The 'Buy Now Pay Later' Trap, Explained
By Grant Rudow
Summary
## Key takeaways - **BNPL: Modern Layaway with Hidden Costs**: Buy Now, Pay Later programs are essentially a modernized version of old-school layaway, but they are designed to encourage spending by offering instant gratification and deferring payments, often masking hidden fees and risks. [01:47], [04:43] - **BNPL's Explosive Growth Fueled by Culture**: The rapid rise of BNPL is driven by the financialization of everyday purchases, social media's influence on consumption, and post-pandemic 'revenge spending,' all exacerbated by declining financial literacy among young adults. [02:46], [03:00] - **BNPL Profits: Fees, Data, and Loan Stacking**: BNPL companies profit not just from merchant fees, but significantly from late payment fees (affecting one in three users) and by selling harvested consumer data, while also benefiting from packaging and selling debt. [05:46], [06:05] - **Checkout Page Psychology: Exploiting Weaknesses**: BNPL services exploit psychological triggers like the 'pain of paying' and 'instant gratification' on checkout pages, using design tricks like highlighted buttons to encourage impulsive purchases over rational financial decisions. [07:24], [07:41] - **Loan Stacking: The Real Danger of BNPL**: The ease of BNPL encourages 'loan stacking,' where consumers take out multiple loans without realizing the accumulating debt, a problem particularly prevalent among young adults already in debt on other credit lines. [09:54], [10:12] - **Protect Yourself: Never Spend More Than You Have**: The most crucial advice for consumers is to never spend more than they currently have in their bank account, treating BNPL and credit cards as direct deductions to avoid falling into debt. [11:08], [11:36]
Topics Covered
- BNPL: A Deceptive Evolution of Old-School Layaway?
- Cultural Shifts Fuel BNPL's Dangerous Rise, Not Just Convenience
- BNPL Profits by Exploiting Late Fees and Selling Your Data
- Psychological Tricks Make You Overspend at Checkout
- BNPL Targets the Financially Vulnerable, Leading to Debt Spirals
Full Transcript
Why is paying for so addictive? I
literally once financed a bottle of body
wash.
You know what? I'm going to afterpay
this. It's going to make me feel less
guilty to pay it in four installments of
$81 or whatever. That's like having a
black American Express to me. I can use
it anywhere, anytime I get ready. I'm
using CLA to pay for these Chris Brown
tickets. Look at this chart right here.
This shows the total non-housing
consumer debt in America over the last
10 years. And in 2024, Americans
collectively owe more than $5 trillion
which is enough to pay for every NFL
NBA, and MLB team 10 times over. And to
make matters worse, we are constantly
surrounded by psychological tricks and
hidden fees to drive us further and
further into debt. The worst of these
tricks, the buy now pay later programs
that have been designed to take
advantage of young adults. So, when you
buy a $100 pair of shoes and you only
have to pay $25 that day and then the
pair of shoes show up at my apartment 3
days later, the shoes are $25. Why do I
care if in 2 months I have to pay
another $25? I don't know me 2 months
from now. She can deal with that. I now
pay later is a short-term financing
option that is offered by companies like
Affirm, CLA, or Afterpay. You'll
typically see these options pop up on
e-commerce stores, offering you the
ability to buy what you want today while
deferring your payment over a certain
number of installments. So, if you're
looking to buy a new suitcase for a trip
you have coming up, and it's going to
cost you $300, instead of paying that
all today, you could buy the suitcase
today and then split the $300 across
four equal interest free payments. And
you might think, great, interest free. I
can just sign up for these payments and
then worry about paying it sometime
later down the road. But it's not quite
that simple. These buy now pay later
programs aren't necessarily
groundbreaking financial technology. In
fact, buy now pay later programs are
kind of a newer modernized version of
the old school layaway programs that you
would see at stores like Kmart and
Sears. These layaway programs allowed
you to place a deposit on an item like a
dishwasher, for example. And then the
store would reserve that dishwasher for
you to collect once you had paid off the
dishwasher through their installment
plan. But these layaway programs kind of
fell off throughout much of the midentth
century, mainly due to the introduction
of credit cards and revolving lines of
credit. Instead of using a layaway
program and waiting to collect their
item, people could just swipe a credit
card, get their item today, and then
worry about paying off that over the
next couple months or years. The only
problem is is that a credit card will
incur interest. People realized that if
they didn't pay their credit card down
on time, they would end up owing more
than they initially spent on the item.
So along came the modern marvel that is
buy now pay later which gave you the
best of both worlds. Get your product
today, pay it off over a longer period
of time, all while doing it interest
free. And that idea began hooking people
in because buy now pay later has seen
some explosive growth over the last 5
years going from $2 billion in
transaction volume in 2019 to $24.2
billion in 2021. And it's projected to
reach as high as $122 billion in 2025.
But this explosion wasn't just happening
in a vacuum. It's actually part of three
major cultural shifts that we've been
seeing. First is the financialization of
everything, meaning we've moved from a
completely cashbased society to a
society in which we look at even a $5
coffee as an opportunity to finance the
transaction. Second, we have the rise of
social mediadriven consumption. As
influencers showcase luxury lifestyle
and products, buy now pay later allows
the average consumer the ability to
experience those same things without
actually incurring the cost today. And
third, we have the post-pandemic
spending boom, which has consumers using
buy now pay later as a form of revenge
spending or buying things they feel like
they missed out on during the pandemic.
Combine all of that with a declining
financial literacy among most young
adults, and you have the perfect storm
to make buy now pay later explode as a
new mentality. But why is this even a
problem? If they're not charging
interest, how can they actually be
taking advantage of me as a consumer? To
answer that question, we first need to
look at the differences between buy now
pay later programs and traditional
credit cards. Because on the outside
they're basically the same thing. Both
financial devices allow you to buy
something today that you might not
necessarily be able to afford or be
willing to put cash down today for. But
a credit card usually involves some sort
of approval process, application
review, and a credit report hit.
Meanwhile, buy now pay later programs
offer an almost instantaneous approval
for your purchase in the moment.
Additionally, as we discussed, credit
cards can acrue interest if not paid off
by the end of the month. And that rate
can be at crazy high rates, usually
around 19 to 23%. On top of that, if
you're late with your payment or you
miss a payment, credit card companies
can also add on late payment fees that
just end up waterfalling you into insane
amounts of credit card debt off of
fairly simple purchases to begin with.
And on the other hand, buy now pay later
offers 0% interest, which sounds great
but that all depends on if you actually
pay your payments on time. If you don't
you'll be subject to late payment fees
that can range anywhere from $2 to $15
per payment and going all the way up to
25% of the total value of the purchase
you made initially. And with all that
said, buy now pay later still might
sound like a perfectly good alternative
to credit cards, which is exactly what
they want you to think because buy now
pay later programs weren't necessarily
designed to help the consumer like you
or me. They were designed for stores and
brands that want to sell more through
their website or in their stores. After
all, that's why brands are willing to
pay 2 to 3% more for their transaction
fees to use a buy now pay later program
versus a traditional credit card
processor. To give you an example, let's
look at a $100 purchase. If you bought a
$100 item using a normal credit card on
their site, the brand was typically
going to incur about a $2.50 charge to
process that payment. And on the other
hand, if you were to use a buy now pay
later program, that transaction fee that
the brand has to pay goes from $2.50 to
about $5. But the merchant fees are just
the beginning when it comes to buy now
pay later. So let's look at how these
companies actually make money beyond
just charging the brand that hosts them
on their website. First, like we just
discussed, they're going to collect that
merchant fee, which is anywhere from 4
to 6% of the transaction price. Second
they profit from late fees like we
talked about earlier, which has turned
out to be a pretty substantial revenue
source for companies like Affirm and CLA
because one in every three users of
these buy now pay later programs
actually ends up missing a payment at
least once. And third, every purchase
that is made reveals something about you
or your shopping habits. And these
companies have realized that that is
very valuable information for other
brands. So they actually harvest a lot
of the data from your checkout pages and
then sell it to other brands that can
then use it in their marketing or in
their ad target. And finally, they
benefit from the sheer volume of loans
being opened up. By packaging yours and
everybody else's debt together and
selling it to larger financial
institutions, they can make money even
when you pay on time. In other words
they've created a system where they win
no matter what happens to you
financially. So, now let's look at
buying an iPhone for $1,000. When you
reach the checkout page, you have three
options. Number one, pay the full $1,000
upfront. This is the simplest, cleanest
and easiest way to get out of the
checkout scotch-free. Option two, you
could use a credit card with the typical
22% APR to purchase the phone. And if
you only made the minimum payments, you
would end up paying about
$1,480 over the course of 5 years with
$480 of that being the interest alone.
And option number three is you could use
Afterpay's for payment installment plan
where you pay $250 today and then $250
every 2 weeks until the plan is paid
off. Which sounds like the best deal to
you? You see, brands have mastered
psychological manipulation throughout
their website, but specifically on the
last hurdle, which is the checkout page.
And they do this through four key
tricks. First, they exploit what
psychologists call the pain of paying.
By splitting the cost over a longer
period of time, your brain actually
registers less financial pain than
paying the full amount up front. Second
they trigger what is called the temporal
discounting, which is our tendency to
value immediate rewards more than future
benefits or otherwise known as instant
gratification. Pay just $25 today and
it's yours sounds a lot better than
waiting and saving up for it. Third
they will create artificial urgency by
simulating limited time offers in the
checkout page. And finally, they use
colors and shapes to direct your eye
exactly where they want you to be
looking. Have you ever noticed that the
buy now pay later button is often
highlighted in a brighter color? And
it's sometimes even pre-selected when
you reach the checkout page. These
aren't accidents. These are specific
design decisions to shortcircuit your
brain to making a financial decision
more on an impulse than with rational
thinking. Instead of thinking about a
$100 purchase rationally and over a
longer period of time, they'd rather
have you just click the pay $25 now and
worry about it later on. And again, this
isn't necessarily a bad deal because
people are always looking for interestf
free ways of purchasing things so that
their money can go and earn them more
money while they're paying off the other
thing that they purchased. But to do so
requires some financial education or
experience. And sadly, most Americans
are completely undereducated when it
comes to financial literacy. So the
instant gratification syndrome kicks in
and they buy practically everything with
buy now pay later with no real concern
that they will in fact have to pay that
off at some point. All they're worried
about is the price that they will pay
today which is exactly how you end up
with this. I've done groceries. I've
done all kinds of crap on a firm and
cla but it adds up and then you are in a
chokeold and in some ways it is worse
than having credit card payments. It's
crazy because buy now pay later is so
easy to do. People are starting to use
it on more and more occasions where it's
really not meant to be used. Instead of
just using it on a big purchase like a
new fridge or a TV, they're starting to
use it on smaller things and truly
financing items that have no business
being financed. A crazy story that we
recently saw is that CLA is now on Door
Dash, which allows you to finance your
$15 burrito over four payments of $375
instead of paying the full $15 upfront.
Again, not a necessarily terrible thing
when looked at in a vacuum. But when you
expand this to consider that someone
who's financing a burrito is also
probably financing a lot of other
things, that's when the real problem
starts to arise. Bad spending habits
like this lead to what we call loan
stacking. Pretty much what it sounds
like. Taking out loan after loan after
loan and stacking them on top of each
other. And because buy now pay later
programs make it so easy to do so, most
consumers don't even realize how much
debt they're actually acrewing. In fact
in 2022, 63% of buy now pay later
borrowers had more than one loan going
at one time. And this is where it gets
really scary because these programs are
designed to offer credit with little to
no approval process. It's almost like
they're targeting people that don't know
how to manage their money. All they see
is, "Oh, I can buy this $1,000 thing for
$250 today." And they just click buy.
When in reality, over 69% of buy now pay
later users are already in debt on
another credit card. And 28% of buy now
pay later borrowers are between the ages
of 18 and 24 years old. Most of these
people don't even understand the concept
of how a credit card works. And by
giving them this buy now pay later
option, it's almost like they have this
unlimited stream of money that never
needs to actually be paid off. Again
don't get me wrong, there are definitely
some advantages to the system if you
know how to play it. But the vast
majority of people using the system are
not taking advantage of it. They are
just getting taken advantage of. So what
do you do as a consumer? Should I
completely stay away from buy now pay
later or are there some circumstances
where it makes sense? And to answer that
question, the most important piece of
advice I can give you is to never spend
more than you currently have. Whether
that be through a credit card or a buy
now pay later option. If you don't have
the cash in your bank, don't spend it.
And that is by far the easiest way that
you can keep yourself out of credit card
debt. And if you feel confident in your
financial abilities, feel free to use a
credit card or a buy now pay later
option to earn more interest on your
cash while it's sitting in your account
versus just spending it immediately. But
if you don't feel confident about this
treat your credit cards in a buy now pay
later program as if it's hooked directly
up to your checking account. If you
spend $100, that's $100 coming directly
out of your account. Another tip I have
is to avoid stacking these loans because
that is where things can get very messy
very quickly. If you start financing
weekly expenses like gas, groceries, or
that Friday night Chipotle bowl, it
becomes a slippery slope because it is
100 times easier to get into debt than
it is to get out of debt. But there you
have it, the truth about buy now pay
later. These companies spend millions of
dollars on psychological research to get
you to spend more than you can actually
afford. But now you know a little bit
more about how to protect yourself. And
if you like this video, make sure to
check out this video that covers the
business of Formula 1 and how
billionaires use debt to fund their
crazy hobby of racing.
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