TikTok Deal About to Be... Consummated? | Pivot
By Pivot with Kara Swisher and Scott Galloway
Summary
## Key takeaways - **Tech Leaders Lobby Trump on San Francisco**: Tech leaders like Sam Altman and Mark Benioff lobbied President Trump to prevent him from sending troops to San Francisco. Kara Swisher finds this strategy repulsive, arguing that democracy should not be run by a few powerful individuals who have access to the president. [28:57], [29:22] - **Binance Founder's Pardon Fuels Corruption Concerns**: The pardon of Binance founder CZ, who pleaded guilty to anti-money laundering laws and facilitating transactions for terrorist groups and child exploitation, raises concerns about corruption. The speaker suggests the pardon was contingent on making the Trump family richer, highlighting a 'frictionless form of corruption' in the crypto space. [21:10], [23:50] - **Amazon's Automation Push: Replacing Warehouse Jobs**: Amazon executives believe the company can replace over half a million warehouse jobs with robots in the coming years, aiming to automate 75% of its operations. They plan to manage public backlash by using terms like 'advanced technology' instead of 'automation' and promoting a 'good corporate citizen' image. [35:12], [35:38] - **Argentina's Midterm Elections Boosted by US Support**: President Javier Milei's party swept Argentina's midterm elections, securing 40% of the vote, partly due to a $20 billion currency swap bailout from the US. While Trump endorsed Milei, the speaker suggests the bailout primarily benefits hedge fund manager Rob Satron, a friend of Treasury Secretary Benant, who has significant exposure to Argentine assets. [46:20], [49:15] - **US-China Trade Deal Framework Reached**: US and Chinese officials have reached another framework deal to avoid 100% tariffs, with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessant stating that Trump and Xi are set to finalize a TikTok deal this week. However, the speaker expresses skepticism, noting China's willingness to endure pain for long-term interests, a stark contrast to American sensitivity to economic disruption. [13:55], [16:44] - **Sports Betting Fuels Economy of Speculation**: The legalization of sports betting has led to a rise in bankruptcies and a shift in the economy towards speculation rather than productive value. With nearly half of US adults agreeing that legal sports betting is bad for society, the speaker notes that the house always wins, and the focus is on attention and speculation over goods and services. [55:06], [57:35]
Topics Covered
- US Trade Policy Destroys Alliances and Harms Its Own Economy
- Have Traditional Republican Values Become Unrecognizable Today?
- How Transactional Governance Enables Serious Corruption
- Robotics Delivering Amazon's Next Huge Economic Leverage
- The Casino Economy Prioritizes Speculation Over Value Creation
Full Transcript
Well, wasn't it What's happening with
Tik Tok?
>> Well, they said it's consummated or
gonna consummate it or whatever.
>> Hi everyone, this is Pivot from New York
Magazine and the Vox Media Podcast
Network. I'm Carara Swisser and I'm
still in Korea. Hi Scott.
>> Are you enjoying yourself?
>> Yeah, I am. I'm not a big traveler. I'm
not a big traveler. I like going home.
>> You're not a big traveler. You travel
all the time.
>> I know, but I like home if I had to
pick. If that makes sense. Does that
make sense?
>> Well, that's um you're I assume you're
not. It would be somewhat distressing if
if Amanda was listening, you said,
"Yeah, I just I like to be away from
home."
>> Well, she's been great.
>> Whether that's true or not, that's the
right thing to say.
>> I miss home. I miss home wherever it
happens to be.
>> I can't stand my kids. And then about an
hour into the drive to the airport, I
start missing them. I can't
>> Oh, really? I can stand my kids. I miss
them a lot. I do. I do. Oh, well, you're
a much better parent than me. I
>> am. Well, that's kind of
>> You get my point. I'm I'm Do
>> you want me to parent your kids if you'd
like? No. Your mo your wife is great.
>> I could use the help.
>> You know, Trump's coming here and I'm
leaving. That's That's one of my
favorite parts of this.
>> He's going to Korea.
>> Yeah. Are you coming here on Let me just
say for everybody, Scott's book comes
out what day? November.
>> Yeah, it comes out November I think it's
November the 4th. Is that right?
>> Notes on being a woman. Yes. No.
>> There you go.
>> That's your next one. That's that's what
people are looking for from me.
>> Um, but it's coming out and you're
coming on the my podcast. We're going to
talk this week.
>> That's right. I just saw that on my
counter. I'm going on on with Cara
Fisher. I feel like that's like
>> I have never stayed at your house.
That's what this feels like. It feels
very uncomfortable.
>> I'm excited. It's pretty high up now.
It's up in the top of the of the charts
getting up there. So, I'll hope they'll
sell books, but I'm excited to hear I'm
going to read the book. Oh, I have it on
the plane. I'm going to read it on the
plane. That's what I'll do. That's one
of the things that'll put me to sleep.
No,
>> no, I just want to know what it's like
to be a man. It'll be great.
>> Someone asked me what my body count was,
so I started counting and I fell asleep.
>> Get it? Like counting sheep.
>> I see.
>> All right. All right.
>> You'll get there. You're a little
jetlagged, but you'll get there. I know.
I'm a little jetlagged. No, I'm just
tired. It just was a long day cuz I I I
I have to say the crews here and the
people have been amazing. That's the one
thing. They're really lovely people. And
um hopefully it'll it'll turn out okay.
The TV always makes me There's a lot of
waiting in television. I'm kind of glad
to be done with the taping next thing.
>> I was thinking about going to uh Korea
for a scrotum lift. I think of it as
lowhanging fruit.
>> Oh my god. All right, we're going to
stop. Speaking of plastic surgery, which
you love.
>> Did you hear about this? The tech bros
are all getting plastic surgery. They're
following in your footsteps. Um some
surgeons have seen five-fold increases
demand for men in tech in the last 5
years. Not a surprise, according to
article in the Wall Street Journal. I I
don't think it's just men in tech, but
apparently so there's a lot of them.
Procedures, mini face lifts, neck lifts,
that deep plain thing, eyelid lifts to
stay looking youthful in a competitive
job market. I I just I didn't have any
work done, but it's, you know, I'm not
surprised. Do you think Are you
surprised? Seems silly.
>> Um, no. I mean, I get I've had I get
Botox and I'm sure at some point I'll go
into the knife. I think that
look, we're in a we're in an ages
culture. I think some of that is good.
>> Uh, and people want to feel youthful.
And I think the standards
and the benchmark, there are so many
people out there now. I don't know if
you've noticed, have you noticed this?
It seems like every young person is hot.
And between working out and skin
treatments in New York, all the young
people are hot. I think the tunnels have
some sort of x-ray or security post
where if you're not hot, you're not
allowed into New York. Um, but my sense
is the the aesthetic and the benchmark
has gotten so
>> especially for men, right? For men,
which I think is it's common more common
here or Brazil or different play or
Brazil, I think. Um, but I've noticed a
lot younger and a lot just the way they
were in some other countries. Um, a lot
younger and a lot more men. Well, that's
the big that's the growth part is that
women have always been look men are
disproportionately and unfairly
evaluated on their economic viability,
women on their aesthetics. So, there's
always been an emphasis and women have
always spent a disproportionate amount
of time and money on aesthetics. What's
the the delta or the change or the
uplift in surgery is mostly coming from
men because a lot of it used to be men
had to retire at 65 and now they say no
I want to come back and bend to Donald
Trump and [ __ ] up Disney and I'm 74 but
I want to look 73 so I get surgery. So
guys everywhere are getting if you have
the bottom line is the surgical
techniques have gotten much better and
and if why look 65 if you can look 57
and if you have money and it's not that
big a risk any longer. It
>> the question I have is why wouldn't you?
And some people say well I don't care.
Do do you really do you really not care
what you look like?
>> Yeah. So
>> yeah those neck things were men looked
better with the neck. I hate to say it,
but I'm not a big I don't like a lot of
surgery. Al although they, you know,
it's it's gotten better and better. I
mean, that deep plane thing, but um the
thing around the neck with the guys I
thought was really interesting is um you
know, they look kind of jowlly and then
they don't.
>> Has a lower face left.
>> Yeah, I have less jowls. I was told by
the skin people I don't have as many
jels.
>> Yeah. No, you're not.
>> Jowls are coming, of course. or the the
the thing around your eyes, sort of the
eye sockets and the double folds and
this and that and or the triple folds
and the the heavy eyelid.
>> Yeah.
>> Yeah. Anyway, go ahead. Well, I didn't
have any while I was here, but maybe you
could when you come anyway.
>> I'm all I'm I'm for it. I'm a huge fan
of it.
>> So, speaking of uh of of Trump being
here, he is actually coming Thursday.
He's been in Asia striking all manner of
deals, which we'll talk about in a
second. Um he he he's he's pulling
tariffs off it looks like or or putting
striking deals. But he said he's putting
a 10% tariff on imports from Canada
after already cancelling trade talks all
because of a TV ad that an audio
accurate audio audio of Ronald Reagan
criticizing tariffs. Trump called the ad
which was sponsored by the government of
Ontario that would be Doug Ford a fraud
and a hostile act. The spot features
excerpts from a 1987 Ronald Reagan radio
address on foreign trade. the audio is
authentic though it is slightly
different order from the original
speech. Um but it's what he said. Um he
the the Reagan Presidential Foundation
said the ad misrepresents Reagan words
but is unexplained was misrepresented
cuz I went back and and listened to the
original and it's this it was the intent
but so I guess they shouldn't have
rearranged it. But let's listen to some
of this ad.
When someone says, "Let's impose tariffs
on foreign imports," it looks like
they're doing the patriotic thing by
protecting American products and jobs.
And sometimes for a short while it
works, but only for a short time. But
over the long run, such trade barriers
hurt every American worker and consumer.
High tariffs inevitably lead to
retaliation by foreign countries and the
triggering of fierce trade wars.
Then the worst happens. Markets shrink
and collapse. Businesses and industries
shut down and millions of people lose
their jobs.
>> I'll tell you, it was nice hearings a
president who actually spoke in full
sentences. Um, a Republican one uh
Ontario's premier pulled the ad, but uh
it did air in major US markets over the
weekend, including during the World
Series. Um, talk about this from a
market. This is this Doug Ford who's
this conservative who was somewhat
proTrump as I recall and now is sort of
like you know smacking him around up
there up north. Um talk about from a
marketing not so much the essence
because this is what Reagan thought
actually but um but about doing this
kind of things and why Trump is reacting
like this.
>> Well, look, I I think Canada's never
looked stronger. It's just strange to be
rooting for the Blue Jays when they're
playing my home team, the Dodgers.
It's just Canada, the US's strategy
looks performative, faux masculinity,
sclerotic.
They're they're dictating trade policy
off of commercials that antagonize the
president. It's just and Canada, I
believe, is our biggest trading partner.
Some people would say it depends on how
you count it. It should be Mexico,
>> but I mean, one of the biggest problems
we have in the United States is housing.
And unfortunately because of nimiism and
incumbents who control the government
were fond of regulations that made it
make it harder for the entrance to buy a
home. And so we've let homes go from 290
to 410. And the you know two of the
largest inputs are gypsum drywall which
comes from Mexico and lumber which comes
from Canada. So we're going to make
homes more expensive unnecessarily.
And Canada just looks more consistent
and unafraid. And I think this has been
I think this has bolstered the brand of
Canada. I think they will end up this
will absolutely impact their economy
negatively for three or four years. They
will figure out different trade routes.
It's no accident
>> which they are trying. Of course
>> Carney's headed to Asia as we speak.
>> Yeah. Yeah.
>> And there's no shortage of of other
export nations that'll say, you know
what, we have really good products here
too and we're going to do it at zero
tariff and let's strengthen the
relationship between Canada and Asia and
Latin America.
And then those relationships will be
really unh hard to undo. And
>> yeah,
>> the next administration,
and I'm trying to manifest this, is
going to have to go on essentially a
48-month apology tour. And regardless of
how effective that is, there's no way
we're going to be able to compensate for
the destruction to these 80-year trade
alliances that has taken place over the
last, you know, 10 months. This is just,
no one likes to be insulted or have
economic warfare. And why this is just
so incredibly stupid is I'll just use an
example. The Kentucky bourbon industry
is basically going to be wiped off the
map if they're not careful. So
>> they have stopped buying Jack Daniels.
Do you know the margins? The margins on
lumber are probably like 10 to 30%. The
operating margins are probably high
single digits. Those companies don't
trade a big multiples. The public traded
>> lumber companies if there are any.
Whereas alcohol commands 90 points of
margin. The majority of restaurants, the
the kind of the ugly secret of
restaurants is they try to break even on
the food and they make all their money
on the alcohol.
>> On the alcohol. Yeah.
>> Because they'll charge you 14 bucks for
a Makaker Mark and ginger ale and it
costs them about 60 cents. And so that's
where they make all their margin. And we
have some of the best alcohol brands in
the world. And when we import them into
Canada and they say no, it's not tit for
tat. If we reduce our exports by a
dollar by declaring trade war and they
reduce their exports go down a dollar,
it's not dollar for dollar because our
margins on our products tend to be
higher.
>> Yeah. One of the things is interesting
to me is, you know, from a marketing
perspective, Reagan used to be the gold
standard of Republicans, right? And you
know, we're showing our age. We remember
the age of Reagan, which wasn't as great
as people are now making it out to be.
Although some of these speeches are
terrific, especially the immigration
one, which was one of his last speeches.
Um, but you know, the the the marketing
strength of Ronald Reagan is over Mr.
Morning in America, which is very
different from Make America Great Again,
right? In terms of that was some
marketing expertise, the Reagan
administration, but it doesn't work, I
guess, except to irritate Donald Trump.
I mean, he was an actor and he was very
handsome and regardless of some of his
policies.
>> I mean, I I like Ronald Reagan and it's
easy to play Monday morning quarterback,
but he refused to use the word AIDS
>> and in a period where anyways, we have a
tendency to decide people in history are
either very very good or very very bad.
And
>> because history is sort of a crude,
blunt instrument,
>> I mean, if you think about him as the
the there are no more Republicans or at
least
>> he was brand Republican forever, right?
Trump has completely
long time ago.
>> It's fiscal responsibility. Okay, that's
gone out the window. $7 trillion in
deficits from George Washington to
George Bush. Since then, it's been $30
trillion. and a Republican tried to
convince us and we believed him that we
could go to war and cut taxes at the
same time. That was W. And since then,
Democrats and Republican administrations
since then have said to the children
that are the United States voter right
now, no, you can stay up till 2 a.m. and
eat sugar and not have dinner and you
don't have to go to school tomorrow and
nothing bad will ever happen.
>> Yeah.
>> So, Americans have gotten used to
spending $7 trillion on 5 trillion and
believing that everything will be okay.
Okay. So, fiscal responsibility was a
touchstone of Republican
administrations. That's gone. Um, uh,
low involvement or less involvement, not
overarching government combined with
personal liberty.
>> And that was you get to make these
decisions and government should not be
in your life. And we now have a
government which is essentially a cross
between socialism
and cronyism. and that is the government
is very involved in corporate decisions,
but it's based on who he likes or
doesn't like, who curries favor with him
or doesn't.
>> That that could not be more that could
not be more non-Republican. So, I mean,
it's the Democrats who on economic
policy and individual rights appear to
be more Republican. If I could go back
in time, Teddy Roosevelt was all about
the environment. Everything is upside
down right now. an embrace of foreign
relationships, nonp protectionism was a
very
>> Republican thing.
>> Well, speaking of which, um, on the
other tariff front though, US and
Chinese officials have reached yet
another framework of a deal avoid 100%
tariffs that Trump threatened to impose
uh, Taco Trump. Uh, Treasury Secretary
Scott Bessant, who really is sort of
lost a seems to be undignified now, also
said on Face the Nation that Trump and G
are set to finalize a Tik Tok deal this
week. Let's listen uh to uh how he
talked about this.
>> We reached a final deal on Tik Tok. Uh
we've reached one in Madrid and I
believe that as of today all the details
are ironed out and that will be for the
two leaders to uh consummate that
transaction on Thursday in Korea.
>> I'm getting the hell out of Korea before
consummation. Let's let's hope not. Um,
so there's that happening, which I think
something you talked about needing to
happen, the Chinese uh to to come to
terms with China.
>> Yeah. But I don't I don't know what that
means. What What if they have a
commercial that pisses them off on the
way over? I don't
>> in that 100% tariff. And
>> um I think that they you know, China
definitely has its own problems. I mean
what you have to when you're
establishing or trying to understand a
battle and doing our game theory, you've
got to look at the strengths they have
that you don't have. And China has the
advantages of an authoritarian
government where the autocrat has
established power for the next 10, 20,
30 years. He's consolidated power. They
have the CCP. I don't know if it's
unpopular popular, but I don't think
it's very unpopular. The economy there
has struggles, but the Chinese, the
Chinese to a certain extent have the
same advantage that the Russians have in
Ukraine, and that is their willingness
to endure and inflict pain on their
populace for long-term interests.
>> Americans,
if you know, if AWS goes out and Netflix
goes down, the whole nation is freaks
out.
>> China is absolutely willing to put
companies out of business. It's willing
to decrease their prosperity, but is not
going to be pushed around by America.
And also we have a tendency to think
this this administration anyways that
it's the biggest customer at you know
rolling up to the bar. We're the third
largest trading partner. The Association
for Southeast Asian Nations is their
largest trading partner, the second
largest. They do more trade with the EU
than they do with the US. And they have
already vastly decreased the percentage
of trade going to the US. So he shows up
and again this is just a such a common
error in judgment and in strategy. He
shows up thinking he has cards he
doesn't have and Americans if if
inflation pops to five or six% here
Americans are going to freak out. They
could go to 15% in China and the Chinese
government has killed tens of millions
of its own people or let them starve for
what they perceive to be national
interests. M
>> so to think that he can show up and
muscle them around, he is totally mis
miscalculating and misappraising his his
adversary over there. So I don't trust
him nor any of his team to get a deal
done or you know quote unquote a
framework.
>> So we'll wait and see, right? A frame
framework of a deal. Yet another
>> what's happening with Tik Tok? I I mean
I don't know.
>> Well, they said it's consummated or
going to consummate or whatever. They're
going to [ __ ] each other. I don't know
what why he used that word, but
presumably it's going to Larry Ellison
as is everything. It's apparently in
media. Uh this is the most important
element of Ellison's
uh me burgeoning media empire of course.
Um you know what's going to happen here?
But um I don't know what it means. I
guess they just decided h give it to
him. What's the difference? Right? Like
we don't need this and if we can get
everything else. I mean there was an
interesting I read a lot of the analysis
of this and basically what they've
decided to do as every other leader
including leader of Japan is to flatter
him to compliment him and then get what
you want right essentially and and which
is kind of depressing like they've just
figured figured him out pretty easily
and uh we'll see the Chinese you're
absolutely right are in it for the long
haul so we'll see what they have to say
um you know it'll be an the Tik Tok
thing is what I'll be paying attention
to but we'll see if they um do I mean,
what I think Trump is trying to do, it's
so interesting because presidents all
start out locally and end up in foreign
places doing these these trips. And I
think Trump is very comfortable acting
like he's big BOC across the world
essentially. And so these these leaders
have figured out a way to to please him
in a it's kind of sad. It's like
pleasing an old man, like let's pet him
and this and that. So, we'll see. We'll
see what happens here. I Here's my
prediction. He's going to go up to the
DMZ and go visit his friend um uh in
North Korea. So, we'll see. He's so
close. I can't imagine he would, you
know, he keeps talking about him. He he
talks about him in a nicer way than he
talks about other Americans, which is
really kind of depressing given he's a
dictator and not just an autocrat, even
worse than that.
>> Well, those are his role models. He's
very much about strength. And again,
he's conflates
>> he conflates strength with coarseness
and cruelty and authoritarianism. And
that's not
>> it's just a terrible it's a terrible um
and the problem is he's been successful
in the short term at it. He's won the
presidency twice.
>> Everybody's falling in line behind him.
>> Yeah.
>> And it's out of the authoritarian
playbook. Reward reward the people who
are loyal to you. Punish severely the
people who aren't loyal to you. And the
53 Republican senators are all going
along with it as are the majority of the
House of Representatives. There's been a
few notable breaks. Senator Paul is
questioning us bombing boats. We have a
We spend a trillion dollars on our
military that's supposed to be so lethal
and yet we're now pushing back on a
murderous autocrat in Europe. We've
decided to bomb fishing boats.
>> We'll see what happens. We're going to
go on a quick break. When we come back,
this is a story that I think is not
getting nearly enough attention. We'll
discuss the latest crypto pardon.
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>> Scott, we're back. President Trump has
pardoned Shangpang Jiao, better known as
CZ, the founder of the crypto exchange
Binance. CZ pleaded guilty in 2023 to
violating anti-moneylaundering laws and
served four months in a federal prison
while Binance paid $4.3 billion to
settle with the Justice Department. CZ
has been working on a pardon for months.
There seems to be a playbook here with
the Trump people, hiring lobbyists with
ties to Trump and making podcast uh
appearances, praising the president.
Binance is also a key backer of the
Trump families. This is the key one.
Crypto venture, World Liberty Financial,
and helped launch its stable coin
earlier this year. In a post on X, CZ
said he was grateful to Trump and
pledged to help make America the capital
of crypto. I assume Sam Bankman Freed is
next. What do you think of this? because
we've been talking a lot about how this
focus on crypto with his family um sort
of larding itself over in um money and
uh just money really.
>> Well, I think it's important to
understand why CZ was incarcerated.
>> And he was incarcerated because Binance
was found guilty of laundering money.
And that sounds that sounds somewhat
innocuous, but according to the
Department of Treasury, Binance failed
to report the following transactions
associated with terrorist groups,
including al Qaeda,
>> ISIS, Hamas,
>> and the Palestinian Islamic Jihad,
millions of dollars in ransomware
transactions. Bance is one of the
largest receivers of ransomware
proceeds, transactions associated with
child sexual abuse material. So people
hear about sexation and think that is
the most heinous crime ever. Well folks,
there's a technical technological
infrastructure behind it and money
laundering with funds that can't be
tracked is part of it and then
transactions associated with drugs fraud
and other illegal contraband. His his
official charges were again around money
laundering and he'd served four four
months and Binance was barred from
operating the US. But here's what they
did.
Binance received a $2 billion investment
from the Abu Dhabi investment firm MGX.
And then Binance decided to accept the
investment via World Liberty Financial
USD1 stable coin, which by the way, the
majority stake is still connected in
World Liberty Financial USD1 is still
connected to the financial wealth and
butressing the financial wealth of the
Trump of Trump and his family, which
owns 38% of World Liberty Financial. Put
another way, make me richer and I will
let the person that a judge and jury and
our institutions decided to incarcerate
because he was facilitating transactions
to terrorists and people engaged in
child sex exploitation. I'm letting that
person out
>> if you agreed to make me and my family
richer.
>> Yeah. And because this feels very
circular and complicated and we're so
busy watching stupid [ __ ] videos of a
construction project at the at
Pennsylvania Avenue, we take our eye off
the ball. There's going to be more kids
who are going to be in scams, send naked
pictures of themselves, and then be
extorted and then potentially engage in
self harm because the people on the
other end can find a means of
transacting these payments and this
exploitation. you know, if you're
watching a Bond movie, CZ is the one he
ends up golfing in the end. Like, he's
the moneyaundering, you know, mogul
essentially. And so, this is was a
criminal act, this guy. And
>> but we're bombing fishing boats.
>> Most people in crypto think this too, by
the way, FYI. So, it's sort of a, you
know, he's they've just decided crypto
good no matter what. And it's like
saying banking good or whatever. There's
there's all kinds of bankers that are um
culpable in these kind of things, by the
way. It's not just limited to to crypto.
Um but this is just this was such a
straight line um
grift. It's just like absolutely out in
the open. you know, everything's out,
you know, when we even if you know, I I
agree with you every with all the
handwaving around the the White House
thing, which I'll talk about later, but
um it's really uh this one really
deserves more attention, especially for
what what what this company did, you
know, this company did. And I assume Sam
Bankman Freed is next, who is
comparatively minor compared to this
guy, right? This he was that was just
your basic I made a mess. I didn't
realize it. That was his excuse. But I
there there's a whole way to get a
pardon from Trump.
>> Yeah. But he doesn't have the power
right now. FDX doesn't have the platform
or the power to make the Trumps rich.
This is to a certain extent there's sort
of I don't want to call it low calorie
corruption. But when Eric goes over and
says, "Build a hotel and give me better
financing terms and finance it."
Somebody still has to build the hotel.
There is some risk. It's corruption. But
what they found is if we're going to be
corrupt, let's just figure out a way to
pump up,
>> let's go to the top. Yeah.
>> A synthetic currency that has no value
underlying utility.
>> And then we don't even have to report
when we sell it and nobody has to
operate it. And we don't even have to
pretend that we know how to be in the
hospitality business. We don't have to
build it. We just get people to
basically funnel money into it.
Massively inflate the market. We sell.
Nobody even knows we've sold. And boom.
this is the like most elegant, clean,
frictionless form of corruption. So
they're like they're like, "Okay, Nancy
Pelosi that does insider trading, but
you have to report those trades. Okay,
Trump who gets a 747, we actually see
the 747. He's got to fly it around. He's
got to justify it." No, this is easier.
Nobody even really, there's no records
of this. Uh they as far as we know we
think they've made3 to5 billion dollars
off these crypto scams but it's even
hard to tell how much money they've
made. We don't know how to connect it to
we know when the Qatari government says
give us give us NATO like protection
after giving the president a $400
million plane we can connect the dots.
But when he launches a memecoin and
someone calls him and says, "FYI,
tomorrow I'm gonna buy
>> a billion dollars or a hundred million
dollars worth of Trumpcoin, which will
take the price up. And if you want to
sell some, that's your business, Mr.
President.
>> But in addition, would you mind not
shipping Tomahawk missiles to the to
Ukraine for a while?
>> We're not able to connect those dots.
There's no public filing disclosure."
>> You know what? Actually, I've heard from
a lot of people. A lot of people in
crypto don't love all this stuff because
the the the hammer is going to come down
on this industry again. I thought the
Biden administration was too slow to to
embrace some of the good parts of it. I
would I talked to a lot of crypto people
and the reason was because it has such a
proclivity towards what you were just
talking about money laundering and uh
sexual abuse and terrorism and payoffs
and stuff like that in terms of the dis
the ability to disappear a lot of these
transactions but it was on its way you
know and and Biden was unnecessarily
Biden administration was unnecessarily
harsh on uh this group of people but um
I out of I think an abundance of
caution. I don't think it was a
particular hostility to it. It was just
more of the worries about the downside
versus the upside. And I just feel like
the the the hammer will come down on
this industry after this is all over.
And the second part is I was I've been
told by a lot of tech people that there
are people monitoring what is happening
here and there are ways to follow the
money. So there's always ways and
quietly they're doing that and
eventually some of these people are
going to pay. I I we'll see. But you
know, it just all you have to do is pay
this guy off to get out. And speaking of
which, the one the one that also
troubled me was the tech and business
leaders um are getting credit for
coordinated effort to stop Trump from
sending troops to San Francisco. Mayor
Daniel Luri reportedly worked with Sam
Alman, Jensen Wong, uh Mark Beni off,
and others to get the president to
reconsider. Trump acknowledged the
lobbying in a true social post saying he
got calls from friends of mine and
decided not to surge San Francisco, as
he put it. I find this repulsive this
strategy is that you know I'm not you
know I I've been in touch with Beni off
recently about this whole the whole
thing with the with the troops and he
knows what I think um which is that he
should have never called for them but
you know none of you get a thank you for
telling a bully not to do something
that's stupid right I don't want my
democracy to be run because these guys
can call him up or go to a dinner or
give him money um But you know this this
was the wrong thing to do for all these
cities and including San Francisco and
the fact that the only way it gets saved
is these guys call them like what in the
world no one's making decisions based on
the right thing to do. It's based on
these incredibly powerful people who
have access and then the regular
Americans don't have access to make
their argument one way or the other. But
this is this is a I find this truly
disturbing. Um and you know none of them
has said you should thank me Cara cuz
I'd be like go [ __ ] yourself. Like how
dare you that this is the way things are
done. I just I find it
something quite vague just disturbing
about this this uh this is how this is
how it's done done as they say in um uh
K-pop demon hunters. But but Mayor Lurri
trying to enlist local business people
to lobby the president to
>> he has to
>> to not set send in the National Guard
and create disruption and terrorize
local residents.
>> A kudos to him. I think that's the right
thing to do. I agree. The problem is
they're operating in a context that's
illegal and non-American. And that is
>> right. That's right.
>> Barry Goldwater said this. He said we're
we're placing too much power in the
office of the presidency. The whole
point of a democracy is you have a
diffused sense of power such that
there's checks and balances. And that
unfortunately you don't go as fast, but
it prevents the tragedy of the commons.
And when if you're going to send in the
National Guard into cities, there needs
to be some sort of oversight or there
needs to be some sort of legal
justification or systemic laws that say
this is when the National Guard can be
sent into a city and what its mission
is. Not, oh, I don't like the mayor
here. I don't like the governor here or
Epstein starting to creep back into the
news. I need to launch the National
Guard or pulse the National Guard into a
city. This is I mean it's just so I I
can't imagine and I don't know how much
of it I'm convinced now that you know
and I've said this before. We're just
going to be so angry at the mind control
that these algorithms have over us and
we don't even realize how much.
The most upsetting things I see I think
is this true is those is all of that
footage of of ICE agents.
>> Yeah.
>> I just find it the idea that these guys
are in masks.
>> Yeah.
>> The idea there is a basic principle that
is so core to our democracy and what is
wonderful about America and that is we
target and ideally reward behavior
not their identity. Mh.
>> And that is we say, okay,
I if you're a gay woman and you're great
at what you do and you take risks, you
can make a lot of money and have a nice
life here. And we aren't going to start
rounding up people or asking them, "Are
you born here?" which the ICE agents are
doing because they're brown
>> when they're on their way inside on
their way inside to uh, you know,
Kroger's.
>> Yeah. Yeah. Every one of these agents
seems like a brute, right? It feel I
feel like I'm in some like Steven Seagal
movie with bad people like you know the
way they're talking to people and how
the the masks and the they look like
they've had way too many steroids every
one of them like they it feels so
villainous and it's either villainous or
you got to be a rich guy to get through
and it feel it does feel unamerican.
When I heard that Sam Elman had to call
him to call him off, that's that's our
line of defense. Not because it's not
>> I just was like this is ridiculous.
>> Well, it kind of goes to the same thing
now where because of the government
shutdown rather than saying, okay,
there's a government shutdown. You need
to negotiate with a co-equal branch of
government. It's like, no, I'll just get
my rich friend to pay the the military
and the people I like in the government.
This is not how you're supposed to run a
government where individuals where the
president gets to decide, you know, who
in the government gets paid and who
doesn't and he can call someone and say,
"Hey, I look really bad here. Can you
give me $100 million? And by the way,
wink wink, I'll make it up to you with a
series of laws that transfer wealth from
small and medium-sized businesses and
your competitors to you." It might even
not impact the economy that much in the
short run because the economy turns on.
But what it does over the long term is a
lot of people don't want to invest here.
A lot of people don't want to immigrate
here. A lot of people don't want to
start businesses because they're worried
that they that they're not going to be
protected by the rule of fair play and
law. I don't think Americans realize how
many really talented people come here
and how much capital comes here because
they feel that there is a rule of fair
play here.
>> That's what it is. Rule of fair play.
>> I met a guy I met this Russian kid who
came over here and he'd started one of
those home delivery companies and he
made a bunch of money. He was a
successful entrepreneur in Russia. He
had a wonderful life. He said, "Why'd
you move here?" He said, "You live in
fear in Russia that someone you don't
even know makes a call and your business
is done the next day and you don't even
know who made the call."
>> I know.
>> And that's what's effectively we're
headed that way,
>> right? I know. I just for some reason
this just stuck in my craw. Thank god
Ben didn't text me like you wanted to
say thank you. I'd be like go [ __ ]
yourself. I I don't mean that, Mark. But
honestly, seriously, this is not the way
it should be done. Um, speaking of
things that are are uh in another thing
that speaking of robots, which I was
just I'm I'm seeing a lot of robot
companies here, by the way. Um, Amazon
executives believe the company can
replace more than half a million
warehouse jobs with robots because this
is where it's heading. I've I I'll go
into in a second with robots over the
next several years, according to
internal documents obtained by the New
York Times. Documents show Amazon's
robotics team has an ultimate goal to
automate 75% of its operations. I bet
it's even higher. They reveal Amazon is
planning to manage public backlash by
promoting a quote good corporate citizen
image, participating in community events
like parades and toy drives. Executives
also discuss ditching words like
automation and AI instead using advanced
technology and cobots, collaborative
robots. Amazon says the documents viewed
at the times were incomplete and did not
reflect its overall hiring strategy. Um,
let me tell you years and years ago and
I was looking for the picture. I was
going to show it to some people here.
Um, after Amazon bought KA, which was I
thought a critical purchase at the time,
it was it was a logistics, it was a
robotic, it moved things around the
factory and they Amazon for some reason
invited me in to see the factory. And um
I went to see it and watched these KA I
think they were KA powered robots moving
stuff around and they had people in the
factory but a lot of it was automated
obviously and it's pretty cool when you
see them put on labels or put on
whatever it was quite an automated
factory and I I guess publicly I said
they're never going to they're going to
they're moving towards no people in
these warehouses. This was about 10
years ago. You could see they're so
smart you could see what they were
doing, right? Um, and and I remember uh
one of the Kennedys who was representing
uh Massachusetts, I can't remember which
one it was, was saying, "Oh, they're
going to put an Amazon warehouse in my
district." I'm like, "They're not going
to have people in it." Like, and I
remember Amazon being calling me and
saying, "Don't be saying that." And I'm
like, "But it that's what's it seems so
obvious to me." And so, this is where
they're going with these. There there
will be no people in Amazon warehouses
or very few people. Um, and then
pretending otherwise seems kind of
ridiculous because they've really
they're really quite good at it and
they're a logistics company more than a
commerce company. How and here in in in
Korea, I was just in a thing called
Robot Valley. I mean, robotics do not
get enough attention compared to AI, but
AI combined with robotics is really like
one of these amazing and also terrifying
breakthroughs for humanity, it seems to
me. But I don't know. What do you think?
>> Yeah, I agree with you. It's sort of
it's a similar issue to all these data
centers that Congress people are excited
to get in their district, but the
reality is you could turn the lights off
during the day because there's nobody
working there. There's some labor
involved in building these things, but
once they're up and running, they're
just a huge draw on the local electric
or power supply and they don't create a
lot of jobs. I think robots and
automation are in many ways I it's
always it's always the [ __ ] you're not
expecting that impacts you to the upside
and the downside. I actually think the
more important technology over the next
24 months that would be the best bet for
America is not GPT5. I think it's GLP1.
>> I think that would be a better bet for
America if they put GLP1 in the hands of
every obese person in a low-inccome
home. And I think robotics, to your
point, are in some ways more important
than AI because I think that Jeff Bezos
and Darra Kasahi dream of a lack of
drivers and and factory workers. I think
they think, okay,
think about the majority of the bad
press that Amazon has probably received
in the last 10 years. A lot of it is
stories of these delivery men in vans
who have pea bottles and aren't aren't
paid well and have to hit quotas and
have health insurance. I I got to be
honest, I'm here for it. I want I would
love to see AI pilots and planes. If you
look at the majority of and it won't
happen because of psychological reasons,
but if you look at the majority of plane
crashes, and there's very few, they're
almost always pilot error.
>> Yeah.
>> And so there will be job creation
though. There people there will be
people that have to program and build
these things and service them. It'll be
a higher wage job. But the story of
America is that the low wage, low value
ad production jobs slowly but surely get
screened out as we move from an agrarian
to a a manufacturing to a services to a
quote unquote innovation economy. I
think it's a good thing. The problem
with America is that we're not very good
at retraining and supporting the people
on the wrong end of that trade. We're
very much winners and losers. like sorry
boss it's the hunger games here but I
think it'll be America actually if you
look at the economy right now it's a
giant bet on AI but there has been some
real investment in manufacturing of our
industrial base and I think the only way
we compete with China is to have these
types of factories
>> China's way ahead on this stuff I mean
all of Asia is in a lot of ways and
again AI gets all the attention but AI
combined with robotics is really now
there can be let me say there's there's
sort of a thing called human centric
robots where it's not replace not just
getting our coffee. Okay, that's right
where you go to. But I'm talking what I
the stuff I was the exoskeletons to help
people walk better, to help the elderly,
like eventually there there's all
manner. And one of the things I had a
really interesting discussion with Alex
who of is a mechan is mechanical
engineering student. He's like why do
robotics have like Elon Musk is they
laugh at Elon Musk here in Korea I have
to tell you and because he's like going
I'm going to make Optimus going to make
these you know humanoid robots. They
don't have to look like humans. Like the
real changes are in places like what
Amazon has done, which is they're
robots. They're just not the robots you
think of from science fiction. Um, you
know, doing a hand like Alice was like,
why does a dog walking robot have to
look like a person? In fact, that's
hard. They fall over the hand. It's
funny. Like automation is a very And I
think actually automation is not a is is
the right word, right? that's actually
instead of calling it advanced
technology, it's automation. Um, but
there's there's all kinds of ways
robotics are going to affect us and
especially when it's when it now like
this one thing I was wearing, it uses AI
to collect data in real time about my
body movements which would then
calculate how these ro you robots should
be adjusted per person in real time. And
it used to be they'd have to be adjusted
individually, but they don't have to
anymore. Same thing with cars. Same
thing. So the combination is really both
deadly to jobs and at the same time
breathtaking in terms of savings like
what it's going to do.
>> So each year and this is this is a
thinly veiled ad. I do my predictions
deck and that is sometime in November I
put together a deck and I say these are
my predictions for the oncoming year in
society, stock market, technology
and each year I pick one of the big tech
companies, one of the magnificent 10 or
one of the big four actually, Apple,
Facebook or Alphabet and I say this will
be the best performing stock and this is
why. Last year I picked Alphabet. It's
up 60% in the last year.
>> Well done.
>> Thank you. Pat myself on the back. This
year um my pick is probably going to be
Amazon and that is it hasn't it's
actually hasn't performed very well the
last couple years and but traditionally
>> their margin expansion has been powered
by
>> uh AWS and the unsung hero of the
business and that is Amazon media group
running the ads
>> on the platform and they force retailers
to run ads and it's very high margin now
the margin expansion is happening in
retail for over a decade, the
fulfillment and shipping costs ballooned
more quickly than sales, decreasing
margins. And then that reversed two
years ago and retail sales are now
growing faster than shipping costs.
>> That's cuz they got everyone to use
Prime, right? They got everybody in on
on it. They were losing money on Prime,
I would assume.
>> But also because robotics and the huge
investment they've made in robotics is
finally delivering operational leverage.
Amazon expects to save about I think
about 13 billion dollars from 2025 to
2027 as a result of automation. And
assuming no change in Amazon's
enterprise valued IBITA to multiple I
can as you can tell I'm doing a lot of
work on this
>> that translates to roughly $200 billion
extra in enterprise value. Plus it
expects to sell twice as many products
in by 2033.
I think all the investments they've made
in automation coupled with robotics and
AI, they're about to get huge leverage.
So whereas ads and AWS have added all
the margin, I actually think retail is
about to be where they expand their
margins.
>> That's interesting. I think it's going
to go across our envi the entire
country. Actually, when I at one time I
was visiting um we would finish up on
this, but um Kentucky and they were
talking about silicon holler and all
this stuff and bringing back coal.
remember Trump was a big black hole. And
I remember I stood up and I said,
"They're going to bring it back by
robots. What do they need you for? Like
you get sick. You have like you get it's
bad for you to be mining coal." And I
again I was cut off like don't say that.
I'm like, "Well, of course they're going
to use robots like or or whatever the
automation. I don't care what word you
use." But what's astonishing is how good
Korea and China and all these countries
are and they're really making
investments in robotics and you're
absolutely right Amazon has been far
ahead of any other uh there are lots of
manu that that's how we return with
manufacturing but it's not going to be
with people at all
>> but I would describe the last few years
in terms of robotics as it relates to
the retail as the investment phase and
it hasn't delivered
>> it's been expensive and it hasn't
delivered the leverage average yet, but
I think that's pivoting and switching.
And the stock,
even though it's up 20% in the last
year, it's underperformed its
competitors. Amazon typically trades at
a 5year average P multiple of 60.
>> And right now, it's trading at 34.
>> Mhm.
>> Anyways, I think those I think that
leverage, the fact that it's reasonably
priced anyways, I'm I'm excited about
>> I'm excited about Amazon over the next
12 months.
>> I'm glad you you've been focused on
this. This is interesting. Anyway, let's
go on a quick break and we come back,
we'll talk about Argentina's election
results.
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>> Scott, we're back with more news. The
payoff of Donald Trump to help the
Argentinian economy has helped.
Argentina's president Javier Malay's
party swept the country's midterm
elections, winning 40% of the votes.
They had to get above 35 compared with
around 204% for the main oppositions
with their which are the peronis who had
been running Argentina badly for many
years. President Trump endorsed Malay
earlier this month and said a 20 billion
currency swap bailout from the US was
contingent on his midterm success. Trump
took truth social to congratulate Malay,
saying he's making us all look good. And
don't worry about the cost of the
bailout. Let's listen the comforting
words of Treasury, the thirstiest
Treasury Secretary I've ever seen, Scott
Bessant, on Meet the Press this weekend.
>> It is America first because we are
supporting a US ally. Uh there will be
no taxpayer losses. This is a swap line.
This is not a bailout.
>> Well, this is working. I mean this
helped me I think quite a bit in in the
thing and there's been a lot of um pain
what he's doing some of which is it
should have happened because Argentina
has had like enormous inflation and
things like that but he's doing it in
sort of this incredibly um brutal way.
Um so how talk about uh talk about this
what explain what what Bessant was
saying here where this is a swap line.
This is not a bailout. Well, I believe
we're just exchanging dollars for pesos,
but the peso has has a habit of of
totally crashing and devaluing.
Argentina at the end of World War II was
the third or fourth largest economy in
the world because Britain had basically
spent everything it had. Two hugely
productive economies were decimated,
Japan and Germany. And Argentina has
been the kind of medium-sized engine
that can't. It has been a [ __ ]
disaster. Despite an incredibly
incredible blessing of natural
resources, really good universities, an
amazing culture, great natural
resources, they have just been [ __ ]
over and over by kind of socialist
corrupt governments.
>> The country has entered IMF uh has
entered into IMF rescue programs 23
times since 1956, more than any other
nation. This nation has been has been
bailed out more times than any other
nation by the IMF. The most recent major
IMF loan uh to Argentina was for 57
billion in 2018 and it failed to
stabilize the economy and led to a
default just two years later. Over the
past 50 years, Argentina has defaulted
defaulted nine times. So basically every
5 and a half years this country defaults
which has resulted in constant
hyperinflation and peso devaluation. In
the past year alone the US dollars
increased 350% against the peso. So the
and this is let's call this for what it
is. This is Trump bailing out one of his
friends in major
>> same thing like same thing.
>> But it's not even about Malay. It's
about Rob Satron, a longtime associate
of Treasury Secretary Bant who runs a
hedge fund and has significant exposure
to Argentine bonds and stocks. And what
does it do? Again, this is about [ __ ]
corruption. The bailout props up these
prices, offering a crucial window or
exit to mark up the investments of his
buddy who will make a huge donation to
the Trump campaign. Stan Ducken Miller,
Ben's former mentor at Soros Fund
Management, is also involved. His Dukane
family office was recently disclosed as
the second largest investor in
Argentina's main exchange related fund
traded fund. Catron, meanwhile, has made
Argentina his biggest bet in Latin
America. This is just you're you're
this is literally an orgy of corruption.
>> It really is. It's just
>> and and we're the ones that get like a
$5 tip and have been [ __ ] so many ways
and we just leave the party, you know,
you know, naked and like abused. And
that's basically anyone that doesn't get
to hang out in the mansion who's not
willing to fate the big fat man. I mean,
it's just to think that this isn't going
to cost other hedge funds looking for
true alpha and looking for investments
to think that somehow we're not going to
end up bailing them out again. And to
think about how just moronic this is. We
put a tariff on China, which makes no
sense. They're smart. They go, I know
I'm going to go for your heart and
lungs. I'm going to go after the red
states and the people who voted for you
four to one, the farmers, and we're
going to stop buying all of your
soybeans. Those farmers go out of
business, right? And who do the Chinese
get their soybeans from now?
>> Argentina where we're
>> soybean farmer.
>> We're getting I mean,
>> did you see that Bessant calling himself
a soybean?
>> Yeah, he's a soybean. He's worth a half
a billion dollars. Yeah, he's literally
You are my wife. Goodbye, city life.
>> City.
>> Yeah. I mean, yeah.
>> Anyone who's not real old like us
doesn't get that screen.
>> Yeah. Doesn't get that. By the way, that
guy, that guy, what was his name?
>> Eddie. Ed. Ed Albert. Eddie. Eddie
Albert. producer Eddie Albert. He was a
a very successful spy, a true patriot.
That guy was an that guy led a very
impressive life
>> and yet he ended up on Green Acres.
[Music]
>> Farm living is the life for me. Oh my
god, I remember the whole song. Land
spreading out so far and hot.
>> New York is where I'd rather be.
Oh my god.
>> Anyway, we're like them, you know.
>> I love that. That was right before the
Beverly Hillbillies.
>> I have that whole song in my [ __ ]
head. Anyway, go ahead.
>> Um, anyways, what we were talking about
the origing
out, we're punishing farmers with
sclerotic trade policy and then taking
money and sending it to the new trade
the new the new supplier of soybeans,
Argentina. That money, it's unlikely.
Argentina needs structural reform. To
Malay's credit, he is implementing
structural reform. He is. I think he's
kind of exactly what Argentina needed.
He would have won without Trump,
>> but because of Trump, I think he got
more seats, more total power.
>> Yeah.
>> And I think you can pretty much write
off prediction. You can write off 30 of
that $40 billion. It It's gone.
Nothing's going to get in the way of the
pace of devaluation over the short term.
>> This is an economy of structural issues.
I hope they come out of it.
>> Yeah. I was an investor in a company
that used to hire these amazing
engineers from the Cordova University or
University in Cordova, Argentina. And
the funniest thing was we had a down
quarter and we were cutting the budget.
It was a company called Olipek which we
ended up selling and it was a big win.
Great three really super intelligent
guys, two Spaniards, one Argentinian
guy. And the Argentinian guy was in
charge of the engineering team. And we
could get great engineers for like 40
grand instead of 140 or 240 outside of
Cordoba. And the only line item that we
could never cut
>> was the assado budget. That was beef.
Every Friday.
>> Yeah.
>> They had assado. They had beef for all
of the engineers. And that was like the
only thing you were never allowed to
touch. This was the key to the entire
culture.
>> Wow.
>> Was their beef.
>> Well, you know, I I I when I was looking
at that before this happened, besides
the Trump payoff, I think it did help
him. I think it absolutely the money
that he was getting from Trump. But one
of the things was everyone was like,
"Oh, he's going to lose." I'm like, but
the choice is the peronists were
terrible. Like 80 years of shitty
management. I don't see that being the
option. So he was the only option in a
lot of ways even though uh it's taking
its toll. He's also crazy. Like he's a
little seems insane, but you know, there
you go. There you have it. We'll see
what happens there. Uh all right, Scott,
one more quick break. We'll be back for
wins and fails.
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>> Okay, Scott, let's hear some wins and
fails.
Well, my fail it's a it's a specific
issue of a much larger trend that has
become the zeicist in our economy and
that is the NBA gambling scandal.
>> Oh yeah.
>> So Miami Heat guard Terry Roger, I
believe his name is and Portland
Trailblazers head coach Chanty Bops were
among 30 arrested in an FBI
investigation that uncovered a poker
rigging in illegal betting ring. Yeah,
>> many politicians as well as the NBA
commissioner Adam Silver have increased
calls to Congress to tighten regulations
around sports gambling. Since the 2018
Supreme Court decision overturning a
federal law that prohibits sports
betting outside of Nevada, 38 states
have legalized gambling on sports. By
the way, the first thing that happens
when you legalize when you legalize
betting in a state is bankruptcies go up
20 to 30%. Wages on sports hit 160
billion last year, making it larger than
the the lottery. One in four adults say
they personally bet money on sports. And
by the way, last year, one in two men
just bet on the Super Bowl. And one in
10 US adults have placed a bet using an
online sports book. Despite the
proliferation, Americans see betting as
a bad thing. 43% of US adults agree that
legal sports betting is a bad thing for
society compared to just 34% who agreed
3 years ago. And this it pres I I don't
want to infantilize young men, but
they're more risk aggressive. And when
you put a a dopa hit and betting in
their pocket, it is in godlike
technology. And basically every ad now
when you turn on this TV to watch
Premier League is£10 free when you sign
up for 25. And folks, they make it
impossible to win over the long term. If
you're good at it, they basically don't
let you bet anymore. And the newest
trend in sports betting, which will
probably have the greatest appreciation
in market cap in private companies, is
predictions markets,
>> right? Poly. Currently the case is
making its way through the court to
decide the future of sports betting on
prediction markets and prediction market
weekly volume is about $2 billion with
about a fifth of the coming from sports
betting the highest category volume.
Yeah. Anyways, the but but on a bigger
level, a meta level, it's it essentially
is more indicative of our economy and
that is we're we're
the economy now resembles Vegas and
>> it's not a thing. It's just betting.
It's like crypto. It's not a thing. It's
not a making a thing. It's a it's
something else. What would you call it?
>> It's an economic activity. It's just not
productive.
>> Well, the houses always win. And the
machines of our are narrative platforms,
high-tech IPOs, meme coins, dudes and
hoodies pitching the next big thing.
>> And it it value our value in the economy
now is not derived from character or
hard work. It's from attention and
speculation rather than goods and
services.
>> And then the traditional levels of
power, business innovation, labor
productivity, real estate growth, they
all recede and young people no longer
aspire or calories is what you're
saying.
>> Yeah. And they don't they don't develop
the means, they don't develop the will,
and they don't develop the patience for
enduring value. Why?
>> Yeah, it's scary.
>> Why why actually figure out a way to get
through all the regulations and build a
building when you can go get it financed
from Qatar by monetizing the White
House? Or why even do that when you can
just launch a a mean coin and then
essentially
>> it means the winners get you know the
winners a small group of people who can
own or control or monetize healthcare
monetize the government win and the
losers get stuck with the odds. So
we have godlike technology and gambling
that's the dopa hit. For mo majority of
our time on this planet, we haven't
access had access to free free safe play
and gaming. So when we have it, we we go
crazy with it. Also, there's people
telling us we can be rich and we can be
popular and we can get women and they
hit you at exactly the wrong time when
you're most vulnerable. And you're just
seeing more and more people have their
lives ruined by this [ __ ] And then the
broader loss is that our economy is
becoming about synthetic risk-taking,
not enduring value, not the hard work,
the labor to build a company, to invest
in relationships. You get a quick hit
from this kind of gambling or casino
like economy. I think it's just creating
the wrong values and it's an erosion in
the character of long-term thinking.
>> Yeah. No, we're a casino. But okay. So,
what's your what's your win?
>> What is my win? You go first. I got to
think of one.
>> Um, you know, my God, I have so many
fails happening at this time at this
moment. But, um, probably the Jamaica
and and Haiti and Cuba with the uh with
the hurricanes headed our way. We're
going to have a lot more hurricanes. Um,
and it sounds like it's going to a
category 5 is going to hit this place.
So, my thoughts are with the people
there. I it seems very dire uh what's
happening there. And of course we've cut
back on all kinds of really import
speaking of important things we do
monitor. Um this is I just feel a sense
of unease for them and also our own
country which will get hit by all kinds
of weather mishaps that are highly
avoidable in terms of saving lives that
you can't you know we certainly have
climate change issues that are making
this worse but at the same time we
should be able to protect and save
people. So I just worry uh for those
right now it's happening right now
actually um at this my other real fail
they're both real fails but this is is
is all this which you're talking about
these empty calories these you know
pathways to corruption that are
everywhere you saw the media do it a
bunch of times this week whether it was
Comcast putting money into the ballroom
I must have really been difficult for
Brian Roberts but he did it because he's
on the outs with Trump so give him some
money for the stupid ballroom room. Um,
and and when I think about that, the way
it could have been done, look, I'm not
I'm not I don't care. Look, the White
House is not that attractive a thing of
our many things. I think the main part
is, but the East Wing was is not
necessarily a winner, but the way to
have redone it could have been so
fantastic and bipartisan, and there
could have been a contest. It could have
been everyone involved. It could have
been interesting the way we you know
what the what the what the people who
who are both pearl clutching and then
attacking the pearl clutchers. I don't
think they're pearl clutchers. I think
they really are sorry that happened that
way is is it could have been done in
such a great way like let's let's update
the White House. Let's do something and
been a contest. You could have kids
involved. you could have done a whole
thing that would have united us versus
this [ __ ] which is he just does what
he wants and then the people get upset
about him doing what he want and it goes
back and forth. It was such a missed
opportunity and you know that it feels
like that all over the place. Whoever it
gets to do what they want to do is not
American. It just feels very unamerican
a lot of these things. Um, and then a
win. Um, you know, speaking of Brian
Roberts, Taylor Sheridan, who's a really
important producer, there's always a
producer of the moment. He happens to be
that.
>> Um, he's behind Yellowstone and Landman.
Um, he is signed a deal to join NBC
Universal. It's not for a few years, but
when his Paramount deal is up, it's not
good for Ellison and Paramount, but it
doesn't matter because Ellison is
essentially a Nepo baby son of Larry
Ellison. So, he'll get his Tik Tok this
week or he'll get his deal to buy Warner
and uh and everyone will fall into line,
but I thought that was an interesting
situation for Taylor. I I thought it was
a win for NBC. Uh but who knows who
knows how much more Sheridan will keep,
you know, having the hits, but still an
interesting shift.
>> But I think if we were or what I want to
what I'm going to start doing is it's no
longer what are they calling it? I mean,
I know it was called the East Wing. It's
supposed to be called the ballroom now
or the Grand Ballroom. I'm not calling
it that, but go ahead.
>> Well, anyways,
>> just a ballroom.
>> From this point forward, we should we
should call it what it is. And this is
the Epstein bedroom.
>> There's the Lincoln bedroom. This is the
Epstein bedroom. Cuz all this is is
another attempt to distract us from
Jeffrey Epstein and the release of the
Epstein file. So,
>> and he won't seat Mike Johnson won't
seat that uh that representative.
>> But the bottom line is it really isn't I
quite frankly I don't think this is that
big a deal. Obama had renovations. Okay.
Yeah, I don't like the way he's going
about it for
>> this is a massive this is different than
anything.
>> I I do not think this is that
meaningful. I really don't.
>> I don't. But the way he did I think it's
more like this wasn't America. Like this
is what I'm saying. The guys calling him
to call off the San Francisco thing.
Let's just tear it down without
consultation. Not even like that is
unamerican. It is it is just not I guess
maybe it is American. I don't know.
Anyways, the win so the win is and just
a reminder there is u for all this
performative masculinity around taking a
trillion dollar a year expenditure and
having missile strikes which may be
quite frankly extraditial
uh murder at this point um which is just
so performative in my opinion stupid
there is a real war taking place with
real lethal force
>> in Ukraine and according to I think it's
Peter Orpo Finland's prime minister
>> Ukraine Ukrainian forces do appear to
have halted major Russian advances on
some fronts. Ukraine's capac
Yes, that's right. And Ukraine's
capacity to strike its targets inside
Russia has improved. I do hope we
provide them with the longrange missiles
and the tomahawk which is an incredible
weapon to target. They're refining
capabilities. An opinion piece in the
Guardian reports that Ukrainians mood in
Kev is more confident now than a year
ago. Though the situation is still grave
grave, there's much it still feels
>> like the mood is upbeat. there's greater
resolve and discussions are advancing
around using frozen Russian assets to
support Ukraine's reconstruction and
defense, which is on its own a sign of
growing international alignment. So
anyways, my my win and reminder is is
the the real fight here. The real
lethality that is proving, you know, is
upholding our freedom and our democracy
is taking place. It's not off the shores
of Venezuela.
It's in Ukraine right now where the
Ukrainian army does continue to punch
well above their weight class. So
anyway, that's my win.
>> That's a good one because you know
that's speaking of economic value. Think
about the the windfalls that's going to
happen there as we rebuild that very
vibrant and innovative culture, right?
This is like an opportunity again an
opportunity for the United States to
build real things versus this nonsense
like you know all the different people
that have to suck up to Trump. It's
grotesque to watch them one after the
next, you know, sucking up to them. But
there's no economic value there. It's
just a it's just a grift. It's just one
long grift. And that's not how you make
things, right? You get to get ahead
because you fluff a billionaire. Like,
stop it. Like, it's just it has no it
has no economic value. And our whether
you like us being involved in other
countries or not, the best thing would
be to have a a peaceful Ukraine that
will then innovate and create a better I
don't know. It just seems like it's not
econ none of this is economic. It's just
drift and so it's very disappointing.
I'll tell you that. Anyway, uh we want
to hear from you. Send us your questions
about business, tech, or whatever is on
your mind. Go to nymag.com/pivot
to submit a question for the show or
call 85551 pivot. And elsewhere in the
Cara and Scott universe this week on
onwitha Swisser, which Scott Galloway is
going to be on soon for his new book, I
spoke with writer, director, and
producer Jud Appattow. Let's listen to a
clip.
>> If you can go on a computer and make it
look like deep space and it doesn't cost
$3 million, it costs 40 grand. Well,
clearly in some ways that will help
people. It will decimate the people that
made space.
>> But it seems like we're not going to be
able to stop that when it gets cheaper.
But the writing uh and the directing
will always wind up generic because it's
scraped and it's just copying other
things.
>> Oh, we'll see about that, Jud. But he's
a really I mean that guy has got a
history of really amazing uh work in
comedy.
>> Anyway, a very he he actually he's just
really shar what's happening. I thought
it was a great talk.
>> Um and a reminder
>> he's really is. And a reminder we're
going but you're going to be even more
impressive.
>> Oh yeah. Go on.
>> It'll be good. I'm going to let you talk
and talk and talk so you'll have a good
time. Um reminder which I already do
here. We're going to go on tour. will be
going to Toronto, Boston, New York, DC,
Chicago, San Francisco, and LA. Scott
and I are going to be together so much.
We're sold out in Toronto and San
Francisco, and the other cities are very
close. But visit pivotour.com,
especially you Chicago. We've got
extra-large venue there. So, come and
see us. We also got some surprises
there. Some good big names coming. Uh,
okay, that's the show. Thanks for
listening to Pivot and make sure to like
and subscribe to our YouTube channel.
We'll be back on Friday. Scott, read us
out. Today's show is produced by Laram
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