The Hard Truth About Last Nights Election Losses
By Charlie Kirk
Summary
## Key takeaways - **Voters feel Republicans aren't addressing domestic issues**: Many voters believe that elected Republicans are prioritizing foreign policy over domestic concerns like the economy, immigration, and energy prices, leading to a perception that these issues are not being addressed. [00:49] - **Perception is reality in elections**: Even if policies are in place to address issues, the perception among voters that these problems are not being solved can significantly impact election outcomes, as seen in the enthusiasm gap between parties. [01:32] - **Economic concerns drive voter behavior**: Voters, particularly working-class and minority groups, are motivated to vote when they feel their economic situation has improved, as it did under President Trump. A lack of perceived economic improvement leads them to 'give the other guy a shot'. [02:10] - **Need for visible, ambitious policy initiatives**: To energize low-propensity voters, Republicans need to implement large, visible policy initiatives, akin to building a Hoover Dam, to demonstrate tangible progress and deliver for their voters. [02:27] - **Enthusiasm and ground game are crucial for turnout**: Winning elections requires both an enthusiasm gap and a robust ground game infrastructure to drive out low-propensity voters. A lack of enthusiasm can be overcome by strong organization and mobilization efforts. [03:55], [05:01] - **Gender turnout gap impacts election results**: In off-year elections, a significant turnout differential between men and women can determine the outcome. If more women vote than men, especially when there's a large gender gap in candidate preference, it can lead to losses for Republicans. [08:44]
Topics Covered
- Focus on Domestic Policy and Building Infrastructure
- Trump's Unpopularity is Hurting Republican Candidates
- Colleges Optimize for Revolutionaries, Not Academics
- The Rise of 'Fake Republicans' Funded by Soros
- Voters Feel Republicans Aren't Delivering on Domestic Issues
Full Transcript
I want to take a moment to talk about a
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seafood. You're investing in the same
values we talk about daily. Faith,
family, and freedom. Here's the bottom
line, and I and I go back to something
we talked about with Rich Baris last
week. And basically the polling sh shows
something that we need to confront and
be very aware of and be be honest about
and that is that a lot of people believe
that the things that President Trump
were elected on namely the economy,
immigration,
um energy prices, the affordability
crisis, those things are not being
addressed. They feel like the the
Republicans that were elected in
November are focusing too much on
foreign policy affairs. their their
attention is not on the domestic issues.
Now, do I think some of that is fair?
Sure. Do I think some of it's unfair? I
actually really think a lot of it's
unfair. I think that we have to wait for
some of these policies to take their
effect. But perception is reality. And
some of that perception is showing up in
the enthusiasm gaps between Democrats
and Republicans. And you saw that last
night. You saw a state like Virginia,
which Glenn Yncan held, uh, every single
county move to the left. Show 283.
Put 283 up there if you can. This is a
map of Virginia and every single county
moved to the left. There's not one red
arrow on that county. What's happening
is you're getting a lot of normie sort
of workingclass ethnic minority voters
that said, "Hey, Trump's good at making
me money. I had more money in my pocket
when President Trump was president the
first time who just come out to the
polls because they thought, "Hey, I'm
poor now. I'm going to I'm going to give
the other guy a shot." And they don't
feel that yet. They don't see it yet.
And again, perception is reality. We
have to do these big audacious crazy,
you know, policies where, you know, I I
mentioned to Rich Bears, we need a
Hoover Dam. I obviously we're not going
to be building a dam in 2025, but we
need these big visual markers to say,
"Hey, we're breaking ground on this big
thing. We're focusing on this big thing.
We're we're delivering for our voters."
And again, a lot of this is going to be
low propensity uh normie people that are
not checked into the political process
every day like a lot of you that are
watching this show, a lot of us that
follow this every day. They need big
wins that make them feel a certain way.
That make them feel like the politicians
they elected to office and to power are
doing the work that they they elected
them to do. It's the economy stupid. I
know that it's it's cliche at this
point, but that's true. We see that in
the polling. There's too much focus on
these these external affairs. The only
one uh of the domestic policy fronts
that President Trump is scoring high on
right now is immigration. So yes, that
becomes an animating issue for the left,
but ultimately people, the majority of
people are still happy that the border
is not overrun by illegals.
>> Well, and keep in mind, Andrew, so you
know, off election cycle elections, so
nontraditional
>> non-presidential years, really, even
midterms are
>> well, this is again, this isn't even a
midterm election. This is off
presidential cycle. So what happens is
that you have low turnout and and the
and the determining factor is who shows
up and who gets their people out. So you
have
>> it's two it's two points. I was about to
get to that point. So the first point is
enthusiasm gap. And right now just we're
just being honest here.
>> Enthusiasm drives turnout.
>> Yeah. Enthusiasm is down for us right
now because of a couple things. I think
again it's this foreign policy
>> fixation. Are are those wins important?
Yes. because they when we have peace in
the world, we're allowed to focus on
domestic issues. So, you almost have to
fix the the all the garbage that was
going on in order to be able to fixate
on the domestic policy issue. But it
again, perceptions, reality, we need to
as many of these foreign trips and all
this stuff. It's really important. It's
good. We need to actually message
equally if not way more so on the
domestic wins, the domestic achievements
here, right? And then you part you pair
that with an enthusiasm gap. You pair
that with uh something that data
Republican uh mentioned really quick.
Throw up image 300 and she's looking
across Indeed and the the job sites and
she found over 6,000 jobs for
grassroots. These are civic engagement
people. This would be ballot chasers on
the left. Now make so so here's here's
the the the pairing of these two these
two nodes. You've got to have the
infrastructure to drive low propensity
voters out, but you also have have to
have policy wins and candidates that are
enthus that that that inspire
enthusiasm. It's a both end. All right.
So, in 2024, Kla Harris still had and
the Democrats still had the edge on
ballot uh ground ground game stuff. They
had more people out in the field. My mom
in Nevada swing state had her door
knocked on about 14 times. She was
throwing out all of this the paperwork
they were leaving the pamphlets and all
this stuff because she didn't want to
vote for Kamla. It didn't matter. She My
mom's a kind of a swing voter actually.
She's kind of she's proudly independent.
I tried I've been working on her for
years. But the point is because she was
she was on their radar. She got hit up a
lot. Okay. It didn't matter cuz the the
forla she was a bad candidate. Okay.
Trump was coming in after a disastrous
four years. People were ready for
change. Okay. So, you have to pair up
enthusiasm with ground game. And when
they have 6,000 job postings on the
Democrat side to get out ground game and
knock on doors, that is a heck of a
mountain to climb when you're
conservatives with a low prop voting
base in an off-year election. Okay. So,
the point is this. Focus on domestic.
Focus on policy wins. Perception is
reality. You have to show, tell, and and
reveal to the audience the things that
you're doing for them to make their
their lives easier and better, to make
them richer. And then finally, you have
to build the infrastructure. We have to
keep building. A lot of people think
Turning Point can be in 50 states.
That's not that's not really going to
ever happen, okay? There's limited
resources. The donor class has to align
with the with the new realities of
elections and the new realities of the
conservative base. And that is that we
are a low prop party that's lacking in
enthusiasm. and the coalition that we
built, we've done a lot to actually
alienate them and we have to be honest
about that.
>> Well, and you brought up something
really important, Andrew, is again look
a look back at Glenn Yncan's race and
Glenn Yncan's a very nice guy. I just
was in a room with him this week and he
speaks very well and he uh I think he's
appealing to a lot of
>> course he's a great candidate. I mean,
you can disagree with him at call him
like a rhino or something. Not true
maga. I'm telling you, the guy's a great
candidate for a state like Virginia.
>> Well, but let's look back four years
ago. Let's look back at to when he ran.
Uh he when he ran, he won because the
moms showed up big time
>> because if you remember the enthusiasm
so the enthusiasm wave that he he wrote
on was remember there was this entire
uh scuffle that was happening across the
state of Virginia where parents were
showing up to schoolboard meetings and
that gave them the wave, the enthusiasm
lift for him to win. Well, let's check
this out. So, throw up image 296. I
think this is really telling. Virginia
AG race by gender. Look at this. So,
this again, this is Jay Jones who
proudly fetishizes killing his political
oppon opponents. Doubles down even when
the person on the other end of the text
is telling him that they're
uncomfortable with the way he's talking.
Females 61%
to 44. So, for Jones,
>> so Andrew, let me
>> 61 to 44.
>> Let me spell this out for everyone. if
you have a 20 plus percent and in a lot
of cases it's more than 20% a 20 to 30%
differential on candidates uh for
females. So the left, they're voting for
leftists by 20 to 30 points in in
addition. And then our males, you saw
the numbers, our men are not matching
the same numbers. Are not matching the
same numbers, but it's close. Men are
voting for the Republicans by 15 to 20
points.
>> Yeah, it's a 55 to 39.
>> But here's the problem. 16 point edge.
If fewer men show up to vote and more
women show up to vote, then they have a
dramatic
differential in that. So again, a
presidential, you have about the same
amount of men and women who show up to
vote. In a off election year, you have a
lot more women potentially show up to
vote. I don't have the data in front of
me for Virginia, but I can just tell you
right now by the outcome is that a lot
more women showed up to vote than men.
And because of that differential, you're
going to lose every time.
>> Absolutely. Well, and this is this is
was a big story in 2024, how we drove
the men out. I mean, there was articles
written about Turning Point targeting
men with text campaigns. I mean, and you
had the entire they were calling it the
manosphere and the Rogan effect and the
and all this stuff. Well, guess what?
Men are harder to get out to the polls
than women. Women just vote more. They
just vote more often. They're more
predictable voters and they tend to be
prone to emotional arguments that
Democrats make. Check out this this
image 297. This is Virginia by how many
children do you have? And if you have
them, uh, then you voted for Miaris, the
Republican candidate. If you don't, you
voted for Jay Jones. So, there's another
dynamic there. Let's go to New Jersey
and go by age. This one's terrifying,
Blake. And I think you should chime in
on this.
>> We're just getting I mean
>> I mean, so all the gains that we had
with young people, and I'll never forget
this. I mean, I I don't want to spill
too many beans here.
I'll never forget this. This is uh image
298, but there were at least three
instances where Charlie called the
administration and said all the gains
that we we we saw in that election with
young people, you guys are jeopardizing
them. I'll just put it
>> guys like I think let's not beat around
the bush here, guys. This went bad
because right now Trump is an unpopular
president. I'm just going to lay it out.
President Trump's approval rating on
average is about 42%. His disapproval is
55%. today at the average today is the
lowest it's been his entire second term.
>> Yeah.
>> And if you're an the guy at the top is
not that popular. It's going to have a
cascading effect down the ballot. And if
you look at individual issues, he's
underwater on inflation. He's underwater
on trade. He's underwater on the
economy. All of those by over 15 points.
He's even underwater on immigration by
5%. Yep.
>> And you know, some of that you can
debate, oh, is it because they want it
faster versus slower?
Besides the point, he's underwater. He's
the guy at the top and that's going to
affect things. I think the economy has a
is a huge deal. If you look at the
numbers, the economy overall is shaky.
The economy for people under 30 is
catastrophic. Hiring for entry level
positions in the US is horrible right
now.
>> Well, and a lot of that you're seeing
these
>> the average age the average age of a
first-time home buyer is over is just
eclipsed 40 years old. It's gone up, I
think, 9 years or something or seven
years in like 5 years total. It It's
going up. The average age of a home
buyer is rising faster than the passage
of time.
>> And and you and let's make this point.
You in most states, you cannot win an
election if you lose the under 40 vote.
>> Is Julie Spillsberry claiming that
Turning Point's huge and that we bust in
a bunch of like ballot chasers or
something? 292.
>> Turning Point's huge. They're a national
organization. They have a ton of money.
They have a ton of volunteers. There
were probably 30 volunteers at the
polling place today. Tons of people were
flown in from out of state. Lots of
people told me that people knocked on
their door that weren't even from
Arizona. How do I fight that? How do I
fight that? And the recall would never
have been successful without Turning
Points. Employees, over 30 of them out
knocking doors that are not from Mesa.
>> I mean, thank you for the ad. I I live
in Mesa, Julie. I mean, she already
knows this. She she she uh was trying to
tell all her friends that, you know, I'm
a good person and why is Tyler going
out? We had all of these people that
were knocking doors are all our
Arizonans. Uh we've got dozens of staff
hired and hired up for Mesa, not just
for the Mesa recall, but also for the
upcoming SRP and Andy Biggs election.
Mhm.
>> And so, but yeah, I mean, you can't have
a better ad than that of the vast
majority
>> the libs the libs saying turning points
too big and they know what they're doing
too well. So,
>> I know it's a great it's a great clip.
Let's let's let's turn our attention
because that was a was a huge feather in
the cap of uh turning point action here
in Arizona, but let's turn our attention
to New Hampshire. So, tell us what
happened in New Hampshire. There was a
special election
>> uh there in Berlin, right?
>> Let's put up Yeah, we just got it. Let's
put up two uh I think they still haven't
loaded it yet, but yeah, there's a
special election in New Hampshire. New
Hampshire has extremely small state
house seats. I think they have the
largest
>> per capita.
>> Yeah, they have the uh most per capita.
They have I think the third largest
legislature of any kind in the English
speakaking world. It's like the House of
Commons, the House of Representatives,
and then the New Hampshire State
Assembly. It has 400 some people in it,
I think.
>> Oh, jeez.
>> And uh let's put up 294.
>> Yeah, there it is.
>> So, this is Davis Miller, one of our
guys. He says, "Special elections are
all about turnout. This special election
was decided by 13 votes. Turning Point
Action had two Superchase events there
ahead of this week's election. And you
know, when it's 13 votes, that probably
did directly make the difference."
>> Absolutely.
>> Yeah. Our team was on the ground. We
have an incredible team in New
Hampshire. We're one of the only
national organizations to have full-time
local staff. Uh both Davis and Lisa that
we have on our team are are leaders
there. We're going to be hiring up
actually dozens more people in the state
of New Hampshire uh for this ahead of
2026 and 2028. But uh this is this is
where it's all about. The only two
states that really had this significant
impact are both Arizona and New
Hampshire yesterday. New Hampshire
skewed right. It wasn't just so they
gained seats in the legislature
including the special election uh that
was decided by 13 votes where our team
had actually done ballot chasing
initiatives. Uh we also had a a huge
mayoral election. So the biggest city in
New Hampshire is Manchester. Uh it's not
the capital, but it's the biggest city.
And uh a a conservative won the may the
mayor race yesterday that was there for
for Manchester, which is a huge deal
when you look at the rest of the country
where we had every I mean we a lot of
these big cities, you don't even have a
Republican running for a mayor. uh a
Republican one in Manchester and and
again the pathway to 2028,
you know, directly goes through Arizona
and New Hampshire.
>> Well, and that's that's I want to give
people a little bit of a sense of where
this is going. We are, and I mentioned
this last night on the stream, but for
those listening now, there is there is a
I see this on X a lot where they're
like, you got to get into this race and
why isn't Turning Point coming out here
earlier and why isn't Listen,
if somebody wants to fund something,
that's one thing, but we have a
disconnect with our donor class of what
they're willing to invest money in.
Okay, so for example, we had people in
New Jersey, we had people in PA, we had
all this stuff. Did we have enough?
Obviously not. But secondly, you know,
is anybody going to fund it? Yeah, let's
be real. The turn like for example us
flipping Arizona last year. This was not
we had some superchase events. This was
we had fulltime staffers handling quite
small geographical areas knocking on
doors regularly knocking on doors
repeatedly following up getting to know
building the relationships in all these
local areas. Well, that is bluntly not a
cheap thing to do. It's not an easy
thing to do.
>> There's a calculation for it, Blake. I
mean it's really simple. We've done all
the math. We can show you the math of
what it takes for each of these states.
And it's really simple. It just breaks
down to how many votes exist out there
that are low propensity. Are enough
chasable to win? And how many bodies do
you need to cover those?
>> Just so you know, we we had I mean, I
don't want to give away the the inside
scoop here, but yeah, there's a very
small population that you put a you put
a staffer on. Very very small. So, but
here's here's what I want to say. Like I
think there's this tendency in and you
see this on X after Charlie's
assassination to sort of like think oh
turning points like so gargantuan that
we can be in all 50 states. That's not
at all how it was. Charlie was very good
about saying no. Okay. He was saying no
to bad investments and he would focus
turning points attention and that's what
we're doing. We are very focused on
building a red wall that can that can
literally uh make their models have to
go into very unfavorable territory in
2026.
>> One thing we didn't talk about yet was
that it looks like the uh goose is
cooked on the Minneapolis uh mayoral
race. Uh Omar Fate looks like lost in
rank choice voting. They have rank
choice voting
>> that's implemented in in in Minneapolis.
So, this is the rare occasion where Deep
Blue City rank choice voting actually
benefits a little bit and uh Jacob Fry
uh looks like he has squeaked it out by
a few thousand votes.
>> Wow. Win-win uh win-win for the uh I
guess the old school Democrats there,
>> the rank choice voting. But but again,
this is what this is. I'm going to say
that I don't know what what how people
respond to this,
>> but we were commenting even in the cold
open of this show and you were listening
to like he's like, "I got four words for
you." This is uh Mom Donnie to Trump or
was it Yeah, it was Trump. He goes, "I
have four words for you. Turn the volume
up." And I I looked at Blake. I was
like, damn, he's talented.
>> Omar Fatah was not talented.
>> Not talented.
>> Not talented at all. No, neither is
Jacob Fry. But I mean, here's the thing.
You had two things happen in the mayoral
race in New York City. You had Cuomo
who's got more baggage than a than a,
you know, American Airlines, you know,
cross-country trip. He's got a ton of
baggage. Okay. The guy's got sexual
assaults. He basically his policies
contributed to killing old people and
nursing homes. I mean, the guy's got a
lot of baggage in New York. And it was
actually a little closer than we
expected. I mean to be fair right a lot
of the sleewa vote ended up going over
and and and going with um with Cuomo
>> almost unexpectedly because Donnie is
talented.
>> He's a very talent and I think he's
probably the the leading Democrat
competing with AOC as far as just energy
from the base.
>> Yeah. I mean he's a popular guy.
Although again with AOC, keep in mind
some of this is Republicans, people
watching Fox and stuff. they they like
to fixate on
>> they're the ones that keep mascot
Democrats as well. So I don't know that
you want to leap to the conclusion that
he's the immediate head of the party. We
can anoint him the head of the party, I
suppose. But
>> well, listen, he's if he's not the guy,
okay, fine. He's one of the guys. Okay,
but and here's the other thing. We've
talked about this a lot, Blake. the the
youth vote that the gains we made in the
youth vote in 2024 were fickle
>> things like bombing around.
>> Let's just be honest about it. The
Epstein Picasso like all of this stuff
has been chipping away and then and then
they they still don't feel like they can
buy a home. There's been no moonshot. I
mean I'll never forget Charlie calling
for the moonshot. We need 10 million
homes. We need to make and by the way
>> that's real it's easy to say like we
need a moonshot. That's actually a
hugely difficult problem to solve. Like
if you want to do that, you need to
aggressively radically deregulate a lot
of what restricts home building right
now. You'd have to it's actually a
serious problem that takes effort to
solve. You'd have to look to imitate the
states that have a lot of home building.
Uh that that would probably be, you
know, I bet Texas is pretty good at it.
I think the Dakotas are pretty good at
it. Florida, I imagine, is pretty good
at it. And you have to generalize those
and like push those along. It's, you
know, it's easy to say do a moonshot.
Landing on the moon was hard. There's a
reason we can't do it anymore. We're not
the country that landed on the moon in
196.
>> We're going to have to we're going to
have to find that country again. And and
by the way, there's a there's a huge
dynamic in New York that we haven't even
got to this hour. The hour flies so
fast, but just foreignb born voters in
New York and in Virginia went
overwhelmingly for mom Donnie and the
Democrats.
>> So, you've got foreigners pouring in.
They're voting Democrat. You got young
people that came over, gave us a shot,
but they were not locked in, and we've
done a lot to alienate those. So, so you
got there's multiple things here that we
got to fix, focus on our attention on.
You are sort of famous because you
coined this term luxury beliefs, right?
And I remember you guys' interview. I
actually uh watched it happen live over
over they connected me uh so I was
watching it on a on a Zoom feed. And you
know, I think it's really key that
you're here today. And when Blake Blake
was like, "Hey, you know, he's going to
be in town. We should have him back in
and it's going to be the day after mom
Donnie likely becomes the the next mayor
of or gets elected to become the next
mayor of New York City." So, when you
pair some of the writing and the
thinking and the work that you've done
on luxury beliefs and you think about
that in relation to Mom Donnie just
getting elected in New York City, I
mean, he is the living embodiment of
what it means to have a luxury belief, I
think, in some ways. Or you could argue
the opposite, right? like his supporters
are going to argue the opposite.
>> Yeah. Well, you know, one thing that I
had spoken about with Charlie uh was,
you know, I'd written multiple pieces um
expressing my concerns about the
possible election of mom Donnie. And in
one of those pieces, I said, "This is,
you know, think about the most obnoxious
person you could possibly run into at an
Ivy League kamas encampment." And you
know what should come to mind is someone
like mom Donnie like that is the person.
And he, you know, at that time he was
about to be elected and now he is going
to be the mayor. And yeah, it was
alarming and he he is the luxury beliefs
candidate. Um, you know, socialism has
always appealed to highly educated
people and he is unapologetic about it
and a lot of his ideas u globalize the
inifod city-run grocery stores, you
know, free public transport. A lot of I
mean, you know, these ideas are are just
empirically um going to make things
worse. But uh in his mind and in the
mind of a lot of his supporters who are
so disconnected from reality, they've
just decided to go this route. Luxury
beliefs, which I define as ideas and
opinions that confer status on the
credentialed and the affluent while
inflicting costs on the lower classes.
And a core feature of a luxury belief is
that the believer is sheltered from the
consequences of his or her beliefs. And
of course, Mum Donnie is um you know,
kind of a an archetype of of this type
of person because he was raised by a
filmmaker and an Ivy League professor.
Um, you know, he went to Bowden, uh,
which, you know, his his alma mater has
more, uh, students from families in the
top 1% of the income scale than the
entire bottom 60%. He spent his whole
life cocooned in affluence. And now he's
positioning himself as a man of the
people, a man of the working class. Um,
but that was not the demographic that
came out for him. You know, the exit
polling showed that uh you know, when
you break down the results by education
level, uh 57% of college graduates came
out for Mandani versus only uh 38% of
working-class non-educated voters.
>> So, one thing you might have some
insight on, do you think it is a sort of
cocooned
elite that is voting for him? Because
another argument people have made is,
yeah, they're higher on the income
scale, but they're also the very
precarious high-income ones where maybe
they make a six-figure income, but they
also can't afford a flat in New York.
They can't live the way they probably
lived growing up in suburbia with their
parents. And so they feel very
downwardly mobile even if in they're in
the upper half or upper fifth of New
York's incomes.
>> Yeah. Yeah. you know, and I've been
posting about this too, that obviously
uh you know, Mandani did not win the
working class and people have um
countered by by saying, you know, like
yeah, there's there maybe they have
college degrees and they're comfortable,
but they don't see a path uh on to
owning a house or something along those
lines. And I just think it's important
to point out that there is a very strong
difference between uh actual uh poverty
versus the kind of what gentile poverty
of a young person, a young college
educated person in New York. Because
yes, maybe at the moment they're
struggling, but they have options. They
don't have to live there. They have a
degree. They have contacts. They have
cultural capital. Um they have options
in a way that a blueco collar
working-class person in New York City
doesn't. And so they're not in the same
boat. You know, people will say, "Oh,
well, yeah, I have a degree, but I'm
still working class." Like that's not
that's not how uh you know sociologists
would define class.
>> Yeah. Let's put up 305. This is uh which
best describes your education. So mom
Donnie got 39% of never attended
college.
>> Uh uh look if you go all the way up to
advanced degree. He got 57% of bachelor
degree and 57% of advanced degree.
>> So so he is essentially but here's
here's what's interesting. I mean, he's
pushing forward tax hikes.
>> Mhm.
>> For well, wider and wealthier
neighborhoods. But, you know, even Kathy
Hokll saying he's not going to be able
to get these things done, but he's he's
promising free stuff. This is free
stuff populism.
>> Uh, you could call it socialism. It's I
mean, we we could quibble on terms, but
essentially this is a left-wing populist
>> candidate, right?
>> Um, what is it about these people that
do not that that that they don't seem to
make the connection that he's going to
cost them? Is it just is it just
basically I want to help the the the
lower class and this is how I'm going to
do it? Like what's the motivation behind
people that he's actually going to
target? His policies are going to hurt,
but they're voting for him,
>> right? Well, I think what's going on
here is that people never consider
themselves a member of the elite or the
upper class. It's always the people who
are ahead of them. those are the people
who are going to be taxed or who are
going to have to pay uh excess penalties
you know and they themselves will be
sort of safeguarded from this you know
sometimes I I'll talk about uh if you
track Bernie Sanders speeches over the
last 10 years back in 2015 during the
Democratic primaries he would always
talk about you know the millionaires and
the billionaires and and you know the
millionaire class and the billionaire
class and then you know you go go
through 2017 2019 and and now he just
talks about billionaires because at some
point in the last 10 years he became a
millionaire and now he exempted himself
And now no, the millionaires are going
to be safe. Uh but now we're just going
to go after the billionaires. You know,
if your family, you know, your dad is
worth $und00 million, he's going to be
protected because he doesn't have uh a
billion dollars.
>> Yeah. Fascinating.
>> It does feel there's something different
that and we might have to go into the
next segment with this, but it feels
like there's something a little bit
different with Mandani versus Bernie
Sanders socialism of 2016 or 2020. And I
think it's it's when it's what comes up
when people describe him as kind of
having this third worldist edge, which
partly that's just that he is of
immigrant origin, but I think there's
maybe you can weigh in on this. There's
something to the idea that he represents
this attitude that does want to punish
the West sort of like there's almost
this attitude of wanting to lay low, you
know, like historic, you know, the
wealthier whiter neighborhoods as it
were.
>> Yeah. I mean, it's like a griev some
sort of grievance that goes into
grievance. This is a full mask off
moment.
>> Yeah. You know, some people call this
the the green red alliance, right? Green
meaning uh sort of Islamist and then red
meaning communist. And you know, there's
this sort of anti-colonialist
streak. Uh Mani's father uh recently
wrote a book singing the praises of
Idiomin, uh the Ugandan dictator who was
responsible for, you know, massacres of
his people. and you know, but because he
was on the progressive left and I don't
know, maybe that wasn't real socialism
or whatever it was, right? There's
always this apologetic stance uh
whenever these uh uh ideologies go ary.
Um but yeah, I think that that attitude,
right, that the you know, think go back
to the the Ivy League Kamas encampment
type of person where they want to punish
the west and they believe that um you
know there's there's some kind of a
restitution that's due and you know this
is one one path to to get there. But
what's interesting to me is that you
know uh if you break down the the exit
polling data from uh the election,
Mandani also he he won white voters um
barely. Yes. And by the way if SA
wouldn't have gotten I think he got 8%
of the white vote uh SA and Cuomo would
have
>> but but the fact that it was basically
they split it between Cuomo and and Mom
Donnie.
>> Yes. Yeah. Yeah. And you know, many of
those white voters are, you know, they
they went through the education system
and they were taught that, you know, the
West is um irredeemably flawed and that
we need to revamp the entire system that
we um you know, need to to change
everything. Well, here's a clip from
Charlie, actually, 254 talking about
just that. 254
>> New York City is about to elect a Muslim
socialist and went totally viral. People
said, "What are you talking about?" No
one's even heard of this guy. his base
of support are the people that have been
educated to a place of stupidity. I
wrote the entire book the college scam
for a reason because I said the colleges
are introducing idea toxins and
philosophical pathogens that will
deteriorate and will destabilize the
United States of America. His base are
the people that have the most college
degrees. So basically the people that
are the richest, the most sheltered, and
the most out of touch with the everyday
concerns.
And that's really the dynamic that
you're seeing is that you're seeing
people without college degrees went
Cuomo went
>> SLA. Yeah. And and the people with the
degrees and with the advanced degrees
went for Mumani. And I haven't seen any
data on this, but I would be willing to
bet some non-trivial sum of money that
uh if you looked at the selectivity of
the college, how expensive the college
was, uh the more expensive the college,
the more likely they were to vote for
Mom Donnie. You know, the state schools
and and others. I don't think those
people were nearly as enthusiastic. Um,
and you see that pattern all throughout
the higher education system that the
more expensive the college, the more
likely you are to see encampments and
protests and locking themselves in the
president's office and agitating. And
those are the schools. I mean, they
select for that type of person. You
know, the Ivy League schools have their
choice for um, you know, they have
thousands of applicants who have perfect
SAT scores and that's what they're
that's not what they're optimizing for.
They're optimizing for revolutionaries.
This was made explicit I think in 2020
or 2021. Uh Yale uh one of their uh
admiss staff uh openly stated that we
are selecting for students who uh are uh
you know want want to revamp society,
want to change everything um have this
forward thinking vision. You know this
kind of coded language but essentially
they were selecting for people who were
on the far left.
>> You know you guys know about the Ivys
more than I would.
>> You guys are both Ivy Leagues, right?
>> Yeah.
>> Regrettably,
>> whatever.
>> You guys are part of the problem. I want
you to know that it does seem
interesting though that it's almost like
>> it's it's I think of how in in Mexico,
you know, the PR party, the party of
like institutional revolution or like
perpetual revolution that to define sort
of a certain class of American society,
the elite educated part as you
definitionally have to sort of want to
tear down or radically change society.
And I it just strikes me as something
that could be really destructive over
time if you know, okay, well, we did the
easy things to tear down. What are the
harder things to tear down now? And I
think of that with Mandani where he
wants to close Rikers and mess up the uh
New York's public schools. There's a lot
of damage he can do to that city,
>> right? Instead of just being a good
steward, right? Like being like I mean
that's you know, ideally you would want
your elites and aspirational elites to
be good stewards for the city, the
country that they're governing. and
instead it's well let me find all the
flaws and then introduce all these
policies that have historically always
failed.
>> There was one bright spot. There was a
there was a Okay, listen. There was
actually a few maybe bright spots. One
extraordinarily bright spot and that was
here in Mesa, Arizona and the Turning
Point Action team led the charge on
that. the grassroots rose up and and
ousted in a in a really difficult
scenario
uh Spillsberry who was the Republicans
for Kamla leader in the state of
Arizona. So Tyler Boyer, why don't you
tell us uh the backstory there?
>> Yeah, I mean this was this was covered
by the New York Times. Um I'm dropping
in the chat if we want to throw it up.
Politico uh brought this up. Uh this is
a a huge race. So essentially what
happened was uh the face of Republicans
for Kamla. So you want to talk about
Soros type uh funded ventures, you had
this entire mind
uh f whatever you want to call it that
happened in 2020 and 2024 where they
funded these fake Republicans for Biden
and then Republic and later became
Republicans for Harris uh or
conservatives for Harris and all the key
swing states. So the face of this
organization in many ways was the mayor
of Mesa, Arizona. His name was John
Giles. He got termed out and so was done
this last year. And his his former vice
mayor uh Julie Spillsbury who both were
LDS, both were Mormon. Uh and they were
running the as the face of this national
operation that was abandon Trump if
you're Republican and vote against him
in 2024.
uh she he spoke at the DNC. She was very
vocal. She was on advertisements, you
know, with, you know, espousing, you
know, her elected position that she
should be trusted. And this is like
Alinsky tactics 101 is use all these
things to try to persuade uh kind of the
the more feeble voter uh the people that
don't know as much going on and saying,
"Oh, everybody's voting against Trump."
and so therefore I should too.
>> All right. So what are the lessons here
from this local race that we can
extrapolate to the national scene?
>> So this is the heart of the I mean these
types of of uh SCOPs some people call
them these type of these type of things
that happen within politics are at the
heart of how they control the narrative
around these elections. So we ran uh or
I mean we didn't run it the grassroots
ran it. he supported it fully was
removing this person from office. To
recall or remove someone from office is
one of the most difficult things that
you can do within politics. But this is
so important to do when people try to
run these type of operations and it was
hard work. You have to go out uh recruit
all of the people to do it. You have to
collect the petitions and then
ultimately win the election. this lady
last year the significance of this in
Arizona this is one of the biggest
cities in America it's like top 35
cities
>> this is actually Maricopa is like the
fifth largest metro area all all in not
I know not me Mesa specifically but
people need to understand how big this
is
>> it's the fourth largest metropolitan
area in the country and it's and uh the
Phoenix metro area so Phoenix Mesa is
usually how it's referred to
>> is the most conservative out of the big
metro areas so this is like target
number one for the Democrats to topple
The Democrats want to turn Maricopa
County blue for obvious reasons. They we
all know all of the uh hanky panky
that's gone on with elections and
everything else. That's getting somewhat
corrected. Uh not fully as much as we'd
like, but getting in there. This is the
target, prime target number one. And so
this is why they choose people like this
to lead the face of these type of
operations. And this is why it's so
important to remove these people from
office because it's the heart of it.
>> They would recruit a a Mormon to do
this, too. So, I just want to like I
want to crystallize this for everybody.
>> This is a recall election where it's an
R versus an R. That's the toughest type
of election to educate a population
that's kind of checked out. It's an
offcycle off-year election. They see
which R am I choosing? Right? And so,
you have to then do the grassroots work,
the door knocking in order to get this
over the top. And
>> because one one this is how they do it,
right? So one is like a a fraudulent
Republican that's that has the backing
of all the Democrats.
>> It's a Republican for Kamla.
>> Yeah. It's all the backing of all the
Democrat party. So basically to win this
election, you have to overcome the
establishment. Some people refer it to
as the uni party. And then you have to
also tackle the Democrat party.
>> Yeah. Because they're not going to run a
Democrat in this district because it's
so conservative. So they're they're
they're putting a wolf in sheep's
clothing to come and do this in in a
place like Mesa.
>> Yeah. And because they're trying to flip
Mesa, right? Like go they're over time
they want to make Mesa blue. And so
they've they've they've been fairly
successful at this in years past. And uh
you're basically even in a place where
it's 60% Republican. That's that's like
this district. This district's like 50
55 60% Republican. But again, it's like
30 plus% 40% Democrat. You have to again
win basically all the Republicans.
educate all the Republicans to vote
against her. So, so yesterday that was
the huge bright spot was this leader,
this was a national leader in a swing
state,
>> a national leftist leader in a
>> state. And let me just back that up.
There was Axios, there was Politico,
there was New York Times. They were all
out here on a on a city council race
>> following everything. He's following
everything. They're calling everybody
like harassing everybody on the team
trying to make this a national
referendum because what they were hoping
was that we were going to fail and that
that Julie Spillsberry was going to be
reelected and we're going to see oh this
another referendum on Trump. Well, it
didn't work out that way. And uh Turning
Point action I mean hat tip to you guys.
You guys were on this from the jump. I
mean it was spearheaded by the
grassroots right and people were like
well why are you getting so involved
it's like well listen our grassroots
wants to be involved in this. We're
going to have their backs. We're going
to be a voice for the grassroots and
muscular class. We're not going to let
this just go un unnoticed and un
unresolved here. So, yeah, of course
we're going to support the grassroots.
>> And of course, it's also this is I mean
this is Charlie cared a lot about making
Phoenix and Arizona as conservative as
Republican as possible.
>> Well, you have to look at how they
react. Politico has a headline a few
days ago. This is like the first test of
Turning Point as an actual
>> you know muscle in politics. You you
have to Blake in order just to flip the
state because if where as Phoenix goes,
the Phoenix metropolitan area goes,
Arizona goes, as Arizona goes,
statistically the presidency goes.
>> Yeah. And also when people don't realize
this is that these things are so
critical because if you lose them,
>> it gives it emboldens the left to spend
millions more dollars in your swing
state to win the next big election.
Today, the Democrats woke up going,
"Wow, they mean business. Maybe we
shouldn't invest the millions more
dollars into that state next election
cycle because it's not worth it. We need
to come up with a different strategy to
win in 2028." That is exactly what we
want them to do.
>> Well, if you run the models there, it's
like what is it like 70% of the Democrat
models to win a nationwide presidential
race go through Arizona.
>> That's right. So, if you break the back
of the Democrat party in this state, you
demoralize them, and you let them know
like, "Hey, there's a new sheriff in
town. We're not going to be messed with,
and we're going to pour a ton of
resources and manpower into this state."
Well, guess what? Their models get a lot
trickier, a lot more difficult. And so,
that's why we're we're we are not going
anywhere in the state of Arizona. As a
matter of fact, Tyler, safe to say we
are doubling, tripling down uh in the
future. Yes, sir.
That's right.
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