk on

move in stocks. Small caps and AI did very very well. Now Tesla, not as much because you were reacting to the delivery numbers in which almost every

single time Tesla's stock sells off.

Like it's it's it's almost embedded in the algorithms at this point, delivery numbers come out, sell the stock. In

fact, when the delivery numbers originally came out, Tesla's stock actually moved higher on on those numbers, right? Tesla stock actually

numbers, right? Tesla stock actually went up and then sold off once the trading day began.

So if if we didn't have delivery numbers on Friday, I would have imagined Tesla stock would have been higher on Friday, just like the other risk on AI trade. We

get into some of the new analyst notes.

I do want to share with you what Wedbush analyst Dan Ies said on Tesla deliveries on Friday. He says, quote, "This will be

on Friday. He says, quote, "This will be viewed as better than feared deliveries and a step in the right direction for the Tesla story heading into 2026. The

street will view this as demand stabilizing with all focus on autonomous. Now, Morgan Stanley said on

autonomous. Now, Morgan Stanley said on Tesla's Q4 delivery results, quote, "Deliveries broadly in line, all eyes on

Robo Taxi, and that's really the catalyst for next year, right? It's all

about Robo Taxi in the first half of the year and the second half of the year, but really in the first half of the year. And then the attention is going to

year. And then the attention is going to start to um shift a little bit towards Optimus. Robo taxi is going to be

Optimus. Robo taxi is going to be important for the next many years. But

in the second half of next year, the story will also be on Optimus and commercialization and selling of Optimus

in 2027. Tesla UK is offering about

in 2027. Tesla UK is offering about $5,43 tradein bonuses towards a new Tesla. If

you trade in your current car, you must order and take delivery before March 31st, 2026. Cancord Genuity analyst

31st, 2026. Cancord Genuity analyst George Giancas in a new Tesla note says, quote, "2026 is shaping up to be a bountiful year for Tesla with the anticipated scale up of CyberCap and

Optimus Gen 3 production alongside a possible acceleration in semioutput and continued expansion in in the energy storage driven by the launch of Mega Pac

3 with new products galore. The end of EV subsidies has been a clear near-term drag on demand, but it is also forcing a healthier, more durable market to emerge. Tesla still stands alone in the

emerge. Tesla still stands alone in the US with a truly scaled integrated EV franchise. The widely discussed US EV

franchise. The widely discussed US EV malaise masks what what looks more like a classic technology transition pause than a structural reversal akin to

plateaus seen in early smartphone and streaming eras. This shakeout is

streaming eras. This shakeout is clarifying which automakers built dedicated EV platforms, software, and capital plans versus those that treat

EVs as more as mere compliance projects.

Only brands with strong products, cost discipline, and loyalty are positioned to keep and gain share. That's a good thing for Tesla. He reiterated his Tesla

price target of $551 and a buy rating.

So, you know, analyst commentary like this heading into next week, you know, I I I see Monday as as what could be a really good day for Tesla.

William Blair analyst Jed Dorheimr in a new Tesla note says, quote, "In our opinion, this hangover from the tax credit sunset was expected and will have little influence on the stock, which is

valued almost entirely on the transformation to real world AI with robo taxi and Optimus. We expect Tesla's mega pack to have a breakout year in

2026 as a critical component to the AI data centers. Okay. Yeah. This is this

data centers. Okay. Yeah. This is this is huge. This is something that's not

is huge. This is something that's not really um priced into Tesla's stock at this moment. And as I've talked about

this moment. And as I've talked about before many many times, 2026, nobody's going to care about deliveries, right?

By mid 2026, it's not even going to be a catalyst anymore. It's really not a

catalyst anymore. It's really not a catalyst right now. You know, Tesla's stock reacts based on algorithms that do

80% of the trading activity. Friday, in

my opinion, without that negative bias from delivery events, delivery numbers.

Every time they come out, the stock is down. It's it's it's pretty routine at

down. It's it's it's pretty routine at this point. Tesla stock would have been

this point. Tesla stock would have been higher. There is there is clearly a

higher. There is there is clearly a resurgence at least uh on Friday. It

looked like your AI appliers, your AI hyper growth stocks did very well. And

Tesla is the epitome, the the focal point of real world appliable AI. And

that's why Tesla, I think, is going to be the best gainer out of the S&P in 2026. And these analysts are basically

2026. And these analysts are basically saying the same thing. They're like,

"Hey, look, deliveries really don't matter for Tesla. It's all about autonomy. It's all about optimist." Now,

autonomy. It's all about optimist." Now,

there there are risks there right now.

What are the big catalysts for Tesla? If

cyber cabs have an accident, if the rubble taxi network has a physical accident, you know, that's going to be a a risk

factor for 2026, right? not scaling fast enough would be a risk factor. But I do think 2026 is going to be a fruitful

year for Tesla with uh scaling of robo taxi a lot faster than people are expecting. In option activity on Friday

expecting. In option activity on Friday in Tesla stock, you had 826 different trades totaling 247.07 million with a positive order value of

62%.

Okay. So, uh yeah, not super positive, more positive than negative, which is great. But you are starting to see the

great. But you are starting to see the dollar amounts recover a little bit.

Getting back to about a quarter million worth of option activity from hedge funds and institutions. It's good to see, but in this upcoming week is when liquidity and volume really comes back

into this market. Now, short interest free float sits at about 3.13% about 74.6 6 million shares sold short currently and worth about $33.5 billion.

As I've talked about before, short sellers really come under pressure once Tesla's stock breaks above 500. Right?

That's the key level at this point. You

break above 500, I think you're going to have a pretty explosive move. You might

leave the 500s about as fast as you break them. Okay? You could break 500

break them. Okay? You could break 500 and within just a couple days be into the 600s. I think the move in the 500s

the 600s. I think the move in the 500s could be explosive to the upside, especially now that we're in 2026 and this focus is shifting away from

semiconductors and the Nvidas of the world and now to the next tier of AI, which are the companies that are actually building products and services

with AI, the appliers of AI.

So, let me know your thoughts on all of this down below in the comments section.

Ladies and gentlemen, hit that like button as well as subscribe to the channel if you guys have not done so already. If you guys want to come trade

already. If you guys want to come trade and invest alongside us, check that link out down below in the description of today's episode. Have a great rest of

today's episode. Have a great rest of your day and I will see you in the next