The Real Concern Is Famine, Not the Airline Tickets - Prof. Jiang Xueqin

This weekend we have reached a turning point in the war. It is possible that in a few hours or by tomorrow we will reach

the point of no return. Donald Trump has threatened the Iranians, saying that on Tuesday, if the Iranians still refuse to

open the Strait of Humus, then the Americans will destroy the Iranian power plants

and bridges and universities. Basically,

the Americans will start attacking critical civilian infrastructure which will force Iranians to strike hard

against the GCC, the oil fields, the desalination plants, the universities as well. And this would mean that the world

well. And this would mean that the world would lose 20% of its energy supply. And this would

be catastrophe for the global economy.

It would uh de-industrialize the world and would create global famine among other problems. Okay. So next few hours,

next day um we could reach the point of no return in this war. Hopefully Trump

is bluffing because he has known to bluff before.

In fact, he's issued many ultimatums to Ran before and then he sort of tackled, right? Trump always chickens out and he

right? Trump always chickens out and he said, "You know what? I said a day, but I'll give you a week instead." But this time, I want to show you that it's

different. I want to show you that this

different. I want to show you that this weekend the Americans went allin. They

launched a ground invasion. It failed.

And instead of saying, "You know what?

Um, we probably can't beat Iran. Let's

negotiate a peace deal." What the Americans will do is they will go all in now and launch a full-scale run invasion called the national draft and the world will never be the same again. Okay, so

this is a tweet that Donald Trump um sent to the Iranians and he calls them crazy bastards.

Um and he says praise be to Allah. So a

lot of people think he is now the reigns. Clearly he's angry at the

reigns. Clearly he's angry at the Ranians. All right.

Ranians. All right.

All right. So, um,

the Americans and the Israelis have constantly escalated attacks against civilian targets in Iran. So, uh, Trump

ordered the destruction of Iran's largest bridge. Okay.

largest bridge. Okay.

All right. Right here. Right. You guys

see that? Okay. And this is considered a war crime because you're not supposed to target target civilian infrastructure.

Now you can make the argument that this is dual use, meaning that the military uses it as well, but everything is dual use, right? Because the military also

use, right? Because the military also uses water, they also use electricity, their kids also go to university. So um

there's a great fear now that we already at the point of no return. And the

Iranians themselves have promised to start to attack universities in the GCC as well. Okay. In retaliation.

as well. Okay. In retaliation.

Um so if Trump were to destroy the Iranian power plants, uh this would be devastating for the Iranian economy. And

there's news now that Iran is organizing a uh protest where young people are asked to go to power plants and form a human

chain so that if the jets come destroy the power plants they will be destroyed as well. Um so some people think that

as well. Um so some people think that okay this is the Iranians calling the bluff of Trump. That's not a good idea

because the first day of the war, the Americans killed uh 168 school girls in southern Iran. So this shows that the

southern Iran. So this shows that the Iranian the Americans and the Israelis don't really care about human life. Um

but by doing this, if the Americans actually do destroy uh power plants and they do kill a lot of young people in the process, what this would do is

galvanize the nation into total war.

Okay. So what's important to understand is that um throughout this war there have been different voices in Iran. Okay. Some

like the the Asafic Refugeary Guard want total war. But there are also some who

total war. But there are also some who are worried about the economic damage because of this war. They're also

worried about giving power to too too much giving too much power to the military. Okay. But if Donald Trump goes

military. Okay. But if Donald Trump goes and attacks these power plants, then the Iranians will be going to total war, they will be totally committed to destroying the American military

presence in the Middle East as well as the global economy. Okay?

And unfortunately, the Americans in the Middle East don't really care because they're committed to destroying um Iran as a viable nation state. Already we are

seeing increases in fuel prices. Okay?

So, if you are in the um red, it means that you've seen prices go up a lot. Okay? If you're in the red, so

America, Australia, um they've seen prices skyrocket. Uh China has also seen

prices skyrocket. Uh China has also seen uh prices skyrocket as well as well as Europe. This is only just the beginning.

Europe. This is only just the beginning.

Um we can we can expect gas prices to skyrocket so much that it essentially collapses the civilian aviation industry meaning meaning that in the future you want to

fly it might cost you 10 times as much as it does now. Okay. And this will happen very very quickly. But again the

main issue and I need to emphasize this.

The main issue is not the fuel. The main

issue is the fertilizer.

And the fertilizer is important because you need fertilizer to grow food. And we

are in the planting season. You guys

don't know this, but it is because fertilizer that we are that we are allowed to support 8 billion people. If

we do not have access to fertilizer, we can only grow enough food to support one to two billion people.

And unfortunately this means that Africa um and parts of South South Asia a lot of people there will starve to death. So

the main concern is famine. Okay, not

airline tickets.

All right, let's continue. All right, so as this war is progressing, we need to step back and recognize that this is a global war. So, um, the the Ukrainians

global war. So, um, the the Ukrainians use drones to attack and destroy an oil

teapot, an oil terminal in Russia. And

this means now that 40% 40% guys of Russia's oil exports have gone offline, right?

So what's happening is that not only is the serum was closed but the Americans are also attacking uh Russia's oil.

Okay. So you have drone strikes in terminals but also you don't rec you don't see this in the news but also there's um a basically a naval blockade.

So if you are a Russian uh oil tanker the American the Americans come and catch you they'll take your oil. Okay.

So this basically piracy.

So in other words, the American strategy before was okay, before we were the world's uh global reserve currency and

as a result we uh encouraged global trade but now that we are not but now that our economy is suffering well let's just control the

sea lanes. Okay. So that's American

sea lanes. Okay. So that's American strategy moving forward. All right. Um,

some major news from Germany is that if you are a German male under 45, okay, basically from 17 to 45, this age group, this age group, you are not allowed to

leave the country for more than 3 months without army permission.

This is a prelude to a national draft.

Okay? And why is Germany doing this?

Because Germany is an industrial nation.

And if Russian energy supply goes offline, if energy from the GCC goes offline, Germany has no choice but to

remilitarize and create its own energy supplies. Okay? So, Germany must go to

supplies. Okay? So, Germany must go to war. It has absolutely no choice in the

war. It has absolutely no choice in the matter.

All right? So, let's talk briefly about what's going to happen over the next year. So as I said before, the United

year. So as I said before, the United States was the global reserve currency and that mean meant basically that for every transaction that you made with US

dollars, they could tax you. Okay?

Because they could inflate the price of the US dollar. But now that people are choosing to opt out of the US dollar, for example, in China, people are buying

more gold, right? And people are using other currencies. America in order to

other currencies. America in order to maintain its empire has to change its strategy. Now the main source of

strategy. Now the main source of American power is its ability to control sea lanes. Okay? Because it has military

sea lanes. Okay? Because it has military bases all around the world. Okay? So in

the red these are all areas with US bases and before it used these US bases in order to maintain global trade. But

with nations choosing to opt out of your system, now your option, now your strategy is to blockade

them, right? Could enable blockade,

them, right? Could enable blockade, starving of resources, which forces them to come beg to you for trade access.

Okay, so we've gone from a strategy where America guaranteed global trade to America basically being a mafia state,

being pirates and allowing you to use um seal lanes and giving you trade access.

Okay, does that make sense?