You have about 24 months to learn these skills
By Dan Koe
Summary
Topics Covered
- AI Divides into Resistors, Waiters, Curious
- Skills Abstract Upward with AI
- AI Time Scale Compresses Exponentially
- AI Frees Thinking from Writing Labor
- Learn Liberating Arts for Agency
Full Transcript
It feels like there's been a big shift this month and I know that everyone talks about how everything is changing and they have been for the past three or four years with AI and everything and
most people even started to just tune that out, right? We reached a point where all of this AI stuff we kind of just became numb to it and we didn't believe the hype anymore. But it really
feels like something changed very recently. And I'm not the type of person
recently. And I'm not the type of person that likes to be sensationalist or say this stuff. I'm the first person to call
this stuff. I'm the first person to call this out. So, when I'm saying stuff like
this out. So, when I'm saying stuff like this, you know, it's kind of real or maybe I'm just diluted, but we're here to talk about it. The reason it feels this way, it's because the tools have
been getting better and better, and people have become angrier and angrier.
And last, the people who have been trying to find useful applications for AI are finally starting to find it in their own lives, and they're starting to pull ahead of everyone else. And there
hasn't been a day where I go on Twitter and see a post like this from this guy's just Robert. This is one that I found.
just Robert. This is one that I found.
It says, "The AI backlash is here. This
post has millions of views of someone saying that their unpopular opinion is that they actually do not desire to see technology advance any further. People
hate technology. They hate innovation.
They see that it is coming for their jobs, coming for their way of life.
Innovation is asking them to do more work, to spend nights and weekends learning about AI, and then it goes on just to potentially replace themselves.
But that's just one of the few examples.
My feed is literally flooded with it.
I'm actually creating another video on that called why artists hate AI so much to go through all of the arguments. But
whenever there is a shift in how we do things, this pattern tends to emerge.
And the pattern is that there's three different types of people. The first are the resistors. And these are the people
the resistors. And these are the people who attach their identity to the way that things used to be done. They attach
to the skill like their art or how they like to do things or the things that they find meaningful in their life.
right now when they don't realize that me meaning can be generated from different things. We're also going to
different things. We're also going to talk about that in another video. The
resistors see any new tool as a threat to their sense of self like the artists that are screaming that anyone who uses AI is a bad person or the writers like
myself saying that good writing can't be replicated by AI and of course the creatives that are rage posting about the death of creativity while refusing to learn how the new tools work. Now if
you can avoid these people and avoid getting caught in their trap and if you are one of them just please keep an open mind. Now the second type of people are
mind. Now the second type of people are the waiters. So these people see that
the waiters. So these people see that the change is happening but they just wait for it to blow over. They keep
their heads down for most of their life because they are dependent on the job, the employer, the life direction and their ability to survive. They don't
know any other way of doing things and they don't have a mind that can see a potential opportunity and act on it by their own will because they've been dependent on other people for so much of
their life. The problem with being a
their life. The problem with being a waiter is the penalty for starting late.
In previous technological shifts, you could just wait for a few years and then you could play catch-up and that's okay.
The gap then was linear. But now with AI, it's different. The gap is exponential. the people who are
exponential. the people who are experimenting today are pulling that much further ahead of everyone else. So
the people who are waiting are going to have to play that much more catch-up and there's going to be such this huge gap between those who started early and those who didn't start at all. Now
again, I hate sounding sensationalist or making these claims, but I've personally experienced it, right? So I feel confident in saying that because I'm
seeing it firsthand. You really do not want to wake up in 2027 just to realize that the entry level has been eradicated. And then what are you going
eradicated. And then what are you going to do? You're not going to have much
to do? You're not going to have much leeway to actually learn these skills.
And who knows where you're going to end up then. And you can hope that UBI
up then. And you can hope that UBI becomes a thing or that you constantly get stimulus checks or other things like that. But I don't see that as a way to
that. But I don't see that as a way to live. And if you're a part of my
live. And if you're a part of my audience, I feel like you have a sense of agency and ambition. So you're more likely to be the third person, which is the curious. And these are the people
the curious. And these are the people that stay curious. They experiment. They
build. And they figure out how to adopt the new way in their own way without romanticizing the past or fearing the future. They understand that new things
future. They understand that new things have a time lag before they become useful. Right? You use chat GPT3 and
useful. Right? You use chat GPT3 and you're like, "Yeah, this isn't really useful at all. It can't do anything."
But now you use Claude Opus 4.5 and you're like, "Oh my gosh, this is actually crazy." But the other thing is
actually crazy." But the other thing is that it's just like any other skill. Not
only does it have a time lag before the tool itself becomes useful, but it also has a time lag before you become useful with the tool. So you have to just give it time. You can't just try it once and
it time. You can't just try it once and then say it doesn't work. Now it's
always been important. It's been
extremely important to become that third person because the first and second people, they don't really go anywhere in life. But it's important to be that
life. But it's important to be that third person because the main drivers of meaning are struggle, status, and curiosity. That's where you get your
curiosity. That's where you get your meaning from. Even the first people, the
meaning from. Even the first people, the artists who are just constantly rage posting online right now are getting their meaning from struggle and status.
They get status within their little artist tribe on social media by getting a lot of likes, getting a lot of engagement, and they're going through this artificial struggle that they've created for themselves that gives them a
sense of meaning. So when that's starting to be ripped away from them, they double down on it. So in this video, I want to share four compelling ideas, what I think are very compelling
ideas that may change your mind on AI, what skills you should learn and what skills may become irrelevant, and the single decision that matters right now so that you can take control of your
life. So the first idea is why this time
life. So the first idea is why this time is same same but different because people act like technological disruption is new. It's not. The printing press
is new. It's not. The printing press rendered scribes obsolete. Before
Gutenberg, bookmakers employed dozens of trained artisans to handcopy manuscripts. This was a skill that took
manuscripts. This was a skill that took years to master. And before they knew it, that skill set was worthless. A
single printing press could produce 3600 pages per workday. So the scribes who refused to adapt disappeared, and the ones who learned to operate the new machines thrived. The scribes were
machines thrived. The scribes were replaced by people who learned to use machines. Now the same pattern repeated
machines. Now the same pattern repeated in the industrial revolution. Handw
weavers protested and some smashed machines. These were the lites.
machines. These were the lites.
Meanwhile, mechanized cotton spinning increased output per worker by 500x. New
jobs emerged like printers, type setters, machine operators, and engineers. So the nature of work
engineers. So the nature of work changed, but work didn't disappear. So
the pattern here that continues to repeat and is repeating right now in a slightly different way is that skills abstract upward. This is going to be a
abstract upward. This is going to be a theme for the rest of the video. So just
keep that in mind. Skills abstract
upward. So the scribe became the editor.
The handw weaver became the machine operator. The type setter became the
operator. The type setter became the designer. Each wave of technology pushed
designer. Each wave of technology pushed humans to operate at a higher level. So
this brings up the concept of being a universal explainer by David Deutsch. So
he believes that all humans are universal explainers who are capable of understanding anything within the realm of possibility. We create knowledge
of possibility. We create knowledge through conjecture and criticism. In
other words, trial and error, guessing and correcting. This is how we adapt. So
and correcting. This is how we adapt. So
the people worried about AI think that it will just render human beings irrelevant. But there is no limit to
irrelevant. But there is no limit to what humans can create given the right knowledge. And we talked about this two
knowledge. And we talked about this two videos ago in the video about agency that was titled the most important skill to learn in the next 10 years. So in
other words, the tools change, but the capacity to wield the tools does not change. Humans are tool builders. That's
change. Humans are tool builders. That's
what we do. That's how we thrive in every niche. You've heard this before if
every niche. You've heard this before if you've watched any of my videos. So the
question is, why is this time different?
Why is the pattern repeating but in a different way? because the time scale at
different way? because the time scale at which it's happening is compressed. The
printing press alone took decades to spread across Europe. The industrial
revolution happened over a century. AI
is clearly moving faster than all of them. And a lot of people still think
them. And a lot of people still think that this is just speculation because AI isn't useful for them or that AI isn't that impressive. But that's because most
that impressive. But that's because most people still have, even though they deny it, they have this get-richqu, cheap, dopamine addicted mindset, they just
want AI to solve every single one of their problems because that's what was in the hype, right? That's what was promised. AI is just going to solve all
promised. AI is just going to solve all your problems. It's going to be able to do everything for you. So, people expect that. And then they go to use it and
that. And then they go to use it and they type a sentence into it and get a mediocre result because they don't know how to use it. And then they're like, "Oh, this isn't that good. this doesn't
live up to the promise, but that doesn't mean it's useless or that doesn't mean that you shouldn't learn it because there's obviously something here.
There's a reason why a lot of money is being poured into it and people are like, "Oh, well, the billionaires that are investing in all this are just stupid and they don't realize the payoff." And that's coming from an
payoff." And that's coming from an average person who hasn't done much with their life. Billionaires, at least I
their life. Billionaires, at least I think, are quite smart. I would say they are much smarter than the average person. And they pay very close
person. And they pay very close attention to the decisions they make and the investments they make. They probably
know something that you don't. I know
you like to view them as these big dumb people who were just born into money when it doesn't work that way. Now, one
more example to just hammer this home is that in 2020, deep minds from Google, their alpha fold solved the protein folding problem that stumped biologists for 50 years. Proteins are the molecular
machines of life. Their shape determines their function. So, knowing how a
their function. So, knowing how a protein folds means understanding how diseases work and how drugs can target them. So what used to take a PhD student
them. So what used to take a PhD student months of lab work now takes minutes.
That's insane. So for those arguing that there isn't a real use case for it, that happened 5 years ago. So the gap between those who adopt and those who wait is
compounding every month. The person who starts experimenting today will be unrecognizable in like 1 to two years, but that's too long for most people. It
has to happen in 2 weeks or else they quit. Two years is still an extremely
quit. Two years is still an extremely short amount of time. That's not even going through four years of college.
People just have this like insanely distorted view of how long it takes to actually achieve something. So that
leads to idea number two, which is that the skill has moved up a level. Now, to
illustrate this, I said before that I'd never use AI to write. And then I caveed that with like I use it to research. I
use it to sometimes use as a thought partner and other things of that nature, but I never would let it write for me.
And I meant that writing is my craft.
That's what I love to do. It's how I think. And so outsourcing my writing to
think. And so outsourcing my writing to it felt like that I was outsourcing my thinking. And that's still largely the
thinking. And that's still largely the case. But something has changed as I've
case. But something has changed as I've started using it more. And I've started acquiring the skill, right? Because the
the more skill you have with something, the more you can do with it and the more you can see the potential of it, right?
Like if you're just starting to play basketball, obviously you can't do much.
You can't really do anything until you practice. But then you look at a NBA
practice. But then you look at a NBA player and they can do so much. They're
just super skilled and they don't even have to think about it. Now, of course, having the AI just generate an entire piece of writing like a social post or a newsletter or a video script without any
of my ideas or my guidance or my direction. That still like gives me the
direction. That still like gives me the chills, right? I don't think that is
chills, right? I don't think that is what you should do with AI at all. But
I've started to find a process that allows me to outsource some of the labor of writing so that I can focus more on what matters about the writing, which is
the thinking. And personally, I think
the thinking. And personally, I think that's the future of writing as a whole or future of other skills. It allows the creative or the artist or whoever it may
be focus on the thing that actually matters rather than the tool to achieve the thing. Now, it'll take me an entire
the thing. Now, it'll take me an entire video to explain this. So, subscribe for that because I'll talk about it at some point once I really have the process down. But I'm enjoying writing so much
down. But I'm enjoying writing so much more now because it's less about like it's less about the labor of putting words on a screen and more about
focusing on the ideas. I get to think from a higher level about what I want the impact of the writing to be. Now, as
a brief explanation that doesn't do this process much justice, I start with an outline of the points and ideas I want to write about. And this can get pretty extensive. I practically write the piece
extensive. I practically write the piece without worrying about grammar. I feed
my books and past content into context so that the AI understands how I think and has my core worldview and philosophy because when I'm writing, what am I doing? I don't know if other writers are
doing? I don't know if other writers are the same as me, but I have like maybe 20 to 30 really big ideas that shape my worldview and how I write and they
influence how I think about writing. And
I put all of those ideas in my books so that they kind of live on in time and so that they're set in stone, right? So
that I can go back and they're like my own personal research mechanisms. I look to those when I need the ideas to illustrate a point that I'm trying to make in a unique way. And then I flesh out the ideas while the AI researches
alongside me. So it pulls information
alongside me. So it pulls information and surfaces patterns I know and understand. It's not generating things
understand. It's not generating things just randomly. But finding those things
just randomly. But finding those things would take me hours because I can't just remember textbooks of information. This
is why you write in the first place to have something that you can reference in your writing. Again, it's an iterative
your writing. Again, it's an iterative process. And this is actually becoming
process. And this is actually becoming the foundation of our search or research feature inside of Eden, which is the AI software that we're building that you do creative work in. So, you capture ideas
to it. You store your files in it. It's
to it. You store your files in it. It's
like an intelligent drive that transcribes every single link like a YouTube video. all of that stuff that
YouTube video. all of that stuff that you put into it, you can search by video frame and then you can put those things inside of a project or on a canvas so that you can work in a more intimate way
with AI. If you've been using Eden so
with AI. If you've been using Eden so far, you kind of understand this. We're
still weight listed and we still have a lot to build. So, if you want to get in on that, join the weight list link in the description. But after that, I comb
the description. But after that, I comb through the drafts. I make cuts. I
redirect when something feels dead. I
push harder when something feels alive.
and I give my commentary on places that feel like they're lacking, which helps me think deeper about the subject. I'm
writing more and reading more than I ever have before. The words on the page are still mine, but my job changed. The
amount of labor, physical labor that I do has changed. The amount of mental labor that I do has increased. That
reminds me of the Naval quote about earn with your mind, not your time, because that's a higher leverage thing you can do. And I'll throw this in here as well
do. And I'll throw this in here as well for those underwear. I've created a mini course on how I systemize my life with AI that doesn't contain this process, but if you haven't gone through that already, I think it'll kind of blow your
mind as to what's possible with AI, especially if you haven't really dove into AI much yet. So, link to that is in the description as well. But back to the point, this is the same pattern that
happens during every technological shift. The scribe copied letters. Then
shift. The scribe copied letters. Then
the printing press made copying irrelevant. And the job of the editor
irrelevant. And the job of the editor emerged, who is someone whose job was deciding what's worth printing in the first place. The skill abstracted up a
first place. The skill abstracted up a layer, but the craft remained. Writing,
programming, art, maybe is going through the same shift right now. Anyone can
generate 2,000 words in 30 seconds.
Competent, forgettable writing is now available on tap as a $20 a month chat GPT subscription. So the baseline, the
GPT subscription. So the baseline, the entry level got flooded. Blog writers
are already out of a job. I'm talking
like SEO blog writers, those ones who those who are hired for companies to write kind of meaningless blogs, not put out the ideas that's in their own mind.
So if you're writing or programming or whatever skill was already average, you're now competing with infinite average, but the ceiling hasn't moved.
The baseline has gotten flooded. The
ceiling hasn't moved, though. What makes
writing great hasn't changed. And I want you to think of this through the skill that you do if you aren't a writer. So
for writing, that's originality of thought, a voice that's unmistakably yours, and the ability to make someone see something they hadn't before. None
of that is tied to the labor of putting words on a page. So the difference between average and great, therefore, is taste. The future belongs to those who
taste. The future belongs to those who can filter signal from noise. When
anyone can produce anything, choosing what deserves to exist becomes the skill. The thing here is that taste is
skill. The thing here is that taste is harder to develop when the friction disappears. So writing by hand was slow
disappears. So writing by hand was slow and the slowness of it forced you to think. So yes, the argument that AI can
think. So yes, the argument that AI can stunt your thinking is very true. But
that's usually because people go to AI so that they can write just faster.
They aren't doing it for the meaning of writing. And that's fine. So if you are
writing. And that's fine. So if you are doing it for the meaning of writing because not everyone has to be a meaningful writer. Some people are just
meaningful writer. Some people are just trying to get information across you.
You have to go about using it in a different way then. So when AI removes the friction, you have to consciously supply the judgment and discernment that the friction used to provide. And that's
exactly where the gap opens. Now I'm
telling you this because as I stated before, most people try AI, get a mediocre output, and just decide it doesn't work. But that's the same thing
doesn't work. But that's the same thing as like trying to ride a bike, falling off, and then just deciding that bikes are useless. AI has a skill curve,
are useless. AI has a skill curve, right? If you hold the belief that
right? If you hold the belief that everything is a skill issue, then apply that to yourself right here. The barrier
of entry looks low because anyone can type in a prompt and anyone can try chat GPT for free. But using AI at peak capacity takes experimentation. It's the
same freaking thing across the board.
People just don't like AI for some reason. Some people other people are
reason. Some people other people are very pro AI. There's actually like a political formation happening and AI has become a religion. But again, with the basketball analogy, anyone can go and buy a basketball for 5 to 10 bucks and
start dribbling it and playing around.
That doesn't mean that you're any good at playing basketball. That doesn't mean you're going to get into the NBA. So, it
takes experimentation. It takes failing, adjusting, trying again. It takes
iteration. It takes intelligence, like we talked about two videos ago in the video on agency. It takes experimenting until you find or create or discover a
workflow that fits how you think and fits your workflow and what you want to put out into the world. If you haven't thought about in the slightest, then yeah, your output is going to be quote
unquote slopp. So, idea number three,
unquote slopp. So, idea number three, what to actually learn in 2026. And you
have my permission here to just ignore completely ignore the best skills to learn lists for 2026 because no skill is going to save you. But the ability to
learn any skill fast will again on the topic of specialists versus generalists.
A specialist identifies with the skill and once that skill is threatened, they're threatened and they don't want to change because they're all passionate about the skill itself rather than the essence of what's under the skill and
what they're doing. But a generalist on the other hand, they have something they want to achieve. They have this mission.
They have this vision and then they learn and adapt accordingly and learn many things in order to achieve that.
They aren't held back. Their learning
isn't stunted because they decided to focus their mind on one skill and not see outside of that. That's how the mind works. That's very dangerous. That was
works. That's very dangerous. That was
great during the industrial revolution, but I'm assuming most of you don't want the same lives as your parents. This
also brings up the topic from Devon Ericson where he talks about the liberating arts as opposed to the liberal arts which have just become like ideologically tainted. But the
ideologically tainted. But the liberating arts are the skills that free people have always needed to act on their own behalf or to self-govern or to have agency. And those were logic, which
have agency. And those were logic, which is deriving truth from known facts.
Statistics, which is understanding the implications of data, rhetoric, which is persuading and spotting persuasion tactics, research, which is gathering information on unknown subjects.
Psychology, which is discerning the true motives of yourself and others.
Investment, which is managing and growing assets, and agency, deciding what to pursue and acting without permission. Now, these aren't
permission. Now, these aren't necessarily skills, but they are capacities. And you have to develop them
capacities. And you have to develop them by doing things that demand them. You
don't just study and think that you learn these things. That is the huge separator between average and great.
Now, there are three things you can do that demand these all at once so that you can develop them. And I believe that doing these three things are critical when we're going into the age of job
loss. So, the first is to build your own
loss. So, the first is to build your own thing and put it in front of people, a product, a project, a piece of work with your name on it. This forces rhetoric because you have to persuade people to
care. It forces practical psychology
care. It forces practical psychology because you have to understand what others actually want, not what you think they should want. And it forces agency because you have to act and especially iterate without permission. You learn
these by getting feedback from reality not from books. I personally believe we are witnessing the return of the artisan but from a completely new point of view.
Now the second thing you can do is to write publicly consistently even if you do it with AI because writing is compressed thinking. It forces logic
compressed thinking. It forces logic because weak arguments collapse on the page. It forces research because you
page. It forces research because you can't fake depth. It exposes where your ideas are thin and it builds an asset like an audience, reputation, proof of work that compounds. So if you don't
want to be a specialist that is tied to a job for survival in an age where jobs are commodities, I guess you could say, then you have to build your own thing.
You have to build an audience. You have
to go where the attention is, which is right now is on social media. You have
to build digital assets. You don't have to, so to say. you can take another route, but a lot of the other routes with traditional assets take a lot of capital or connections to actually get into. And I'm assuming you don't have a
into. And I'm assuming you don't have a lot of cash flow. You don't have a lot of capital. So, you need to build
of capital. So, you need to build something that you have the opportunity to build. We're going to talk about the
to build. We're going to talk about the best oneperson business to start in 2026 in another video. I'm putting a lot of videos out over the next week or so.
Now, on this point, I'm really not sure how I feel about this just yet because few months ago, I felt pretty strong that most people are going to be writing with AI. And I I didn't really like that
with AI. And I I didn't really like that feeling because I was tied to my writing. But the thing here is that
writing. But the thing here is that there will still be skilled and unskilled writers. That's a point that
unskilled writers. That's a point that many people just don't realize or think about. And AI itself, if you just ask it
about. And AI itself, if you just ask it to generate a newsletter or social post for you, it has a very distinct flavor.
And a lot of people are catching on to that. Personally, I believe the
that. Personally, I believe the distinction between skilled and unskilled writing lies in the density of ideas, the quality of argument, the synthesis of concepts, and the novelty
of perspective rather than the labor of putting words on paper. Now, the third thing you can do right now is to use AI to do things you couldn't do before, not just things you didn't want to do.
Because most people are using AI to avoid work, to work less. And that's
usually because they aren't working on something meaningful. Most of their work
something meaningful. Most of their work is occupied with utility based tasks, not meaning based tasks. So the edge goes to people using AI to attempt work
that was previously impossible for one person. Research that would have taken
person. Research that would have taken weeks synthesis across dozens of sources. The question isn't how do I do
sources. The question isn't how do I do less, it's what can I do now that I couldn't do before. So for the utility based task, use AI all all you want.
That makes sense. you want to spend more time doing what you want to do. But for
meaning based tasks, the thing that you want to do, the thing that you want to spend your time doing, be very careful that you aren't using AI to avoid struggle or skill development because
that will quickly diminish the amount of meaning that you can derive from that thing. Now, idea number four, which is
thing. Now, idea number four, which is the only questions that matter. So,
after watching this, I want you to question three things. I want you to question every skill you have, every habit you repeat without thought, and every default way you spend your time.
Now, if you were to do those same things every day for the rest of your life, like you are set to do right now, because it's human nature, is that going to lead to a future you want, I want you
to really actually think about that in relation to how fast the world is changing. Are you on the cutting edge or
changing. Are you on the cutting edge or are you settling for the average life reserved for average people? Because
there is something you can do that won't be entirely replaced. There is something there is some opportunity. There is
something you can discover and find and you're not going to find it just by thinking about it for one day or trying things for one day. The way of being a free or sovereign individual is to adjust adopt this as a lifestyle. It's
like you're an explorer navigating through the jungle and you don't know what where the treasure is. You don't
know where anything is. You just have to slash your way and figure it out. You
have to completely detach from the way you've been doing things which is probably the residue of industrial living. So the thing that you can do is
living. So the thing that you can do is a combination of your taste and your judgment and your way of seeing problems. Your job is to find that thing and you're not going to find it by
waiting or resisting. You must
experiment at the edge of what you know.
You must discover what your edge actually is. And the people who figure
actually is. And the people who figure this out over the next 12 to 36 months will be seen as like a different species. The fruits of exponential
species. The fruits of exponential progress are reserved for those who lean into the risk and figure it out along the way. Resources that I mentioned for
the way. Resources that I mentioned for this video are available via the links in the description. Make sure you like, subscribe while you're here. Videos, the
videos I said that are going out, they're going to go out. Thank you for watching. I appreciate you being here.
watching. I appreciate you being here.
Bye.
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