What Nobody Understands About Candlesticks — Until It’s Too Late
By The Rumers
Summary
## Key takeaways - **Candlesticks: More Than Price, It's Emotion**: Successful candlestick reading goes beyond just price action or identifying buyers versus sellers; it's crucial to understand the underlying emotions driving each candle. [00:18] - **Large Candles Signal Emotional Intensity, Not Certainty**: Large candlestick bodies indicate strong momentum, but they often create an illusion of certainty that can trap inexperienced traders into making impulsive, often wrong, decisions. [03:23], [03:43] - **Small Candles and Dojis: Opportunity in Indecision**: While many see small-bodied or doji candles as indecision, they can represent brewing opportunities, signaling a market coiling up before an explosive move. [05:51], [06:00] - **Wicks: The Most Important Clue to Sentiment Shifts**: Wicks are the most significant part of a candlestick, powerfully indicating abrupt changes in sentiment, trend shifts, or directional changes faster than any other element. [07:02], [07:07] - **The 'John Wick' Candle: Aggressive Buying After Fear**: A 'John Wick' candle, characterized by a large aggressive wick, often signifies massive buying interest that doesn't dissipate, especially when it occurs after a period of fear or selling. [10:00], [10:32] - **Rising Support Wicks Signal Building Pressure**: A series of rising support wicks, where the tails gradually trend upwards, indicates building pressure and potential for an upward move once a resistance level is broken. [19:16], [19:21]
Topics Covered
- To predict market moves, analyze the trader behind the candle.
- Small candles (Dojis) signal opportunity, not indecision.
- Wicks are the ultimate signal for market sentiment shifts.
- The John Wick pattern signals aggressive, committed reversals.
- Aggressive retracement patterns offer high risk-reward trades.
Full Transcript
Hello, my name is Doug and I've been a
professional trader now for 26 years.
And in today's video, I am going to tell
you what nobody understands about
candlesticks until it's too late.
Because if you ever want to have a fair
shot at hitting the big time as a
trader, you got to know your
candlesticks. And if you don't know your
candlesticks, it won't be long before
you're gone. You see, the thing that
most traders never understand about
candlesticks is that it's not just about
price. It's not just about bulls versus
bears or who's in control of the chart.
It's all about emotions. more
specifically understanding the emotional
context that's beneath each candle
because once you're able to figure this
out, which is pretty simple to do, you
now possess an extreme edge in the
marketplace. So, if you're tired of
guessing, you're tired of chasing,
you're tired of, wo wo is me, gee, I
don't know if I can do this whole
trading thing, I don't know if I'm cut
out for it, I need you to stop. I need
you to stop right now and watch this
video because today I am going to give
you an absolute master class on how to
read candles. So, how about we get
started with today's video.
All right, my friends. Our agenda for
today is a very simple yet effective
one. We're going to begin with the four
pillars that go behind successful
candlestick reading and they are the
color, the body, the wick, and the
range. After that, I'm going to show you
how to read the true emotional
significance that goes behind each
candle. This is where the secret is
because once you have this knowledge,
trading is going to make a lot more
sense to you. Now, after that, I'm going
to share with you my three favorite
emotionally charged candlestick patterns
that I'm using every day and have been
using for the last 20 years. And of
course, once we've combined all that
knowledge together, I'm going to show
you some live trading examples using
these candlesticks. That way, you should
be good to go. So let's get started by
discussing these four pillars to
successful candlestick reading.
Beginning with the color of the
candlesticks. Green candlesticks tend to
represent strength or buyside momentum
because the price of the asset had moved
higher throughout the selected time
period. Red candles tend to represent
weakness or sellside momentum because
the price of that asset moved lower
throughout that selected time period.
Now the rectangular area that you see
here on the candlesticks is known as the
candlestick body. And each candlestick
body has an open and a close. On green
candlesticks, the opening price is at
the very bottom of that candlestick
body. And the closing price is at the
very top of that candlestick body. For
red candlesticks, the opening price is
at the very top of that candlestick
body. And then the closing price is at
the bottom of that candlestick body.
Now, the lines that you see protruding
above and below that candlestick body
are known as wicks, tails, or shadows.
And for today, we'll be referring to
them as wicks. Now, the ends of the wick
at the very top of the candlesticks
represent the highest price point for
that time period. And the wick ends at
the very bottom of the candlestick
represent the lowest price point for
that time period. And the total distance
between the very top and bottom of a
candle or the bottom to the top of the
candle is called the candlesticks range.
Now, let's break down each one of those
pillars individually, beginning with the
significance of the candlestick's body.
And for today's video, we're going to
talk about three main types of
candlestick bodies. Big bodies, small
bodies, and little to no bodies. So,
let's go ahead and begin with
largebodied candles. The larger the
candle body, the stronger the momentum
is in that direction. But here's the
catch. Normally, these candlesticks are
abrupt, fast, and aggressive. And the
impulsive nature of these moves tend to
create a splitsecond illusion of
certainty like this is the next big move
in the market and I have to get in on it
now. And many times less experienced or
undisiplined traders chase into these
moves and the majority of the time
that's the wrong move to make. So here's
a better way to look at this. Instead of
viewing candlesticks in just terms of
price alone, look at them as people or
trader type. So the next time you see an
impulsive candle upward or downward,
instead of asking yourself what's
causing this move, what's creating this
move, ask yourself, what kind of trader
would be buying or selling this candle
right here and right now? Because once
you're able to look beyond price alone
and understand truly who's behind this
move, it's going to be a lot easier for
you to predict what the future movement
of that asset is going to be. Now, let
me break this down for you in layman's
term by showing you this chart real
quick. Take for example this massive
green candle right here. Any disciplined
trader who relies on technical analysis
would not be buying at the top of this
move. And the reason is because there is
no valid technical analysis pattern in
the technical analysis universe that has
a signal entry that is that high. Which
means anyone who is still buying at that
level is likely an amateur or reacting
via emotionally chasing FOMO instead of
following a strict set of rules. That's
why these large candles tend to fail
more often than not. The bigger the body
is, the higher the emotional intensity
is and the less sustainable that move
will become. Now, the same logic applies
in reverse. On large red candles like
this, any disciplined trader who's
relying on technical analysis would not
be selling into the panic this deep. So,
anyone who's chasing into sellside
momentum that deep is driven by fear,
not by logic. And just like emotional
buying, emotional selling often leads to
sharp reversals. Remember, emotion is
the abandonment of intellect. And that
is exactly what separates the winners
from the losers. Now the smallerbodied
candles to the no-bodied candles which
are called dogeis to most traders they
represent indecision. But to me they
represent opportunity because when I see
them I'm thinking percolating you
brewing. It's just coiling up and it's
just getting ready to explode either up
or down. And I want to do my best to
read in between those lines and truly
understand those candlesticks so I can
kind of frontr run that move because
again that's where the money is made.
Now, this is pretty simple to do, and
let me show you exactly what I'm talking
about right here on a chart. Notice all
the small consolidated candles and the
little tiny dogeis. Now, to a lot of
traders, that's going to look like
wasteful consolidation, but to me, I see
it as it's setting up for the next big
move. Now, in this case, that move
happened to be higher. But here's what I
want you to know. On this chart right
now, there are two pieces of strong
candlestick data that clearly told you
that the move was going to be up and it
was about ready to happen. And in just a
few moments when I go over my favorite
candlestick chart patterns, I'm going to
show you exactly what those two pieces
of strong data are. And finally, the
most important part of every candlestick
are the wicks. There is nothing that
will signify an abrupt change of
sentiment or a trend shift or a
directional change easier, faster, and
better than wicks. There's just nothing
like it. And let me show you exactly
what I'm talking about right here on the
charts. Now, take a look at this chart
and notice the size of this wick from
the very low price point to the closing
price point of that candle. That's
almost 90% of price retracement. Now the
significance of that candle is not just
about buying. It's the large aggressive
and authoritative buying that matters
that gives the trader the confidence.
And when you get that much aggressive
buying, the end result is most likely
going to be higher prices. Now on this
chart as well, there's a little tiny
secret. It's right there in front of
you. And I want you to tell me if you
can see it. It's okay if you don't. I'm
going to tell you here in a second. And
just think about it here real quickly.
Pause the video if you need, but I'm
going to go ahead and tell you. Notice
that right before that wick, just right
before that, what is it that you see? Is
that not a largebodied candle, which
means what? Emotional intensity. And
what have we learned up to this point
about emotional moves? They normally do
not stick. So long before that wick ever
printed and took a place, you would have
known ahead of time that that was most
likely to appear on that chart. And
right there is a significant edge. Now,
here's what this move would look like in
reverse. Notice in this case, you had
two backto back top wicks with strong
retracements. Now, what do you think
happened after these strong
retracements? The asset went lower. Note
that also in this case the down move
occurred after what? After the emotional
impulsive candle up. Simple. Right now
in this section I want to talk about my
three favorite candlestick chart
patterns. And by this time you probably
got a pretty good understanding of why
they're my three favorite and I hope
they become your three favorite as well.
But if not I want you to pay attention
to one thing as we go through here or
keep this in the forefront of your mind.
It's the significance and what these
patterns represent. It's the context
that they represent. This is what makes
all the difference. And what I have here
on the screen is what I feel are the
three most emotionally charged
candlesticks. Starting with the inverted
hammer and hammer candles. And we're
going to go through each one of these
individually here in just a second. Now,
as some of you know, I've done a video
about these particular candles before,
and I'll call them the John Wick. So, if
you hear me say the word John Wick, this
is what I'm talking about. The next is
the engulfing candles, also known as the
power of tower candles. And the third,
which I have not talked about yet here
on this channel, is the rising wick and
the fading wick. And we're going to go
through each one of these and with real
live trading examples to back them up.
And let's start with the John Wick. So I
want to show you exactly what a John
Wick feels, looks, and smells like in a
real live market. And these were real
trades that we took in our trading
community. But the most important part
of this segment is I want you to
understand the context that goes behind
this move. Otherwise, it's never going
to work for you. And that's not what I
want. And you may recognize this chart
because I used it a little bit earlier.
But here's what the significance is to
the John Wick if you're not familiar.
It's the aggressive price change from
the very bottom of that candle to the
top of that candle. So in layman's term
with this one as well, what this meant
is at one time this candlestick was a
fullbodied red. And not only that, it
was coming off the back of another
fullbodied red candle. So think about
this at this moment because this is
what's really important. At that moment,
it looked like this thing was going to
implode, right? Like it was just game
over. It's just never going to stop.
Everyone should sell. That's the point.
However, when it hits a specific spot,
it immediately retraces. So, think about
that. You have people moving in one
direction emotionally. Fear, this is a
crash. This is going lower. Then all of
a sudden, snap of the finger, it gets
picked up and picked up aggressively.
Now the point about this candle is
normally when you get this much
aggression that comes from the wick
whether it's at the top of the candle or
it's at the bottom of the candle the
most important thing is aggression like
that doesn't normally dissipate because
what you might not understand which is a
little tough to for some people even
myself to understand the true amount of
money that has to go behind a move like
that the amount of volume it takes to
lift a stock of this nature off the
floor is insane. I don't think any of us
could really comprehend how many
millions and billions of dollars it
takes. And when you have that much
intent and that much commitment, it's
super hard to get that thing to to come
back down. Like there's major buying in
there. Not to mention, it was set up
before by this candle. Now, let me show
you how I would enter this trade. And
there's two ways that we can do it.
Normally when you have something that's
this aggressive where the previous
candle was that strong followed by the
second if this candle that was once
fullbodied red can claw back about 30%.
So not to confuse people that would be
about right there about 30 to 50%.
That's normally where I would buy. Now,
that's a very aggressive entry because
you're entering on something where the
candle has not closed and there's a lot
of data that may maybe the other the
next candle is going to go much lower.
But that's the way I would do it.
However, I'll share with you a much
easier, more simplistic entry and that
would be crossing through the very high
of that candle. Okay? So, any move for
the next candle that presses through, I
would buy that. the stop loss would be
beneath the low of the day and this is
not an exiting class but normally what I
look to do is at least get about 50% to
100% of that that range. Now again this
is just a example because the most
important thing is to understand the
candle. Now, at some point it may look
like the risk is a little large on this,
but the point is that I want you to
understand it's that candle significance
that allows you to have the confidence
you need because the strength of this
candle, the the aggression at which it
was bought, there's a extremely high
probability it goes a lot higher. So, if
I just kind of play this forward, you
can see what ultimately happens here is
you do get this massive upward momentum
move, right? And you'll see all along
the way, even if you missed that very
initial John Wick, there were a couple
of different style of of wicks. Now,
they might not be as crisp and clean as
this John Wick, but there were in fact
some other John Wicks into rising
support there that makes this a really
good trade. So, understanding the power
of the John Wick. Now, if that's at the
top, you just flip the chart upside
down. And the same thing would be that
way via a short. Again, most important
part is what? Anytime a large candle
gets retraced before it can finish, it
really represents the highest level of
emotional significance and that's how
you make money. Now, the next one is
we'll take a look at what a power of
tower candle looks like in a real live
market. So, again, just take a quick
second to look at the chart here and
just tell me what stands out to you the
most. It should be the fact that what do
we see here? A large red bar, which is
what an emotional fear candle. And
hopefully some of the light bulbs going
off in your head that the next time you
start to see these impulsive candles,
you ask what who who who
would be selling down this, right? Who
would it? Rookie, pro, who would be
doing it? Now, when it comes to the
power of tower on a very strong, huge,
robust candle like this, it it might be
too late. It is too late in a lot of
cases to wait to the very top of this
candlestick to engage in a long. For
this one, I do use that 30 to 50% rule.
If it can somehow retrace 30% from the
bottom, 50% up there, it's fine. Now,
one note, it doesn't have to happen
perfectly to script with these candles.
I think most of you know that they can
be separated depending on your chart
frame. They can be separated by a few
different candles. I'll show you what
that looks like in a minute. So, it can
happen in a sum of one candle, two
candles, or or even three. But, let's
kind of put a 50% threshold on this
candle. Now, hopefully you also can kind
of put, you know, kind of connect the
dots here and say, I don't have to take
this trade. Maybe you understand that
anatomy like I'm thinking I don't have
to take this trade but just so happens
if the next candle bounces up this far
or the next two count candles bounce up
that far that's the entry that I'm
looking for. So I'm just going to kind
of play it forward here real quick and
as soon as you get somewhere up there
right the next candle comes up right
hits that point. So in this case that
would be very close to what my entry is.
So I would just buy it here using the
same formula with a stop at the low
targeting back to the range at least
bare minimum. Now a lot of these can go
further. Again it's not an exiting class
or an entry class. I just want you to
get the concept of what we're looking at
in terms of context. And of course we
play this one forward. You you'll move
up a lot higher. And then there's
another really strong strong trade. Now
let me show you what that looks for.
Because if you play this one I remember
this trade specifically. If you play
this forward, you're going to see you
got the same setup two different
occasions because later in the day, this
rolls over real strong right there. Now,
let me just kind of back that up real
quick here. Showing you again the power
of tower. In this case, this was sort of
like a a mix between the John Wick, a
mix between the power of tower. In these
cases, this is almost it's close to a
John Wick, but because it has the tail
at the very top. You could say that's a
dogey candle, but I don't look at it
that way. In these cases, you're just
looking for the next series of bars to
cross that 30 to 50% threshold. So, if I
just kind of draw that line, the entry
could have been on the push through this
candle right here. Okay? Hopefully, you
can see that. Now, there's other
advanced entries a little bit lower, but
what I'm trying to say here without
getting off topic or confusing everyone
is that once that candle has dropped,
you just need 30 to 50% of it. Whether
it comes from the next candle, the
candle after that or the third candle,
it's still valid. And many of our
technical signals are that way. There
there's noise in between and the smaller
the charts are, the worse it gets. And
notice what happens. What does it do? it
comes back up to the very top part of
the range. And that's the key. Now, the
next one I want to show you is the
rising support wicks or the fading
support wicks. And we're going to look
at the rising support way because this
was a recent trade. Again, what is the
anatomy of this? I did a video once and
kind of bring it up because I think it's
really important right now. A lot of the
answer to what's going to happen next is
in the series of candles that happened
before it. What are we seeing here?
Another downtrending instrument. Even
though it's not as aggressive as the
previous one with these very strong,
thick, singular, robust candles, there's
a series of candlesticks moving down.
This is the point. It's moving the
emotional intended in a certain
direction. That's the key. That's how
technicals work. It's it's it's it's
determining who's on that trade. It's
shaking people out. And you're looking
over here. You don't completely get it.
You get a tiny tiny little power of
tower style. But what is important about
the rising pattern is that's the key.
It's rising support. So notice the tail
of each one of these wicks. If I just
kind of draw a little trend line, notice
how they're they're kind of trailing up,
kind of like grinding up, kind of
walking up and rising support. You're
using the same formula in a trade like
this where you're buying on the break of
any candle structure which would just be
right there. It's very very tiny. Let me
write that line. Put it right there.
Right? And you could even in this case
wait. But notice that would be your a
standard wedge pattern. Right? Stop loss
always goes below the low of the day or
the high of the day. Target price moving
back into the upper range bare minimum.
Again, we're not doing a class on that
right now. The key here is those rising
wicks. I want to open that up because
notice that every time you get inside
there, there's somebody scooping that up
like an algo rhythm. So, the emotional
significance here is there's building,
right? That's building pressure. It's
coiling. There's some sort of algo just
kind of nibbling and nibbling on chairs.
And all it needs is a break of this
upper range and it's off to the races.
And you'll see in this case that's
exactly what happened, right? Off to the
races it goes and just starts shooting
all the way up. Now, a lot of people
will ask, "What about the losers? You're
showing me all the winners." Look, I get
it here. But what I want you to
understand this is each and every one of
you, and I hope you saw this throughout
the presentation part. The key with this
type of theory is that when you're down
that far with stops at low and high
after big moves, your stops are so
small. That's the point. They're little
compared to the gains. Notice that each
and every one of these have produced
more than a 3:1 riskreward. While 99% of
traders are out there chasing one to
ones or one to twos, these are threes,
fours, five. You don't have to win a lot
when you're when you're getting gains
like that. So yes, there are losses and
there are quite a bit of losses, but in
most cases, you're winning because
you're coming after the emotional.
You're understanding the emotional
context between it. So your ratio of
winning is high, but the ones that you
do lose on, well, they're a lot smaller.
So anyway, guys, I hope some of this
made some sense to you. I really enjoyed
doing this video. It's one of my
favorite subjects to talk about. I want
to say just a few things before we log
off here. Uh, as always, my wife and I
who run this channel, who she trades as
well, we put together a free watch list.
It includes all the great technical
setups for the week ahead. It's called
the gains guide. It's completely free
and I've put a link down there in the
description box. I also wanted to inform
everybody, which a lot of you do know by
now. We finally got around to starting
our live trading community. It's been a
lot of fun doing this. I love trading
live in front of everybody every day.
It's called the Rumor Squad. I'm also
going to put that link down there. So,
if you're interested in trying to get a
little bit more education, a hands-on
experience, trying to get better
knowledge, trying to finally get out of
the the hamster wheel of existence, go
ahead, click those links, join us in our
live community. Love to have you
narrating through each and every one.
I'd love to narrate through each and
every one of these scenarios with you on
a day-to-day basis. Be my pleasure. So,
I look forward to seeing you there. On
that note, guys, let me say thank you
very much for watching this video.
Thanks for your support. Until the next
one, take care. Trade well and cheers.
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