The worst month of climate news in my entire career
By Simon Clark
Summary
## Key takeaways - **Worst Month of Climate News**: The past month has been the worst for climate news in the speaker's eight-year career as a climate communicator, with negative developments significantly outweighing any positives. [00:12] - **Record CO2 Jump and Sinking Carbon Sinks**: CO2 concentrations hit a new peak due to a record 3.5 parts per million jump from 2023 to 2024, driven by rising human emissions and less effective carbon sinks like forests and oceans. [01:18] - **Tipping Points Crossed: Coral Reefs**: A global tipping point has likely been reached with warm water corals, leading to their diminishment and a negative feedback loop, signaling a fundamental red line has been crossed. [04:10] - **Global Warming Trajectory and Inaction**: The world is on a trajectory towards a 2-degree warmer world by 2050, as actions are not fast enough, and in some sectors like steel, we are moving in the wrong direction. [02:44] - **Biodiversity Loss: An Existential Threat**: Biodiversity loss is the most concerning issue, representing an existential threat and impoverishing the world for future generations, as extinct species cannot be recovered. [15:33]
Topics Covered
- Why we're not moving fast enough on climate action.
- We've crossed the first global tipping point.
- Climate change: The worst month on record.
- Contextual optimism: The key to climate communication.
- The danger of a binary view on climate change.
Full Transcript
This isn't going to be like one of my
normal videos. I don't have a script. I
don't have any fancy production
elements. All I've got is this notebook
with some notes in. And that's because
this past month has not been normal. The
title says it all. Uh I've been doing
this job for what, eight years now as a
climate communicator. I've been
following the climate space for a long
time before then. And this is
undoubtedly
the worst month that I've ever seen when
it comes to the climate. In this video,
I want to talk about why this month has
been so incredibly bad and then talk a
bit beyond that about the information
ecosystem, the landscape that surrounds
climate change, um, and where I fit into
that and frankly how I've been staying
sane over the past month. And before we
get into the news, I just want to be
clear that this isn't everything that
happened. This is sort of what I think
are the most important things that have
happened. And I'm only talking about all
of the really big negative stuff that
happened. There is plenty of positive
stuff that also happened this month, but
for me, the negatives vastly outweigh
the positives. And the balance between
those two is an important thing that
we'll talk about a bit later. But for
now, let's talk about what the big bad
news has been. So, the first significant
headline was that the world has hit a
new peak concentration of CO2 in its
atmosphere. That itself isn't really
news. That's happened every year that
I've been alive and um for quite some
time before then. But what was
noteworthy was the jump of the
concentration from 2023 to 2024, which
was found to be 3.5 parts per million.
That's the largest single year jump
we've ever seen. And that occurred for
two reasons. Firstly, humans are putting
more CO2 into the atmosphere than they
have before. Emissions continue to rise.
Though it is important to note that over
the past decade or so the rate of
increase has been really reduced
compared to the previous decade. But at
the same time the other factor is that
carbon sinks meaning forests, wetlands,
algae in the oceans have become slightly
less effective at taking carbon out of
the atmosphere. And so an increase in
emissions plus a decrease in withdrawals
if you like from the atmosphere means
that the rate of carbon dioxide building
up in the atmosphere is faster than it
was before. And because climate change
is a cumulative problem, the amount of
climate change we experience is
proportional to the total amount of
carbon that's been put into the
atmosphere. That means that as the rate
of increase of CO2 increases, the rate
at which the climate is changing is
accelerating. And whilst this is not
unexpected in the slightest, this is
what scientists have been saying for a
very long time, it's still very bad. It
is worrying. And just last week, we
heard from Antonio Gutes, the Secretary
General at the United Nations, that
overshooting one and a half degrees of
warming is now basically locked in.
Something that pretty much anyone who's
followed this space for a while would
have told you has been the case for a
while. And actually further to that
point in the UK this month the climate
change committee advised the government
that we need to start planning and
preparing for a twoderee warmer world as
soon as 2050. And the reason why our
trajectory is towards this much warming
is because we're just not doing enough.
The state of climate action 2025 report
found that in most areas of the economy
we know what the right solutions are and
we are implementing them. We are moving
in the right direction just not fast
enough. In fact, in many areas, we are
nowhere near fast enough. And in a
couple of areas, like steel, for
example, we're moving in the wrong
direction. And I've got specifics here
that we could talk about. We could talk
about the roll out of renewables, which
is amazing and going very, very quickly,
just not quite fast enough. We could
talk about the rates of deforestation
dropping in the previous decade. They've
gone down quite significantly compared
to 20 years ago, but still not fast
enough to be aligned with, for example,
a 1.5 degree future. Or we could talk
about methane reporting. the fact that
this month we learned that methane leaks
are increasingly being reported to oil
and gas producers and they are starting
to respond. Their response rate has gone
up from 1% last year to 12% this year
and that's you know a big increase but
that's still nowhere near enough. But to
me the most sobering the biggest bad
news story that came out this month was
the publication of the global tipping
points report from the University of
Extter in association with a bunch of
NOS's including the WWF. And in that
report, they basically say that we have
now probably hit the first global
tipping point, which is warm water
corals existing in an ocean that is so
warm that they now cannot sustain
themselves and they are now going to be
in a negative feedback loop. Not towards
extinction necessarily, but certainly to
huge diminishment. And further that we
are close to hitting other tipping
points such as the dieback of the Amazon
rainforest. Though exactly when you have
hit a tipping point is difficult to say.
And again this is not at all surprising.
If you look at a list of tipping points
there are there are various global
tipping points such as the Amazon such
as warm water corals. You've got
stability of various ice sheets. You've
got methane feedbacks and the high
latitudes. The most sensitive to
temperature was always coral. This was
always going to be the first one that we
hit. And based on the trajectory that we
are on, we were pretty much always going
to hit this. But that doesn't make it
any easier to see. We have now warmed
the planet to a point where a
fundamental red line on a global level
has been crossed. And the loss of those
species of coral and attendant species
in their ecosystem
matches a broader pattern. We learned in
uh this was last year actually from the
WWF state of nature report that since
1970 global wildlife populations have
decreased by 73%. Now if you look at
this on a graph, the rate at which we
have lost members of species, not
species, but the actual populations, the
rate at which populations have decreased
has mercifully started to shallow out.
But just look at how much we have lost
since 1970. And yet there's still more
negative things to talk about. We could
be talking about the net zero banking
alliance collapsing under pressure from
the Trump administration. Though how
many of those banks were really going to
hit their targets anyway? They didn't
have plans. You could argue this one's
how much has really changed. We could
talk about the International Maritime
Organization having their carbon tax
negotiations torpedoed by the Trump
administration. That was going to be a
groundbreaking tax where international
shipping would be taxed for the amount
of emissions they produced and the
revenue from that tax would go towards
decarbonizing the sector. It was going
to be groundbreaking and a really
positive thing. And then the Trump
administration threatened low-lying
island states with tariffs if they
supported it. Those island states, I
should point out, being very vulnerable
to rising sea levels. And most recently,
it's actually ongoing as of the time I'm
recording this, Hurricane Melissa just
passed over Jamaica as a category 5
storm. The most powerful storm in the
history of the Atlantic at this time.
And we know from early attribution
analyses, it's got to be very careful
about what we can and cannot say about
the influence of climate change on an
ongoing event, but we know that the
waters that made Hurricane Melissa so
powerful were made warmer because of
climate change. We know that the
intensity of this uh storm was made such
uh I think it's 500 to 900 times more
likely because we're living in a world
that's nearly 1 and a half degrees
warmer. And like I say, this isn't even
everything. We we could talk about more,
but I think that's probably those are
the big big news stories. And and with
all of these, I can't tell if it's
better or if it's worse. That
none of this is surprising. Almost
nothing that's happened this month is
surprising to scientists who have been
saying this stuff for decades. I've been
a full-time science communicator
specializing in in climate since I
finished my PhD at the end of 2017. I've
been following the climate space for
much longer than that.
And this is
unquestionably the worst month for
climate news of my entire career. It has
never been this bad. And to get ahead of
a comment that I probably would have
myself left maybe 10 years ago
referencing the Simpsons movie that this
is actually the best month for climate
news for the rest of your life. That
simply isn't true. We could talk about
when CO2 emissions are likely to peak
and thus when the maximum increase of
CO2 in the atmosphere in a given year
will take place. Or we could talk about
the uh solutions becoming more and more
aligned with a twoderee trajectory
because the technology moves further
along the scurve. But frankly, the big
thing is that you only pass the first
red line of the climate space, the first
global tipping point once, and that's
what's happened this month. This is a
milestone moment in the history of our
species where we have officially pushed
a global system past its breaking point.
I am very aware that the most frequent
criticism of my work is that I can
present too optimistic a take on climate
change. And those people that leave
those comments might look at this video
and say, "He finally gets it. He's
finally on board." And with all due
respect, that isn't the case. I've been
following the climate space for a very
long time. I've actually been writing a
monthly newsletter summarizing the
latest news in the climate space for the
past 3 years. If you're not aware,
there'll be a link down there in the
description. The reason that I make
content in the vein that I do is because
of where I fit in the broader climate
information ecosystem. Climate change is
the largest news story in the world or
at least it should be and it is covered
from so many different angles by so many
different people and most of those
people are constrained by human
psychology and the effect that that has
on the market. I actually made a pair of
shorts demonstrating this point
recently. There is plenty of evidence
that humans are drawn towards negativity
and that negative news headlines receive
more attention than positive news
headlines. And in an issue like climate
change where there is a mix of positive
and negative at any one time, if you
only focus on the negatives and how bad
the situation is, you end up with a
situation where people just think, well,
there's nothing good happening. There's
nothing we can do. It's hopeless. Let's
just stop trying. And that's not
helpful. I also don't think it's helpful
to exclusively talk about the good side
of things and where there is cause for
optimism. What I try to do is provide
contextualized optimism, saying, "Hey,
here is a solution to one part of
climate change, which by the way is a
hugely serious problem. And this
solution on its own is inadequate, but
it is part of a broad suite of solutions
that work and we are rolling out and it
is making a difference. But by the way,
it's still not enough. We need to do
more." In other words, I'm aware of my
place in the choir of voices talking
about climate change. And I think the
most constructive use of my voice is to
provide that contextualized optimism. I
know that if I were to make videos that
had sensationalized headlines uh and and
thumbnails and titles that I would get
more views and I would get more clicks.
But I don't want to do that because I
don't think that is the most productive
use of my voice. Incidentally, I am very
grateful to the people who support me on
Patreon, who mean that I don't have to
go down that route in order to keep
doing this as a job. If you would like
to help me make more videos, you can
sign up at patreon.com/simonfiz
that will also be linked in the
description. If you support me, you help
me make more videos, but you also get
videos early. You get exclusive content
every month, including a
behind-the-scenes vlog. And there is a
post coming for producers about this.
Help me choose topics for me to cover.
And speaking as an individual, this
month has been really hard. Like, and I
think it's partly been hard because I've
recently expanded the number of people
I'm working with to make videos. I've
now got a part-time researcher, Ian. Um,
did a video with him over on Nebula.
I've also got a full-time short form
producer, Tristan, helping me make Tik
Toks and reals. I also did a video with
him on Nebula. And I'm learning how to
manage people. And, you know, I'm not a
a businessman. I'm not a manager. I'm
trained as a scientist. I'm I'm learning
how to do this job really quickly. All
while all of this awful news is
happening. All while I'm still working
out how to be a dad. And frankly looking
at the future that my child is going to
grow up into and trying to square a
circle. It's just felt
this this past month has felt completely
overwhelming. George Marshall wrote a
book called Don't Even Think About It
talks about why our brains are uniquely
poorly wired to deal with climate change
because of various psychological biases.
One of which is the problem is so vast
and so overwhelming that we can't hope
to grapple with it. And these biases
lead many people to just shut down and
say it's too difficult. The world has
warmed too much. The processes are all
against us. there's no point even trying
to do anything and we're cooked. But one
of the other things we do as humans is
we reduce the climate to a binary. It's
either the climate that we evolved to
survive in or it's not. And that's an
unhelpful binary because a world that is
1 and a half degrees warmer than the
climate we evolved to survive in looks
nothing like the climate that is 3°
warmer than the one we evolved to
survive in. And the displacement from
that climate is nonlinear. In other
words, the difference between a 1 and a
half degree world and twoderee world is
not as large in terms of its impacts on
humans as the difference between a
twoderee world and a 2 and 1/2 degree
world. And certainly not as large as the
difference between a 2 and 1/2 and 3°ree
world. And that fact combined with the
fact that climate change is a cumulative
problem means that at no point is
throwing your hands up and saying
there's no point even trying to do
anything. At no point is that the
responsible course of action and is no
point is that the thing that's actually
going to make the future better. So, you
may ask, why make this video with this
framing and talking about how bad things
are right now? You know, I previously
talked about my place in the choir of
voices and trying to effectively be a
balancing agent. And this past month, as
I said, has been really tough for me as
a person. And I'm using this moment
using my voice to mark the severity of
the situation and how I have felt I
guess processing it. But it is not the
lens with which I'm going to view things
going forwards because that's not
helpful. And this is a marathon not a
sprint. And anybody who's ever received
really awful news, like a parent
receiving a cancer diagnosis, will tell
you that you've got to take time to
process what's happened. And you've just
got to keep moving. There's no option to
just stop because that's not helpful.
That's not going to get you anywhere.
And we're all in this together. And this
is the most important thing that we
could possibly be talking about and
working towards, the survival of our
species. and the survival of life as we
know it on this planet. We just got to
keep moving. And for me, taking time at
the moment to process and stay sane has
meant playing a lot of a game called
Planet Crafter. It's a game where you're
terraforming a planet from absolutely
nothing. And I log in and for 30 minutes
at a time, I just make a planet a bit
better. I put a bit more oxygen in its
atmosphere. I put some more butterflies
into its atmosphere. And yes, that's
escapism. It's me taking a break from
reality because reality has been really
awful recently. Doesn't mean ignoring
the problem, but it means making sure
that I can keep going on this marathon
and not burn out because
not tackling this problem is not an
option. And this might surprise you, but
of all the things that I talked about,
the thing that keeps me up at night the
most is biodiversity loss. both because
it represents an existential threat to
our survival being, I would like to
remind you part of nature, not separate
from it, and in fact deeply dependent on
it, but also because it means that the
world that we leave to the next
generation is just poorer. There are
many planetary boundaries that you can
cross and then re. But with biodiversity
loss, when a species goes extinct,
that's it. You you can't bring them
back. It's why at the point of maximum
stress right now, the conservation of
individual species and entire habitats
and ecosystems is so vital. But it can
feel impossible to make a difference
with these things. As an individual,
there's only so much you can do. But as
a group, as a community, we can make a
tremendous difference. And a community
that I've recently joined is called
Planet Wild. And I've actually partnered
with them for this video. Planet Wild is
a community of nearly 15,000 people who
collectively every month fund a new
carefully selected project to protect or
restore biodiversity. It's crowdfunding
but for nature. They document all of
their projects right here on YouTube in
video form so we the community can see
what our contributions have achieved.
And on their app, you can see all of the
projects that have been funded to date,
ranging from enabling indigenous
communities to protect the Amazon to
funding beehive fences in Tanzania that
act as natural barriers between
elephants and humans, protecting both.
And I really like that they explicitly
show you who they are working with on
the ground and what exactly the funding
has accomplished. And that extends
beyond the initial 30-day period. goes
to the one-year video update showing you
what's been accomplished over a year.
And you feel part of a community with
these projects. You can contribute as
much as you want per month, but whether
that's $6 a month or 60 or even more,
you feel like you're part of something
bigger. You feel like you're part of a
group of people who see what's happening
and want to make a difference. And
here's the cool part of this
partnership. The first hundred people to
sign up to Planet Wild with my code
Simon 10 will get a month of supporting
biodiversity projects paid for by me.
So, it's free to you. You can sign up at
the link which is in the QR code on the
screen and down in the description.
After that free month, you can cancel at
any time, no questions asked, but I
think you probably won't want to. Again,
that link is on screen and in the
description. Please use that code simon
10. If you'd like to see Planet World in
action, then you can watch their video
building beehive fences in Tanzania up
here in just a second. And if you'd like
to watch something else from me next,
then here's something I prepared
earlier. Thank you for watching this
video. This has been a difficult one to
make, a bit cathartic, but overall, I'm
quite glad to be moving out of this
month. Thank you again for watching, and
I'll see you in the next one.
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