‘This was an epic blowout’: GOP strategist on Democrats’ election sweep
By CNN
Summary
## Key takeaways - **Latino voters are not a guaranteed Democratic bloc**: Democrats can no longer take the Latino community for granted, as their voting patterns have shifted and they did not perform for Kamala Harris as they did for other candidates, necessitating meaningful delivery from Democrats to retain their support. [00:41] - **Don't overinterpret election results**: While the results in New Jersey and Virginia were significant, overinterpreting them as a permanent Democratic majority would be a mistake, as individual state and district performances vary greatly. [01:35] - **Election results were an 'epic blowout' for Republicans**: The losses in New Jersey and Virginia, along with races in Connecticut, Georgia, and Pennsylvania, represent a significant 'bloodbath' for Republicans, echoing historical patterns that presaged larger party shifts. [02:06] - **Affordability and economy are key Democratic messages**: Democratic candidates successfully tied opposition to Donald Trump with concerns about the economy and affordability, a message that resonated with voters struggling with rising costs and unkept promises. [02:54] - **Democrats win by being a 'big tent' coalition**: The Democratic Party's success lies in its ability to encompass diverse viewpoints, from conservative to leftist, by focusing on shared goals like lowering healthcare costs and improving economic well-being for all Americans. [05:46], [08:03] - **Democrats are fighting back on redistricting**: California Democrats' actions on redistricting are a direct response to Republican efforts, signaling a new era where the party will actively counter attempts to manipulate electoral maps. [09:51]
Topics Covered
- Ignoring election losses is perilous for Republicans.
- Democrats win on affordability, not just anti-Trump sentiment.
- DNC's big tent: Unity in goals, not uniform ideology.
- Democrats will aggressively counter Republican gerrymandering efforts.
Full Transcript
With us now,
when all new Jersey panel
Democratic strategist
Julian Roginsky and Republican strategist
Mike Duhaime,
in an off year election like this,
there are dangers of over
interpreting the results
and also under interpreting.
So instead of making you choose,
I think I'm going to give you a chance
to do both. Right.
So Overinterpret
what we saw in new Jersey and Virginia,
because actually,
I think it's pretty much the same day.
Yeah.
I mean, look,
the over interpretation of this
is that this is a permanent
majority that
the Democrats will be able to keep.
And what you saw,
at least in new Jersey,
I have to look at the numbers
in Virginia, is
there are cohorts of voters
who came out very strongly
for making sure
who are not necessarily Democratic voters
anymore, and specifically
the Latino community,
which Democrats, I think for many,
many years, needs to take for granted.
You cannot take that community
for granted anymore.
They performed for her last night.
They did not perform for Kamala
Harris last time.
And Democrats better
make sure that they deliver
for that community
in a really meaningful way
to keep that community in the tent.
That's just one example
of a community interpretation where,
you know, Democrats have Latinos
but don't have Latinos, right?
But that's the concern.
You could read this.
And let me assure people, you, me,
Passaic County,
which is has got the largest population
of Hispanics in the state,
Passaic County,
Mikie Sherrill won 57 to 42.
So a 15 point spread in Passaic
County, you're like, oh,
you know, it's largely Hispanic.
This is new Jersey.
You would think that this
would always be the case.
Donald Trump
won this county by about three points
just last year.
So, Mike, you hate him again.
Overinterpret these results.
I grew up in Passaic County,
so I know that that area very well.
I think the over interpretation
is Democrats looking at this and saying,
oh, we're going to sweep
everything next year.
We're going to get back to U.S.
Senate. We're going to win back
all these governors races.
I think in reality,
what you learned last night
was what we're Donald Trump is strong.
It's unique to him.
He has some downside certainly.
And we saw that last night.
But I think the Overinterpret
should be, hey,
we're going to sail forward.
Whether we have a socialist in New York
or more centrist candidates
in new Jersey, in Virginia,
I think you really have to look state
by state and district by district.
So what's the under
interpretation though?
Because maybe the white House
is waking up and saying,
this isn't our problem.
We just said we candidates in this state.
Yeah. The other interpretation is when you lose
by double digits in both these states,
it certainly says something
when Republicans
have won new Jersey
in the past
and Virginia
2009 presaged a big
a big year
for Republicans in 2010, 1993,
1994 Republicans take back the House.
I mean, you cannot sugarcoat this.
This was a blowout.
And it wasn't just new Jersey
in Virginia, local races in Connecticut,
statewide races in Georgia,
county races in Pennsylvania.
This was this was an epic blowout.
This was a bloodbath for the Republicans,
pretty much 100% across the border.
As my 18 year old boys say,
this was like a hundo p night
for Democrats.
So all the Sheryl people
and people
close to the Sheryl campaign last night,
I kept on asking them,
what's the lesson for Democrats
going forward?
And what they said
is, look at the combination
that we ran on.
We yes, we ran against Donald Trump
and we held him up because he's deeply
unpopular in the state.
But we kept on tying him to the economy
and affordability.
And when you do both,
that puts Democrats in a better position.
Oh look
they're probably going
to take exception to this.
But there's not much difference
between the campaign,
not the quality of the campaign,
but the messaging that Zehra Madani
ran here in New York.
Mikie Sherrill ran in new Jersey,
Abigail Spanberger ran in Virginia.
All of it was tied
to the issue of affordability.
All of that was pointing out
that Donald Trump made
a whole lot of promises
that got him elected
last year, that he's not kept.
And I think what you saw was anger
from the voters and saying, listen, Mr.
President, we gave you a chance.
You said we're going to lower prices.
You said you're going
to make our lives better.
And the reality is,
we're struggling more than ever.
And so that's the kind of message
that I think you see, both
from somebody like Zahra madani
and Abigail
Spanberger and Maggie Cheryl,
who probably don't think
they have much in common with each other.
At least the two governors
don't think they have much in common
with the mayor of New York.
But the reality is very much laser
focused, as my pointed out
on the economy,
on an affordability message.
If I were the Republicans today,
I would take very, very,
very strong heed of that.
And I would say
we need to deliver quickly,
because if we don't deliver,
we control everything.
And that's not going to bode
well for us next year.
I think Democrats
nominated a centrist in new Jersey
who ran on a
on a bio that
stuck her squarely
in the center of the electorate.
She did not fall into the trap of
going too far to the left
on these progressive issues.
And when you basically
can stay in the center or center
left as a Democrat in a blue state,
you're going to win.
If you get caricatured
as a far left Democrat,
you can lose even a blue state.
But I think the Sherrod campaign
did a very good job
of keeping her centered,
not going too far to the left
and letting Donald Trump
essentially motivate both sides.
But in new Jersey,
there's a lot more Democrats
and Republicans 10s
each were a year minus
one day for the midterms.
If you're a Republican this morning,
how nervous are you?
I look at and say, hey,
get prepared to lose the House
unless of crazy redistricting,
we probably keep the Senate
because of the map.
But you should be worried.
Flip it over. How excited should be?
Democrats should be excited.
Democrats now, especially
if you're somebody like, I'm making sure.
Abigail Spanberger
certainly offers a reminder
you need to deliver quickly.
I mean, people put their faith in you
that you're going to make
their quality of life better.
You're going to make the economy better
for them. You're going to make life affordable.
You need to deliver quickly,
and Democrats
need to think about how that message
communicates next year in House races.
They need to paint Republicans
as the people who are causing the pain,
which they can
because they control everything
you might do.
Hey, I've been in Jersey for two days.
I've heard a lifetime's
worth of Bruce Springsteen.
Thank you. Thanks very much for that.
I'm going to bring in
now Ken Martin, chairman
of the Democratic National Committee.
Good morning. Thank you for being here.
Thank you, Audie, thanks for having me.
It's a great day to be a Democrat.
Well, the pressure is on, though,
for you in particular,
because all of us can talk and interpret,
but you actually have to put money
behind your interpretations.
So when you look at the moderates
who won,
and then you look at this
big win
in New York City
for a democratic socialist,
how do you bridge that gap?
Well, look, I mean,
last night was really interesting,
of course,
and what it proved is
what I've said all along.
I in my time
leading in Minnesota
and now at the DNC,
that we are a big tent coalition.
There's no one way to be a Democrat, right?
We went through addition,
not subtraction.
We bring in,
we win by bringing in new voices
with new ideas. Right?
But as much as people
want to focus on the differences
within the Democratic Party,
of course
we have
conservative Democrats,
centrist progressives, and and leftists.
The reality is, is
there was a lot
that all of these candidates
had in common.
Last night, right.
There was a through line.
And the through line
is that
all three candidates, Zoran
Mamdani, Abigail Spanberger and Mike
shell, were focused on kitchen
table issues, not on gilded ballrooms.
They were focused on affordability.
How do you actually bring down the cost
of goods?
How do you actually bring down
the cost of people's mortgage and rent
and the cost of childcare and on and on,
all the things
that are creating anxiety
within the American people
who are just
want a champion,
want someone to focus
on their economic future.
And that's what Democrats did.
I also think the wrong lesson last night.
I know there is anti-Trump
sentiment in this country,
but it really takes away from the fact
that the other thing
all three of those candidates
had in common is they ran for something.
They ran on a positive
agenda of how they would actually make
a difference in people's lives.
And so
we jump in here
because also you have people
maybe it's David Hogg,
maybe it's Stacey Abrams.
There are going to be people out there
who are going to put their chips
on certain kinds of candidates
and are are you, as AOC said
at the top of this show,
denying the future by not embracing
some of these candidates? Further left,
we've
the idea of the DNC not embracing
candidates in the Democratic
Party is just inaccurate.
You know, I,
as I just mentioned,
the way I lead in Minnesota
is through a big tent approach.
There's no one way
or one stripe of being a Democrat. Right?
We are a coalition party.
And that means you win through addition,
not subtraction.
That means we,
welcome all candidates that run.
It's not up to me
to put my finger on the scale
and decide which candidates
we will support.
That's up to the primary voters,
which is why, by the way,
I endorsed storm,
Danny the night that he won
and was proud to support him.
Unlike other Democratic leaders.
I will tell you this.
We are actually building a big tent.
We understand that in this country,
we need different types of Democrats
to win in different spaces,
and all of them bring different ideas.
But no one should confuse unanimity
with unity in this party.
And what do I mean by that?
Of course, in this big tent coalition,
we're going to have a difference of ideas
and opinions on how to accomplish things.
But what we share in terms of unity
is that we all have the same goals.
Our goals are to lower,
health care costs
and to make sure people
have access to health care.
Our goals are to make sure
I want to jump in here
just because
I want to have time to ask you
about prop 50 in California.
I just want to play for you a little bit.
What governor Newsom had to say
in explaining, that victory
prop 50 is
not about drawing lines on a map.
It is about holding the line
to what makes us who we are.
Donald Trump is nothing
more than weakness
masquerading as strength.
Why else do you need to make a phone call
to Greg Abbott
in the middle
of the midterm redistricting?
Unless you're weak?
This turned out to be quite a boon for,
California Democrats.
They were able to raise
a ton of money off of this issue.
And then you had Newsom coming out.
You know, kind of giving us
20, 28 vibes in his speech.
So I want to know from you,
do you think blue states, so to speak,
need to get in on this,
get into this conversation
about redistricting?
Are we looking at an
escalating redistricting war?
Well, certainly, as we've said,
you know, what happened in California
was the counterpunch
to Texas
and Greg Abbott
bending the knee to Donald Trump.
And so now we've leveled
the playing field,
and now it's up to Republicans.
If they continue with this nonsense
and continue
going down this road
of trying to redistrict,
unconstitutionally redistrict
in Republican controlled states,
we're going to meet them state by state.
They wanted this fight.
They created this fight. Right.
And we're going to meet them
this is not your grandfather's
Democratic Party.
Well, we're going to play with one
hand behind our back.
We are actually fighting back.
I'm proud of Governor
Newsom and Californians
for sending a message.
My hope now
is that the
it creates
a chilling effect for the Republicans,
and they realize
that we're going to meet them
each and every step of the way,
whether it's in Virginia,
whether it's in New York,
whether it's in Illinois,
whether it's in other states
throughout the country,
we will meet them,
with fire and fire, with fire.
And I'm just we're not playing around
any more on this.
And I'm glad that Governor Newsom
stood up and said what he is,
because Donald Trump is a weak man.
And the fact is,
he knows he's going to lose.
Last night is a clear example of that.
And the only way they can win
in 2026 is rigging the maps
and changing the rules midstream,
and we're not going to
allow them to do that.
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